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     Fri. Oct. 23, 2020



Trading Signals: XLF Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Feb. 7, 2014 - Fri. Oct. 23, 2020)

(Financial Select Sector SPDR ETF)

XLF latest price $25.2500 (0.32%) ($25.0500 - $25.4050) on Fri. Oct. 23, 2020.

Trend and Trading Plan

Trend Narrative  N/A
Intraday Reversal Probability  N/A.
Daily Trend  XLF advances 0.2% a day on average for past five trading days.
Market Behavior  Normal for large cap. Broad based rally for small cap.
Correlated ETFs  Broad market will support XLF advance at 0.1% a week (91% probability)
  IVE(90%)    IWD(89%)    SDY(89%)    VYM(88%)    IWN(87%)  
Factors Impacting XLF price  XLF will advance at least 0.1% in a week (42% probabilities).
  GBTC(-58%)    TLT(-47%)    VXX(-32%)    BNDX(-26%)    VIXM(-25%)  
Trading Plan  Not Available
 
Valuation to SPY   1.4
 
Relative Volatility   -2.2 (options are extremely cheap)
 
Hourly BBV   0.2
Hourly Trend   0.56% [$25.09(0.25), $24.95(0.11)]
Last Hour Trend   0.16% [$25.26, $25.22]


XLF Next 1 - 5 Day Price Forecast

Bullish Probability  50%
Bullish Price Move  1.2%
Bearish Probability  50%
Bearish Price Move  -1.2%
Recommended Position Size  0%
Latest Price  $25.2500
Next Day Open Price  $25.33(0.32%)
1 - 3 Day Target Price  $25.19(-0.22%)
1 - 5 Day Price Range  $24.93 - $25.41
Support Level  $24.75
5 Day Moving Average  $24.9(1.41%)
10 Day Moving Average  $24.98(1.08%)
20 Day Moving Average  $24.75(2.02%)
To recent high  -1%
To recent low  8.8%
Market Cap  $N/A
 
Option Sentiment  
 
 
One Year Target Price   $29.47 (16.73%)
 


  
 
 



$. Technical analysis works only if the market conditions in the future are not drastically different from the past. Always read market news to understand the causes of the price movement before making a trading decision. News

$. XLF price fluctuates within 2.1% (three month std-dev: 1.24%    one year average std_dev: 0%) daily (68% of days).
$. XLF price fluctuates within 0% weekly (one year average std_dev: %).

Analysis   News   Options   Weekly Chart   Daily Chart   Hourly Chart   15 Minute Chart

iDateTo High-Lowema20
Trend
ema10
Trend
ema5
Trend
Hourly
Trend
Last
Hour
EMA
Ratio
BBVHourly
BBV
RVVSIVVIXCDVolume
millions
CloseActualPriceRangeTrend-Narrative  NextDay
PriceTarget  
NextDayPriceRangeRSI
1Oct_23_2020-1%-8.8% 1.4%,0.6(0.1)0%,0(-0.1)0.2%,0.10.90.16%0.9%10.21.41.7NAN%0.845.84   25.25(0.32%)25.05-25.41N/A 25.19(-0.22%)24.93-25.4158
2Oct_22_2020-1.3%-8.5% 1.1%,0.5(0.1)0.2%,0.1(-0.1)0.2%,0.100.16%1.3%0.90.71.51.91.76%0.638.79   25.17(1.99%)24.66-25.2Uptrend Consolidation 25.03(-0.55%)24.96-25.2562
3Oct_21_2020-3.3%-6.4% 0.8%,0.3(0.1)0.5%,0.2(-0.1)-0.1%,-0-0.3-0.08%1.6%0.20.8-0.32.11.76%0.144.17   24.68(-0.52%)24.68-24.93Uptrend Consolidation 24.65(-0.11%)24.62-24.7761
4Oct_20_2020-2.7%-6.9% 0.5%,0.2(0)0.9%,0.3(-0.1)-0.2%,-0.1-0-0.24%2%0.50.30.12.21.02%0.268.45   24.81(0.81%)24.76-25.1Uptrend Consolidation 24.73(-0.31%)24.68-24.963
5Oct_19_2020-3.5%-6.1% 0.4%,0.1(0)1.3%,0.5(-0.3)-0.7%,-0.30.3-0.32%2.1%0.2-0.2-0.32.21.54%1.242.82   24.61(-1.52%)24.57-25.09Uptrend Consolidation 24.59(-0.09%)24.54-24.7265
 
6Oct_16_2020-2%-7.7% 0.4%,0.1(-0)1.9%,0.7(-0.2)-0.2%,-0.1-0.30%2.3%0.9-0.5-0.52.21.21%0.939.49   24.99(0.08%)24.87-25.15Uptrend Consolidation 24.86(-0.53%)24.75-25.1764
7Oct_15_2020-2.1%-7.6% 0.4%,0.2(-0)2.4%,0.9(-0.2)-0.2%,-0.1-1.20.04%2.1%0.9-0.6-0.72.21.17%0.741.6   24.97(0.77%)24.51-24.98Uptrend Consolidation 24.85(-0.48%)24.74-25.1970
8Oct_14_2020-2.9%-6.8% 0.5%,0.2(-0)2.9%,1.1(-0.2)-0%,-0-0.6-0.12%1.9%0.6-0.5-1.42.10.91%0.949.75   24.78(-0.96%)24.75-25.13Uptrend Consolidation 24.73(-0.21%)24.61-25.0771
9Oct_13_2020-1.9%-7.8% 0.6%,0.2(0)3.4%,1.3(0.1)0.4%,0.20.3-0.2%1.6%1-0.4-1.32.21.39%0.956.4   25.02(-1.92%)24.94-25.51Uptrend 25.35(1.33%)24.89-25.5575
10Oct_12_20200%-10% 0.4%,0.2(0.1)3.2%,1.2(0.1)0.6%,0.20.90.16%1.2%1.83.4-0.32.21.45%1.345.74   25.51(1.11%)25.21-25.59Uptrend 25.8(1.12%)25.27-26.0271
 
11Oct_9_2020-1%-11.2% 0.2%,0.1(0.1)2.9%,1.2(0.3)0.8%,0.30.9-0.08%0.7%1.50.5021.65%1.151.99   25.23(0.12%)25.03-25.37N/A 25.33(0.41%)24.71-25.8565
12Oct_8_2020-1.1%-11.1% -0.1%,-0(0.2)2.1%,0.9(0.4)0.9%,0.40.90.12%0.1%1.610.51.81.72%1.156.43   25.2(1.37%)24.94-25.26Uptrend Reversal 25.39(0.76%)25.23-25.553
13Oct_7_2020-2.5%-9.6% -0.5%,-0.2(0.1)1.1%,0.5(0.4)0.6%,0.31.20.32%-0.5%1.11.60.21.81.08%0.751.99   24.86(1.68%)24.68-24.98Uptrend Reversal 25.04(0.74%)24.89-25.1549
14Oct_6_2020-4.1%-7.8% -0.7%,-0.3(0.1)0.1%,0(0.3)0.6%,0.31.5-0.57%-1.2%0.4-0.80.21.71.26%0.390.36   24.45(-1.01%)24.36-25.08Rebound 24.33(-0.51%)24.42-24.2841
15Oct_5_2020-3.1%-8.9% -1%,-0.4(0.1)-0.7%,-0.3(0.3)0.5%,0.20.90.04%-1.5%0.83-0.11.71.74%0.560.67   24.7(1.65%)24.47-24.78Rebound 24.43(-1.11%)24.59-24.3648
 
16Oct_2_2020-4.7%-7.1% -1.2%,-0.5(0.1)-1.4%,-0.6(0.2)0.7%,0.30.30%-2%00.201.91.3%0.763.66   24.3(0.79%)23.73-24.44Downtrend Consolidation 24.2(-0.4%)24.33-24.1639
17Oct_1_2020-5.4%-6.3% -1.4%,-0.5(0)-1.8%,-0.7(0.1)0.7%,0.30.3-0.12%-2.1%-0.30.6-1.11.91.73%0.965.73   24.11(0.17%)23.92-24.33Downtrend Consolidation 23.99(-0.48%)24.2-23.9342
18Sep_30_2020-5.6%-6.1% -1.5%,-0.5(0.1)-2.2%,-0.8(0.1)0.7%,0.30.6-0.42%-2.1%-0.50.9-0.82.11.46%0.866.4   24.07(1.35%)23.84-24.27Downtrend Consolidation 23.94(-0.52%)24.24-23.8545
19Sep_29_2020-6.8%-4.7% -1.6%,-0.6(-0)-2.6%,-0.9(0)0%,01.50.08%-2%-11.2-1.22.11.23%0.953.19   23.75(-1.25%)23.62-24.02Downtrend 23.49(-1.1%)23.32-23.8837
20Sep_28_2020-5.6%-6% -1.6%,-0.6(-0.1)-2.6%,-0.9(0.1)0.1%,00.6-0.04%-1.9%-0.71.2-0.82.11.54%0.962.77   24.05(2.38%)23.82-24.22Downtrend 23.78(-1.12%)23.62-24.1543
 
21Sep_25_2020-7.8%-4% -1.5%,-0.5(-0.1)-2.8%,-1(-0.1)-1%,-0.4-0.90.21%-1.7%-1.6-1.4-1.321.48%1.145.98   23.49(1.03%)23.03-23.57Growing Downtrend 23.26(-1%)23.03-23.6930
22Sep_24_2020-8.8%-3% -1.1%,-0.4(-0.1)-2.4%,-0.9(-0.1)-1.2%,-0.5-1.2-0.39%-1.6%-2.2-1.7-11.82.17%1.256.59   23.25(0.22%)22.94-23.58Growing Downtrend 23.08(-0.73%)22.88-23.5130
23Sep_23_2020-9%-2.7% -0.7%,-0.3(-0.2)-2.1%,-0.9(-0.3)-1.5%,-0.7-1.8-0.64%-1.4%-2.8-2.1-11.52.09%1.354.19   23.2(-2.23%)23.2-23.95Growing Downtrend 23.1(-0.44%)22.94-23.4827
24Sep_22_2020-6.9%-5.1% -0.2%,-0.1(-0.1)-1.5%,-0.8(-0.2)-0.8%,-0.5-30.13%-1%-2.6-0.8-1.11.20.93%1.683.33   23.73(-0.84%)23.53-24.1Growing Downtrend 23.68(-0.19%)23.59-23.9436
25Sep_21_2020-6.1%-6% 0%,0(-0.1)-1.2%,-0.9(-0.3)-0.9%,-0.6-2.10.29%-0.9%-2.9-1.50.30.91.4%1.672.15   23.93(-3.04%)23.56-24.17Correction 23.65(-1.16%)23.6-23.8539
iDateTo High-Lowema20
Trend
ema10
Trend
ema5
Trend
Hourly
Trend
Last
Hour
EMA
Ratio
BBVHourly
BBV
RVVSIVVIXCDVolume
millions
Close  5 Day
Target  
Trend
Narrative
  5 Day
Price Change  
SRIRSI
 
 
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