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     Wed. Nov. 25, 2020

Trading Signals: VXX Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Thu. Jan. 18, 2018 - Fri. Jan. 15, 2021)

(iPath Series B S&P 500 VIX Short-Term Futures ETN)

VXX latest price $17.3900 (-3.66%) ($17.3600 - $18.3100) on Wed. Nov. 25, 2020.


Trend Analysis and Forecast
 
Trend Pattern  Growing Downtrend
Trend Narrative  Downtrend
Average Daily Price Swing  $3.14 (15.35% one month average)
Average Daily Percentage Swing  4.27% (three month average)
Weekly Trend Force  -1.4% (StdDev 4.27%)
Daily Moving Force  -1.6%
Rebound Strength  None(0%)
Trend   -1.1%
Latest Price  $17.3900(-3.66%)
Forecasted Low Price  16.99(-2.3%)
Forecasted High Price  17.58(1.1%)
Direction of Next Movement  Range(-1.2%)
% Change Needed to Confirm Rebound  7.4% ((18.67))
% Change Needed for Trend Reversal  8.9%
Hourly Trend   -1.7% [$17.93(-0.3), $18.19(-0.24)]
Complacency  2
Intraday Reversal Probability  There's a high probability the price will reverse sharply to upside intraday or next day..
Daily Trend  VXX declines -1.6% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend  VXX declines -5% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior  Value stocks sell-off for large cap. Value stock sell-off for small cap.
Correlated ETFs  Broad market will support VXX decline at-0.5% a week (74% probability)
  VIXM(83%)    UUP(30%)    TLT(20%)    SHY(19%)    BJK(18%)  
Factors Impacting VXX price  VXX will decline at least -0.6% in a week (63% probabilities).
  VT(-67%)    SPY(-64%)    JNK(-62%)    IDRV(-62%)    EWG(-62%)  
Explanation   The decline is sustainable and supported by the broad market.
Trading Plan  Not Available
 
Valuation to SPY   -1.2
 
Relative Volatility   1.6 (options are expensive)
 
Market Trend Strength  -2.5% (StdDev 4.27%)
Hourly BBV   -5.3 ()
Intraday Trend   -3.8%
  
 

  


Next Day Open Price  $17.21(-1.02%)
1 - 5 Day Possible Target  $13.53(-22.2%)
Resistance Level  $20.45
5 Day Moving Average  $18.21(-4.5%)
10 Day Moving Average  $18.58(-6.4%)
20 Day Moving Average  $20.45(-14.96%)
To recent high  -45.2%
To recent low  0%
Market Cap  $N/A
 
Option Sentiment  
 
 
 
 



$. Technical analysis works only if the market conditions in the future are not drastically different from the past. Always read market news to understand the causes of the price movement before making a trading decision. News

$. VXX price fluctuates within 15.35% (three month std-dev: 4.27%    one year average std_dev: 0%) daily (68% of days).
$. VXX price fluctuates within 0% weekly (one year average std_dev: %).

Analysis   News   Options   Weekly Chart   Daily Chart   2 Month Daily Chart   

  >  20201225

iDateema20(Trend)ema10(Trend) ema5(Trend) Slow Hourly
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CloseActualPriceRangeBBVHourly
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CRSIScaleRVVIXCDTrend-Narrative  NextDay
PriceTarget  
NextDayPriceRangeVolume
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To High-Low
1Nov_25_202020.45 (-0.4%)18.58 (-0.3%)18.21 (-1.6%) 18.19 17.93(0%)17.39(-3.66%)17.36-18.31-0.9(-1)-5.3 -1.6%-1.4%0%-1.1% Growing Downtrend  Range(-1.2%)2243.6-1.21.4Downtrend 16.5(-5.11%)15.92-17.8624.81   -45.2%-0
2Nov_24_202020.95 (-0.4%)18.75 (-0.4%)18.5 (-0.3%) 18.43 18.23(0%)18.05(-1.69%)17.94-18.37-0.9(-0.9)-2.5 -0.8%-1%0%-1.12% Growing Downtrend  Range(-1%)2243.5-1.11.5Downtrend 17.16(-4.94%)16.58-18.5233.79   -43.1%-0
3Nov_23_202021.26 (-0.4%)18.89 (-0.5%)18.55 (-0.2%) 18.52 18.45(0%)18.36(-1.29%)18.04-18.73-0.9(-0.9)-2.6 -0.6%-1%0%-1.4% Growing Downtrend  Range(-1%)2203.4-11.3Downtrend 17.29(-5.83%)16.63-18.8332.27   -42.1%-0.3
4Nov_20_202021.56 (-0.4%)19.06 (-0.7%)18.58 (-0.5%) 18.6 18.62(0%)18.6(-0.21%)18.24-18.68-0.9(-1)1.5 -0.1%-0.9%0%-1.7% Growing Downtrend  Range(-0.9%)2183.3-1.11.4Downtrend 17.29(-7.06%)16.53-19.0528.9   -41.3%-1.6
5Nov_19_202021.75 (-0.4%)19.24 (-0.9%)18.68 (-1.8%) 18.65 18.59(0%)18.64(-1.06%)18.33-19.07-1(-1.1)0.5 -0.5%-1.4%0%-2% Growing Downtrend  Range(-1.4%)1173.2-1.21.7Downtrend 17.13(-8.12%)16.26-19.1428.23   -41.2%-1.9
 
6Nov_18_202021.94 (-0.3%)19.56 (-1%)19.02 (-0.2%) 18.79 18.57(0%)18.84(2.95%)17.92-19-1(-1.1)0.3 -0.9%-1.5%0%-2.06% Downtrend Pop  Lower(-2.4%)1223-1.21.9Downtrend 17.46(-7.35%)16.65-19.3336.29   -40.6%-3
7Nov_17_202022.15 (-0.3%)19.89 (-1.2%)19.05 (-1.2%) 19.14 18.7(0%)18.3(-1.29%)18.26-19.1-1.2(-1.4)-3.7 -1.2%-2.5%0%-2.32% Growing Downtrend  Lower(-3.1%)1162.9-1.51.8Downtrend 16.79(-8.26%)15.92-18.8132.61   -42.3%-0
8Nov_16_202022.41 (-0.3%)20.49 (-1.2%)19.28 (-1.6%) 19.23 19.02(0%)18.54(-2.83%)18.54-19.3-1.3(-1.5)-0.4 -2.1%-2.8%0%-2.2% Growing Downtrend  Lower(-3.5%)1352.7-1.61.9Growing Downtrend 17.36(-6.36%)16.4-19.0832.31   -41.5%-0
9Nov_13_202022.67 (-0.3%)21.2 (-1.2%)19.59 (-1.5%) 19.47 19.57(0%)19.08(-6.15%)18.75-19.67-1.2(-1.5)-1.1 %-2.6%0%-1.98% Growing Downtrend  Range(0.5%)1372.5-1.51.1Growing Downtrend 18.07(-5.31%)17.24-19.5437.81   -39.8%-0.5
10Nov_12_202022.85 (-0.3%)21.92 (-1.1%)19.88 (-1.6%) 19.49 19.45(0%)20.33(7.06%)19.07-20.75-0.9(-1.1)0 -0.6%-1.8%0%-1.66% Downtrend Pop  Lower(-2.4%)1482.4-1.10.7Growing Downtrend 19.42(-4.48%)18.69-20.6966.86   -35.9%-7.1% 
 
11Nov_11_202022.96 (-0.3%)22.44 (-0.9%)20.21 (-3.2%) 19.82 19.36(0%)18.99(-2.47%)18.63-19.4-1.5(-1.8)-3.1 -2.1%-2.9%0%-1.38% Growing Downtrend  Lower(-3.8%)2442.4-1.71.3Growing Downtrend 18.31(-3.56%)17.69-19.532.64   -40.1%-0
12Nov_10_202023.14 (-0.3%)23.31 (-0.6%)20.88 (-4.6%) 20.51 19.53(0%)19.47(-2.99%)19.42-20.3-1.6(-1.8)-2.5 -4%-1.8%0%-0.92% Growing Downtrend  Lower(-4.3%)3432.2-1.60.7Downtrend 18.96(-2.64%)18.51-19.9933.87   -38.6%-0
13Nov_9_202023.3 (-0.2%)23.83 (-0.4%)21.89 (-5.1%) 21.31 20.27(0%)20.07(-2.19%)18.22-20.11-1.5(-1.7)-1.8 -6%-1.5%0%-0.52% Growing Downtrend  Lower(-6.4%)4432-1.6-0.4Downtrend 19.8(-1.34%)19.49-20.5259.81   -36.7%-0
14Nov_6_202023.41 (-0.1%)24.29 (0%)23.06 (-5%) 22.67 21.49(0%)20.52(-6.64%)20.51-21.82-1.5(-1.6)-4.1 -4.6%-0.8%0%-0.06% Growing Downtrend  Lower(-2.1%)5441.8-1.51.9N/A 21.08(2.71%)20.16-21.8242.45   -35.3%-0
15Nov_5_202023.52 (-0.1%)24.52 (0.4%)24.26 (-3%) 23.8 22.36(0%)21.98(-1.66%)21.44-22.23-0.9(-0.9)-2 -5.4%-0.3%0%0.38% Downtrend Reversal  Lower(-4.9%)5531.8-10.9N/A 22.48(2.26%)22.22-22.6936.23   -30.7%-0.6
 
16Nov_4_202023.61 (0%)24.59 (0.7%)25.02 (-4.1%) 24.94 23.84(0%)22.35(-8.81%)22.2-23.56-0.7(-0.8)-2.5 -4.9%-0.4%0%0.68% Downtrend Reversal  Range(-0.9%)5551.7-0.70.5Uptrend Consolidation 22.7(1.56%)22.75-22.5663.51   -29.5%-2.3
17Nov_3_202023.72 (0.2%)24.67 (1.1%)26.09 (0.2%) 25.82 25.25(0%)24.51(-5.51%)24.19-25.310.4(0.5)-0.9 -2.1%0.3%0%1.2% Confirmed Correction  Range(1%)6641.80.5-1.6Uptrend Dip 26(6.06%)24.25-26.4338.31   -22.7%-12.2% 
18Nov_2_202023.74 (0.2%)24.56 (1.2%)26.04 (1.4%) 26.33 26.04(0%)25.94(-2.22%)25.25-26.31.2(1.3)1.1 %0.9%0%1.28% Growing Uptrend  Higher(2%)7691.81.3-2.5Uptrend Dip 27.7(6.8%)25.1-28.3541.41   -18.2%-18.7% 
19Oct_30_202023.68 (0.1%)24.28 (1.2%)25.69 (3.5%) 25.96 26.39(0%)26.53(3.03%)25.77-27.011.5(1.7)3.5 1.1%1.3%0%1.24% Growing Uptrend Correction Higher(2.4%)8731.81.8-2.2Growing Uptrend 27.41(3.32%)26.01-27.7639.89   -16.3%-21.4% 
20Oct_29_202023.61 (-0%)23.85 (0.9%)24.82 (3%) 25.23 26.62(0%)25.75(-7.14%)24.94-27.711.2(1.3)1.5 3.9%1.2%0%0.9% Uptrend Dip  Higher(8.7%)8671.71.4-2.4Uptrend Reversal 26.31(2.17%)25.84-26.6246.8   -18.8%-17.8% 
 
21Oct_28_202023.55 (-0.2%)23.47 (0.6%)24.1 (4.4%) 24.19 25.53(0%)27.73(14.26%)25.77-27.772.4(2.7)2.9 5.5%2.1%-4.5%0.52% Growing Uptrend  Lower(-6.6%)8671.72.6-2.4Uptrend Reversal 28.32(2.12%)27.82-28.6577.02   -12.6%-26.9% 
22Oct_27_202023.38 (-0.5%)22.86 (0.1%)23.09 (0.9%) 23.08 23.85(0%)24.27(0.41%)23.75-24.690.6(0.7)1.1 2.7%0.7%0%-0.06% Uptrend Reversal  Higher(3.4%)7461.70.5-0.6Rebound 23.78(-2.03%)24.2-23.633.65   -23.5%-11.1% 
23Oct_26_202023.4 (-0.5%)22.63 (-0.2%)22.88 (0.8%) 22.76 22.85(0%)24.17(9.02%)22.47-24.570.4(0.6)1.7 1.5%0.7%0%-0.32% Uptrend Reversal  Higher(2.2%)6411.70.5-0.2Rebound 23.79(-1.56%)23.89-23.7550.61   -23.8%-10.6% 
24Oct_23_202023.45 (-0.5%)22.39 (-0.5%)22.69 (-0.1%) 22.67 22.31(0%)22.17(0.09%)22.02-22.66-0.9(-0.9)-1.4 -1%-0.3%0%-0.58% Growing Downtrend  Range(-1.3%)5291.9-10.8Rebound 22.68(2.31%)21.7-23.118.85   -30.1%-1.5
25Oct_22_202023.61 (-0.5%)22.4 (-0.7%)22.71 (0%) 22.8 22.66(0%)22.15(-2.34%)21.94-22.84-0.9(-1)-1.4 -0.7%-0.7%0%-0.74% Growing Downtrend  Range(-0.2%)5262-1.10.6Downtrend 21.79(-1.63%)21.53-22.3922.62   -30.1%-1.4
iDateema20(Trend)ema10(Trend) ema5(Trend) Slow Hourly
Trend
Fast Hourly
Trend
CloseActualPriceRangeBBVHourly
BBV
Daily
Moving
Force
Weekly
Trend
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Force
TrendTrend
Pattern
Next
Direction
CRSIScaleRVVIXCDTrend-Narrative  NextDay
PriceTarget  
NextDayPriceRangeVolume
millions
To High-Low
Click to see actual return for next trading day.
 
 
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