Trading Signals: VYM Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ VYM: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Fri. Dec. 22, 2023

Trading Signals: VYM Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Nov. 24, 2014 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Vanguard High Dividend Yield Index Fund ETF)
VYM latest price $111.1700 (0.65%) ($110.7300 - $111.4700) on Fri. Dec. 22, 2023.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.79% (three month average)
RSI   64
Latest Price   $111.1700(0.65%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Weekly Trend   VYM advances 1.4% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Value stock rally for large cap. Broad based rally for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support VYM advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
GDX(99%)    LIT(97%)    IWO(96%)    XLB(96%)    XLF(96%)
Factors Impacting VYM price   VYM will decline at least -0.395% in a week (0% probabilities).
VXX(-63%)    VIXM(-61%)    TBT(-31%)    BNDX(-2%)    UUP(4%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.395% (StdDev 0.79%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.4%

5 Day Moving Average   $110.58(0.53%)
10 Day Moving Average   $110.43(0.67%)
20 Day Moving Average   $108.76(2.22%)
To recent high   -0.6%
To recent low   12.6%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. VYM price fluctuates within 1.86% (three month std-dev: 0.79%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 50 Average positive next day return: 0.99%(40%) Average negative next day return: -0.98%(60%) Sample size 50 Average positive next three day return: 1.92%(46%) Average negative next three day return: -1.54%(54%) Sample size 50 Average positive next weekly return: 1.82%(52%) Average negative next weekly return: -2.48%(48%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20240122

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Dec_22_2023	105.52	108.76	110.43	110.58	110.62	110.61	111.17(0.65%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	47	0	24	115	1.1	60%	0.02	62.9	0.79%	0	1.2	64	1.4
2	Dec_21_2023	105.5	108.5	110.09	110.6	110.52	110.29	110.45(0.8%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.1	-6	-20	-39	92	2.56	57%	0.01	68.7	0.79%	-1	1	63	0.6
3	Dec_20_2023	105.49	108.26	109.8	110.88	110.82	110.64	109.57(-1.51%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.7	10	-10	-24	113	1.69	56%	0	73.1	0.81%	-2.8	0.7	65	0.3
4	Dec_19_2023	105.49	108.05	109.57	111.08	111.16	110.76	111.25(0.73%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.1	45	-20	10	150	1.5	59%	0.01	76.6	0.78%	0.6	1.5	78	0.7
5	Dec_18_2023	105.48	107.76	109.17	110.58	110.82	111	110.44(-0.77%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	29	20	-7	136	1.19	58%	0	80	0.78%	-1.4	1.3	76	0.8

6	Dec_15_2023	105.48	107.5	108.92	110.22	110.3	111.55	111.3(-0.48%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.6	125	80	105	185	1.41	56%	0.02	84.4	0.78%	0.2	2	83	0.8
7	Dec_14_2023	105.46	107.16	108.55	109.48	109.54	110.64	111.84(1.13%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1.3	171	70	163	194	1.59	58%	0.01	87	0.78%	1.2	2.6	83	1.6
8	Dec_13_2023	105.45	106.81	108.02	108.58	108.47	109.05	110.59(1.73%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1.4	92	30	78	133	1.73	56%	0.01	98.6	0.78%	3.6	2.6	81	1.4
9	Dec_12_2023	105.44	106.49	107.53	107.86	107.91	108.43	108.71(0.04%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.7	68	40	56	103	1.07	53%	-0.02	106.8	0.76%	1.1	1.8	78	1.6
10	Dec_11_2023	105.46	106.19	107.23	107.56	107.59	107.89	108.67(0.99%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	56	20	45	89	1.32	53%	-0.01	87.2	0.76%	1.6	1.8	75	1.4

11	Dec_8_2023	105.47	105.89	106.93	107.42	107.38	107.39	107.6(0.25%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	21	-0	4	73	1.17	52%	-0.01	77.9	0.75%	1.9	1.2	72	1.2
12	Dec_7_2023	105.48	105.6	106.77	107.47	107.42	107.29	107.33(0.32%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	19	-10	-2	83	0.96	52%	-0.01	66.7	0.75%	-0.2	1	74	1
13	Dec_6_2023	105.49	105.37	106.61	107.35	107.39	107.37	106.99(-0.21%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	24	-0	3	86	1.06	52%	-0.01	67.3	0.75%	-1.6	0.9	66	1.2
14	Dec_5_2023	105.5	105.17	106.44	107.12	107.17	107.54	107.22(-0.7%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	46	30	30	94	1.02	50%	0.01	69	0.75%	-1	1.2	72	1.3
15	Dec_4_2023	105.49	104.97	106.27	106.81	106.81	107.42	107.98(0.13%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.7	84	40	72	120	1.89	50%	0.01	76.4	0.75%	1	1.7	86	1.4

16	Dec_1_2023	105.48	104.75	105.99	106.35	106.32	106.8	107.84(1.03%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.9	76	30	63	115	1.37	50%	0.01	90.1	0.76%	1.7	1.9	84	1.3
17	Nov_30_2023	105.47	104.5	105.66	105.98	105.95	106.21	106.74(0.86%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.5	55	20	35	115	1.31	48%	-0.01	101.4	0.74%	1.7	1.5	85	1.4
18	Nov_29_2023	105.48	104.21	105.49	105.77	105.83	105.85	105.83(0.14%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0	44	0	18	120	1.05	48%	0	94.6	0.74%	0.2	1.1	72	1.3
19	Nov_28_2023	105.48	103.95	105.37	105.66	105.7	105.7	105.68(0.02%)	UD	OpenLong	65	0	28	0	-3	121	1.2	48%	0	83.3	0.74%	-0.2	1	67	1.5
20	Nov_27_2023	105.48	103.67	105.07	105.63	105.6	105.81	105.66(-0.33%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	40	10	13	120	1.48	48%	0.01	75.1	0.75%	0.1	1.1	62	1.3

21	Nov_24_2023	105.47	103.34	104.79	105.55	105.5	105.71	106.01(0.32%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	56	10	35	120	0.44	48%	0	61.3	0.75%	0	1.3	61	1.4
22	Nov_22_2023	105.47	103.05	104.36	105.28	105.31	105.4	105.67(0.36%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	37	10	18	95	0.9	48%	0	54	0.75%	1.4	1.3	64	1.2
23	Nov_21_2023	105.47	102.79	104.04	105.17	105.1	105.29	105.29(-0.2%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	33	10	11	100	1.24	48%	-0.01	49	0.75%	0.1	1.3	71	1.3
24	Nov_20_2023	105.48	102.57	103.8	105.02	105.03	105.23	105.5(0.22%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	67	10	47	128	1.94	48%	-0.01	41.6	0.75%	1.6	1.5	74	1.4
25	Nov_17_2023	105.49	102.31	103.58	104.42	104.76	104.91	105.27(0.57%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	66	20	45	129	1.1	48%		27.4	0.75%	0.9	1.6	75	1.5
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD