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     Fri. Jul. 31, 2020



Trading Signals: VXX Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Thu. Jan. 18, 2018 - Fri. Oct. 23, 2020)

(iPath Series B S&P 500 VIX Short-Term Futures ETN)

VXX latest price $28.5200 (-2.33%) ($28.3800 - $29.9300) on Fri. Jul. 31, 2020.

Trend and Trading Plan

Trend Narrative  Bottom
Intraday Reversal Probability  N/A.
Daily Trend  VXX declines -1.1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend  VXX declines -5.6% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior  Growth stock rally for large cap. Broad based sell-off for small cap.
Correlated ETFs  Broad market will support VXX decline at-2.8% a week (76% probability)
  VIXM(92%)    TLT(39%)    UUP(32%)    BNDX(16%)    SHY(11%)  
Factors Impacting VXX price  VXX will decline at least -1.6% in a week (74% probabilities).
  VT(-75%)    SPY(-75%)    IWO(-73%)    DIA(-73%)    DRIV(-72%)  
Explanation   The decline is sustainable and supported by the broad market.
Trading Plan  Buy the bottom
 
Valuation to SPY   -1.4
 
Relative Volatility   -0.6 (options are cheap)
 
Hourly BBV   -0.6
Hourly Trend   0.76% [$29.33(0.06), $29.11(-0.21)]
Last Hour Trend   -1.03% [$28.99, $29.29]


VXX Next 1 - 5 Day Price Forecast

Bullish Probability  20%
Bullish Price Move  5.9%
Bearish Probability  80%
Bearish Price Move  -5.9%
Recommended Position Size  -10%
Latest Price  $28.5200
Next Day Open Price  $27.93(-2.06%)
1 - 3 Day Target Price  $28.87(1.23%)
1 - 5 Day Possible Target  $25.69(-9.92%)
1 - 5 Day Price Range  $28.21 - $29.31
Inflection Point  Yes
Resistance Level  $30.87
5 Day Moving Average  $28.96(-1.52%)
10 Day Moving Average  $29.28(-2.6%)
20 Day Moving Average  $30.87(-7.61%)
To recent high  -31.5%
To recent low  0%
Market Cap  $N/A
 
Option Sentiment  
 
 
 


  
 
 



$. Technical analysis works only if the market conditions in the future are not drastically different from the past. Always read market news to understand the causes of the price movement before making a trading decision. News

$. VXX price fluctuates within 6.15% (three month std-dev: 5.94%    one year average std_dev: 0%) daily (68% of days).
$. VXX price fluctuates within 0% weekly (one year average std_dev: %).

Analysis   News   Options   Weekly Chart   Daily Chart   2 Month Daily Chart   

  >  20200831

iDateTo High-Lowema20
Trend
ema10
Trend
ema5
Trend
Hourly
Trend
Last
Hour
EMA
Ratio
BBVHourly
BBV
RVVSIVVIXCDVolume
millions
CloseActualPriceRangeTrend-Narrative  NextDay
PriceTarget  
NextDayPriceRangeRSI
1Jul_31_2020-31.5%-0-4.2%,-0.7(0)-5.6%,-0.9(-0)-1.1%,-0.20.3-1.03%-5.2%-1.2-0.6-1.414.39%1.730.72   28.52(-2.33%)28.38-29.93Bottom 28.87(1.23%)28.21-29.3118
2Jul_30_2020-29.8%-2.2-4.4%,-0.7(0.1)-5.6%,-0.9(0)-0.6%,-0.1-00.1%-5.1%-1-0.7-1.114.31%1.732.77   29.2(2.21%)29-31.27Downtrend 28.88(-1.09%)28.6-29.5440
3Jul_29_2020-31.3%-0-4.8%,-0.8(-0)-5.7%,-1(-0)-0.4%,-0.1-1.2-0.38%-4.9%-1.5-0.7-1.513.77%1.920.84   28.57(-2.06%)28.42-29.09Bottom 29.05(1.68%)28.28-29.5635
4Jul_28_2020-29.9%-0-4.8%,-0.8(-0)-5.6%,-1(0)-0.2%,-0-0.60.49%-4.6%-1.3-0.9-1.20.94.92%1.825.58   29.17(-0.58%)28.23-29.58Bottom 29.55(1.3%)28.88-29.9939
5Jul_27_2020-29.5%-0.6-4.6%,-0.8(-0)-5.6%,-0.9(-0.1)0.1%,00.6-0.47%-4.3%-1.3-1.2-1.314.46%1.820.78   29.34(-2.75%)29.27-30.19Bottom 29.74(1.37%)29.04-30.2137
 
6Jul_24_2020-27.5%-3.5-4.6%,-0.7(0)-4.9%,-0.7(-0)-0.3%,-00.6-0.72%-3.8%-10-11.14.93%1.532.94   30.17(0.33%)30.14-31.46Downtrend 29.87(-1%)29.57-30.5744
7Jul_23_2020-31.8%-3.1-4.6%,-0.7(-0)-4.9%,-0.7(-0.1)-1.1%,-0.20.30.93%-3.9%-1.1-0.2-1.21.15.28%1.435.1   30.07(3.12%)28.7-30.68Downtrend 29.71(-1.2%)29.36-30.5344
8Jul_22_2020-34%-0-4.4%,-0.6(-0)-4.3%,-0.6(-0.1)-2%,-0.3-0.60.03%-4%-1.6-1.4-1.71.14.47%1.722.48   29.16(-1.12%)29.13-30.09Downtrend 28.92(-0.83%)28.55-29.7738
9Jul_21_2020-36.5%-1.1-4.2%,-0.7(-0)-3.7%,-0.6(-0.1)-2.4%,-0.4-1.80%-3.7%-1.7-1.7-1.714.73%1.735.95   29.49(0.89%)28.15-29.85Relative Oversold 30.12(2.15%)28.64-31.3436
10Jul_20_2020-37%-0.2-4%,-0.7(-0.1)-3.2%,-0.5(-0.1)-3.7%,-0.6-1.50%-3.3%-2.1-1.9-1.80.94.52%2.126.79   29.23(-4.54%)28.73-30.39Downtrend 29.08(-0.53%)28.71-29.9231
 
11Jul_17_2020-34%-5-3.3%,-0.6(0.1)-2.6%,-0.5(0.1)-0.9%,-0.2-1.5-0.52%-3.4%-1.7-1.6-1.40.94.49%219.12   30.62(-3.59%)30.57-31.73Downtrend 30.55(-0.23%)30.28-31.1729
12Jul_16_2020-31.6%-8.9% -3.7%,-0.7(-0.2)-3%,-0.6(0.1)-0.8%,-0.2-1.2-0.13%-3.7%-1.3-1.2-10.84.63%1.827.41   31.76(-1.55%)31.6-33.07Rebound 32.81(3.32%)31.43-33.4141
13Jul_15_2020-30.5%-10.6% -2.8%,-0.5(-0.1)-3.6%,-0.7(0)-0.2%,-00.3-0.52%-4%-1.2-1.7-0.90.84.38%1.828.5   32.26(-2.86%)32.13-33.68Downtrend 32.15(-0.34%)31.92-32.6838
14Jul_14_2020-28.5%-13.8% -2.1%,-0.4(-0.2)-3.7%,-0.7(-0)-0.1%,-00.9-0.71%-4.2%-0.8-0.1-0.50.85.2%1.345.84   33.21(-5.76%)33.12-36.01Downtrend 33.05(-0.49%)32.87-33.4748
15Jul_13_2020-24.1%-20.8% -1.1%,-0.2(-0.1)-3.5%,-0.7(0.2)1.8%,0.301.64%-4.1%0.23.40.30.85.81%134.24   35.24(9.61%)31.73-35.39Downtrend Consolidation 35.07(-0.47%)35.14-35.0551
 
16Jul_10_2020-30.7%-10.2% -0.4%,-0.1(-0.2)-4.4%,-0.7(0)-0.1%,-00-0.53%-4.1%-1.3-1.1-0.60.94.4%1.322.82   32.15(-2.75%)32.15-33.98Downtrend 32.03(-0.38%)31.77-32.6237
17Jul_9_2020-28.8%-13.3% 1.1%,0.2(0)-4.6%,-0.7(0)0.1%,00.6-0.42%-4.4%-10.6-0.31.15.01%132.2   33.06(1.57%)32.33-34.51Downtrend 32.96(-0.31%)32.72-33.5141
18Jul_8_2020-29.9%-11.6% 1%,0.1(-0)-4.7%,-0.7(0)-0.9%,-0.10.6-0.63%-3.3%-1.10.7-0.41.14.52%1.124.69   32.55(-2.52%)32.46-33.96Downtrend 32.46(-0.27%)32.2-33.0738
19Jul_7_2020-28.1%-14.5% 1.1%,0.2(0)-5%,-0.7(0)-1.4%,-0.2-01.07%-2.6%-0.70.2-0.11.14.77%124.54   33.39(3.44%)31.67-33.5Downtrend 33.14(-0.76%)32.9-33.740
20Jul_6_2020-30.5%-10.7% 1.1%,0.1(-0)-5%,-0.6(-0.1)-3.1%,-0.4-1.20.49%-1.7%-1-0.9-0.51.34.59%1.123.56   32.28(-0.12%)31.19-32.66Correction 30.29(-6.16%)29.93-31.7634
 
21Jul_2_2020-31.8%-10.8% 1.4%,0.2(-0)-3.9%,-0.4(0)-1.7%,-0.2-1.50.34%-0.1%-0.9-1.5-0.31.43.59%1.227.86   32.32(-1.73%)31.03-32.58Downtrend 32.17(-0.47%)31.89-32.8331
22Jul_1_2020-34.5%-12.8% 1.5%,0.2(-0)-4.3%,-0.5(-0.3)-2.2%,-0.2-1.2-0.15%1.2%-0.7-1.9-0.11.44.67%0.924.76   32.89(-3.12%)32.66-33.91Correction 30.88(-6.12%)30.49-32.4427
23Jun_30_2020-32.4%-16.4% 1.8%,0.2(0)-1.9%,-0.2(-0.2)-0.3%,-0-0.3-0.91%2.6%-0.3-1.50.31.45.56%0.426.83   33.95(-4.85%)33.6-36.1Correction 32.42(-4.5%)32.08-33.7961
24Jun_29_2020-29%-22.3% 1.8%,0.2(0)-0.4%,-0(-0.2)0.3%,000.14%3.6%0.2-0.10.91.45.36%0.424.88   35.68(-4.85%)35.62-38.1Range Bound 35.62(-0.16%)35.35-35.8464
25Jun_26_2020-25.9%-28.6% 1.6%,0.2(0)1.4%,0.2(-0.3)0.3%,00.60.8%4.5%0.81.51.61.46.43%0.144.59   37.5(5.96%)35.32-37.91Uptrend Consolidation 36.78(-1.93%)36.46-37.7370
iDateTo High-Lowema20
Trend
ema10
Trend
ema5
Trend
Hourly
Trend
Last
Hour
EMA
Ratio
BBVHourly
BBV
RVVSIVVIXCDVolume
millions
Close  5 Day
Target  
Trend
Narrative
  5 Day
Price Change  
SRIRSI
Click to see actual return for next trading day.
 
 
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