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     Fri. Feb. 26, 2021

Trading Signals: VXX Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Thu. Jan. 18, 2018 - Fri. Apr. 16, 2021)

(iPath Series B S&P 500 VIX Short-Term Futures ETN)

VXX latest price $16.0300 (-4.53%) ($15.6500 - $17.2900) on Fri. Feb. 26, 2021.


Trend Analysis and Forecast
 
Trend Pattern  Downtrend Consolidation Downtrend Pop
Trend Narrative  Rebound
Average Daily Price Swing  $1.54 (9.33% one month average)
Average Daily Percentage Swing  4.59% (three month average)
Weekly Trend Force  -0.4% (StdDev 4.59%)
Daily Moving Force  2.5%
Rebound Strength  None(0%)
Hourly Trend Strength  3.22%
Trend   -0.54%
Trend Strength  -5.3%
Trend Clarity  -0.04(-0.4/1.54/16.5)
RSI   48
Momentum  2
Latest Price  $16.0300(-4.53%)
Forecasted Low Price  15.82(-1.3%)
Forecasted High Price  16.91(5.5%)
Direction of Next Movement  Higher(6.3%)
% Change Needed to Confirm Rebound  6.6% ((17.09))
% Change Needed for Trend Reversal  -0.2%
Hourly Trend   3.9% [$16.05(0.62), $15.69(0.17)]
Stocks Behave Similarly  Similar Stock List
Top Holdings  Top Holding List
Complacency  2
Intraday Reversal Probability  N/A.
Daily Trend  VXX advances 1.2% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend  VXX declines -2.3% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior  Value stocks sell-off for large cap. Rotation from value to growth for small cap.
Correlated ETFs  Broad market will support VXX advance at 0.2% a week (77% probability)
  VIXM(77%)    TBT(33%)    UUP(28%)    USO(-5%)    FEX(-10%)  
Factors Impacting VXX price  VXX will advance at least 1.7% in a week (79% probabilities).
  SPY(-80%)    IDRV(-80%)    XLY(-79%)    VT(-79%)    DRIV(-78%)  
Explanation   The rally is sustainable and supported by the broad market.
Trading Plan  Buy the rebound
 
Valuation to SPY   -0.3
 
Relative Volatility   0.3 (options are faily valued)
 
Market Trend Strength  1.5% (StdDev 4.59%)
Hourly BBV   0.7 ()
Intraday Trend   -0.2%
  
 

  


Next Day Open Price  $16.01(-0.12%)
Inflection Point  Yes
Resistance Level  $16.5
5 Day Moving Average  $15.64(2.49%)
10 Day Moving Average  $15.63(2.56%)
20 Day Moving Average  $16.5(-2.85%)
To recent high  -24.1%
To recent low  10.7%
Market Cap  $N/A
 
Option Sentiment  
 
 
 
 



$. Technical analysis works only if the market conditions in the future are not drastically different from the past. Always read market news to understand the causes of the price movement before making a trading decision. News

$. VXX price fluctuates within 9.33% (three month std-dev: 4.59%    one year average std_dev: 0%) daily (68% of days).
$. VXX price fluctuates within 0% weekly (one year average std_dev: %).

Analysis   News   Options   Weekly Chart   Daily Chart   2 Month Daily Chart   

  >  20210326

iDateema20(Trend)ema10(Trend) ema5(Trend) Slow Hourly
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1Feb_26_202116.5 (-0.8%)15.63 (-0.4%)15.64 (1.2%) 15.69 16.05(0%)16.03(-4.53%)15.65-17.29-0.6(-0.3)0.7 2.5%-0.4%0%3.22%-0.54%-5.3%482 Downtrend Consolidation  Higher(4.4%)2-0.30.4Downtrend 15.85(-1.1%)15.73-16.14121.18   -24.1%-10.7% 
2Feb_25_202116.67 (-0.6%)15.65 (-0.6%)15.46 (1.5%) 15.52 15.43(0%)16.79(15.95%)14.55-17.2-0.8(0.1)2.7 0.9%-0.1%0%-1.1%-0.62%-6.2%522.2 Uptrend Reversal  Range(0.8%)200.5After Bottom 16.5(-1.7%)16.16-16.79154.77   -20.5%-16% 
3Feb_24_202116.83 (-0.4%)15.61 (-0.8%)15.23 (-1.6%) 15.38 15.34(0%)14.48(-4.61%)14.44-15.64-1.1(-1.3)-3.3 -1.6%-1.2%0%-0.72%-0.74%-7.2%232.6 Growing Downtrend  Range(-0.5%)3-1.31.1Downtrend 14.14(-2.32%)13.85-14.8459.34   -31.4%-0
4Feb_23_202116.98 (-0.4%)15.81 (-0.8%)15.47 (-1%) 15.58 15.61(0%)15.18(-3.5%)15.06-16.6-1(-1)-1.4 0.3%-0.7%0%0.78%-0.74%-6.9%222.5 Downtrend  Range(1.4%)3-11.5Downtrend 14.89(-1.92%)14.63-15.4993.11   -28.1%-0.5
5Feb_22_202117.08 (-0.4%)15.93 (-1.2%)15.47 (0%) 15.65 15.41(0%)15.73(4.17%)15.15-15.74-1(-0.8)1.8 -0.6%-0.4%0%-1.03%-0.92%-6.8%182.4 Downtrend Pop  Range(-1%)2-0.81.7After Bottom 15.7(-0.22%)14.79-16.4354.97   -25.5%-4.2% 
 
6Feb_19_202117.13 (-0.4%)16 (-1.6%)15.62 (-1.5%) 15.73 15.56(0%)15.1(-3.7%)14.92-15.57-1(-1.2)-1.7 -1.7%-0.8%0%-1.85%-1.26%-6.6%82.4 Growing Downtrend  Range(-0.7%)2-1.21.9Downtrend 14.57(-3.53%)14.21-15.462.2   -28.5%-0
7Feb_18_202117.2 (-0.2%)16.15 (-1.8%)15.85 (-1.3%) 15.93 15.89(0%)15.68(0.19%)15.5-16.22-1(-0.9)0.7 -0.6%-0.7%0%-0.06%-1.36%-6.1%252.4 Growing Downtrend  Range(-1.3%)2-11.9Downtrend 15.08(-3.81%)14.71-15.9454.73   -25.8%-0.2
8Feb_17_202117.24 (-0.2%)16.3 (-2%)16.05 (-0.9%) 16.09 15.9(0%)15.65(-1.7%)15.53-16.43-0.9(-1)0.2 -0.7%-1.2%0%-0.25%-1.48%-5.5%232.3 Growing Downtrend  Range(-1.1%)2-1.12.1Downtrend 15.01(-4.06%)14.63-15.955.06   -25.9%-0
9Feb_16_202117.31 (-0.2%)16.55 (-1.8%)16.2 (-0.6%) 16.26 15.96(0%)15.92(1.14%)15.6-16.09-0.8(-0.9)-0.4 -1.4%-1.7%0%-1.98%-1.36%-4.4%482.3 Growing Downtrend  Lower(-3.1%)2-12Growing Downtrend 15.39(-3.31%)14.98-16.153.4   -24.6%-1.1
10Feb_12_202117.37 (-0.2%)16.92 (-1.6%)16.29 (-0.9%) 16.41 16.29(0%)15.74(-3.32%)15.71-16.43-0.8(-1.1)-1.5 -1.1%-2.2%0%-1.03%-1.14%-2.6%482.2 Growing Downtrend  Range(-1.6%)3-1.22.1Growing Downtrend 15.32(-2.66%)14.97-15.9548.84   -25.5%-0
 
11Feb_11_202117.43 (-0.2%)17.43 (-1%)16.43 (-0.3%) 16.49 16.55(0%)16.28(-2.34%)16.26-17.04-0.7(-0.8)-2.8 %-1.4%0%0.48%-0.76%-0%542.1 Growing Downtrend  Range(-0.2%)4-0.92.2Downtrend 15.99(-1.79%)15.79-16.4649.07   -22.9%-0.6
12Feb_10_202117.46 (-0.2%)17.77 (-0.6%)16.48 (-0.7%) 16.5 16.53(0%)16.67(1.58%)16.26-17.15-0.7(-0.5)5.1 0.1%-1.4%0%0.12%-0.52%1.8%572.1 Correction  Range(-1.3%)4-0.72.2Downtrend 16.45(-1.3%)16.31-16.7866.72   -21.1%-3
13Feb_9_202117.47 (-0.2%)18.12 (-0.2%)16.6 (-2.1%) 16.53 16.44(0%)16.41(0.49%)16.19-16.67-0.7(-0.7)-4.6 -1%-0.5%0%-0.24%-0.2%3.7%552 Growing Downtrend  Range(-1.5%)4-0.92Range Bound 16.45(0.26%)16.76-16.234.13   -22.3%-1.4
14Feb_8_202117.52 (-0.2%)18.23 (0%)16.96 (-4%) 16.81 16.47(0%)16.33(-0.85%)16.33-16.63-0.5(-0.8)-5.7 -2.2%-0.4%0%-0.66%0%4%532 Growing Downtrend  Lower(-2.2%)5-0.91.8Range Bound 16.41(0.48%)16.67-16.1926.05   -22.7%-0.9
15Feb_5_202117.54 (0%)18.34 (0.6%)17.67 (-5%) 17.33 16.62(0%)16.47(-0.42%)16.41-16.81-0.1(-0.7)-1.9 -4.2%-0.2%0%-2.24%0.38%4.6%512 Downtrend Reversal  Lower(-4.2%)6-0.91.7Downtrend Reversal 16.04(-2.6%)15.92-16.5434.55   -25.1%-1.8
 
16Feb_4_202117.55 (0.4%)18.37 (1%)18.6 (-3.3%) 18.25 17.15(0%)16.54(-4.12%)16.5-16.920.5(-0.7)-0.7 -4.9%-0.1%0%-3.74%0.88%4.7%532 Downtrend Reversal  Lower(-2.9%)6-0.91.5Uptrend Consolidation 16.87(1.99%)16.89-16.8230.33   -26%-2.2
17Feb_3_202117.6 (0.6%)18.38 (1.6%)19.24 (-3%) 19.22 18.05(0%)17.25(-5.17%)17.22-18.061.1(-0.2)-1.4 -5%0.2%0%-5.76%1.26%4.4%571.9 Confirmed Correction  Lower(-2.2%)6-0.31.7Uptrend Consolidation 17.46(1.24%)17.39-17.6837.24   -29.6%-6.6% 
18Feb_2_202117.63 (0.8%)18.32 (2%)19.84 (1%) 19.72 19.36(0%)18.19(-8.5%)18-18.961.9(0.4)-1.5 -2.7%0.5%0%-3.91%1.64%4%601.9 Confirmed Correction Correction Range(2.1%)60.31.4Uptrend Dip 19.96(9.71%)18.04-20.4342.11   -29.9%-12.4% 
19Feb_1_202117.62 (0.8%)18.18 (1.8%)19.64 (2.9%) 19.85 20.4(0%)19.88(-5.87%)19.61-21.292.1(1.6)-0.1 2.6%1.4%-2.9%2.1%1.52%3.2%631.9 Uptrend Dip  Lower(-4.5%)71.51.1Uptrend Dip 21.66(8.97%)18.98-22.3364.78   -23.4%-22.9% 
20Jan_29_202117.46 (0.6%)17.89 (1.6%)19.08 (5.2%) 19.02 20.08(0%)21.12(6.83%)19.19-21.762(2.6)1.6 4.4%2.3%-1.3%2.71%1.28%2.5%741.9 Breakout  Range(-0.4%)62.90.2Growing Uptrend 21.92(3.78%)20.41-22.3122.92   -20.4%-30.5% 
 
21Jan_28_202117.22 (0.2%)17.42 (1%)18.14 (4.1%) 18.11 19.3(0%)19.77(-2.37%)18.82-20.281.4(2.3)1.4 5.5%1.6%0%5.64%0.76%1.1%691.5 Breakout  Higher(8.3%)52.30.6Uptrend Dip 20.47(3.54%)18.77-20.976.41   -28.7%-22.2% 
22Jan_27_202117.09 (0%)17.07 (0.4%)17.42 (4.8%) 17.34 17.97(0%)20.25(17.73%)17.64-20.560.7(3.5)2.5 5%1.9%0%2.81%0.26%-0.1%621.2 Breakout  Higher(6.9%)43.30.9N/A 19.56(-3.43%)18.31-20.57123.46   -27%-25.2% 
23Jan_26_202116.9 (-0.2%)16.68 (-0.2%)16.63 (0.7%) 16.66 16.93(0%)17.2(0.82%)16.46-17.2-0.5(0.6)1 1%0%0%1.08%-0.26%-1.3%450.8 Uptrend Reversal  Range(1%)401.5Rebound 17(-1.19%)17.15-16.9348.36   -38%-6.3% 
24Jan_25_202116.88 (-0.4%)16.69 (-0.4%)16.52 (-0.1%) 16.53 16.71(0%)17.06(4.02%)16.44-17.78-0.8(0.3)1 1.1%0.3%0%1.26%-0.38%-1.2%400.8 Uptrend Reversal  Range(1.4%)3-0.22.2Downtrend 16.98(-0.49%)16.95-17.0373.78   -38.5%-5.4% 
25Jan_22_202116.9 (-0.2%)16.61 (-0.4%)16.53 (-0.3%) 16.46 16.38(0%)16.4(1.36%)16.2-16.68-1.1(-0.9)-3.8 -0.2%-0.2%0%-0.12%-0.42%-1.7%490.8 Growing Downtrend  Range(-0.4%)2-1.12.1After Bottom 16.48(0.49%)16.24-16.6842.89   -40.9%-1.4
iDateema20(Trend)ema10(Trend) ema5(Trend) Slow Hourly
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CloseActualPriceRangeBBVHourly
BBV
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Next
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CRVVIXCDTrend-Narrative  NextDay
PriceTarget  
NextDayPriceRangeVolume
millions
To High-Low
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