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     Tue. Sep. 8, 2020



Trading Signals: XLF Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Feb. 7, 2014 - Wed. Nov. 25, 2020)

(Financial Select Sector SPDR ETF)

XLF latest price $24.6400 (-2.57%) ($24.5500 - $25.1000) on Tue. Sep. 8, 2020.

Trend and Trading Plan

Trend Narrative  Uptrend Dip
Intraday Reversal Probability  N/A.
Daily Trend  XLF declines -0.3% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend  XLF advances 1.1% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior  Broad based sell-off for large cap. Broad based sell-off for small cap.
Correlated ETFs  Broad market will support XLF advance at 0.8% a week (94% probability)
  IVE(93%)    IWD(93%)    VYM(93%)    IWN(92%)    SDY(92%)  
Factors Impacting XLF price  XLF will decline at least -0.8% in a week (52% probabilities).
  TLT(-61%)    VIXM(-58%)    VXX(-55%)    BNDX(-46%)    BND(-29%)  
Trading Plan  Buy the Dip
 
Valuation to SPY   0.7
 
Relative Volatility   -1.7 (options are cheap)
 
Hourly BBV   -0.5
Hourly Trend   -0.55% [$25.09(-0.3), $25.23(-0.05)]
Last Hour Trend   -0.24% [$24.71, $24.77]


XLF Next 1 - 5 Day Price Forecast

Bullish Probability  90%
Bullish Price Move  1.9%
Bearish Probability  10%
Bearish Price Move  -1.9%
Recommended Position Size  42%
Latest Price  $24.6400
Next Day Open Price  $24.52(-0.48%)
1 - 3 Day Target Price  $24.77(0.52%)
1 - 5 Day Possible Target  $25.79(4.67%)
1 - 5 Day Price Range  $24.62 - $24.8
Resistance Level  $24.98
5 Day Moving Average  $25.13(-1.95%)
10 Day Moving Average  $25.11(-1.87%)
20 Day Moving Average  $24.98(-1.36%)
To recent high  -7.9%
To recent low  9.1%
Market Cap  $N/A
 
Option Sentiment  
 
 
One Year Target Price   $28.06 (13.87%)
 


  
 
 



$. Technical analysis works only if the market conditions in the future are not drastically different from the past. Always read market news to understand the causes of the price movement before making a trading decision. News

$. XLF price fluctuates within 1.32% (three month std-dev: 1.86%    one year average std_dev: 0%) daily (68% of days).
$. XLF price fluctuates within 0% weekly (one year average std_dev: %).

Analysis   News   Options   Weekly Chart   Daily Chart   2 Month Daily Chart   

  >  20201008

iDateTo High-Lowema20
Trend
ema10
Trend
ema5
Trend
Hourly
Trend
Last
Hour
EMA
Ratio
BBVHourly
BBV
RVVSIVVIXCDVolume
millions
CloseActualPriceRangeTrend-Narrative  NextDay
PriceTarget  
NextDayPriceRangeRSI
1Sep_8_2020-7.9%-9.1% 0.6%,0.5(-0.2)1.1%,0.8(-0.2)-0.3%,-0.2-1.2-0.24%0.5%-1-0.50.70.72.22%-1.284.11   24.64(-2.57%)24.55-25.1Uptrend Dip 24.77(0.52%)24.62-24.853
2Sep_4_2020-5.4%-12% 0.9%,0.7(-0.1)1.4%,1.1(0.2)-0.1%,-0.11.20.32%0.6%0.9-1.30.70.71.32%-1.1111.07   25.29(0.76%)24.89-25.69Growing Uptrend 25.34(0.2%)25.24-25.3759
3Sep_3_2020-6.1%-11.2% 1.1%,0.8(-0.1)1.1%,0.8(0.1)-0.1%,-0.11.2-0.16%0.3%0.4-1.5-0.30.72.01%-2.497.84   25.1(-1.53%)24.94-26.01Growing Uptrend 25.15(0.2%)25.07-25.1748
4Sep_2_2020-4.7%-12.9% 1.2%,0.8(0.1)0.9%,0.7(0.4)0.5%,0.4-0.30.12%0.2%1.5-0.9-1.40.71.38%0.248.13   25.49(1.43%)25.05-25.58Growing Uptrend 25.54(0.2%)25.38-25.5855
5Sep_1_2020-6%-11.3% 1%,0.7(0)0.4%,0.3(0.2)0.1%,0.1-0.30.12%0%0.7-0.5-1.50.81.61%042.78   25.13(0.28%)24.85-25.22Growing Uptrend 25.17(0.14%)25.07-25.1947
 
6Aug_31_2020-6.3%-11% 1%,0.6(0)0.1%,0.1(0.1)0.2%,0.11.2-0.04%0%0.6-0.1-1.20.81.45%0.152.23   25.06(-1.18%)25.06-25.34Growing Uptrend 25.08(0.09%)25.01-25.144
7Aug_28_2020-5.2%-12.3% 1%,0.5(0.2)-0.1%,-0(0.2)0.9%,0.50.90%0.1%1.30.3-0.90.91.32%0.851.67   25.36(0.4%)25.15-25.45Growing Uptrend 25.37(0.05%)25.25-25.455
8Aug_27_2020-5.5%-11.9% 0.7%,0.4(0.1)-0.4%,-0.2(0.1)0.7%,0.40.60.12%0.3%1.30.8-0.90.91.16%0.766.54   25.26(1.69%)24.82-25.38N/A 25.13(-0.52%)24.93-25.2957
9Aug_26_2020-7.1%-10% 0.4%,0.3(0)-0.6%,-0.3(-0.1)0.2%,0.11.50.04%0.4%0.51.5-1.80.81.18%1.330.64   24.84(-0.48%)24.75-24.96Correction 24.74(-0.4%)24.67-24.8260
10Aug_25_2020-6.7%-10.5% 0.4%,0.2(0.1)-0.4%,-0.2(-0.2)0.3%,0.21.80%0.6%0.81.8-10.81.33%1.654.96   24.96(0.28%)24.8-25.17Correction 24.82(-0.58%)24.7-24.9662
 
11Aug_24_2020-6.9%-10.2% 0.3%,0.2(-0)-0.1%,-0(-0.2)0.1%,0.1-00.12%0.9%0.72-1.10.81.09%1.750.95   24.89(2.39%)24.39-24.89Range Bound 24.83(-0.24%)24.76-24.8966
12Aug_21_2020-9.1%-10.9% 0.3%,0.2(-0.1)0.2%,0.1(-0.4)-0.7%,-0.4-1.20.04%1.1%-0.6-2.4-2.10.81.07%1.734.99   24.31(-0.21%)24.23-24.53Range Bound 24.35(0.16%)24.4-24.3157
13Aug_20_2020-8.9%-11.1% 0.6%,0.3(-0.1)0.9%,0.5(-0.3)-0.6%,-0.3-0.9-0.08%1.3%-0.4-3.1-20.80.98%1.545.55   24.36(-0.94%)24.29-24.5Uptrend Consolidation 24.42(0.23%)24.42-24.3960
14Aug_19_2020-8%-13.9% 0.8%,0.4(-0.1)1.4%,0.8(-0.2)-0.5%,-0.3-1.20.04%1.4%0.10.1-1.30.81.46%1.654.74   24.59(-0.04%)24.52-24.94Uptrend Consolidation 24.59(-0.01%)24.57-24.6565
15Aug_18_2020-8%-13.9% 0.9%,0.5(-0.2)1.7%,1(-0.2)-0.6%,-0.3-0.9-0.08%1.4%0.2-0.4-1.70.81.42%1.635.14   24.6(-0.65%)24.59-24.84Uptrend Consolidation 24.59(-0.06%)24.56-24.6753
 
16Aug_17_2020-7.4%-14.7% 1.2%,0.7(-0.1)2.1%,1.1(-0.1)-0.2%,-0.1-0.90%1.3%0.5-0.6-1.20.81.04%1.853.2   24.76(-1.67%)24.75-25.11Uptrend Consolidation 24.71(-0.19%)24.67-24.8563
17Aug_14_2020-5.8%-19.6% 1.4%,0.7(-0)2.2%,1.2(0.1)0.3%,0.1-1.2-0.12%1.2%1.5-0.30.40.81.6%1.827.56   25.18(0.4%)24.93-25.3Growing Uptrend 25.28(0.41%)25.04-25.3569
18Aug_13_2020-6.2%-21.4% 1.4%,0.8(-0.1)2%,1.1(0.2)0.6%,0.30.3-0.04%1%1.50.10.10.81.45%1.735.42   25.08(-0.63%)24.93-25.26Growing Uptrend 25.18(0.4%)24.94-25.2463
19Aug_12_2020-5.6%-22.2% 1.5%,0.9(0)1.6%,1(0.2)0.8%,0.52.70.2%0.8%2.10.30.50.71.72%1.558.78   25.24(-0.28%)25.06-25.77Overbought 24.88(-1.41%)24.56-25.3764
20Aug_11_2020-5.3%-22.5% 1.5%,1(0.1)1.3%,0.8(0.4)1.1%,0.73.3-0.27%0.6%2.60.71.90.71.22%1.374.12   25.31(1.16%)25.25-25.72Growing Uptrend 25.37(0.22%)25.11-25.4366
 
21Aug_10_2020-6.4%-21.1% 1.4%,1(0.1)0.6%,0.4(0.2)0.7%,0.52.10.04%0.5%2.41.90.30.61.36%1.645.35   25.02(0.72%)24.87-25.11Breakout 25.02(-0%)24.86-25.0962
22Aug_7_2020-7.1%-20.2% 1.2%,1(0.1)0.3%,0.2(0.2)0.7%,0.51.50.2%0.3%2.33.40.20.51.13%1.662.17   24.84(2.14%)24.15-24.86Breakout 24.83(-0.04%)24.7-24.8968
23Aug_6_2020-9.1%-17.7% 1.1%,0.7(0.1)0%,0(0)0.3%,0.20.90.16%0.3%0.6-0.5-1.40.70.87%1.633.08   24.32(-0.04%)24.15-24.42N/A 24.29(-0.14%)24.17-24.3858
24Aug_5_2020-9%-17.8% 1%,0.6(-0)-0.1%,-0(-0.1)-0.1%,-00.30.08%0.7%0.8-0.4-10.70.86%1.634.8   24.33(1.37%)24.13-24.39Correction 24.2(-0.54%)24.07-24.3553
25Aug_4_2020-10.2%-16.2% 1.1%,0.5(-0)0.1%,0(-0.1)0%,00.30%0.8%0.1-0.2-1.60.81.22%1.530.69   24(-0.41%)23.87-24.04Uptrend Consolidation 23.99(-0.06%)23.98-24.0247
iDateTo High-Lowema20
Trend
ema10
Trend
ema5
Trend
Hourly
Trend
Last
Hour
EMA
Ratio
BBVHourly
BBV
RVVSIVVIXCDVolume
millions
Close  5 Day
Target  
Trend
Narrative
  5 Day
Price Change  
SRIRSI
Click to see actual return for next trading day.
 
 
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