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     Tue. Oct. 20, 2020



Trading Signals: XLE Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Thu. Jan. 9, 2014 - Tue. Oct. 20, 2020)

(Energy Select Sector SPDR ETF)

XLE latest price $29.9000 (1.18%) ($29.5200 - $30.1550) on Tue. Oct. 20, 2020.

Trend and Trading Plan

Trend Narrative  N/A
Intraday Reversal Probability  N/A.
Daily Trend  XLE declines -0.3% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend  XLE advances 0.8% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior  Value stock rally for large cap. Value stock rally for small cap.
Correlated ETFs  Broad market will support XLE advance at 0.9% a week (90% probability)
  XOP(95%)    OIH(92%)    SDY(82%)    IWN(79%)    IVE(77%)  
Factors Impacting XLE price  XLE will advance at least 0.9% in a week (28% probabilities).
  VIXM(-32%)    VXX(-31%)    UUP(-29%)    TLT(-27%)    XLC(-11%)  
Explanation   The decline is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.
Trading Plan  Not Available
 
Valuation to SPY   -0.9
 
Relative Volatility   -2.6 (options are extremely cheap)
 
Hourly BBV   -0.9
Hourly Trend   -0.93% [$29.88(-0.35), $30.16(-0.21)]
Last Hour Trend   0.17% [$30, $29.95]


XLE Next 1 - 5 Day Price Forecast

Bullish Probability  83%
Bullish Price Move  2%
Bearish Probability  17%
Bearish Price Move  -2%
Recommended Position Size  33%
Latest Price  $29.9000
Next Day Open Price  $30(0.34%)
1 - 3 Day Target Price  $29.96(0.2%)
1 - 5 Day Price Range  $29.81 - $30.08
Resistance Level  $30.22
5 Day Moving Average  $30.21(-1.03%)
10 Day Moving Average  $30.44(-1.77%)
20 Day Moving Average  $30.22(-1.06%)
To recent high  -22.5%
To recent low  3%
Market Cap  $N/A
 
Option Sentiment  
 
 
One Year Target Price   $42.29 (41.43%)
 


  
 
 



$. Technical analysis works only if the market conditions in the future are not drastically different from the past. Always read market news to understand the causes of the price movement before making a trading decision. News

$. XLE price fluctuates within 2.05% (three month std-dev: 2.04%    one year average std_dev: 0%) daily (68% of days).
$. XLE price fluctuates within 0% weekly (one year average std_dev: %).

Analysis   News   Options   Weekly Chart   Daily Chart   Hourly Chart   15 Minute Chart

iDateTo High-Lowema20
Trend
ema10
Trend
ema5
Trend
Hourly
Trend
Last
Hour
EMA
Ratio
BBVHourly
BBV
RVVSIVVIXCDVolume
millions
CloseActualPriceRangeTrend-Narrative  NextDay
PriceTarget  
NextDayPriceRangeRSI
1Oct_20_2020-22.5%-3% -2.1%,-1(0)0.8%,0.4(-0.1)-0.3%,-0.2-1.50.17%0.7%-0.5-0.9-0.91NAN%0.222.99   29.9(1.18%)29.52-30.16N/A 29.96(0.2%)29.81-30.0851
2Oct_19_2020-23.4%-1.8-2.2%,-0.9(-0)0.9%,0.4(-0.1)-0.9%,-0.4-0.6-0.47%0.4%-1.1-1.5-1.11.12.1%1.225.09   29.55(-2.12%)29.52-30.45N/A 29.73(0.62%)29.45-29.9748
3Oct_16_2020-21.7%-4% -2.1%,-0.7(-0.1)1.2%,0.4(0)-0.4%,-0.1-0.3-0.26%0.3%-0.2-2.4-11.62.04%0.918.67   30.19(-2.27%)30.14-30.87N/A 30.2(0.02%)30.12-30.2645
4Oct_15_2020-19.9%-6.4% -1.8%,-0.5(-0.1)1.2%,0.3(0)-0.3%,-0.1-0.30.23%-0.4%0.31-0.71.91.75%0.720.35   30.89(1.21%)29.73-30.9N/A 30.77(-0.4%)30.62-30.8955
5Oct_14_2020-20.9%-5.1% -1.6%,-0.4(0)1%,0.2(0)0.2%,0.1-0.3-0.46%-1.5%-0.10.9-12.22.08%0.926.19   30.52(0.43%)30.4-31.23N/A 30.58(0.19%)30.52-30.6253
 
6Oct_13_2020-21.2%-4.7% -1.7%,-0.4(0.1)0.8%,0.2(0.2)0.4%,0.1-0.3-0.2%-2.1%-0.3-1.4-1.22.21.88%0.925.28   30.39(-1.55%)30.3-31.05Rebound 30.68(0.97%)30.39-30.8152
7Oct_12_2020-20%-6.3% -1.9%,-0.4(0.1)0.1%,0(0.1)0.5%,0.10.60.23%-2.6%-0.11.1-1.12.31.93%1.316.57   30.87(0.26%)30.37-30.98Rebound 30.93(0.19%)30.72-31.0244
8Oct_9_2020-20.2%-6.1% -2.3%,-0.5(0.1)-0.5%,-0.1(0.3)1%,0.20.9-0.16%-2.9%-0.21.2-1.12.31.74%1.125.41   30.79(-1.6%)30.74-31.65Rebound 30.93(0.46%)30.57-31.0941
9Oct_8_2020-18.9%-7.8% -2.9%,-0.6(0.2)-2%,-0.4(0.4)1.5%,0.30.30.45%-3.4%0.11.6-0.72.21.61%1.130.42   31.29(3.75%)30.27-31.31Rebound 31.13(-0.52%)30.75-31.2935
10Oct_7_2020-21.8%-3.9% -3.7%,-0.7(0.1)-4%,-0.8(0.2)0.2%,00.60.43%-4%-0.60.4-1.22.42.11%0.721.03   30.16(1.41%)29.57-30.24Downtrend Consolidation 29.71(-1.49%)30.55-29.4326
 
11Oct_6_2020-22.9%-2.4% -3.9%,-0.7(0)-5.1%,-1(0)-0.2%,-00.9-0.73%-4.5%-10.3-1.22.52.48%0.331.07   29.74(-1.49%)29.66-30.8Downtrend 28.84(-3.02%)28.32-30.0523
12Oct_5_2020-21.7%-4% -4.2%,-0.8(0)-5.4%,-1(0)-0.5%,-0.1-0.30.27%-4.6%-0.80.1-1.32.42.23%0.531.56   30.19(3%)29.5-30.21Downtrend 29.21(-3.24%)28.69-30.4337
13Oct_2_2020-24%-1-4.3%,-0.8(-0)-5.5%,-1(-0.1)-0.6%,-0.1-0.9-0.03%-4.7%-1.4-1.4-1.82.61.99%0.728.69   29.31(0.96%)28.2-29.56Relative Oversold 29.01(-1.03%)27.01-30.6430
14Oct_1_2020-24.8%-0-4.3%,-0.8(-0)-5%,-0.9(-0.1)-0.8%,-0.1-0.9-0.21%-4.3%-1.7-1.9-2.42.62.23%0.928.36   29.03(-3.07%)28.85-29.75Bottom 29.37(1.16%)28.31-30.0730
15Sep_30_2020-22.4%-0-4.1%,-0.8(0)-4.3%,-0.8(-0)-0.2%,-0-0.3-0.6%-3.7%-1.4-0.8-22.51.98%0.824.56   29.95(-0.3%)29.81-30.58Downtrend 29.19(-2.55%)28.67-30.3934
 
16Sep_29_2020-22.1%-0-4.2%,-0.8(-0)-4.2%,-0.8(-0)-1.1%,-0.20.60.3%-3.3%-1.5-0.9-2.12.52.35%0.923.8   30.04(-2.75%)29.74-30.87Downtrend 29.23(-2.69%)28.68-30.5228
17Sep_28_2020-19.9%-2.4% -4.2%,-0.8(-0)-4%,-0.8(0)-0.7%,-0.1-0-0.06%-3.3%-1.20.1-1.72.52.01%0.926.22   30.89(2.35%)30.69-31.23Relative Oversold 30.62(-0.89%)28.94-31.9833
18Sep_25_2020-21.8%-0-4%,-0.7(-0.1)-4.2%,-0.8(-0.1)-2.2%,-0.4-1.20.33%-3.5%-1.7-1.1-2.12.52.24%1.127.21   30.18(-0.07%)29.7-30.41Downtrend 29.36(-2.71%)28.78-30.7123
19Sep_24_2020-21.7%-0-3.5%,-0.7(-0.1)-3.7%,-0.7(-0.1)-2.3%,-0.4-1.2-0.33%-3.6%-1.9-1.5-1.92.42.58%1.234.89   30.2(-0.03%)29.54-30.75Downtrend 29.49(-2.35%)28.95-30.7523
20Sep_23_2020-23.1%-0-3.1%,-0.7(-0.1)-3.3%,-0.7(-0.2)-2.3%,-0.5-1.2-0.92%-3.6%-2.2-2.3-22.12.85%1.326.44   30.21(-4.52%)30.17-31.88Growing Downtrend 29.77(-1.44%)29.28-30.8222
 
21Sep_22_2020-19.5%-0-2.6%,-0.6(-0)-2.5%,-0.6(0.1)-0.6%,-0.1-1.80.13%-3.4%-1.7-1.1-1.621.48%1.622.33   31.64(-1.03%)31.58-32.5Downtrend 31.3(-1.08%)30.96-32.0825
22Sep_21_2020-18.6%-0-2.6%,-0.6(0)-2.8%,-0.6(0)-0.5%,-0.1-0.60%-3.5%-1.7-1.5-1.11.91.99%1.630.7   31.97(-4.88%)31.43-32.34Downtrend 31.63(-1.07%)31.29-32.4125
23Sep_18_2020-16.4%-3.1% -2.8%,-0.7(0.1)-2.9%,-0.7(0.1)0.6%,0.20.6-0.03%-3.3%-0.71.5-0.21.90.9%2.126.28   33.61(-1.12%)33.27-34Downtrend Consolidation 33.37(-0.7%)34.01-33.1627
24Sep_17_2020-15.4%-4.3% -3.1%,-0.8(0.1)-3.5%,-0.9(0.2)0.9%,0.20.60.03%-3.3%-0.51.7-0.41.91.28%2.122.52   33.99(0.15%)33.07-34.02Downtrend Consolidation 33.65(-1.01%)34.26-33.4436
25Sep_16_2020-17.4%-4.1% -3.5%,-0.8(0)-4.1%,-1(0.1)0.1%,00.60.15%-3.4%-0.61.5-0.621.3%1.435.88   33.94(4.01%)32.64-34.38Downtrend 33.29(-1.91%)32.94-34.1236
iDateTo High-Lowema20
Trend
ema10
Trend
ema5
Trend
Hourly
Trend
Last
Hour
EMA
Ratio
BBVHourly
BBV
RVVSIVVIXCDVolume
millions
Close  5 Day
Target  
Trend
Narrative
  5 Day
Price Change  
SRIRSI
 
 
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