Trading Signals: XBI Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ XBI: Intraday Forecast Similar Waves Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Thu. Feb. 25, 2021

Trading Signals: XBI Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Dec. 20, 2013 - Thu. Feb. 25, 2021)

(SPDR SP Biotech ETF)
XBI latest price $146.8800 (-4.06%) ($146.1800 - $154.8000) on Thu. Feb. 25, 2021.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Trend Pattern   Growing Downtrend
Trend Narrative   Downtrend
Average Daily Price Swing   $7.01 (4.38% one month average)
Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.99% (three month average)
Weekly Trend Force   -1% (StdDev 1.99%)
Daily Moving Force   -0.6%
Rebound Strength   None(0%)
Trend   -0.7%
Trend Strength   -2%
RSI   36
Momentum   2.2
Latest Price   $146.8800(-4.06%)
Forecasted Low Price   145.41(-1%)
Forecasted High Price   148.2(0.9%)
Direction of Next Movement   Range(-0.6%)
% Change Needed to Confirm Rebound   6.6% ((156.64))
% Change Needed for Trend Reversal   7.8%
Hourly Trend 0.1% [$151.18(0.12), $152.24(-2.18)]
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Complacency   0
Intraday Reversal Probability   There's a high probability the price will reverse sharply to upside intraday or next day..
Daily Trend   XBI declines -1.3% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   XBI declines -4.9% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Broad based sell-off for large cap. Broad based sell-off for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support XBI decline at-0.3% a week (87% probability)
IBB(87%)    IWO(85%)    IWM(82%)    VFMO(79%)    ARKG(78%)
Factors Impacting XBI price   XBI will decline at least -0.7% in a week (33% probabilities).
VXX(-48%)    VIXM(-32%)    TBT(-27%)    CNCR(-14%)    XRT(-10%)
Explanation The decline is sustainable and supported by the broad market.
Trading Plan   Not Available

Valuation to SPY -1.9

Relative Volatility 1.1 (options are expensive)

Market Trend Strength   -2% (StdDev 1.99%)
Hourly BBV -3.4 ()
Intraday Trend -4%

Next Day Open Price   $146.35(-0.36%)
Inflection Point   Yes
Resistance Level   $160.02
5 Day Moving Average   $152.83(-3.89%)
10 Day Moving Average   $156.83(-6.34%)
20 Day Moving Average   $160.02(-8.21%)
To recent high   -15.6%
To recent low   15.8%
Market Cap   $N/A

Option Sentiment

$. Technical analysis works only if the market conditions in the future are not drastically different from the past. Always read market news to understand the causes of the price movement before making a trading decision. News

$. XBI price fluctuates within 4.38% (three month std-dev: 1.99% one year average std_dev: 0%) daily (68% of days).
$. XBI price fluctuates within 0% weekly (one year average std_dev: %).

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart Hourly Chart 15 Minute Chart

i	Date	ema20(Trend)	ema10(Trend)	ema5(Trend)	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	ActualPriceRange	BBV	Hourly BBV	Daily Moving Force	Weekly Trend Force	Reversal Force	Trend	Trend Strength	RSI	Momentum	Trend Pattern	Next Direction	C	RV	VIXCD	Trend-Narrative	NextDay PriceTarget	NextDayPriceRange	Volume millions	To High-Low
1	Feb_25_2021	160.02 (-0%)	156.83 (-1%)	152.83 (-1.3%)	152.24	151.18(0%)	146.88(-4.06%)	146.18-154.8	-1.3(-1.9)	-3.4	-0.6%	-1%	0%	-0.7%	-2%	36	2.2	Growing Downtrend	Range(0.4%)	0	-1.9	0.5	Downtrend	144.31(-1.75%)	142.38-148.81	7.82	-15.6%-15.8%
2	Feb_24_2021	160.41 (-0%)	158.96 (-0.8%)	154.77 (-1%)	154.42	151.06(0%)	153.1(1.51%)	149.83-154.81	-1(-1.1)	-0.9	-1.2%	-0.8%	0%	-0.56%	-0.9%	43	2.1	Downtrend Pop	Lower(-2%)	1	-1.6	1.1	Relative Oversold	152.58(-0.34%)	147.92-156.4	6.81	-12%-21.5%
3	Feb_23_2021	160.54 (0%)	160.76 (-0.6%)	156.29 (-1.2%)	155.76	153.3(0%)	150.83(-2.24%)	144.59-152.97	-0.8(-1.5)	-1.5	-2.2%	-1.1%	0%	-0.42%	0.1%	38	2.1	Growing Downtrend	Lower(-2.2%)	2	-1.9	1.5	Correction	143.42(-4.91%)	142.25-148.07	12.52	-13.3%-19.6%
4	Feb_22_2021	160.54 (0.2%)	163.08 (-0.4%)	158.16 (-1.3%)	158.12	157.78(0%)	154.29(-3%)	153.98-159.35	-0.5(-1.1)	-3.5	-0.7%	-0.6%	0%	-0.2%	1.3%	47	2	Growing Downtrend	Range(0.2%)	3	-1.3	1.7	Correction	149.24(-3.27%)	148.36-152.81	5.96	-11.3%-22.4%
5	Feb_19_2021	160.93 (0.2%)	164.4 (-0%)	160.16 (-0.8%)	159.62	158.23(0%)	159.07(1.62%)	157.42-161.5	-0.1(-0.3)	-1.3	-0.5%	-0.1%	0%	0.02%	2.2%	60	2.1	Downtrend Reversal	Range(-0.6%)	4	-0.5	1.9	Correction	156.59(-1.56%)	155.96-159.07	5.54	-8.6%-27.2%

6	Feb_18_2021	160.58 (0.2%)	164.86 (0.2%)	161.51 (-1.4%)	161.09	158.46(0%)	156.54(-2.6%)	155.31-159.15	0.1(-0.6)	-2.8	-1.5%	-0.2%	0%	0.2%	2.7%	60	2.3	Downtrend Reversal	Range(-0.4%)	5	-1.1	1.9	Uptrend Consolidation	157.67(0.72%)	157.84-157.19	6.68	-10%-25.9%
7	Feb_17_2021	160.51 (0.4%)	165.46 (0.4%)	163.81 (-1.3%)	163.53	161.02(0%)	160.72(0.35%)	156.5-161.03	0.5(0)	-1.4	-1.6%	-0.1%	0%	0.42%	3.1%	64	2.3	Downtrend Reversal	Lower(-1.7%)	6	-0.5	2.1	Uptrend Consolidation	160.67(-0.03%)	160.05-162.52	6.92	-7.6%-29.3%
8	Feb_16_2021	160.21 (0.6%)	165.8 (0.6%)	165.98 (-1.6%)	166.25	163.71(0%)	160.16(-2.53%)	159.41-165.49	0.8(-0)	-2.9	-1.5%	0%	0%	0.64%	3.5%	59	2.4	Downtrend Reversal	Range(-0.2%)	7	-0.6	2	Uptrend Consolidation	160.59(0.27%)	159.82-162.9	6.54	-7.9%-28.8%
9	Feb_12_2021	159.83 (0.6%)	165.87 (1%)	168.75 (-0.3%)	168.84	166.04(0%)	164.32(-0.91%)	163.19-166.38	1.4(0.6)	-2	-1.2%	0.5%	0%	0.84%	3.8%	60	2.5	Correction	Range(-0.2%)	8	0.3	2.1	Uptrend	168.69(2.66%)	163.59-170.87	4.41	-5.6%-32.8%
10	Feb_11_2021	159.29 (0.6%)	164.87 (1%)	169.24 (0.4%)	170.38	168.79(0%)	165.83(-1.3%)	164.04-169.61	1.7(0.9)	-0.9	-0.7%	0.7%	0%	0.9%	3.5%	66	2.6	Uptrend Correction	Range(0.7%)	8	0.8	2.2	Uptrend	170.94(3.08%)	164.72-173.6	4.48	-4.7%-34.1%

11	Feb_10_2021	158.44 (0.6%)	163.56 (1%)	168.63 (0.8%)	169.89	171.64(0%)	168.01(-2.09%)	165.52-174.49	2(1.3)	0.2	0.4%	0.8%	-0.9%	0.92%	3.2%	70	2.6	Uptrend Dip	Lower(-1.3%)	8	1.2	2.2	Uptrend Dip	180.33(7.33%)	164.93-184.18	4.93	-3.4%-37.8%
12	Feb_9_2021	157.5 (0.8%)	162.04 (1%)	167.24 (1%)	167.89	171.98(0%)	171.59(-1.38%)	171.33-174.79	2.1(2)	1.6	1.8%	1%	-1.7%	0.84%	2.9%	68	2.6	Growing Uptrend	Lower(-2.5%)	8	1.9	2	Uptrend Dip	183.53(6.96%)	166.16-187.88	3.63	-1.4%-42.6%
13	Feb_8_2021	156.28 (0.8%)	160.27 (0.8%)	165.58 (1.8%)	165.2	168.13(0%)	173.99(4.32%)	167.31-174.06	2.2(2.7)	2.6	2.1%	1%	-2.3%	0.78%	2.5%	71	2.5	Overbought	Lower(-3.6%)	8	2.5	1.8	Overbought	168.6(-3.1%)	160.13-181.28	5.06	0%-44.5%
14	Feb_5_2021	154.99 (0.6%)	158.44 (0.6%)	162.71 (1.7%)	162.88	163.79(0%)	166.78(2.46%)	162.77-167.51	2(2.3)	3.8	1.2%	0.8%	-0.6%	0.68%	2.2%	69	2	Breakout	Range(-0.5%)	7	1.9	1.7	Growing Uptrend	170.4(2.17%)	164.68-171.83	4.84	0%-39.1%
15	Feb_4_2021	154.07 (0.6%)	156.97 (0.4%)	159.93 (1.4%)	161.01	162.27(0%)	162.77(1.06%)	160.59-163.88	1.7(1.9)	4.5	0.8%	0.7%	0%	0.52%	1.9%	62	1.8	Growing Uptrend	Higher(1.5%)	6	1.5	1.5	Growing Uptrend	165.34(1.58%)	161.21-166.37	2.49	-0.3%-35.8%

16	Feb_3_2021	153.1 (0.6%)	155.76 (0.4%)	157.7 (1.1%)	158.8	161.96(0%)	161.07(-1.37%)	160.56-164.51	1.5(1.7)	1.8	1.3%	0.5%	0%	0.42%	1.7%	67	1.7	Growing Uptrend	Higher(2.5%)	6	1.6	1.7	Growing Uptrend	162.91(1.14%)	159.62-163.73	5.31	-1.4%-39.1%
17	Feb_2_2021	152.09 (0.4%)	155.01 (0.2%)	155.94 (1.2%)	156.45	159.76(0%)	163.31(2.31%)	158.15-163.5	1.3(2.3)	2.1	1.9%	0.7%	0%	0.34%	1.9%	68	1.8	Breakout	Higher(2.6%)	6	2.3	1.4	Uptrend	164.34(0.63%)	161.19-165.7	8.51	0%-44.8%
18	Feb_1_2021	150.96 (0.4%)	154.01 (0.2%)	154.16 (0.3%)	154.3	155.64(0%)	159.62(4.41%)	154.77-160.07	1(1.8)	2	0.9%	0.6%	0%	0.26%	2%	67	1.8	Growing Uptrend	Higher(1.5%)	6	2.4	1.1	Uptrend	160.35(0.46%)	157.99-161.37	7.26	0%-41.6%
19	Jan_29_2021	150.02 (0.2%)	153.17 (0.2%)	153.66 (0%)	153.92	153.14(0%)	152.88(0.82%)	150.27-157.04	0.8(0.7)	-0.5	%	0.1%	0%	0.24%	2.1%	57	1.7	Uptrend Consolidation	Range(0.1%)	6	1.7	0.2	The Top	153.23(0.23%)	151.2-154.89	5.69	-2.7%-35.6%
20	Jan_28_2021	149.59 (0.2%)	153.23 (0.2%)	153.6 (0.1%)	154.25	152.97(0%)	151.64(-0.41%)	150.6-155.7	0.9(0.4)	-0.7	-0.5%	0.2%	0%	0.26%	2.4%	56	1.8	Uptrend Consolidation	Range(-0.1%)	7	0.8	0.6	Uptrend	152.55(0.6%)	151.27-153.11	5.28	-3.5%-34.5%

21	Jan_27_2021	149.14 (0.2%)	152.98 (0.4%)	153.42 (-0.3%)	153.83	154.7(0%)	152.26(-1.37%)	148.88-159.03	1(0.6)	-1.2	-0.3%	0.2%	0%	0.3%	2.6%	66	1.9	Uptrend Consolidation Correction	Range(0.6%)	8	1.3	0.9	Uptrend Consolidation	151.56(-0.46%)	151-153.27	8.65	-3.1%-35%
22	Jan_26_2021	148.84 (0.2%)	152.74 (0.6%)	153.8 (0%)	153.74	155.52(0%)	154.38(-1.76%)	153.71-158.85	1.1(1.1)	0.1	0.9%	0.3%	0%	0.4%	2.6%	73	1.9	Uptrend Dip	Higher(2.1%)	8	1	1.5	After Top	154.7(0.21%)	151.19-157.57	5.53	-1.8%-36.9%
23	Jan_25_2021	148.58 (0.2%)	152.13 (0.6%)	153.77 (0.7%)	153.4	152.97(0%)	157.14(3%)	151.39-157.14	1.2(1.7)	2.1	0.5%	0.4%	0%	0.48%	2.4%	76	1.9	Growing Uptrend	Higher(0.9%)	8	1.7	2.2	Uptrend	158.7(0.99%)	155.56-160.03	5.19	0%-39.4%
24	Jan_22_2021	148.22 (0.2%)	151.33 (0.6%)	152.68 (-0.1%)	153.21	151.96(0%)	152.56(1.18%)	148.81-153.3	1.1(0.9)	0.1	-0.7%	0.2%	0%	0.5%	2.1%	73	1.8	Correction	Range(-0.5%)	9	0.4	2.1	Uptrend	154.15(1.04%)	151.73-155.18	5.29	-1.1%-35.3%
25	Jan_21_2021	148.11 (0.2%)	151 (0.8%)	152.86 (0.3%)	153.62	153.83(0%)	150.78(-2.17%)	150.03-155.23	1.2(0.6)	-1.4	-0.1%	0.3%	0%	0.58%	2%	62	1.7	Uptrend Consolidation	Higher(1.3%)	10	-0.2	2.4	Uptrend Dip	155.38(3.05%)	149.86-156.76	3.79	-2.2%-33.7%
i	Date	ema20(Trend)	ema10(Trend)	ema5(Trend)	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	ActualPriceRange	BBV	Hourly BBV	Daily Moving Force	Weekly Trend Force	Reversal Force	Trend	Trend Strength	RSI	Momentum	Trend Pattern	Next Direction	C	RV	VIXCD	Trend-Narrative	NextDay PriceTarget	NextDayPriceRange	Volume millions	To High-Low