Trading Signals: XLI Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ XLI: Intraday Forecast Similar Waves Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Fri. Apr. 16, 2021

Trading Signals: XLI Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Mar. 10, 2014 - Fri. Apr. 16, 2021)

(Industrials sector ETF)
XLI latest price $101.1400 (0.22%) ($100.7000 - $101.8000) on Fri. Apr. 16, 2021.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Trend Pattern   Growing Uptrend
Trend Narrative   Uptrend
Average Daily Price Swing   $1.95 (1.97% one month average)
Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.05% (three month average)
Weekly Trend Force   0.2% (StdDev 1.05%)
Daily Moving Force   0.2%
Correction Force   Weak (0%)
Hourly Trend Strength   0.1%
Trend   0.22%
Trend Strength   1.5%
Trend Clarity   0.1(0.2/1.95/98.84)
RSI   74
Momentum   1.9
Latest Price   $101.1400(0.22%)
Forecasted Low Price   100.84(-0.3%)
Forecasted High Price   101.85(0.7%)
Direction of Next Movement   Range(0.1%)
% Change Needed to Confirm Correction   0.8% (100.31)
% Change Needed for Trend Reversal   1.3%
Hourly Trend 0.3% [$101.02(0.32), $100.75(0.17)]
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Complacency   8
Intraday Reversal Probability   There's a high probability the price will reverse sharply to downside intraday or next day..
Daily Trend   XLI advances 0.1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   XLI advances 1.1% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Value stock rally for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support XLI advance at 0.1% a week (93% probability)
IYT(96%)    XRT(96%)    PAVE(91%)    XHB(81%)    IWD(79%)
Factors Impacting XLI price   XLI will decline at least -0.4% in a week (54% probabilities).
UNG(-65%)    SHY(-52%)    EWP(-52%)    EWI(-51%)    IGOV(-46%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.
Trading Plan   Not Available

Valuation to SPY -1.4

Relative Volatility -0 (options are faily valued)

Market Trend Strength   -0.1% (StdDev 1.05%)
Hourly BBV 0.8 ()
Intraday Trend -0.4%

Next Day Open Price   $101.5(0.36%)
Support Level   $98.84
5 Day Moving Average   $100.77(0.37%)
10 Day Moving Average   $100.33(0.81%)
20 Day Moving Average   $98.84(2.33%)
To recent high   0%
To recent low   19.3%
Market Cap   $N/A

Option Sentiment

One Year Target Price    $90.06 (-10.96%)

$. Technical analysis works only if the market conditions in the future are not drastically different from the past. Always read market news to understand the causes of the price movement before making a trading decision. News

$. XLI price fluctuates within 1.97% (three month std-dev: 1.05% one year average std_dev: 0%) daily (68% of days).
$. XLI price fluctuates within 0% weekly (one year average std_dev: %).

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart Hourly Chart 15 Minute Chart

i	Date	ema20(Trend)	ema10(Trend)	ema5(Trend)	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	ActualPriceRange	BBV	Hourly BBV	Daily Moving Force	Weekly Trend Force	Reversal Force	Hourly Trend Strength	Trend	Trend Strength	RSI	Momentum	Trend Pattern	Next Direction	C	RV	VIXCD	Trend-Narrative	NextDay PriceTarget	NextDayPriceRange	Volume millions	To High-Low
1	Apr_16_2021	98.84 (0.2%)	100.33 (0.2%)	100.77 (0.1%)	100.75	101.02(0%)	101.14(0.22%)	100.7-101.8	1.2(1.2)	0.8	0.2%	0.2%	0%	0.1%	0.22%	1.5%	74	1.9	Growing Uptrend	Range(0.4%)	8	-1.4	-0.3	Uptrend	101.56(0.42%)	100.69-101.94	10.21	0%-19.3%
2	Apr_15_2021	98.63 (0.2%)	100.09 (0.2%)	100.64 (0.3%)	100.58	100.7(0%)	100.92(0.4%)	100.19-101.06	1.3(1.2)	1.4	0.2%	0.2%	0%	0.16%	0.24%	1.5%	80	1.8	Growing Uptrend	Range(0.4%)	8	-1.4	-0.4	Uptrend	101.39(0.47%)	100.48-101.79	12.63	0%-19.1%
3	Apr_14_2021	98.44 (0.2%)	99.85 (0.2%)	100.37 (0.3%)	100.43	100.47(0%)	100.52(0.13%)	100.4-101.2	1.3(1.1)	1.5	0.2%	0.2%	0%	0.08%	0.26%	1.4%	84	1.7	Growing Uptrend	Range(0.4%)	8	-0.8	-0.5	Uptrend	101.06(0.54%)	100.15-101.45	9.33	-0.4%-18.6%
4	Apr_13_2021	98.23 (0.2%)	99.68 (0.4%)	100.12 (0.1%)	100.07	100.46(0%)	100.39(-0.49%)	99.68-100.7	1.4(1.2)	-0.5	0.1%	0.2%	0%	0.19%	0.32%	1.5%	85	1.7	Growing Uptrend	Range(0.5%)	8	-1.3	-0.8	After Top	100.67(0.28%)	99.14-101.92	10.61	-0.5%-18.4%
5	Apr_12_2021	98.08 (0.2%)	99.48 (0.4%)	100 (0.2%)	99.88	100.38(0%)	100.88(0.37%)	100.31-100.94	1.5(1.6)	2	0.4%	0.3%	0%	0.44%	0.34%	1.4%	72	1.6	Growing Uptrend	Higher(0.7%)	8	-0.5	-0.8	The Top	101.17(0.29%)	99.4-102.62	7.68	0%-19%

6	Apr_9_2021	97.86 (0.2%)	99.22 (0.4%)	99.82 (0.3%)	99.72	99.68(0%)	100.51(0.97%)	99.58-100.56	1.5(1.6)	3.7	0.2%	0.3%	0%	0.19%	0.36%	1.4%	69	1.5	Growing Uptrend	Range(0.5%)	8	-0.7	-1.2	Growing Uptrend	101.35(0.84%)	100.05-101.68	9.66	0%-18.6%
7	Apr_8_2021	97.61 (0.2%)	98.84 (0.4%)	99.48 (0.2%)	99.66	99.37(0%)	99.54(0.24%)	98.61-99.58	1.4(1.2)	1.1	-0.1%	0.4%	0%	-0.33%	0.34%	1.3%	61	1.5	Uptrend Consolidation	Range(0.3%)	8	-1.1	-1.4	Growing Uptrend	100.31(0.77%)	99.22-100.58	9.15	-0.5%-17.4%
8	Apr_7_2021	97.4 (0.4%)	98.43 (0.4%)	99.26 (0.1%)	99.5	99.75(0%)	99.3(-0.46%)	98.99-100.03	1.4(1.2)	-1.5	%	0.4%	0%	-0.13%	0.32%	1.1%	59	1.5	Uptrend Consolidation	Higher(0.6%)	8	-0.8	-1.7	Growing Uptrend	100(0.7%)	98.98-100.25	8.87	-0.7%-17.1%
9	Apr_6_2021	97.14 (0.4%)	97.97 (0.2%)	99.15 (0.3%)	99.3	99.94(0%)	99.76(-0.24%)	99.66-100.57	1.5(1.6)	0.6	0.5%	0.3%	0%	0.6%	0.3%	0.9%	66	1.6	Growing Uptrend	Higher(0.9%)	7	-0.2	-1.9	Growing Uptrend	100.41(0.65%)	99.29-100.69	8.2	-0.2%-17.7%
10	Apr_5_2021	96.87 (0.4%)	97.6 (0.2%)	98.87 (0.4%)	98.95	99.25(0%)	100(1.24%)	99.56-100.34	1.4(1.9)	1.4	0.5%	0.4%	0%	0.38%	0.26%	0.7%	58	1.5	Growing Uptrend	Higher(0.9%)	6	0	-2	Growing Uptrend	100.56(0.56%)	99.46-100.84	10.79	0%-18%

11	Apr_1_2021	96.54 (0.4%)	97.22 (0.2%)	98.53 (0.4%)	98.55	98.65(0%)	98.78(0.34%)	98.14-98.86	1.3(1.2)	2.1	0.2%	0.2%	0%	-0.04%	0.22%	0.7%	58	1.7	Growing Uptrend	Range(0.4%)	6	0.5	-2.3	Uptrend	99.28(0.51%)	98.39-99.66	11.18	0%-16.5%
12	Mar_31_2021	96.18 (0.4%)	97.05 (0.2%)	98.11 (0.7%)	98.32	98.64(0%)	98.45(-0.32%)	98.12-99.26	1.3(1.2)	-1.7	0.5%	0.2%	0%	0.16%	0.22%	0.9%	62	1.8	Growing Uptrend	Higher(0.9%)	6	1.1	-1.8	Uptrend	98.96(0.52%)	98.05-99.35	12.23	-0.3%-16.1%
13	Mar_30_2021	95.9 (0.2%)	96.91 (0.2%)	97.44 (0.9%)	97.53	98.45(0%)	98.77(0.44%)	98.15-99.01	1.1(1.4)	1.3	0.6%	0.3%	0%	0.56%	0.18%	1.1%	64	1.8	Growing Uptrend	Higher(0.9%)	6	1.9	-2.5	Growing Uptrend	99.32(0.56%)	98.26-99.59	10.15	0%-16.5%
14	Mar_29_2021	95.6 (0.2%)	96.64 (0%)	96.58 (0.5%)	96.74	98(0%)	98.34(0.02%)	97.84-98.92	0.9(1.4)	0.7	1%	0.2%	0%	1.04%	0.12%	1.1%	67	1.8	Growing Uptrend	Higher(1.2%)	6	1.4	-2.3	Uptrend	98.54(0.2%)	97.84-98.84	12.71	0%-16%
15	Mar_26_2021	95.32 (0.2%)	96.53 (0%)	96.13 (0.4%)	95.93	96.62(0%)	98.32(1.73%)	96.81-98.38	0.7(1.4)	1.8	0.8%	0.2%	0%	0.55%	0.12%	1.3%	65	1.9	Growing Uptrend	Higher(1%)	6	1.4	-2	Uptrend	98.52(0.2%)	97.73-98.86	14.39	0%-16%

16	Mar_25_2021	94.94 (0.2%)	96.35 (0.2%)	95.76 (-0.1%)	95.54	95.48(0%)	96.65(1.6%)	93.95-96.8	0.5(0.8)	2	%	0.2%	0%	0.09%	0.14%	1.5%	64	1.9	Growing Uptrend	Range(0.2%)	6	1.4	-2.2	Uptrend Consolidation	96.26(-0.4%)	96.02-97	18.52	-1%-14%
17	Mar_24_2021	94.69 (0.2%)	96.24 (0.2%)	95.87 (-0.5%)	95.83	95.24(0%)	95.13(0.73%)	94.89-96.62	0.6(0.2)	-1.3	-0.4%	-0%	0%	-0.22%	0.2%	1.6%	68	1.9	Downtrend Reversal	Range(-0.4%)	7	0.7	-1.8	Uptrend Consolidation	95.09(-0.04%)	94.93-95.61	14.58	-2.5%-12.2%
18	Mar_23_2021	94.61 (0.2%)	96.29 (0.4%)	96.31 (-0.4%)	96.36	95.6(0%)	94.44(-1.75%)	94.09-96.34	0.8(-0.1)	-2.5	-0.6%	0%	0%	-0.54%	0.3%	1.8%	58	2	Downtrend Reversal	Range(0.3%)	8	-0.1	-2.2	Uptrend	95.19(0.79%)	94.44-95.5	16.95	-3.2%-11.4%
19	Mar_22_2021	94.48 (0.4%)	96.3 (0.4%)	96.66 (-0.3%)	96.79	96.43(0%)	96.12(-0.36%)	95.45-96.53	1.1(0.7)	-1	-0.5%	0.2%	0%	-0.6%	0.36%	1.9%	65	2.1	Correction	Range(-0.1%)	9	0.6	-1	Uptrend	97.05(0.97%)	95.78-97.59	12.27	-1.5%-13.4%
20	Mar_19_2021	94.24 (0.4%)	96.15 (0.4%)	96.95 (-0.1%)	96.96	97.12(0%)	96.47(-0.76%)	95.93-97.31	1.4(1)	-1.7	-0.1%	0.3%	0%	0.09%	0.42%	2%	65	2.2	Correction	Higher(0.6%)	10	1.4	-0.1	Uptrend	97.58(1.15%)	96.06-98.23	18.32	-1.1%-13.8%

21	Mar_18_2021	93.97 (0.4%)	95.86 (0.6%)	97.01 (0.4%)	97.05	97.16(0%)	97.21(-0.09%)	97.02-98.52	1.6(1.4)	-0.1	0.3%	0.5%	0%	0.51%	0.48%	2%	75	2.3	Growing Uptrend	Higher(0.8%)	9	1.5	-1.3	Uptrend	98.61(1.44%)	96.65-99.44	16.88	-0.4%-14.7%
22	Mar_17_2021	93.59 (0.4%)	95.3 (0.4%)	96.67 (0.4%)	96.76	96.8(0%)	97.3(1.15%)	96.13-97.5	1.7(1.6)	0.7	0.1%	0.5%	0%	-0.14%	0.46%	1.8%	69	2.3	Growing Uptrend	Higher(0.6%)	8	0.9	-0.4	Uptrend	98.56(1.3%)	96.62-99.4	14.81	-0.3%-14.8%
23	Mar_16_2021	93.22 (0.4%)	94.84 (0.4%)	96.29 (0.5%)	96.45	96.95(0%)	96.19(-1.42%)	96.08-97.43	1.9(1.3)	-1.4	0.3%	0.4%	0%	0.15%	0.42%	1.7%	59	2.2	Uptrend Dip	Higher(1.4%)	8	0.6	-0.4	Uptrend	97.37(1.23%)	95.72-98.08	12.53	-1.4%-13.5%
24	Mar_15_2021	92.91 (0.4%)	94.49 (0.4%)	95.86 (0.7%)	96	96.72(0%)	97.58(0.84%)	96.19-97.61	2(2.1)	2.7	0.7%	0.5%	-0.5%	0.46%	0.4%	1.7%	68	2.2	Growing Uptrend	Lower(-0.6%)	8	1.2	0.6	Overbought	96.22(-1.39%)	94.08-99.45	11.39	0%-15.1%
25	Mar_12_2021	92.54 (0.4%)	94 (0.4%)	95.23 (0.7%)	95.36	95.95(0%)	96.77(1.34%)	95.75-96.85	2(2.1)	2.3	0.6%	0.6%	-0.4%	0.38%	0.38%	1.6%	67	1.9	Growing Uptrend	Range(-0.4%)	7	1.3	0.1	Overbought	95.65(-1.16%)	93.86-98.33	10.11	0%-14.2%
i	Date	ema20(Trend)	ema10(Trend)	ema5(Trend)	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	ActualPriceRange	BBV	Hourly BBV	Daily Moving Force	Weekly Trend Force	Reversal Force	Trend	Trend Strength	RSI	Momentum	Trend Pattern	Next Direction	C	RV	VIXCD	Trend-Narrative	NextDay PriceTarget	NextDayPriceRange	Volume millions	To High-Low