Trading Signals: XLU Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ XLU: Intraday Forecast Similar Waves Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Fri. Apr. 16, 2021

Trading Signals: XLU Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Apr. 16, 2021)

(Utilities sector ETF)
XLU latest price $67.2100 (0.81%) ($66.7800 - $67.4700) on Fri. Apr. 16, 2021.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Trend Pattern   Growing Uptrend
Trend Narrative   Overbought
Average Daily Price Swing   $1.42 (2.2% one month average)
Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.01% (three month average)
Weekly Trend Force   0.5% (StdDev 1.01%)
Daily Moving Force   0.9%
Correction Force   Weak (0%)
Hourly Trend Strength   0.8%
Trend   0.32%
Trend Strength   1.7%
Trend Clarity   0.23(0.5/1.42/64.4)
RSI   83
Momentum   2.2
Latest Price   $67.2100(0.81%)
Forecasted Low Price   67.01(-0.3%)
Forecasted High Price   68.35(1.7%)
Direction of Next Movement   Higher(1.8%)
% Change Needed to Confirm Correction   3.7% (64.79)
% Change Needed for Trend Reversal   3.1%
Hourly Trend 1.1% [$66.7(0.71), $66.05(0.54)]
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Complacency   9
Intraday Reversal Probability   There's a high probability the price will reverse sharply to downside intraday or next day..
Daily Trend   XLU advances 0.7% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   XLU advances 1.8% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Value stock rally for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support XLU advance at 0.3% a week (79% probability)
EWI(75%)    IDRV(73%)    IBB(72%)    SLV(68%)    EWY(66%)
Factors Impacting XLU price   XLU will advance at least 0.1% in a week (46% probabilities).
XLF(-60%)    TBT(-49%)    XRT(-40%)    VIXM(-36%)    XAR(-35%)
Explanation The rally is sustainable and supported by the broad market.
Trading Plan   A pullback is expected soon.

Valuation to SPY 0.9

Relative Volatility 0.4 (options are faily valued)

Market Trend Strength   0.9% (StdDev 1.01%)
Hourly BBV 1.1 ()
Intraday Trend 0.4%

Next Day Open Price   $67.37(0.24%)
Support Level   $64.4
5 Day Moving Average   $66.07(1.73%)
10 Day Moving Average   $65.52(2.58%)
20 Day Moving Average   $64.4(4.36%)
To recent high   0%
To recent low   15.2%
Market Cap   $N/A

Option Sentiment

One Year Target Price    $68.54 (1.98%)

$. Technical analysis works only if the market conditions in the future are not drastically different from the past. Always read market news to understand the causes of the price movement before making a trading decision. News

$. XLU price fluctuates within 2.2% (three month std-dev: 1.01% one year average std_dev: 0%) daily (68% of days).
$. XLU price fluctuates within 0% weekly (one year average std_dev: %).

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart Hourly Chart 15 Minute Chart

i	Date	ema20(Trend)	ema10(Trend)	ema5(Trend)	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	ActualPriceRange	BBV	Hourly BBV	Daily Moving Force	Weekly Trend Force	Reversal Force	Hourly Trend Strength	Trend	Trend Strength	RSI	Momentum	Trend Pattern	Next Direction	C	RV	VIXCD	Trend-Narrative	NextDay PriceTarget	NextDayPriceRange	Volume millions	To High-Low
1	Apr_16_2021	64.4 (0.2%)	65.52 (0.4%)	66.07 (0.7%)	66.05	66.7(0%)	67.21(0.81%)	66.78-67.47	1.7(2)	1.1	0.9%	0.5%	0%	0.8%	0.32%	1.7%	83	2.2	Growing Uptrend	Higher(1.4%)	9	0.9	-0.3	Overbought	66.38(-1.23%)	65.14-68.25	11.18	0%-15.2%
2	Apr_15_2021	64.13 (0.2%)	65.19 (0.2%)	65.59 (0.5%)	65.51	65.99(0%)	66.67(1.11%)	65.91-66.7	1.6(1.9)	2.4	0.7%	0.4%	0%	0.49%	0.28%	1.6%	82	2	Growing Uptrend	Higher(1.1%)	9	0.4	-0.4	Uptrend	67.12(0.67%)	66.22-67.51	11.93	0%-14.2%
3	Apr_14_2021	63.91 (0.2%)	64.92 (0.2%)	65.24 (0.3%)	65.17	65.4(0%)	65.94(0.44%)	65.32-65.94	1.4(1.6)	1.6	0.4%	0.3%	0%	0.51%	0.26%	1.6%	83	1.9	Growing Uptrend	Higher(0.7%)	9	0.4	-0.5	Uptrend	66.32(0.58%)	65.55-66.65	7.56	0%-13%
4	Apr_13_2021	63.76 (0.2%)	64.68 (0.2%)	65.04 (0.2%)	65	65.04(0%)	65.65(1.19%)	64.5-65.77	1.4(1.6)	3	0.1%	0.2%	0%	0.23%	0.26%	1.4%	82	1.8	Growing Uptrend	Range(0.3%)	9	-0.4	-0.8	Uptrend	66(0.54%)	65.29-66.31	9.12	0%-12.5%
5	Apr_12_2021	63.63 (0.2%)	64.52 (0.4%)	64.91 (0.1%)	64.96	64.93(0%)	64.88(0.09%)	64.66-65.34	1.4(1.2)	0.8	%	0.2%	0%	-0.03%	0.32%	1.4%	84	1.6	Growing Uptrend	Range(0.2%)	9	-1.3	-0.8	Uptrend	65.28(0.61%)	64.66-65.53	7.1	-0.2%-11.2%

6	Apr_9_2021	63.51 (0.4%)	64.39 (0.4%)	64.87 (0.3%)	64.89	64.97(0%)	64.82(-0.11%)	64.69-65.23	1.6(1.2)	1	0.1%	0.2%	0%	0%	0.36%	1.4%	74	1.6	Growing Uptrend	Range(0.4%)	10	-1.2	-1.2	Uptrend	65.27(0.7%)	64.58-65.57	7.88	-0.3%-11.1%
7	Apr_8_2021	63.35 (0.4%)	64.24 (0.4%)	64.7 (0.3%)	64.79	64.98(0%)	64.89(-0.08%)	64.75-65.31	1.6(1.4)	0.8	0.3%	0.3%	0%	0.06%	0.38%	1.4%	76	1.6	Growing Uptrend	Higher(0.6%)	10	-0.4	-1.4	Uptrend	65.4(0.78%)	64.64-65.72	9.95	-0.2%-11.2%
8	Apr_7_2021	63.19 (0.4%)	64.01 (0.4%)	64.53 (0.4%)	64.51	64.81(0%)	64.94(-0.12%)	64.61-65.29	1.6(1.7)	0.8	0.4%	0.3%	0%	0.22%	0.38%	1.3%	73	1.6	Growing Uptrend	Higher(0.8%)	10	0.1	-1.7	Growing Uptrend	65.53(0.91%)	64.61-65.76	7.89	-0.1%-11.3%
9	Apr_6_2021	63.01 (0.4%)	63.78 (0.4%)	64.26 (0.3%)	64.23	64.6(0%)	65.02(0.53%)	64.14-65.03	1.4(1.9)	1.2	0.5%	0.5%	0%	0.59%	0.34%	1.2%	61	1.6	Growing Uptrend	Higher(1%)	9	0.4	-1.9	Growing Uptrend	65.51(0.76%)	64.67-65.72	8.63	0%-11.4%
10	Apr_5_2021	62.78 (0.4%)	63.45 (0.2%)	64.08 (0.4%)	63.97	64.21(0%)	64.68(1.09%)	64.15-65.09	1.3(1.8)	1.8	0.4%	0.4%	0%	0.44%	0.3%	1.1%	59	1.5	Growing Uptrend	Higher(0.8%)	8	-0.1	-2	Growing Uptrend	65.14(0.71%)	64.35-65.34	14.64	0%-10.8%

11	Apr_1_2021	62.54 (0.4%)	63.19 (0.2%)	63.84 (0.2%)	63.79	63.85(0%)	63.98(-0.09%)	63.55-64.09	1.1(1)	0.9	0.2%	0.3%	0%	0.06%	0.26%	1%	62	1.9	Growing Uptrend	Range(0.5%)	7	0.5	-2.3	Uptrend	64.4(0.66%)	63.73-64.69	10.51	-0.3%-9.6%
12	Mar_31_2021	62.29 (0.4%)	63 (0.2%)	63.7 (0.5%)	63.62	63.85(0%)	64.04(0.74%)	63.47-64.16	1.2(1.2)	0.9	0.2%	0.3%	0%	-0.16%	0.26%	1.1%	67	2.1	Growing Uptrend	Range(0.5%)	6	1.2	-1.8	Uptrend	64.49(0.71%)	63.73-64.82	11.13	-0.2%-9.7%
13	Mar_30_2021	62.03 (0.4%)	62.82 (0.2%)	63.41 (0.3%)	63.42	63.73(0%)	63.57(-0.9%)	63.1-63.95	1.2(1)	1	0.4%	0.1%	0%	0.41%	0.22%	1.3%	63	2.2	Uptrend Dip	Higher(1%)	6	1.1	-2.5	After Top	63.67(0.15%)	62.62-64.52	11.06	-0.9%-8.9%
14	Mar_29_2021	61.83 (0.2%)	62.77 (0.2%)	63.21 (0.8%)	63.14	63.52(0%)	64.15(1.07%)	63.31-64.45	1.2(1.5)	1.2	0.7%	0.2%	0%	0.44%	0.22%	1.5%	70	2.2	Growing Uptrend	Higher(0.9%)	6	1.5	-2.3	Uptrend	64.53(0.59%)	63.7-64.88	16.34	0%-9.9%
15	Mar_26_2021	61.6 (0.2%)	62.66 (0.2%)	62.71 (0.4%)	62.72	63.11(0%)	63.47(0.33%)	62.64-63.53	1(1.2)	0.2	0.5%	0.2%	0%	0.32%	0.2%	1.7%	72	2.3	Growing Uptrend	Higher(0.7%)	6	1	-2	Uptrend	63.84(0.58%)	63.14-64.13	10.37	-1%-8.8%

16	Mar_25_2021	61.35 (0.2%)	62.54 (0.2%)	62.45 (0.4%)	62.32	62.77(0%)	63.26(1.07%)	62.51-63.47	0.9(1.2)	0.6	0.5%	0.3%	0%	0.56%	0.22%	1.9%	75	2.2	Growing Uptrend	Higher(0.8%)	6	1.9	-2.2	Uptrend	63.62(0.57%)	62.93-63.91	14.15	-1.3%-8.4%
17	Mar_24_2021	61.16 (0.2%)	62.38 (0.2%)	62.21 (0.1%)	62.09	62.33(0%)	62.59(0.03%)	62.15-63.04	0.9(0.9)	1.6	0.5%	0.2%	0%	0.66%	0.22%	2%	77	2.2	Growing Uptrend	Higher(0.7%)	6	1.8	-1.8	Uptrend	62.95(0.57%)	62.32-63.22	11.03	-2.4%-7.2%
18	Mar_23_2021	61.03 (0%)	62.3 (0.4%)	62.14 (-0.2%)	61.97	61.86(0%)	62.57(1.49%)	61.5-62.81	0.9(1)	2.4	-0.1%	0.2%	0%	-0.1%	0.28%	2.1%	77	2.1	Correction	Range(0.1%)	6	1.7	-2.2	Uptrend	62.91(0.54%)	62.26-63.18	13.06	-2.4%-7.2%
19	Mar_22_2021	60.92 (0%)	62.18 (0.4%)	62.29 (-0.5%)	62.12	61.85(0%)	61.65(-0.88%)	61.21-61.93	0.9(0.5)	0.2	-0.5%	0.1%	0%	-0.06%	0.34%	2.1%	66	2.1	Confirmed Correction	Range(0%)	7	0.2	-1	Uptrend Consolidation	61.55(-0.16%)	61.36-62.14	12.82	-3.8%-5.6%
20	Mar_19_2021	60.85 (0%)	62.09 (0.6%)	62.6 (-0.1%)	62.52	62.08(0%)	62.2(0.27%)	61.39-62.74	1.2(0.9)	-0.7	-0.4%	0.3%	0%	-0.29%	0.4%	2%	68	2.1	Confirmed Correction	Range(-0.1%)	8	1.4	-0.1	Uptrend	62.81(0.98%)	61.98-63.16	19.33	-3%-6.6%

21	Mar_18_2021	60.85 (0%)	61.86 (0.6%)	62.64 (0.1%)	62.72	62.4(0%)	62.03(-0.37%)	61.6-62.45	1.3(0.8)	-1.1	-0.4%	0.3%	0%	-0.73%	0.44%	1.7%	73	2.1	Correction	Range(0.1%)	8	0.9	-1.3	Uptrend	62.7(1.08%)	61.85-63.07	14.81	-3.2%-6.3%
22	Mar_17_2021	60.8 (0%)	61.55 (0.6%)	62.55 (0.2%)	62.73	62.96(0%)	62.26(-1.63%)	62.2-63.25	1.4(1)	-3.1	0.1%	0.4%	0%	0.02%	0.42%	1.2%	65	2	Growing Uptrend	Higher(1.3%)	8	0.1	-0.4	N/A	62.76(0.8%)	61.59-63.71	17.2	-2.9%-6.7%
23	Mar_16_2021	60.77 (0%)	61.22 (0.6%)	62.45 (0.6%)	62.49	63.03(0%)	63.29(0.13%)	62.89-63.45	1.3(1.8)	0.4	0.7%	0.5%	0%	0.7%	0.38%	0.7%	66	2.1	Growing Uptrend	Higher(1.2%)	7	1.5	-0.4	N/A	63.54(0.39%)	62.05-64.75	14.62	-1.3%-8.4%
24	Mar_15_2021	60.68 (-0%)	60.83 (0.4%)	62.05 (0.9%)	62.08	62.5(0%)	63.21(1.28%)	62.5-63.37	1.1(1.9)	1.2	0.8%	0.5%	0%	0.61%	0.3%	0.2%	60	1.9	Growing Uptrend	Higher(1.3%)	7	1.4	0.6	Uptrend Reversal	63.67(0.72%)	63.28-63.92	12.2	-1.4%-8.3%
25	Mar_12_2021	60.63 (-0.2%)	60.46 (0.4%)	61.51 (0.9%)	61.63	61.94(0%)	62.41(1.35%)	61.56-62.6	0.7(1.4)	0	0.6%	0.5%	0%	0.23%	0.2%	-0.3%	60	1.8	Growing Uptrend	Higher(1.1%)	6	0.9	0.1	Uptrend Reversal	62.84(0.69%)	62.48-63.08	10.02	-2.6%-6.9%
i	Date	ema20(Trend)	ema10(Trend)	ema5(Trend)	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	ActualPriceRange	BBV	Hourly BBV	Daily Moving Force	Weekly Trend Force	Reversal Force	Trend	Trend Strength	RSI	Momentum	Trend Pattern	Next Direction	C	RV	VIXCD	Trend-Narrative	NextDay PriceTarget	NextDayPriceRange	Volume millions	To High-Low