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     Tue. Nov. 3, 2020

Trading Signals: VXX Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Thu. Jan. 18, 2018 - Wed. Feb. 24, 2021)

(iPath Series B S&P 500 VIX Short-Term Futures ETN)

VXX latest price $24.5100 (-5.51%) ($24.1900 - $25.3100) on Tue. Nov. 3, 2020.


Trend Analysis and Forecast
 
Trend Pattern  Confirmed Correction
Trend Narrative  Uptrend Dip
Average Daily Price Swing  $1.69 (7.12% one month average)
Average Daily Percentage Swing  3.96% (three month average)
Weekly Trend Force  0.3% (StdDev 3.96%)
Daily Moving Force  -2.1%
Correction Force  Weak (0%)
Trend   1.2%
Trend Strength  4%
RSI   64
Momentum  1.8
Latest Price  $24.5100(-5.51%)
Forecasted Low Price  24.26(-1%)
Forecasted High Price  25(2%)
Direction of Next Movement  Range(-0.2%)
% Change Needed to Confirm Correction  0.5% (24.38)
% Change Needed for Trend Reversal  1.4%
Hourly Trend   -3.1% [$25.25(-0.79), $25.82(-0.51)]
Stocks Behave Similarly  Similar Stock List
Complacency  6
Intraday Reversal Probability  N/A.
Daily Trend  VXX advances 0.2% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend  VXX advances 7.9% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior  Broad based rally for large cap. Broad based rally for small cap.
Correlated ETFs  Broad market will support VXX decline at-1.1% a week (75% probability)
  VIXM(86%)    UUP(27%)    SHY(22%)    TLT(19%)    XRT(15%)  
Factors Impacting VXX price  VXX will decline at least -0.1% in a week (75% probabilities).
  VT(-78%)    SPY(-78%)    XLY(-74%)    IVW(-73%)    VUG(-71%)  
Explanation   The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.
Trading Plan  Buy the Dip
 
Valuation to SPY   0.5
 
Relative Volatility   1.2 (options are expensive)
 
Market Trend Strength  -0.9% (StdDev 3.96%)
Hourly BBV   -0.9 ()
Intraday Trend   -2.5%
  
 

  


Next Day Open Price  $24.29(-0.9%)
5 Day Moving Average  $26.09(-6.06%)
10 Day Moving Average  $24.67(-0.65%)
20 Day Moving Average  $23.72(3.33%)
To recent high  -22.7%
To recent low  12.2%
Market Cap  $N/A
 
Option Sentiment  
 
 
 
 



$. Technical analysis works only if the market conditions in the future are not drastically different from the past. Always read market news to understand the causes of the price movement before making a trading decision. News

$. VXX price fluctuates within 7.12% (three month std-dev: 3.96%    one year average std_dev: 0%) daily (68% of days).
$. VXX price fluctuates within 0% weekly (one year average std_dev: %).

Analysis   News   Options   Weekly Chart   Daily Chart   2 Month Daily Chart   

  >  20201203

iDateema20(Trend)ema10(Trend) ema5(Trend) Slow Hourly
Trend
Fast Hourly
Trend
CloseActualPriceRangeBBVHourly
BBV
Daily
Moving
Force
Weekly
Trend
Force
Reversal
Force
TrendTrend
Strength
RSIMomentumTrend
Pattern
Next
Direction
CRVVIXCDTrend-Narrative  NextDay
PriceTarget  
NextDayPriceRangeVolume
millions
To High-Low
1Nov_3_202023.72 (0.2%)24.67 (1.6%)26.09 (0.2%) 25.82 25.25(0%)24.51(-5.51%)24.19-25.311.4(0.5)-0.9 -2.1%0.3%0%1.2%4%641.8 Confirmed Correction  Range(1%)60.5-1.6Uptrend Dip 26(6.06%)24.25-26.4338.31   -22.7%-12.2% 
2Nov_2_202023.74 (0.2%)24.56 (1.8%)26.04 (1.4%) 26.33 26.04(0%)25.94(-2.22%)25.25-26.31.5(1.3)1.1 %0.9%0%1.28%3.4%691.8 Growing Uptrend  Higher(2%)71.3-2.5Uptrend Dip 27.7(6.8%)25.1-28.3541.41   -18.2%-18.7% 
3Oct_30_202023.68 (0.2%)24.28 (1.6%)25.69 (3.5%) 25.96 26.39(0%)26.53(3.03%)25.77-27.011.4(1.7)3.5 1.1%1.3%0%1.24%2.6%731.8 Growing Uptrend Correction Higher(2.4%)81.8-2.2Growing Uptrend 27.41(3.32%)26.01-27.7639.89   -16.3%-21.4% 
4Oct_29_202023.61 (-0%)23.85 (1.2%)24.82 (3%) 25.23 26.62(0%)25.75(-7.14%)24.94-27.711(1.3)1.5 3.9%1.2%0%0.9%1%671.7 Uptrend Dip  Higher(8.7%)81.4-2.4Uptrend Reversal 26.31(2.17%)25.84-26.6246.8   -18.8%-17.8% 
5Oct_28_202023.55 (-0.2%)23.47 (0.8%)24.1 (4.4%) 24.19 25.53(0%)27.73(14.26%)25.77-27.770.6(2.7)2.9 5.5%2.1%0%0.52%-0.3%671.7 Breakout  Higher(7.6%)82.6-2.4Uptrend Reversal 28.32(2.12%)27.82-28.6577.02   -12.6%-26.9% 
 
6Oct_27_202023.38 (-0.6%)22.86 (0.2%)23.09 (0.9%) 23.08 23.85(0%)24.27(0.41%)23.75-24.69-0.2(0.7)1.1 2.7%0.7%0%-0.06%-2.2%461.7 Uptrend Reversal  Higher(3.4%)70.5-0.6Rebound 23.78(-2.03%)24.2-23.633.65   -23.5%-11.1% 
7Oct_26_202023.4 (-0.6%)22.63 (-0.2%)22.88 (0.8%) 22.76 22.85(0%)24.17(9.02%)22.47-24.57-0.5(0.6)1.7 1.5%0.7%0%-0.32%-3.3%411.7 Uptrend Reversal  Higher(2.2%)60.5-0.2Rebound 23.79(-1.56%)23.89-23.7550.61   -23.8%-10.6% 
8Oct_23_202023.45 (-0.6%)22.39 (-0.6%)22.69 (-0.1%) 22.67 22.31(0%)22.17(0.09%)22.02-22.66-0.8(-0.9)-1.4 -1%-0.3%0%-0.58%-4.5%291.9 Growing Downtrend  Range(-1.3%)5-10.8Rebound 22.68(2.31%)21.7-23.118.85   -30.1%-1.5
9Oct_22_202023.61 (-0.6%)22.4 (-0.8%)22.69 (0%) 22.8 22.66(0%)22.15(-2.34%)21.94-22.84-0.8(-1)-1.4 -0.7%-0.7%0%-0.74%-5.1%262 Growing Downtrend  Range(-0.2%)5-1.10.6Downtrend 21.79(-1.63%)21.53-22.3922.62   -30.1%-1.4
10Oct_21_202023.81 (-0.6%)22.53 (-1%)22.71 (0.7%) 22.72 23.04(0%)22.68(-2.37%)22.53-23.41-0.9(-0.7)1.6 0.5%-0.7%0%-0.82%-5.4%352 Downtrend Consolidation  Range(1%)5-0.90.1Downtrend 22.27(-1.79%)22.02-22.8627.07   -28.5%-3.8% 
 
11Oct_20_202024 (-0.4%)22.69 (-1%)22.55 (0.9%) 22.62 22.93(0%)23.23(-0.04%)22.87-23.36-1.1(-0.5)1.3 1.7%-0.7%0%-0.88%-5.5%382 Confirmed Rebound  Range(1%)4-0.60.2Downtrend 22.74(-2.1%)22.48-23.3429.67   -26.7%-6.3% 
12Oct_19_202024.11 (-0.6%)22.87 (-1.2%)22.34 (1.3%) 22.32 22.41(0%)23.24(4.36%)22.11-23.38-1.4(-0.6)2.2 0.6%-0.6%0%-0.96%-5.1%382 Downtrend Consolidation  Range(0%)3-0.61.2Downtrend 22.71(-2.27%)22.42-23.3927.73   -26.7%-6.4% 
13Oct_16_202024.2 (-0.6%)23.02 (-1.2%)22.34 (0%) 22.19 22.32(0%)22.27(0.72%)21.74-22.27-1.8(-1.3)-0.5 0.2%-1.2%0%-1.08%-4.9%282 Downtrend Consolidation  Range(-1%)3-1.40.9Downtrend 21.73(-2.43%)21.36-22.5823.36   -29.9%-1.9
14Oct_15_202024.32 (-0.6%)23.35 (-1.2%)22.06 (-1.3%) 22.15 22.24(0%)22.11(0.87%)22.04-23.1-2.1(-1.5)-1.6 0.1%-1%2.6%-1.1%-4%251.9 Downtrend  Range(0.1%)3-1.60.7Relative Oversold 22.09(-0.11%)20.73-23.232.78   -31.5%-1.2
15Oct_14_202024.45 (-0.6%)23.64 (-1.2%)22.34 (-2.3%) 22.16 22.24(0%)21.92(-1.04%)21.58-22.26-2.3(-1.9)-4.7 -1.1%-1.1%4.8%-1.08%-3.3%211.7 Growing Downtrend  Higher(3.1%)2-1.90.9Downtrend 21.44(-2.18%)21.07-22.3229.61   -34%-0.3
 
16Oct_13_202024.61 (-0.6%)23.95 (-1.2%)22.86 (-2.7%) 22.65 22.07(0%)22.15(1.37%)21.96-22.59-2.2(-2)-5.5 -1.8%-1%3.4%-1.02%-2.7%201.5 Growing Downtrend  Range(0.6%)2-20.9Relative Oversold 22.27(0.53%)20.98-23.3223.33   -37.1%-1.4
17Oct_12_202024.77 (-0.6%)24.24 (-1%)23.49 (-2.6%) 23.26 22.25(0%)21.85(-1.97%)21.78-22.29-2(-2.7)-2.2 -3.7%-1.3%1%-0.84%-2.1%321.3 Breakdown  Lower(-3%)2-2.61.3Bottom 22.27(1.91%)21.58-22.7231.19   -38%-0
18Oct_9_202024.95 (-0.6%)24.61 (-0.6%)24.12 (-2.8%) 24.01 23.22(0%)22.29(-5.19%)22.28-22.82-1.6(-3)-2.9 -3.7%-1.2%0%-0.66%-1.3%351 Breakdown  Lower(-2.3%)2-2.81.1Bottom 22.72(1.93%)22.11-23.1228.99   -36.7%-0
19Oct_8_202025.12 (-0.6%)24.96 (-0.4%)24.81 (-1.2%) 24.69 24.26(0%)23.51(-4%)23.46-24.35-0.9(-2.1)-2.2 -2%-1%0%-0.42%-0.6%480.9 Growing Downtrend  Range(-1%)3-2.11.1Growing Downtrend 23.43(-0.36%)23.29-23.7522.88   -33.3%-0
20Oct_7_202025.3 (-0.6%)25.23 (-0%)25.11 (-0.4%) 25.21 24.81(0%)24.49(-3.28%)24.31-24.93-0.5(-1.1)-2.6 -0.8%-0.7%0%-0.24%-0.3%540.9 Growing Downtrend  Range(0.1%)4-1.40.7Growing Downtrend 24.45(-0.18%)24.38-24.619.35   -30.5%-0.7
 
21Oct_6_202025.41 (-0.6%)25.45 (0.2%)25.2 (0.3%) 25.27 25.12(0%)25.32(1.4%)24.29-25.54-0.4(-0.1)0 -0.8%-0.2%0%-0.12%0.1%541.1 Growing Downtrend  Range(-1%)5-0.30.3N/A 25.26(-0.25%)25.18-25.3234.66   -28.1%-4.1% 
22Oct_5_202025.55 (-0.6%)25.46 (0%)25.12 (-0.3%) 25.21 25.6(0%)24.97(-3.14%)24.78-25.8-0.5(-0.6)-0.4 0.3%-0.3%0%-0.12%-0.4%511.1 Downtrend Consolidation  Range(1.6%)6-10.5N/A 25.06(0.37%)24.83-25.2520.76   -29.1%-2.6
23Oct_2_202025.73 (-0.4%)25.48 (0.2%)25.2 (0.2%) 25.18 25.42(0%)25.78(3.08%)25.29-26.38-0.5(0)1.4 1.4%0.1%0%-0.04%-1%561.4 Growing Uptrend  Range(1.5%)6-0.20.7Rebound 25.76(-0.07%)25.72-25.7829.5   -26.8%-6% 
24Oct_1_202026 (-0.4%)25.35 (0%)25.15 (-1%) 25.04 24.83(0%)25.01(0.44%)24.61-25.4-0.6(-0.6)-1.4 -0.7%-0%0%-0.06%-2.5%462 Growing Downtrend  Range(-0.7%)5-0.80.9N/A 25.25(0.94%)24.76-25.6424.12   -29%-2.8
25Sep_30_202026.14 (-0.2%)25.3 (-0%)25.39 (-1.4%) 25.29 24.93(0%)24.9(-0.16%)24.29-25.17-0.6(-0.7)-1.3 -1.4%-0.2%0%-0.08%-3.2%342 Growing Downtrend  Range(-1.5%)5-0.80.8Range Bound 25(0.39%)25.33-24.7325.08   -29.3%-2.3
iDateema20(Trend)ema10(Trend) ema5(Trend) Slow Hourly
Trend
Fast Hourly
Trend
CloseActualPriceRangeBBVHourly
BBV
Daily
Moving
Force
Weekly
Trend
Force
Reversal
Force
TrendTrend
Strength
RSIMomentumTrend
Pattern
Next
Direction
CRVVIXCDTrend-Narrative  NextDay
PriceTarget  
NextDayPriceRangeVolume
millions
To High-Low
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