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     Wed. Oct. 28, 2020

Trading Signals: XAR Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Thu. Sep. 29, 2011 - Wed. Feb. 24, 2021)

(SPDR S&P Aerospace & Defense ETF)

XAR latest price $84.3000 (-3.43%) ($84.2300 - $86.2180) on Wed. Oct. 28, 2020.


Trend Analysis and Forecast
 
Trend Pattern  Breakdown
Trend Narrative  Correction
Average Daily Price Swing  $2.16 (2.38% one month average)
Average Daily Percentage Swing  1.58% (three month average)
Weekly Trend Force  -0.7% (StdDev 1.58%)
Daily Moving Force  -2.2%
Rebound Strength  None(0%)
Trend   -0.22%
Trend Strength  -0.3%
RSI   26
Momentum  1.5
Latest Price  $84.3000(-3.43%)
Forecasted Low Price  82.95(-1.6%)
Forecasted High Price  84.64(0.4%)
Direction of Next Movement  Lower(-3.1%)
% Change Needed to Confirm Rebound  9.8% ((92.55))
% Change Needed for Trend Reversal  8%
Hourly Trend   -2.9% [$86.7(-2.48), $88.99(-1.52)]
Stocks Behave Similarly  Similar Stock List
Complacency  5
Intraday Reversal Probability  There's a high probability the price will reverse sharply to upside intraday or next day..
Daily Trend  XAR declines -1.3% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend  XAR declines -1.7% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior  Broad based sell-off for large cap. Broad based sell-off for small cap.
Correlated ETFs  Broad market will support XAR decline at-1.1% a week (87% probability)
  IWN(85%)    XLI(84%)    IWD(83%)    IVE(82%)    IWM(82%)  
Factors Impacting XAR price  XAR will decline at least -0.8% in a week (41% probabilities).
  VXX(-52%)    VIXM(-48%)    SHY(-38%)    TLT(-30%)    BND(-27%)  
Explanation   The decline is sustainable and supported by the broad market.
Trading Plan  Not Available
 
Valuation to SPY   -2
 
Relative Volatility   0.9 (options are expensive)
 
Market Trend Strength  -2.6% (StdDev 1.58%)
Hourly BBV   -3.1 ()
Intraday Trend   -1.7%
  
 

  


Next Day Open Price  $83.96(-0.4%)
Resistance Level  $90.6
5 Day Moving Average  $89.12(-5.41%)
10 Day Moving Average  $90.35(-6.7%)
20 Day Moving Average  $90.6(-6.95%)
To recent high  -10%
To recent low  0%
Market Cap  $N/A
 
Option Sentiment  
 
 
One Year Target Price   $111.09 (31.78%)
 
 



$. Technical analysis works only if the market conditions in the future are not drastically different from the past. Always read market news to understand the causes of the price movement before making a trading decision. News

$. XAR price fluctuates within 2.38% (three month std-dev: 1.58%    one year average std_dev: 0%) daily (68% of days).
$. XAR price fluctuates within 0% weekly (one year average std_dev: %).

Analysis   News   Options   Weekly Chart   Daily Chart   2 Month Daily Chart   

  >  20201128

iDateema20(Trend)ema10(Trend) ema5(Trend) Slow Hourly
Trend
Fast Hourly
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CloseActualPriceRangeBBVHourly
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Daily
Moving
Force
Weekly
Trend
Force
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Force
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RSIMomentumTrend
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CRVVIXCDTrend-Narrative  NextDay
PriceTarget  
NextDayPriceRangeVolume
millions
To High-Low
1Oct_28_202090.6 (0%)90.35 (-0.4%)89.12 (-1.3%) 88.99 86.7(0%)84.3(-3.43%)84.23-86.22-1.1(-2.9)-3.1 -2.2%-0.7%0%-0.22%-0.3%261.5 Breakdown  Lower(-1.2%)5-2-2.4Correction 82.41(-2.24%)82.09-83.70.14   -10%-0
2Oct_27_202090.81 (0.2%)91.13 (-0.2%)90.32 (-1.1%) 90.51 89.18(0%)87.29(-2.4%)87.24-89.29-0.4(-2)-2.1 -1.6%-0.4%0%-0.08%0.4%401.3 Growing Downtrend  Lower(-0.8%)5-2.3-0.6Correction 86.17(-1.28%)85.96-87.040.1   -6.8%-2.6% 
3Oct_26_202090.91 (0.2%)91.56 (-0%)91.28 (-0.6%) 91.19 91.28(0%)89.44(-3.27%)88.59-91.140.2(-0.9)-2 -0.6%-0.2%0%0.04%0.7%551.2 Downtrend Reversal  Higher(0.8%)5-0.7-0.2Correction 88.96(-0.54%)88.82-89.520.09   -4.5%-5.2% 
4Oct_23_202090.93 (0.2%)91.87 (0%)91.85 (-0%) 91.77 91.84(0%)92.46(0.37%)91.98-92.870.7(0.9)-0.3 0.4%0.1%0%0.14%1%601.3 Growing Uptrend  Range(0.5%)50.80.8The Top 92.4(-0.07%)91.66-92.990.06   -1.2%-8.7% 
5Oct_22_202090.67 (0.2%)91.83 (0.2%)91.87 (0%) 91.84 91.11(0%)92.12(2.02%)90.26-92.190.7(0.7)0 -0.4%0.1%0%0.18%1.3%621.6 Downtrend Reversal  Range(-0.3%)50.70.6Uptrend 92.4(0.3%)91.81-92.640.05   -1.6%-8.3% 
 
6Oct_21_202090.34 (0.2%)91.88 (0.2%)91.83 (-0.3%) 92.22 91.71(0%)90.3(-1.91%)90.12-91.810.8(-0)-1.9 -0.5%-0%0%0.2%1.7%601.7 Downtrend Reversal  Range(0.5%)6-0.80.1Uptrend Consolidation 90.39(0.1%)90.3-90.680.14   -3.6%-6.2% 
7Oct_20_202090.12 (0.2%)91.97 (0.4%)92.07 (0.2%) 92.24 92.57(0%)92.06(-0.28%)91.83-93.241(0.8)-0.4 %0.3%0%0.28%2.1%721.8 Growing Uptrend  Range(0.4%)70.90.2Uptrend 92.55(0.53%)91.77-92.880.06   -1.7%-8.2% 
8Oct_19_202089.93 (0.2%)91.7 (0.4%)91.87 (-0%) 92.02 92.74(0%)92.32(-0.26%)92-93.851(1.1)-0.1 0.6%0.2%0%0.26%2%651.7 Growing Uptrend  Higher(0.9%)71.61.2After Top 92.37(0.05%)90.93-93.540.07   -1.4%-8.5% 
9Oct_16_202089.73 (0%)91.48 (0.4%)91.89 (0.1%) 91.64 91.92(0%)92.56(0.72%)92.5-93.351.1(1.3)1.3 0.4%0.3%0%0.28%1.9%611.7 Growing Uptrend  Range(0.7%)70.10.9Uptrend 92.95(0.42%)91.99-93.360.09   -1.1%-8.8% 
10Oct_15_202089.64 (0.2%)91.16 (0.4%)91.8 (-0.2%) 91.53 91.31(0%)91.9(0.45%)90.04-92.061.1(1)0.3 -0.2%0.3%0%0.3%1.7%661.7 Correction  Range(0.1%)6-0.40.7Uptrend Consolidation 91.47(-0.47%)91.12-92.490.08   -1.8%-8.1% 
 
11Oct_14_202089.6 (0.2%)90.85 (0.4%)91.96 (0.1%) 91.93 91.36(0%)91.49(0.47%)91.09-92.431.2(0.9)-1.3 -0.2%0.3%0%0.4%1.4%711.6 Uptrend Consolidation  Range(0.1%)6-0.90.9Uptrend 92.16(0.73%)91.16-92.580.07   -2.3%-8.9% 
12Oct_13_202089.56 (0.2%)90.46 (0.6%)91.86 (0.4%) 92.07 91.75(0%)91.06(-1.49%)90.63-91.621.3(0.7)-0.9 -0.3%0.2%0%0.44%1%681.5 Uptrend  Range(0.6%)7-1.70.9Uptrend 91.8(0.81%)90.79-92.230.28   -2.7%-10% 
13Oct_12_202089.47 (0.2%)90.22 (0.6%)91.46 (0.5%) 91.94 92.49(0%)92.44(0.37%)91.7-92.691.3(1.4)1.5 0.3%0.3%0%0.42%0.8%601.5 Growing Uptrend  Range(0.6%)8-1.21.3Uptrend 93.1(0.71%)91.91-93.610.09   -1.3%-11.7% 
14Oct_9_202089.32 (0.2%)89.91 (0.4%)90.98 (0.6%) 91.41 92.39(0%)92.1(-0.67%)92.1-93.381.2(1.4)1.5 0.9%0.5%0%0.38%0.7%591.4 Growing Uptrend  Higher(1.7%)8-0.11.1Growing Uptrend 92.83(0.79%)91.64-93.120.07   -1.6%-12% 
15Oct_8_202089.1 (0.2%)89.42 (0.4%)90.43 (0.9%) 90.77 91.39(0%)92.72(1.9%)91.38-92.721(1.8)4.4 1.1%0.7%0%0.26%0.4%511.4 Growing Uptrend  Higher(1.8%)711.1Growing Uptrend 93.26(0.58%)92.16-93.540.05   -1%-12.7% 
 
16Oct_7_202088.77 (0%)88.65 (0.2%)89.6 (0.8%) 89.72 90.43(0%)90.99(2.18%)90.21-91.40.6(1.3)2.7 0.5%0.5%0%0.08%-0.1%471.3 Growing Uptrend  Higher(1%)60.30.7N/A 90.79(-0.22%)90.04-91.40.13   -2.8%-10.6% 
17Oct_6_202088.62 (-0%)88.1 (-0.2%)88.87 (0.1%) 89.12 90.14(0%)89.05(-1.08%)88.97-91.870.2(0.3)-0.2 0.8%0.1%0%-0.1%-0.6%431.2 Uptrend Reversal Downtrend Pop Higher(1.4%)50.10.3Downtrend 88.91(-0.16%)88.88-88.960.08   -4.9%-8.3% 
18Oct_5_202088.57 (-0.2%)88.01 (-0.2%)88.78 (0.1%) 88.57 89.01(0%)90.02(0.74%)89.61-90.880.2(0.8)1 0.6%0.2%0%-0.14%-0.6%511.2 Uptrend Reversal  Higher(0.8%)4-0.20.5Downtrend 89.76(-0.29%)89.75-89.750.12   -3.9%-9.4% 
19Oct_2_202088.54 (-0.2%)87.82 (-0.2%)88.68 (0.5%) 88.25 88.09(0%)89.36(0.87%)86.12-89.61-0(0.5)0.9 %-0.1%0%-0.18%-0.8%481.2 Growing Downtrend  Range(-0.1%)30.60.7Downtrend 89.07(-0.33%)89.01-89.180.07   -4.6%-8.6% 
20Oct_1_202088.58 (-0.2%)87.95 (-0.2%)88.25 (0.8%) 88.59 88.14(0%)88.59(1.43%)87.67-89.22-0.3(0)2.3 0.2%-0.3%0%-0.18%-0.7%531.2 Downtrend Consolidation  Range(-0.1%)4-0.40.9Downtrend 88.4(-0.22%)88.32-88.550.11   -5.4%-7.7% 
 
21Sep_30_202088.76 (-0.2%)88.21 (-0.2%)87.55 (0.5%) 88.07 88.41(0%)87.34(-1.4%)86.62-89.61-0.6(-0.7)-0.7 %-0.3%0%-0.16%-0.6%541.4 Growing Downtrend Downtrend Pop Range(0.4%)5-0.70.8Downtrend 87.14(-0.23%)86.95-87.580.11   -6.7%-6.2% 
22Sep_29_202088.92 (-0.2%)88.58 (-0.2%)87.16 (0.1%) 87.34 89.05(0%)88.58(-1.08%)88.03-89.39-0.9(-0.2)0.9 0.9%-0.1%0%-0.18%-0.4%521.4 Uptrend Reversal  Higher(1.3%)50.40.9Downtrend 88.31(-0.3%)88.19-88.630.08   -5.4%-7.7% 
23Sep_28_202089.01 (-0.2%)88.66 (-0.2%)87.12 (0.3%) 86.94 87.72(0%)89.55(2.68%)88.49-90.5-1.1(0.3)1.2 1.4%-0%0%-0.16%-0.4%541.3 Uptrend Reversal  Higher(1.4%)50.80.9Downtrend 89.24(-0.35%)89.15-89.450.08   -4.4%-8.9% 
24Sep_25_202089.09 (-0.2%)88.67 (-0.2%)86.88 (-0.9%) 86.65 85.62(0%)87.21(2.54%)85.01-87.41-1.5(-0.9)-0.6 -0.7%-0.1%0%-0.18%-0.5%431.4 Downtrend Pop  Range(-0.8%)50.31.1Downtrend 86.89(-0.37%)86.6-87.560.14   -6.9%-6% 
25Sep_24_202089.28 (-0.2%)88.74 (-0.2%)87.69 (-1.5%) 87.3 86.16(0%)85.05(-0.42%)83.71-86.3-1.3(-2.1)-2.5 -1.7%-0.3%0%-0.14%-0.6%351.4 Growing Downtrend  Lower(-1.8%)5-0.21.2Downtrend 84.91(-0.16%)84.56-85.730.09   -9.2%-3.4% 
iDateema20(Trend)ema10(Trend) ema5(Trend) Slow Hourly
Trend
Fast Hourly
Trend
CloseActualPriceRangeBBVHourly
BBV
Daily
Moving
Force
Weekly
Trend
Force
Reversal
Force
TrendTrend
Strength
RSIMomentumTrend
Pattern
Next
Direction
CRVVIXCDTrend-Narrative  NextDay
PriceTarget  
NextDayPriceRangeVolume
millions
To High-Low
Click to see actual return for next trading day.
 
 
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