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     Tue. Oct. 20, 2020



Trading Signals: VXX Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Thu. Jan. 18, 2018 - Tue. Oct. 20, 2020)

(iPath Series B S&P 500 VIX Short-Term Futures ETN)

VXX latest price $23.2300 (-0.04%) ($22.8700 - $23.3600) on Tue. Oct. 20, 2020.

Trend and Trading Plan

Trend Narrative  Downtrend
Intraday Reversal Probability  N/A.
Daily Trend  VXX advances 0.9% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend  VXX declines -5.3% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior  Value stock rally for large cap. Value stock rally for small cap.
Correlated ETFs  Broad market will support VXX decline at-1.7% a week (71% probability)
  VIXM(79%)    XLC(35%)    UUP(28%)    TLT(20%)    SHY(17%)  
Factors Impacting VXX price  VXX will decline at least -1.4% in a week (55% probabilities).
  VT(-58%)    VGK(-55%)    SPY(-54%)    IDRV(-54%)    EEM(-53%)  
Explanation   The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.
Trading Plan  Not Available
 
Valuation to SPY   -0.6
 
Relative Volatility   0.3 (options are faily valued)
 
Hourly BBV   1.4
Hourly Trend   1.37% [$22.93(0.52), $22.62(0.3)]
Last Hour Trend   0.43% [$23.19, $23.09]


VXX Next 1 - 5 Day Price Forecast

Bullish Probability  30%
Bullish Price Move  3.2%
Bearish Probability  70%
Bearish Price Move  -3.2%
Recommended Position Size  -13%
Latest Price  $23.2300
Next Day Open Price  $23.43(0.86%)
1 - 3 Day Target Price  $22.75(-2.05%)
1 - 5 Day Possible Target  $19.92(-14.25%)
1 - 5 Day Price Range  $22.48 - $23.38
Resistance Level  $24
5 Day Moving Average  $22.55(3.02%)
10 Day Moving Average  $22.69(2.38%)
20 Day Moving Average  $24(-3.21%)
To recent high  -26.7%
To recent low  6.3%
Market Cap  $N/A
 
Option Sentiment  
 
 
 


  
 
 



$. Technical analysis works only if the market conditions in the future are not drastically different from the past. Always read market news to understand the causes of the price movement before making a trading decision. News

$. VXX price fluctuates within 6.42% (three month std-dev: 3.18%    one year average std_dev: 0%) daily (68% of days).
$. VXX price fluctuates within 0% weekly (one year average std_dev: %).

Analysis   News   Options   Weekly Chart   Daily Chart   Hourly Chart   15 Minute Chart

iDateTo High-Lowema20
Trend
ema10
Trend
ema5
Trend
Hourly
Trend
Last
Hour
EMA
Ratio
BBVHourly
BBV
RVVSIVVIXCDVolume
millions
CloseActualPriceRangeTrend-Narrative  NextDay
PriceTarget  
NextDayPriceRangeRSI
1Oct_20_2020-26.7%-6.3% -2.5%,-0.4(0)-5.3%,-0.8(0.1)0.9%,0.10.60.43%-5.5%-0.51.4-0.62NAN%0.229.67   23.23(-0.04%)22.87-23.36Downtrend 22.75(-2.05%)22.48-23.3838
2Oct_19_2020-26.7%-6.4% -2.7%,-0.4(0)-5.7%,-0.9(0.1)1.3%,0.20.31.22%-5.1%-0.62.5-0.624.81%1.227.73   23.24(4.36%)22.11-23.38Downtrend Consolidation 22.92(-1.36%)23.61-22.738
3Oct_16_2020-29.9%-1.9-3%,-0.5(0)-6.5%,-1(-0)0%,00.30%-4.9%-1.3-0.6-1.424.24%0.923.36   22.27(0.72%)21.74-22.27Downtrend 21.74(-2.39%)21.36-22.6228
4Oct_15_2020-31.5%-1.2-3.2%,-0.5(0)-6.4%,-1.1(-0)-1.3%,-0.20.3-0.68%-4%-1.5-0.7-1.61.94.05%0.732.78   22.11(0.87%)22.04-23.1Relative Oversold 22.14(0.13%)20.73-23.325
5Oct_14_2020-34%-0.3-3.4%,-0.6(-0)-6.3%,-1.1(-0.1)-2.3%,-0.4-0.3-0.55%-3.3%-1.9-0.8-1.91.73.24%0.929.61   21.92(-1.04%)21.58-22.26Downtrend 21.45(-2.14%)21.07-22.3521
 
6Oct_13_2020-37.1%-1.4-3.2%,-0.6(-0)-5.9%,-1.2(-0.2)-2.7%,-0.5-1.5-0.09%-2.7%-2-1.2-21.53.54%0.923.33   22.15(1.37%)21.96-22.59Relative Oversold 22.31(0.74%)20.98-23.4120
7Oct_12_2020-38%-0-3.1%,-0.7(0)-4.8%,-1.1(-0.3)-2.6%,-0.6-2.7-0.09%-2.1%-2.7-1.6-2.61.33.6%1.331.19   21.85(-1.97%)21.78-22.29Bottom 22.35(2.31%)21.58-22.8732
8Oct_9_2020-36.7%-0-3.1%,-0.9(0.1)-3.4%,-1(-0.5)-2.8%,-0.8-2.7-0.22%-1.4%-3-2.4-2.813.31%1.128.99   22.29(-5.19%)22.28-22.82Bottom 22.77(2.14%)22.11-23.235
9Oct_8_2020-33.3%-0-3.4%,-1.1(-0.1)-1.5%,-0.5(-0.4)-1.2%,-0.4-1.8-0.72%-0.6%-2.1-1.4-2.10.92.9%1.122.88   23.51(-4%)23.46-24.35Growing Downtrend 23.44(-0.31%)23.29-23.848
10Oct_7_2020-30.5%-0.7-3.2%,-1.1(0)-0.3%,-0.1(-0.3)-0.4%,-0.1-1.50.08%-0.3%-1.1-2-1.40.93.28%0.719.35   24.49(-3.28%)24.31-24.93Growing Downtrend 24.46(-0.13%)24.38-24.6554
 
11Oct_6_2020-28.1%-4.1% -3.2%,-0.9(-0)0.5%,0.1(0)0.3%,0.1-0.61.04%0.2%-0.10-0.31.13.69%0.334.66   25.32(1.4%)24.29-25.54N/A 25.29(-0.1%)25.18-25.3954
12Oct_5_2020-29.1%-2.6-3.1%,-0.8(-0.2)0.5%,0.1(-0.1)-0.3%,-0.11.2-0.16%-0.4%-0.6-0.4-11.13.6%0.520.76   24.97(-3.14%)24.78-25.8N/A 25.1(0.52%)24.83-25.3251
13Oct_2_2020-26.8%-6% -2.5%,-0.5(-0.2)0.7%,0.2(0.1)0.2%,00.6-0.47%-1%01.4-0.21.44.21%0.729.5   25.78(3.08%)25.29-26.38Rebound 25.76(-0.07%)25.72-25.7856
14Oct_1_2020-29%-2.8-1.5%,-0.2(-0.1)0.2%,0(0.1)-1%,-0.1-0.30.16%-2.5%-0.6-0.6-0.823.72%0.924.12   25.01(0.44%)24.61-25.4N/A 25.25(0.94%)24.76-25.6446
15Sep_30_2020-29.3%-2.3-0.8%,-0.1(-0.1)-0.2%,-0(-0)-1.4%,-0.2-0.60.4%-3.2%-0.7-0.8-0.823.83%0.825.08   24.9(-0.16%)24.29-25.17Range Bound 25(0.39%)25.33-24.7334
 
16Sep_29_2020-30.1%-2.50.1%,0(-0.1)-0.1%,-0(0.1)-0.3%,-0-0.9-0.48%-3.6%-0.7-1.3-0.71.92.92%0.922.59   24.94(-1.66%)24.56-25.5Range Bound 25.17(0.92%)25.45-24.9437
17Sep_28_2020-28.9%-4.2% 0.6%,0.1(-0)-1.1%,-0.2(0.2)0.2%,0-0.60.08%-3.9%-0.6-2-0.51.93.46%0.918.2   25.36(-0.7%)25.26-25.65Range Bound 25.5(0.56%)25.78-25.2831
18Sep_25_2020-31.9%-5% 0.7%,0.1(0)-2.5%,-0.4(0.4)0.9%,0.10.3-0.35%-4.1%-0.50.601.83.75%1.123.52   25.54(-2.48%)25.38-26.42N/A 25.71(0.65%)25.29-26.0530
19Sep_24_2020-30.2%-7.6% 0.7%,0.1(0.1)-5.1%,-0.8(0.2)1.4%,0.20.60.53%-4.2%-0.10.80.71.84.57%1.227.36   26.19(-1.91%)25.74-27Downtrend 25.84(-1.33%)25.67-26.2324
20Sep_23_2020-28.8%-9.7% 0.3%,0(0.1)-6.2%,-0.9(0.1)1.4%,0.20.61.85%-3.8%0.22.81.11.84.51%1.329   26.7(5.28%)25.15-26.72Downtrend 26.25(-1.7%)26.07-26.6647
 
21Sep_22_2020-32.4%-4.2% -0%,-0(0)-7.1%,-1(-0)0.3%,00.6-0.75%-3.4%-0.5001.94.28%1.623.19   25.36(0.79%)25.11-26.04Downtrend 24.8(-2.22%)24.48-25.5445
22Sep_21_2020-32.9%-3.4-0.1%,-0(0)-6.9%,-1(-0.1)0.1%,00-0.2%-2.3%-0.60.20.11.94.84%1.639.77   25.16(3.24%)25.05-26.65Downtrend 24.67(-1.96%)24.36-25.3846
23Sep_18_2020-35%-0.2-0.3%,-0(-0)-6%,-0.8(-0.3)-0.9%,-0.1-0.30.24%-0.9%-1-1.5-0.51.93.77%2.134.54   24.37(-0.08%)23.67-24.98Downtrend 23.93(-1.82%)23.59-24.7249
24Sep_17_2020-35%-0.2-0.2%,-0(-0.1)-3.6%,-0.5(-0.3)-2.2%,-0.3-0-0.12%1.6%-1-1.6-0.71.93.71%2.131.01   24.39(-2.28%)24.28-25.81Downtrend 24.12(-1.12%)23.87-24.6949
25Sep_16_2020-33.4%-2.60.3%,0(0)-1.6%,-0.2(-0.2)-1.5%,-0.2-0.60.16%2.9%-0.7-0.8-0.51.94.15%1.429.72   24.96(-0.28%)24.28-25Correction 23.78(-4.72%)23.55-24.754
iDateTo High-Lowema20
Trend
ema10
Trend
ema5
Trend
Hourly
Trend
Last
Hour
EMA
Ratio
BBVHourly
BBV
RVVSIVVIXCDVolume
millions
Close  5 Day
Target  
Trend
Narrative
  5 Day
Price Change  
SRIRSI
 
 
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