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     Fri. Sep. 18, 2020



Trading Signals: XBI Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Dec. 20, 2013 - Fri. Sep. 18, 2020)

(SPDR SP Biotech ETF)

XBI latest price $116.2400 (1.1%) ($113.1600 - $116.3300) on Fri. Sep. 18, 2020.

Trend and Trading Plan

Trend Narrative  Growing Uptrend
Intraday Reversal Probability  N/A.
Daily Trend  XBI advances 2.1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend  XBI advances 2.6% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior  Broad based sell-off for large cap. Value stock sell-off for small cap.
Correlated ETFs  Broad market will support XBI advance at 0.6% a week (85% probability)
  IBB(92%)    ARKG(86%)    IWO(72%)    ACES(63%)    ICLN(61%)  
Factors Impacting XBI price  XBI will decline at least -0.4% in a week (33% probabilities).
  VXX(-42%)    VIXM(-33%)    BJK(-32%)    UUP(-29%)    TLT(-14%)  
Explanation   The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.
Trading Plan  Not Available
 
Valuation to SPY   2.4
 
Relative Volatility   2.1 (options are extremely expensive)
 
Hourly Trend   0.52% [$114.89(0.38), $114.3(1.35)]
Last Hour Trend   0.49% [$115.37, $114.8]


XBI Next 1 - 5 Day Price Forecast

Bullish Probability  77%
Bullish Price Move  2%
Bearish Probability  23%
Bearish Price Move  -2%
Recommended Position Size  27%
Latest Price  $116.2400
Next Day Open Price  $117.38(0.98%)
1 - 3 Day Target Price  $117.34(0.95%)
1 - 5 Day Possible Target  $119.16(2.51%)
1 - 5 Day Price Range  $114.91 - $117.95
Inflection Point  Yes
Support Level  $109.53
5 Day Moving Average  $114.14(1.84%)
10 Day Moving Average  $109.78(5.88%)
20 Day Moving Average  $109.53(6.13%)
To recent high  -3.4%
To recent low  11.9%
Market Cap  $N/A
 
Option Sentiment  
 
 
 


  
 
 



$. Technical analysis works only if the market conditions in the future are not drastically different from the past. Always read market news to understand the causes of the price movement before making a trading decision. News

$. XBI price fluctuates within 3.28% (three month std-dev: 2.03%    one year average std_dev: 0%) daily (68% of days).
$. XBI price fluctuates within 0% weekly (one year average std_dev: %).

Analysis   News   Options   Weekly Chart   Daily Chart   Hourly Chart   15 Minute Chart

iDateTo High-Lowema20
Trend
ema10
Trend
ema5
Trend
Hourly
Trend
Last
Hour
EMA
Ratio
BBVRVRVT(RV,IV)VIXCDVolume
millions
CloseActualPriceRangeTrend-Narrative  NextDay
PriceTarget  
NextDayPriceRangeRSI
1Sep_18_2020-3.4%-11.9% 0.6%,0.2(0.2)2.6%,0.8(0.4)2.1%,0.60.60.49%0.2%1.92.42.1(3.28%,NAN%)2.15.95   116.24(1.1%)113.16-116.33Growing Uptrend 117.34(0.95%)114.91-117.9561
2Sep_17_2020-4.5%-10.7% 0%,0(0.1)1.3%,0.4(0.3)1.9%,0.61.50.15%-0.5%1.71.81.9(3.05%,1.87%)2.13.65   114.98(-0.16%)113.29-115.81Relative Overbought 114.16(-0.71%)111.56-116.2961
3Sep_16_2020-4.3%-10.9% -0.4%,-0.1(0.1)0.4%,0.1(0.3)1.7%,0.63-0.17%-0.8%1.91.81.8(2.91%,1.89%)1.46.76   115.16(2.19%)113.11-116.64Rebound 111.97(-2.77%)115.5-110.4659
4Sep_15_2020-6.4%-9.3% -0.7%,-0.3(0.2)-0.6%,-0.2(0.2)1.7%,0.63-0.19%-1.3%1.21.21.6(2.76%,1.86%)0.86.26   112.69(0.94%)112.15-113.76Rebound 110.68(-1.78%)112.53-109.8953
5Sep_14_2020-7.2%-8.3% -1.1%,-0.4(0.2)-1.3%,-0.5(0.3)1.2%,0.40.9-0.06%-1.5%0.81.11.8(2.85%,1.82%)0.89.27   111.64(6.89%)108.01-111.83Downtrend Consolidation 111.08(-0.5%)110.68-111.2254
 
6Sep_11_2020-13.2%-5.5% -1.6%,-0.6(0)-2.2%,-0.8(0.1)-0.4%,-0.10.30.06%-1.7%-1.5-0.71.6(2.82%,1.96%)0.15.11   104.44(-0.07%)103.2-106.44Downtrend 103.78(-0.63%)103.12-105.3236
7Sep_10_2020-13.2%-5.6% -1.6%,-0.6(-0)-2.4%,-0.9(-0.1)-1.2%,-0.40.6-0.85%-1.7%-1.6-0.81.3(2.66%,1.79%)-0.75.43   104.51(-1.56%)104.37-108.04Bottom 105.23(0.69%)103.81-106.1834
8Sep_9_2020-11.8%-7.3% -1.5%,-0.6(0)-2.2%,-0.9(-0)-0.6%,-0.3-0.90.09%-1.6%-1.3-0.80.8(2.45%,2.09%)-0.73.95   106.17(2.21%)104.56-106.73Downtrend 105.64(-0.5%)105.13-106.8236
9Sep_8_2020-13.7%-5% -1.5%,-0.7(-0.2)-2.1%,-0.9(-0.1)-1.5%,-0.6-2.7-0.42%-1.4%-2.3-0.90.6(2.33%,2.22%)-1.24.92   103.87(-1.35%)102.16-106.29Bottom 104.96(1.05%)103.32-106.0529
10Sep_4_2020-12.5%-6.4% -1.2%,-0.5(-0.2)-1.8%,-0.8(-0.2)-0.6%,-0.3-2.40.88%-1.4%-2.1-1.50(2.16%,2.16%)-1.18.89   105.29(-1.14%)100.64-106.85Growing Downtrend 105(-0.28%)104.49-106.230
 
11Sep_3_2020-11.5%-7.6% -0.8%,-0.4(-0.1)-1.4%,-0.7(-0.1)-0.3%,-0.1-1.5-0.08%-1.2%-1.9-1.5-0.5(1.96%,2.15%)-2.46.61   106.5(-3.73%)103.3-110.46Growing Downtrend 106.34(-0.15%)105.98-107.2844
12Sep_2_2020-8.1%-11.8% -0.7%,-0.4(-0)-1.1%,-0.6(-0)0.3%,0.20.30.27%-0.9%-0.2-1.6-0.8(1.85%,1.89%)0.23.41   110.63(0.98%)108.05-110.78Downtrend 110.38(-0.23%)110.22-110.7349
13Sep_1_2020-9%-10.7% -0.6%,-0.3(-0)-1.1%,-0.6(-0.2)-0.1%,-0.11.8-0.04%-0.9%-0.8-1.6-0.7(1.89%,1.77%)04.81   109.56(-2.01%)109.27-111.95Growing Downtrend 109.37(-0.17%)109.15-109.8751
14Aug_31_2020-7.1%-13% -0.5%,-0.3(0.1)-0.8%,-0.4(0.2)0.6%,0.30.60.06%-0.8%0.2-0.9-0.7(1.9%,1.66%)0.15.54   111.81(2.78%)109.65-112.35Downtrend Consolidation 111.68(-0.12%)111.7-111.6757
15Aug_28_2020-9.6%-9.9% -0.7%,-0.4(-0)-1.1%,-0.5(0)-0.5%,-0.3-0.60.09%-0.7%-1.3-1.9-0.7(1.95%,1.94%)0.84.08   108.79(0.85%)107.34-109.41Relative Oversold 109.38(0.54%)108.15-110.3838
 
16Aug_27_2020-10.4%-9% -0.7%,-0.4(-0.1)-1.1%,-0.6(-0.1)-0.9%,-0.5-0.60.36%-0.6%-1.8-2.2-0.9(1.87%,1.86%)0.74.45   107.87(-0.81%)106.77-109.15Growing Downtrend 107.71(-0.15%)107.36-108.5836
17Aug_26_2020-9.6%-9.9% -0.6%,-0.3(0)-0.8%,-0.5(-0)-0.8%,-0.4-1.5-0.22%-0.5%-1.6-2.2-1.3(1.73%,2%)1.32.92   108.75(-1.24%)108.53-110.49Downtrend 108.65(-0.09%)108.37-109.3238
18Aug_25_2020-8.5%-11.3% -0.7%,-0.4(0.1)-0.8%,-0.5(0)-0.5%,-0.3-2.10.21%-0.4%-1-1.7-1.8(1.62%,1.96%)1.64.6   110.11(1.2%)107.03-110.58Relative Oversold 110.46(0.32%)109.58-111.1839
19Aug_24_2020-9.6%-9.9% -0.8%,-0.5(-0)-0.9%,-0.5(-0.3)-0.9%,-0.6-1.5-0.15%-0.6%-1.7-2.2-1.8(1.68%,2.07%)1.76.7   108.8(-2.39%)108.19-112.06Growing Downtrend 108.7(-0.09%)108.43-109.3938
20Aug_21_2020-7.4%-12.6% -0.7%,-0.5(0.2)-0.4%,-0.2(-0.2)0.2%,0.1-0.90.16%-0.4%-0.5-1.2-2.7(1.53%,1.76%)1.73.61   111.46(-1.23%)110.5-112.87Growing Downtrend 111.39(-0.06%)111.29-111.6343
 
21Aug_20_2020-6.2%-14% -1%,-0.7(0.1)-0.1%,-0.1(0)0.3%,0.200.14%-0.2%0.3-0.8-3.1(1.59%,1.66%)1.54.42   112.85(-0.02%)111.8-113.06N/A 112.58(-0.24%)112.58-112.5861
22Aug_19_2020-6.2%-14% -1.2%,-0.6(0.1)-0.2%,-0.1(-0)0.6%,0.31.5-0.07%-0.2%0.2-0.7-2.9(1.83%,1.72%)1.63.66   112.87(-0.17%)112.38-114.19N/A 112.64(-0.2%)112.56-112.7153
23Aug_18_2020-6.1%-14.2% -1.3%,-0.6(0)-0.1%,-0.1(0.1)0.7%,0.31.50.1%-0.3%0.2-0.8-2.3(2.07%,1.85%)1.63.47   113.06(-0.88%)111.71-114.59Rebound 112.82(-0.21%)112.83-112.8357
24Aug_17_2020-5.2%-15.2% -1.4%,-0.6(-0.1)-0.4%,-0.2(0)0%,00.60.22%-0.5%0.4-0.60.5(2.49%,1.85%)1.85.19   114.06(3.5%)110.04-114.3Downtrend 113.7(-0.32%)113.63-113.8554
25Aug_14_2020-8.4%-11.3% -1.1%,-0.4(-0.1)-0.5%,-0.2(-0)-0.7%,-0.20-0.03%-0.8%-1-1.61.2(2.69%,1.92%)1.82.39   110.2(-0.93%)109.6-111.62Downtrend 109.97(-0.21%)109.61-110.7940
iDateTo High-Lowema20
Trend
ema10
Trend
ema5
Trend
Hourly
Trend
Last
Hour
EMA
Ratio
BBVRVRVTVIXCDVolume
millions
Close  5 Day
Target  
Trend
Narrative
  5 Day
Price Change  
SRIRSI
 
 
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