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     Wed. Oct. 28, 2020

Trading Signals: VXX Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Thu. Jan. 18, 2018 - Wed. Feb. 24, 2021)

(iPath Series B S&P 500 VIX Short-Term Futures ETN)

VXX latest price $27.7300 (14.26%) ($25.7700 - $27.7680) on Wed. Oct. 28, 2020.


Trend Analysis and Forecast
 
Trend Pattern  Breakout
Trend Narrative  Uptrend Reversal
Average Daily Price Swing  $1.56 (6.62% one month average)
Average Daily Percentage Swing  3.8% (three month average)
Weekly Trend Force  2.1% (StdDev 3.8%)
Daily Moving Force  5.5%
Correction Force  Weak (0%)
Trend   0.52%
Trend Strength  -0.3%
RSI   67
Momentum  1.7
Latest Price  $27.7300(14.26%)
Forecasted Low Price  27.45(-1%)
Forecasted High Price  30.11(8.6%)
Direction of Next Movement  Higher(11.7%)
% Change Needed to Confirm Correction  30.7% (21.21)
% Change Needed for Trend Reversal  20.1%
Hourly Trend   6.6% [$25.53(1.68), $24.19(1.11)]
Stocks Behave Similarly  Similar Stock List
Complacency  8
Intraday Reversal Probability  There's a high probability the price will reverse sharply to downside intraday or next day..
Daily Trend  VXX advances 4.4% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend  VXX advances 4.2% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior  Broad based sell-off for large cap. Broad based sell-off for small cap.
Correlated ETFs  Broad market will support VXX advance at 1.9% a week (74% probability)
  VIXM(86%)    CNCR(27%)    UUP(27%)    SHY(21%)    TLT(19%)  
Factors Impacting VXX price  VXX will advance at least 2.2% in a week (75% probabilities).
  VT(-78%)    SPY(-78%)    IVW(-73%)    XLY(-72%)    IDRV(-71%)  
Explanation   The rally is sustainable and supported by the broad market.
Trading Plan  Buy the reversal
 
Valuation to SPY   2.6
 
Relative Volatility   0.7 (options are expensive)
 
Market Trend Strength  6.2% (StdDev 3.8%)
Hourly BBV   2.9 ()
Intraday Trend   6.3%
  
 

  


Next Day Open Price  $27.65(-0.3%)
Support Level  $23.55
5 Day Moving Average  $24.1(15.06%)
10 Day Moving Average  $23.47(18.15%)
20 Day Moving Average  $23.55(17.75%)
To recent high  -12.6%
To recent low  26.9%
Market Cap  $N/A
 
Option Sentiment  
 
 
 
 



$. Technical analysis works only if the market conditions in the future are not drastically different from the past. Always read market news to understand the causes of the price movement before making a trading decision. News

$. VXX price fluctuates within 6.62% (three month std-dev: 3.8%    one year average std_dev: 0%) daily (68% of days).
$. VXX price fluctuates within 0% weekly (one year average std_dev: %).

Analysis   News   Options   Weekly Chart   Daily Chart   2 Month Daily Chart   

  >  20201128

iDateema20(Trend)ema10(Trend) ema5(Trend) Slow Hourly
Trend
Fast Hourly
Trend
CloseActualPriceRangeBBVHourly
BBV
Daily
Moving
Force
Weekly
Trend
Force
Reversal
Force
TrendTrend
Strength
RSIMomentumTrend
Pattern
Next
Direction
CRVVIXCDTrend-Narrative  NextDay
PriceTarget  
NextDayPriceRangeVolume
millions
To High-Low
1Oct_28_202023.55 (-0.2%)23.47 (0.8%)24.1 (4.4%) 24.19 25.53(0%)27.73(14.26%)25.77-27.770.6(2.7)2.9 5.5%2.1%0%0.52%-0.3%671.7 Breakout  Higher(7.6%)82.6-2.4Uptrend Reversal 28.32(2.12%)27.82-28.6577.02   -12.6%-26.9% 
2Oct_27_202023.38 (-0.6%)22.86 (0.2%)23.09 (0.9%) 23.08 23.85(0%)24.27(0.41%)23.75-24.69-0.2(0.7)1.1 2.7%0.7%0%-0.06%-2.2%461.7 Uptrend Reversal  Higher(3.4%)70.5-0.6Rebound 23.78(-2.03%)24.2-23.633.65   -23.5%-11.1% 
3Oct_26_202023.4 (-0.6%)22.63 (-0.2%)22.88 (0.8%) 22.76 22.85(0%)24.17(9.02%)22.47-24.57-0.5(0.6)1.7 1.5%0.7%0%-0.32%-3.3%411.7 Uptrend Reversal  Higher(2.2%)60.5-0.2Rebound 23.79(-1.56%)23.89-23.7550.61   -23.8%-10.6% 
4Oct_23_202023.45 (-0.6%)22.39 (-0.6%)22.69 (-0.1%) 22.67 22.31(0%)22.17(0.09%)22.02-22.66-0.8(-0.9)-1.4 -1%-0.3%0%-0.58%-4.5%291.9 Growing Downtrend  Range(-1.3%)5-10.8Rebound 22.68(2.31%)21.7-23.118.85   -30.1%-1.5
5Oct_22_202023.61 (-0.6%)22.4 (-0.8%)22.69 (0%) 22.8 22.66(0%)22.15(-2.34%)21.94-22.84-0.8(-1)-1.4 -0.7%-0.7%0%-0.74%-5.1%262 Growing Downtrend  Range(-0.2%)5-1.10.6Downtrend 21.79(-1.63%)21.53-22.3922.62   -30.1%-1.4
 
6Oct_21_202023.81 (-0.6%)22.53 (-1%)22.71 (0.7%) 22.72 23.04(0%)22.68(-2.37%)22.53-23.41-0.9(-0.7)1.6 0.5%-0.7%0%-0.82%-5.4%352 Downtrend Consolidation  Range(1%)5-0.90.1Downtrend 22.27(-1.79%)22.02-22.8627.07   -28.5%-3.8% 
7Oct_20_202024 (-0.4%)22.69 (-1%)22.55 (0.9%) 22.62 22.93(0%)23.23(-0.04%)22.87-23.36-1.1(-0.5)1.3 1.7%-0.7%0%-0.88%-5.5%382 Confirmed Rebound  Range(1%)4-0.60.2Downtrend 22.74(-2.1%)22.48-23.3429.67   -26.7%-6.3% 
8Oct_19_202024.11 (-0.6%)22.87 (-1.2%)22.34 (1.3%) 22.32 22.41(0%)23.24(4.36%)22.11-23.38-1.4(-0.6)2.2 0.6%-0.6%0%-0.96%-5.1%382 Downtrend Consolidation  Range(0%)3-0.61.2Downtrend 22.71(-2.27%)22.42-23.3927.73   -26.7%-6.4% 
9Oct_16_202024.2 (-0.6%)23.02 (-1.2%)22.34 (0%) 22.19 22.32(0%)22.27(0.72%)21.74-22.27-1.8(-1.3)-0.5 0.2%-1.2%0%-1.08%-4.9%282 Downtrend Consolidation  Range(-1%)3-1.40.9Downtrend 21.73(-2.43%)21.36-22.5823.36   -29.9%-1.9
10Oct_15_202024.32 (-0.6%)23.35 (-1.2%)22.06 (-1.3%) 22.15 22.24(0%)22.11(0.87%)22.04-23.1-2.1(-1.5)-1.6 0.1%-1%2.6%-1.1%-4%251.9 Downtrend  Range(0.1%)3-1.60.7Relative Oversold 22.09(-0.11%)20.73-23.232.78   -31.5%-1.2
 
11Oct_14_202024.45 (-0.6%)23.64 (-1.2%)22.34 (-2.3%) 22.16 22.24(0%)21.92(-1.04%)21.58-22.26-2.3(-1.9)-4.7 -1.1%-1.1%4.8%-1.08%-3.3%211.7 Growing Downtrend  Higher(3.1%)2-1.90.9Downtrend 21.44(-2.18%)21.07-22.3229.61   -34%-0.3
12Oct_13_202024.61 (-0.6%)23.95 (-1.2%)22.86 (-2.7%) 22.65 22.07(0%)22.15(1.37%)21.96-22.59-2.2(-2)-5.5 -1.8%-1%3.4%-1.02%-2.7%201.5 Growing Downtrend  Range(0.6%)2-20.9Relative Oversold 22.27(0.53%)20.98-23.3223.33   -37.1%-1.4
13Oct_12_202024.77 (-0.6%)24.24 (-1%)23.49 (-2.6%) 23.26 22.25(0%)21.85(-1.97%)21.78-22.29-2(-2.7)-2.2 -3.7%-1.3%1%-0.84%-2.1%321.3 Breakdown  Lower(-3%)2-2.61.3Bottom 22.27(1.91%)21.58-22.7231.19   -38%-0
14Oct_9_202024.95 (-0.6%)24.61 (-0.6%)24.12 (-2.8%) 24.01 23.22(0%)22.29(-5.19%)22.28-22.82-1.6(-3)-2.9 -3.7%-1.2%0%-0.66%-1.3%351 Breakdown  Lower(-2.3%)2-2.81.1Bottom 22.72(1.93%)22.11-23.1228.99   -36.7%-0
15Oct_8_202025.12 (-0.6%)24.96 (-0.4%)24.81 (-1.2%) 24.69 24.26(0%)23.51(-4%)23.46-24.35-0.9(-2.1)-2.2 -2%-1%0%-0.42%-0.6%480.9 Growing Downtrend  Range(-1%)3-2.11.1Growing Downtrend 23.43(-0.36%)23.29-23.7522.88   -33.3%-0
 
16Oct_7_202025.3 (-0.6%)25.23 (-0%)25.11 (-0.4%) 25.21 24.81(0%)24.49(-3.28%)24.31-24.93-0.5(-1.1)-2.6 -0.8%-0.7%0%-0.24%-0.3%540.9 Growing Downtrend  Range(0.1%)4-1.40.7Growing Downtrend 24.45(-0.18%)24.38-24.619.35   -30.5%-0.7
17Oct_6_202025.41 (-0.6%)25.45 (0.2%)25.2 (0.3%) 25.27 25.12(0%)25.32(1.4%)24.29-25.54-0.4(-0.1)0 -0.8%-0.2%0%-0.12%0.1%541.1 Growing Downtrend  Range(-1%)5-0.30.3N/A 25.26(-0.25%)25.18-25.3234.66   -28.1%-4.1% 
18Oct_5_202025.55 (-0.6%)25.46 (0%)25.12 (-0.3%) 25.21 25.6(0%)24.97(-3.14%)24.78-25.8-0.5(-0.6)-0.4 0.3%-0.3%0%-0.12%-0.4%511.1 Downtrend Consolidation  Range(1.6%)6-10.5N/A 25.06(0.37%)24.83-25.2520.76   -29.1%-2.6
19Oct_2_202025.73 (-0.4%)25.48 (0.2%)25.2 (0.2%) 25.18 25.42(0%)25.78(3.08%)25.29-26.38-0.5(0)1.4 1.4%0.1%0%-0.04%-1%561.4 Growing Uptrend  Range(1.5%)6-0.20.7Rebound 25.76(-0.07%)25.72-25.7829.5   -26.8%-6% 
20Oct_1_202026 (-0.4%)25.35 (0%)25.15 (-1%) 25.04 24.83(0%)25.01(0.44%)24.61-25.4-0.6(-0.6)-1.4 -0.7%-0%0%-0.06%-2.5%462 Growing Downtrend  Range(-0.7%)5-0.80.9N/A 25.25(0.94%)24.76-25.6424.12   -29%-2.8
 
21Sep_30_202026.14 (-0.2%)25.3 (-0%)25.39 (-1.4%) 25.29 24.93(0%)24.9(-0.16%)24.29-25.17-0.6(-0.7)-1.3 -1.4%-0.2%0%-0.08%-3.2%342 Growing Downtrend  Range(-1.5%)5-0.80.8Range Bound 25(0.39%)25.33-24.7325.08   -29.3%-2.3
22Sep_29_202026.26 (0%)25.32 (-0%)25.75 (-0.3%) 25.71 25.26(0%)24.94(-1.66%)24.56-25.5-0.4(-0.7)-1.4 -1.1%-0.2%0%-0.02%-3.6%371.9 N/A  Range(-0.5%)5-0.70.9Range Bound 25.17(0.92%)25.45-24.9422.59   -30.1%-2.5
23Sep_28_202026.36 (0.2%)25.33 (-0.2%)25.83 (0.2%) 25.71 25.65(0%)25.36(-0.7%)25.26-25.65-0.3(-0.6)-1.8 -0.9%0.1%0%-0.12%-3.9%311.9 N/A  Range(-0.5%)5-0.50.9Range Bound 25.5(0.56%)25.78-25.2818.2   -28.9%-4.2% 
24Sep_25_202026.38 (0.2%)25.33 (-0.6%)25.79 (0.9%) 25.92 26.15(0%)25.54(-2.48%)25.38-26.42-0.3(-0.5)1 0.2%0%0%-0.32%-4.1%301.8 N/A  Range(1.4%)501.1N/A 25.71(0.65%)25.29-26.0523.52   -31.9%-5% 
25Sep_24_202026.4 (0.2%)25.3 (-1%)25.56 (1.4%) 25.84 26.19(0%)26.19(-1.91%)25.74-27-0.3(-0.1)1.3 1.9%-0.1%0%-0.68%-4.2%241.8 Downtrend Consolidation  Higher(2.8%)40.71.2Downtrend 25.84(-1.33%)25.67-26.2327.36   -30.2%-7.6% 
iDateema20(Trend)ema10(Trend) ema5(Trend) Slow Hourly
Trend
Fast Hourly
Trend
CloseActualPriceRangeBBVHourly
BBV
Daily
Moving
Force
Weekly
Trend
Force
Reversal
Force
TrendTrend
Strength
RSIMomentumTrend
Pattern
Next
Direction
CRVVIXCDTrend-Narrative  NextDay
PriceTarget  
NextDayPriceRangeVolume
millions
To High-Low
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