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     Fri. Apr. 16, 2021

Trading Signals: XLU Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Apr. 16, 2021)

(Utilities sector ETF)

XLU latest price $67.2100 (0.81%) ($66.7800 - $67.4700) on Fri. Apr. 16, 2021.


Trend Analysis and Forecast
 
Trend Pattern  Growing Uptrend
Trend Narrative  Overbought
Average Daily Price Swing  $1.42 (2.2% one month average)
Average Daily Percentage Swing  1.01% (three month average)
Weekly Trend Force  0.5% (StdDev 1.01%)
Daily Moving Force  0.9%
Correction Force  Weak (0%)
Hourly Trend Strength  0.8%
Trend   0.32%
Trend Strength  1.7%
Trend Clarity  0.23(0.5/1.42/64.4)
RSI   83
Momentum  2.2
Latest Price  $67.2100(0.81%)
Forecasted Low Price  67.01(-0.3%)
Forecasted High Price  68.35(1.7%)
Direction of Next Movement  Higher(1.8%)
% Change Needed to Confirm Correction  3.7% (64.79)
% Change Needed for Trend Reversal  3.1%
Hourly Trend   1.1% [$66.7(0.71), $66.05(0.54)]
Stocks Behave Similarly  Similar Stock List
Top Holdings  Top Holding List
Complacency  9
Intraday Reversal Probability  There's a high probability the price will reverse sharply to downside intraday or next day..
Daily Trend  XLU advances 0.7% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend  XLU advances 1.8% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior  Value stock rally for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs  Broad market will support XLU advance at 0.3% a week (79% probability)
  EWI(75%)    IDRV(73%)    IBB(72%)    SLV(68%)    EWY(66%)  
Factors Impacting XLU price  XLU will advance at least 0.1% in a week (46% probabilities).
  XLF(-60%)    TBT(-49%)    XRT(-40%)    VIXM(-36%)    XAR(-35%)  
Explanation   The rally is sustainable and supported by the broad market.
Trading Plan  A pullback is expected soon.
 
Valuation to SPY   0.9
 
Relative Volatility   0.4 (options are faily valued)
 
Market Trend Strength  0.9% (StdDev 1.01%)
Hourly BBV   1.1 ()
Intraday Trend   0.4%
  
 

  


Next Day Open Price  $67.37(0.24%)
Support Level  $64.4
5 Day Moving Average  $66.07(1.73%)
10 Day Moving Average  $65.52(2.58%)
20 Day Moving Average  $64.4(4.36%)
To recent high  0%
To recent low  15.2%
Market Cap  $N/A
 
Option Sentiment  
 
 
One Year Target Price   $68.54 (1.98%)
 
 



$. Technical analysis works only if the market conditions in the future are not drastically different from the past. Always read market news to understand the causes of the price movement before making a trading decision. News

$. XLU price fluctuates within 2.2% (three month std-dev: 1.01%    one year average std_dev: 0%) daily (68% of days).
$. XLU price fluctuates within 0% weekly (one year average std_dev: %).

Analysis   News   Options   Weekly Chart   Daily Chart   Hourly Chart   15 Minute Chart

iDateema20(Trend)ema10(Trend) ema5(Trend) Slow Hourly
Trend
Fast Hourly
Trend
CloseActualPriceRangeBBVHourly
BBV
Daily
Moving
Force
Weekly
Trend
Force
Reversal
Force
Hourly
Trend
Strength
TrendTrend
Strength
RSIMomentumTrend
Pattern
Next
Direction
CRVVIXCDTrend-Narrative  NextDay
PriceTarget  
NextDayPriceRangeVolume
millions
To High-Low
1Apr_16_202164.4 (0.2%)65.52 (0.4%)66.07 (0.7%) 66.05 66.7(0%)67.21(0.81%)66.78-67.471.7(2)1.1 0.9%0.5%0%0.8%0.32%1.7%832.2 Growing Uptrend  Higher(1.4%)90.9-0.3Overbought 66.38(-1.23%)65.14-68.2511.18   0%-15.2% 
2Apr_15_202164.13 (0.2%)65.19 (0.2%)65.59 (0.5%) 65.51 65.99(0%)66.67(1.11%)65.91-66.71.6(1.9)2.4 0.7%0.4%0%0.49%0.28%1.6%822 Growing Uptrend  Higher(1.1%)90.4-0.4Uptrend 67.12(0.67%)66.22-67.5111.93   0%-14.2% 
3Apr_14_202163.91 (0.2%)64.92 (0.2%)65.24 (0.3%) 65.17 65.4(0%)65.94(0.44%)65.32-65.941.4(1.6)1.6 0.4%0.3%0%0.51%0.26%1.6%831.9 Growing Uptrend  Higher(0.7%)90.4-0.5Uptrend 66.32(0.58%)65.55-66.657.56   0%-13% 
4Apr_13_202163.76 (0.2%)64.68 (0.2%)65.04 (0.2%) 65 65.04(0%)65.65(1.19%)64.5-65.771.4(1.6)3 0.1%0.2%0%0.23%0.26%1.4%821.8 Growing Uptrend  Range(0.3%)9-0.4-0.8Uptrend 66(0.54%)65.29-66.319.12   0%-12.5% 
5Apr_12_202163.63 (0.2%)64.52 (0.4%)64.91 (0.1%) 64.96 64.93(0%)64.88(0.09%)64.66-65.341.4(1.2)0.8 %0.2%0%-0.03%0.32%1.4%841.6 Growing Uptrend  Range(0.2%)9-1.3-0.8Uptrend 65.28(0.61%)64.66-65.537.1   -0.2%-11.2% 
 
6Apr_9_202163.51 (0.4%)64.39 (0.4%)64.87 (0.3%) 64.89 64.97(0%)64.82(-0.11%)64.69-65.231.6(1.2)1 0.1%0.2%0%0%0.36%1.4%741.6 Growing Uptrend  Range(0.4%)10-1.2-1.2Uptrend 65.27(0.7%)64.58-65.577.88   -0.3%-11.1% 
7Apr_8_202163.35 (0.4%)64.24 (0.4%)64.7 (0.3%) 64.79 64.98(0%)64.89(-0.08%)64.75-65.311.6(1.4)0.8 0.3%0.3%0%0.06%0.38%1.4%761.6 Growing Uptrend  Higher(0.6%)10-0.4-1.4Uptrend 65.4(0.78%)64.64-65.729.95   -0.2%-11.2% 
8Apr_7_202163.19 (0.4%)64.01 (0.4%)64.53 (0.4%) 64.51 64.81(0%)64.94(-0.12%)64.61-65.291.6(1.7)0.8 0.4%0.3%0%0.22%0.38%1.3%731.6 Growing Uptrend  Higher(0.8%)100.1-1.7Growing Uptrend 65.53(0.91%)64.61-65.767.89   -0.1%-11.3% 
9Apr_6_202163.01 (0.4%)63.78 (0.4%)64.26 (0.3%) 64.23 64.6(0%)65.02(0.53%)64.14-65.031.4(1.9)1.2 0.5%0.5%0%0.59%0.34%1.2%611.6 Growing Uptrend  Higher(1%)90.4-1.9Growing Uptrend 65.51(0.76%)64.67-65.728.63   0%-11.4% 
10Apr_5_202162.78 (0.4%)63.45 (0.2%)64.08 (0.4%) 63.97 64.21(0%)64.68(1.09%)64.15-65.091.3(1.8)1.8 0.4%0.4%0%0.44%0.3%1.1%591.5 Growing Uptrend  Higher(0.8%)8-0.1-2Growing Uptrend 65.14(0.71%)64.35-65.3414.64   0%-10.8% 
 
11Apr_1_202162.54 (0.4%)63.19 (0.2%)63.84 (0.2%) 63.79 63.85(0%)63.98(-0.09%)63.55-64.091.1(1)0.9 0.2%0.3%0%0.06%0.26%1%621.9 Growing Uptrend  Range(0.5%)70.5-2.3Uptrend 64.4(0.66%)63.73-64.6910.51   -0.3%-9.6% 
12Mar_31_202162.29 (0.4%)63 (0.2%)63.7 (0.5%) 63.62 63.85(0%)64.04(0.74%)63.47-64.161.2(1.2)0.9 0.2%0.3%0%-0.16%0.26%1.1%672.1 Growing Uptrend  Range(0.5%)61.2-1.8Uptrend 64.49(0.71%)63.73-64.8211.13   -0.2%-9.7% 
13Mar_30_202162.03 (0.4%)62.82 (0.2%)63.41 (0.3%) 63.42 63.73(0%)63.57(-0.9%)63.1-63.951.2(1)1 0.4%0.1%0%0.41%0.22%1.3%632.2 Uptrend Dip  Higher(1%)61.1-2.5After Top 63.67(0.15%)62.62-64.5211.06   -0.9%-8.9% 
14Mar_29_202161.83 (0.2%)62.77 (0.2%)63.21 (0.8%) 63.14 63.52(0%)64.15(1.07%)63.31-64.451.2(1.5)1.2 0.7%0.2%0%0.44%0.22%1.5%702.2 Growing Uptrend  Higher(0.9%)61.5-2.3Uptrend 64.53(0.59%)63.7-64.8816.34   0%-9.9% 
15Mar_26_202161.6 (0.2%)62.66 (0.2%)62.71 (0.4%) 62.72 63.11(0%)63.47(0.33%)62.64-63.531(1.2)0.2 0.5%0.2%0%0.32%0.2%1.7%722.3 Growing Uptrend  Higher(0.7%)61-2Uptrend 63.84(0.58%)63.14-64.1310.37   -1%-8.8% 
 
16Mar_25_202161.35 (0.2%)62.54 (0.2%)62.45 (0.4%) 62.32 62.77(0%)63.26(1.07%)62.51-63.470.9(1.2)0.6 0.5%0.3%0%0.56%0.22%1.9%752.2 Growing Uptrend  Higher(0.8%)61.9-2.2Uptrend 63.62(0.57%)62.93-63.9114.15   -1.3%-8.4% 
17Mar_24_202161.16 (0.2%)62.38 (0.2%)62.21 (0.1%) 62.09 62.33(0%)62.59(0.03%)62.15-63.040.9(0.9)1.6 0.5%0.2%0%0.66%0.22%2%772.2 Growing Uptrend  Higher(0.7%)61.8-1.8Uptrend 62.95(0.57%)62.32-63.2211.03   -2.4%-7.2% 
18Mar_23_202161.03 (0%)62.3 (0.4%)62.14 (-0.2%) 61.97 61.86(0%)62.57(1.49%)61.5-62.810.9(1)2.4 -0.1%0.2%0%-0.1%0.28%2.1%772.1 Correction  Range(0.1%)61.7-2.2Uptrend 62.91(0.54%)62.26-63.1813.06   -2.4%-7.2% 
19Mar_22_202160.92 (0%)62.18 (0.4%)62.29 (-0.5%) 62.12 61.85(0%)61.65(-0.88%)61.21-61.930.9(0.5)0.2 -0.5%0.1%0%-0.06%0.34%2.1%662.1 Confirmed Correction  Range(0%)70.2-1Uptrend Consolidation 61.55(-0.16%)61.36-62.1412.82   -3.8%-5.6% 
20Mar_19_202160.85 (0%)62.09 (0.6%)62.6 (-0.1%) 62.52 62.08(0%)62.2(0.27%)61.39-62.741.2(0.9)-0.7 -0.4%0.3%0%-0.29%0.4%2%682.1 Confirmed Correction  Range(-0.1%)81.4-0.1Uptrend 62.81(0.98%)61.98-63.1619.33   -3%-6.6% 
 
21Mar_18_202160.85 (0%)61.86 (0.6%)62.64 (0.1%) 62.72 62.4(0%)62.03(-0.37%)61.6-62.451.3(0.8)-1.1 -0.4%0.3%0%-0.73%0.44%1.7%732.1 Correction  Range(0.1%)80.9-1.3Uptrend 62.7(1.08%)61.85-63.0714.81   -3.2%-6.3% 
22Mar_17_202160.8 (0%)61.55 (0.6%)62.55 (0.2%) 62.73 62.96(0%)62.26(-1.63%)62.2-63.251.4(1)-3.1 0.1%0.4%0%0.02%0.42%1.2%652 Growing Uptrend  Higher(1.3%)80.1-0.4N/A 62.76(0.8%)61.59-63.7117.2   -2.9%-6.7% 
23Mar_16_202160.77 (0%)61.22 (0.6%)62.45 (0.6%) 62.49 63.03(0%)63.29(0.13%)62.89-63.451.3(1.8)0.4 0.7%0.5%0%0.7%0.38%0.7%662.1 Growing Uptrend  Higher(1.2%)71.5-0.4N/A 63.54(0.39%)62.05-64.7514.62   -1.3%-8.4% 
24Mar_15_202160.68 (-0%)60.83 (0.4%)62.05 (0.9%) 62.08 62.5(0%)63.21(1.28%)62.5-63.371.1(1.9)1.2 0.8%0.5%0%0.61%0.3%0.2%601.9 Growing Uptrend  Higher(1.3%)71.40.6Uptrend Reversal 63.67(0.72%)63.28-63.9212.2   -1.4%-8.3% 
25Mar_12_202160.63 (-0.2%)60.46 (0.4%)61.51 (0.9%) 61.63 61.94(0%)62.41(1.35%)61.56-62.60.7(1.4)0 0.6%0.5%0%0.23%0.2%-0.3%601.8 Growing Uptrend  Higher(1.1%)60.90.1Uptrend Reversal 62.84(0.69%)62.48-63.0810.02   -2.6%-6.9% 
iDateema20(Trend)ema10(Trend) ema5(Trend) Slow Hourly
Trend
Fast Hourly
Trend
CloseActualPriceRangeBBVHourly
BBV
Daily
Moving
Force
Weekly
Trend
Force
Reversal
Force
TrendTrend
Strength
RSIMomentumTrend
Pattern
Next
Direction
CRVVIXCDTrend-Narrative  NextDay
PriceTarget  
NextDayPriceRangeVolume
millions
To High-Low
 
 
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