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     Mon. Aug. 3, 2020



Trading Signals: XLE Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Thu. Jan. 9, 2014 - Wed. Oct. 28, 2020)

(Energy Select Sector SPDR ETF)

XLE latest price $36.1600 (0.36%) ($35.7200 - $36.3600) on Mon. Aug. 3, 2020.

Trend and Trading Plan

Trend Narrative  Range Bound
Intraday Reversal Probability  N/A.
Daily Trend  XLE declines -0.7% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend  XLE declines -0.4% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior  Growth stock rally for large cap. Broad based rally for small cap.
Correlated ETFs  Broad market will support XLE advance at 0.6% a week (93% probability)
  XOP(95%)    OIH(93%)    SDY(89%)    IVE(88%)    IWD(88%)  
Factors Impacting XLE price  XLE will advance at least 0.3% in a week (49% probabilities).
  VIXM(-60%)    VXX(-59%)    TLT(-48%)    UUP(-31%)    SHY(-20%)  
Explanation   The decline is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.
Trading Plan  Range Trading
 
Valuation to SPY   -1.7
 
Relative Volatility   -0.9 (options are cheap)
 
Hourly BBV   -0.9
Hourly Trend   -1.32% [$35.92(-0.2), $36.4(-0.28)]
Last Hour Trend   0.08% [$36.26, $36.23]


XLE Next 1 - 5 Day Price Forecast

Bullish Probability  50%
Bullish Price Move  3.1%
Bearish Probability  50%
Bearish Price Move  -3.1%
Recommended Position Size  0%
Latest Price  $36.1600
Next Day Open Price  $36.22(0.16%)
1 - 3 Day Target Price  $36.21(0.15%)
1 - 5 Day Price Range  $36.39 - $36.07
Resistance Level  $36.7
5 Day Moving Average  $36.6(-1.2%)
10 Day Moving Average  $37.14(-2.64%)
20 Day Moving Average  $36.7(-1.47%)
To recent high  -22.8%
To recent low  5%
Market Cap  $N/A
 
Option Sentiment  
 
 
One Year Target Price   $44.09 (21.94%)
 


  
 
 



$. Technical analysis works only if the market conditions in the future are not drastically different from the past. Always read market news to understand the causes of the price movement before making a trading decision. News

$. XLE price fluctuates within 2.56% (three month std-dev: 3.13%    one year average std_dev: 0%) daily (68% of days).
$. XLE price fluctuates within 0% weekly (one year average std_dev: %).

Analysis   News   Options   Weekly Chart   Daily Chart   2 Month Daily Chart   

  >  20200903

iDateTo High-Lowema20
Trend
ema10
Trend
ema5
Trend
Hourly
Trend
Last
Hour
EMA
Ratio
BBVHourly
BBV
RVVSIVVIXCDVolume
millions
CloseActualPriceRangeTrend-Narrative  NextDay
PriceTarget  
NextDayPriceRangeRSI
1Aug_3_2020-22.8%-5% -0.5%,-0.2(-0.1)-0.4%,-0.2(-0.2)-0.7%,-0.3-1.50.08%1.2%-0.6-0.9-1.70.82.07%1.621.1   36.16(0.36%)35.72-36.36Range Bound 36.21(0.15%)36.39-36.0750
2Jul_31_2020-23.1%-4.6% -0.2%,-0.1(-0.1)0.2%,0.1(-0.3)-0.8%,-0.3-1.80.2%1%-0.8-1.2-1.70.82.01%1.724.67   36.03(-0.47%)35.3-36.07Range Bound 36.16(0.35%)36.31-36.0357
3Jul_30_2020-22.7%-5.1% 0%,0(-0.1)0.9%,0.4(-0.5)-0.8%,-0.3-0.60.11%1.1%-0.7-2.4-1.30.82.13%1.732.75   36.2(-3.93%)35.88-36.91Downtrend Reversal 35.91(-0.79%)35.83-36.2557
4Jul_29_2020-19.6%-9.4% 0.2%,0.1(0.1)2.1%,0.8(-0.2)-0.1%,-0-0.60.32%1.3%0.92.300.82.04%1.917.19   37.68(2.09%)36.76-37.71Uptrend Consolidation 37.45(-0.6%)37.35-37.7870
5Jul_28_2020-21.2%-7.2% 0.1%,0(0)2.5%,1(-0.2)-0.7%,-0.3-0.6-0.03%1.2%0-1.8-0.30.81.83%1.817.77   36.91(-1.7%)36.81-37.69Uptrend Consolidation 36.93(0.06%)36.91-3754
 
6Jul_27_2020-19.9%-9% 0%,0(0.2)3%,1.2(0.4)0.8%,0.3-0.30.05%1.2%0.71.40.10.82.15%1.818.22   37.55(0.11%)36.99-37.72N/A 37.59(0.1%)37.19-37.9157
7Jul_24_2020-20%-8.9% -0.6%,-0.2(0.2)2.1%,0.8(0.3)0.4%,0.200%0.7%0.71.500.82.04%1.519.95   37.51(-0.56%)37.37-38.28Uptrend Reversal 37.81(0.81%)37.56-37.9850
8Jul_23_2020-19.5%-9.5% -1%,-0.4(0.2)1.5%,0.6(0.3)0.3%,0.11.2-0.21%0.2%0.91.8-0.10.82.44%1.421.04   37.72(-0.19%)37.24-37.91Uptrend Reversal 38.03(0.83%)37.77-38.2151
9Jul_22_2020-19.4%-12.9% -1.4%,-0.6(0.1)0.7%,0.3(0.2)0.2%,0.11.50.11%-0.5%1.12.1-0.50.81.92%1.719.8   37.79(-1.23%)37.24-37.85Uptrend Reversal 38.1(0.81%)37.84-38.2754
10Jul_21_2020-18.4%-18.4% -1.7%,-0.6(0.1)0.2%,0.1(0.2)0.9%,0.3-0.30%-1.1%1.32.700.92.03%1.736.35   38.26(6.04%)36.65-38.55Rebound 37.47(-2.06%)38.2-37.1650
 
11Jul_20_2020-23%-11.7% -2%,-0.7(0)-0.5%,-0.2(0)0.4%,0.1-0.6-0.28%-1.8%-0.7-1-1.40.92.26%2.120.07   36.08(-1.66%)36.05-36.98Downtrend 36.05(-0.08%)35.97-36.2546
12Jul_17_2020-21.7%-13.6% -2.2%,-0.6(0)-0.5%,-0.2(0.1)0.6%,0.20.6-0.14%-1.9%-0.30.8-0.911.94%217.71   36.69(-1.4%)36.53-37.74Rebound 36.91(0.61%)36.57-37.0652
13Jul_16_2020-20.6%-21.2% -2.2%,-0.6(0.2)-1%,-0.3(0.2)1.5%,0.41.5-0.3%-2.2%01-0.61.12.74%1.818.82   37.21(-0.45%)36.66-37.69Rebound 37.17(-0.11%)37.07-37.2147
14Jul_15_2020-20.2%-21.8% -3%,-0.7(0.2)-1.9%,-0.5(0.2)0.7%,0.21.20.03%-2.6%01.4-0.61.12.35%1.826.08   37.38(2.16%)36.83-37.62Rebound 37.26(-0.31%)37-37.3851
15Jul_14_2020-21.9%-19.2% -3.6%,-0.8(0.2)-2.6%,-0.6(0.1)0.2%,00.60.33%-3%-0.51.7-0.81.32.71%1.334.18   36.59(3.51%)35.01-36.66Rebound 36.91(0.87%)36.09-37.2639
 
16Jul_13_2020-24.6%-15.2% -4.4%,-0.9(0.1)-3.3%,-0.7(0)-1.2%,-0.2-0.60.03%-3.3%-1.3-1.1-1.21.32.39%137.22   35.35(-0.53%)35.08-36.01Downtrend 34.95(-1.13%)34.6-35.7733
17Jul_10_2020-24.2%-15.8% -4.7%,-1(0)-3.4%,-0.7(0)-1%,-0.2-1.20.26%-3.6%-1.3-0.1-1.31.32.47%1.325.39   35.54(3.19%)34.24-35.57Downtrend 35.15(-1.1%)34.8-35.9533
18Jul_9_2020-26.5%-12.2% -4.8%,-1.1(-0.1)-3.5%,-0.8(-0)-1.4%,-0.3-1.2-0.17%-3.4%-2.2-2.6-1.61.22.34%130.54   34.44(-4.94%)34.4-36.17Downtrend 34.11(-0.97%)33.69-35.0825
19Jul_8_2020-22.7%-18.1% -4.4%,-1(-0.2)-3.5%,-0.8(0)-0.9%,-0.2-0.90.08%-3.7%-1.3-1.9-0.91.32.65%1.120.55   36.23(-0.08%)35.93-36.82Downtrend 35.84(-1.09%)35.49-36.6433
20Jul_7_2020-22.6%-18.1% -3.7%,-0.7(-0.2)-3.5%,-0.6(0)-0.4%,-0.1-0.3-0.41%-4%-1.2-3.2-0.81.52.23%120.9   36.26(-3.18%)36.2-37.03Downtrend 35.83(-1.19%)35.45-36.7228
 
21Jul_6_2020-20.1%-22% -2.8%,-0.4(-0.1)-3.5%,-0.5(0.1)0.5%,0.10-0.03%-4.5%-0.7-0.9-0.51.92.4%1.122.54   37.45(0.29%)36.98-38.27Downtrend 36.94(-1.36%)36.56-37.8339
22Jul_2_2020-20.3%-25.2% -2.3%,-0.3(-0.1)-3.8%,-0.5(-0.1)-0.2%,-00.3-0.03%-4.8%-0.9-0.5-0.41.91.87%1.220.78   37.34(1.11%)37.26-38.21Downtrend 36.83(-1.37%)36.41-37.839
23Jul_1_2020-21.2%-33.7% -1.9%,-0.3(-0)-3.5%,-0.5(0.1)-0.1%,-00.3-0.05%-4.7%-1.1-0.4-0.51.82.17%0.924.55   36.93(-2.43%)36.88-38.51Downtrend 36.56(-0.99%)36.16-37.5144
24Jun_30_2020-19.2%-37% -1.7%,-0.3(-0)-4.2%,-0.6(0.1)-0.8%,-0.1-00.64%-4.6%-0.90.5-0.11.72.14%0.420.93   37.85(2.3%)36.32-38.07Downtrend 37.37(-1.28%)36.97-38.2933
25Jun_29_2020-21%-34% -1.4%,-0.2(-0.1)-4.7%,-0.7(0.1)-1.2%,-0.2-0.3-0.35%-4.2%-1.3-0.8-0.31.72.72%0.419.44   37(1.34%)36.44-37.32Downtrend Consolidation 36.82(-0.49%)38.21-36.3625
iDateTo High-Lowema20
Trend
ema10
Trend
ema5
Trend
Hourly
Trend
Last
Hour
EMA
Ratio
BBVHourly
BBV
RVVSIVVIXCDVolume
millions
Close  5 Day
Target  
Trend
Narrative
  5 Day
Price Change  
SRIRSI
Click to see actual return for next trading day.
 
 
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