Trading Signals: VWO Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ VWO: Intraday Forecast Similar Waves Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Wed. Feb. 17, 2021

Trading Signals: VWO Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Thu. Mar. 10, 2005 - Thu. Apr. 15, 2021)

(Vanguard FTSE Emerging Markets Index Fund ETF)
VWO latest price $56.4900 (0.25%) ($56.0950 - $56.5000) on Wed. Feb. 17, 2021.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Trend Pattern   Growing Uptrend
Trend Narrative   Uptrend
Average Daily Price Swing   $1.28 (2.35% one month average)
Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.09% (three month average)
Weekly Trend Force   0.4% (StdDev 1.09%)
Daily Moving Force   0.3%
Correction Force   Weak (0%)
Hourly Trend Strength   0.05%
Trend   0.54%
Trend Strength   1.7%
Trend Clarity   0.17(0.4/1.28/54.47)
RSI   80
Momentum   2.2
Latest Price   $56.4900(0.25%)
Forecasted Low Price   56.32(-0.3%)
Forecasted High Price   57.05(1%)
Direction of Next Movement   Higher(0.8%)
% Change Needed to Confirm Correction   0.9% (55.96)
% Change Needed for Trend Reversal   2.5%
Hourly Trend 0.3% [$56.4(0.15), $56.24(0.19)]
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Complacency   10
Intraday Reversal Probability   N/A.
Daily Trend   VWO advances 0.4% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   VWO advances 3.1% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Value stock rally for large cap. Broad based sell-off for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support VWO advance at 0.2% a week (95% probability)
EEM(99%)    MCHI(95%)    FXI(94%)    KWEB(88%)    EWY(82%)
Factors Impacting VWO price   VWO will decline at least -0.1% in a week (45% probabilities).
VXX(-54%)    UUP(-49%)    VIXM(-41%)    TBT(-12%)    ROBT(-5%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.
Trading Plan   Not Available

Valuation to SPY 2.1

Relative Volatility 0.2 (options are faily valued)

Market Trend Strength   0.5% (StdDev 1.09%)
Hourly BBV -3 ()
Intraday Trend 0.2%

Next Day Open Price   $56.54(0.08%)
Support Level   $54.47
5 Day Moving Average   $56.13(0.64%)
10 Day Moving Average   $55.4(1.97%)
20 Day Moving Average   $54.47(3.71%)
To recent high   0%
To recent low   19.1%
Market Cap   $N/A

Option Sentiment

$. Technical analysis works only if the market conditions in the future are not drastically different from the past. Always read market news to understand the causes of the price movement before making a trading decision. News

$. VWO price fluctuates within 2.35% (three month std-dev: 1.09% one year average std_dev: 0%) daily (68% of days).
$. VWO price fluctuates within 0% weekly (one year average std_dev: %).

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20210317

i	Date	ema20(Trend)	ema10(Trend)	ema5(Trend)	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	ActualPriceRange	BBV	Hourly BBV	Daily Moving Force	Weekly Trend Force	Reversal Force	Hourly Trend Strength	Trend	Trend Strength	RSI	Momentum	Trend Pattern	Next Direction	C	RV	VIXCD	Trend-Narrative	NextDay PriceTarget	NextDayPriceRange	Volume millions	To High-Low
1	Feb_17_2021	54.47 (0.4%)	55.4 (0.6%)	56.13 (0.4%)	56.24	56.4(0%)	56.49(0.25%)	56.1-56.5	1.7(1.6)	-3	0.3%	0.4%	0%	0.05%	0.54%	1.7%	80	2.2	Growing Uptrend	Higher(0.7%)	10	2.1	2.1	Uptrend	57.26(1.37%)	56.12-57.75	6.38	0%-19.1%
2	Feb_16_2021	54.31 (0.4%)	55.13 (0.6%)	55.91 (0.6%)	56.05	56.25(0%)	56.35(0.28%)	56.2-56.66	1.8(1.7)	-1.1	0.5%	0.5%	0%	0.16%	0.5%	1.5%	63	2	Growing Uptrend	Higher(1%)	10	2.1	2	Growing Uptrend	57.23(1.57%)	56-57.54	7.42	0%-18.8%
3	Feb_12_2021	54.11 (0.4%)	54.8 (0.4%)	55.59 (0.6%)	55.72	56.07(0%)	56.19(0.18%)	55.83-56.33	1.8(1.8)	0.1	0.5%	0.6%	0%	0.34%	0.44%	1.3%	60	1.9	Growing Uptrend	Higher(1.1%)	9	1.8	2.1	Growing Uptrend	56.89(1.25%)	55.86-57.15	7.56	0%-20.7%
4	Feb_11_2021	53.95 (0.2%)	54.36 (0.4%)	55.25 (0.7%)	55.37	55.84(0%)	56.09(1.04%)	55.89-56.31	1.7(2)	0.9	0.8%	0.5%	0%	0.47%	0.34%	0.8%	61	1.8	Growing Uptrend	Higher(1.3%)	8	2.2	2.2	Growing Uptrend	56.59(0.9%)	55.73-56.81	7.93	0%-20.5%
5	Feb_10_2021	53.77 (0.2%)	54.03 (0.2%)	54.86 (0.6%)	54.95	55.37(0%)	55.51(0.22%)	55.19-55.9	1.5(1.8)	2	0.7%	0.5%	0%	0.53%	0.24%	0.5%	55	1.7	Growing Uptrend	Higher(1.2%)	7	1.5	2.2	Growing Uptrend	55.86(0.63%)	55.2-56.02	9.14	0%-19.3%

6	Feb_9_2021	53.61 (0.2%)	53.73 (0.2%)	54.56 (0.6%)	54.54	54.91(0%)	55.39(1.11%)	54.85-55.43	1.4(1.9)	0.5	0.6%	0.3%	0%	0.51%	0.16%	0.2%	54	1.6	Growing Uptrend	Higher(0.9%)	6	1.3	2	Growing Uptrend	55.6(0.38%)	55.07-55.73	7.82	0%-19%
7	Feb_8_2021	53.44 (0.2%)	53.56 (0%)	54.24 (0.7%)	54.27	54.52(0%)	54.78(0.51%)	54.5-54.86	1.2(1.5)	2.2	0.6%	0.2%	0%	0.53%	0.12%	0.2%	58	1.5	Growing Uptrend	Higher(0.8%)	5	0.1	1.8	Uptrend	54.9(0.22%)	54.52-55.06	6.86	0%-17.7%
8	Feb_5_2021	53.32 (0.2%)	53.48 (0%)	53.89 (1.1%)	54.04	54.18(0%)	54.5(0.74%)	54.09-54.52	1(1.3)	4.4	0.6%	0.2%	0%	0.2%	0.12%	0.3%	62	1.5	Growing Uptrend	Higher(0.8%)	4	0.5	1.7	Growing Uptrend	54.71(0.39%)	54.3-54.81	6.46	0%-17.1%
9	Feb_4_2021	53.16 (0.2%)	53.41 (-0%)	53.32 (0.5%)	53.65	54.01(0%)	54.1(0.15%)	53.74-54.11	0.6(1)	0.5	0.5%	0.1%	0%	0.22%	0.04%	0.5%	56	1.5	Growing Uptrend	Higher(0.6%)	4	0.3	1.5	Correction	53.75(-0.64%)	53.35-54.24	7.19	-0.5%-17.8%
10	Feb_3_2021	53.02 (0.2%)	53.43 (-0%)	53.06 (0.6%)	53.12	53.9(0%)	54.02(0.37%)	53.81-54.19	0.4(1)	0.9	0.9%	0%	0%	1.11%	0.04%	0.8%	58	1.6	Growing Uptrend	Higher(0.9%)	4	1.1	1.7	Correction	53.64(-0.7%)	53.2-54.17	8.44	-0.7%-21.4%

11	Feb_2_2021	52.89 (0.2%)	53.45 (-0%)	52.77 (-0%)	52.77	53.29(0%)	53.82(1.57%)	53.57-53.86	0.2(0.9)	1.5	1%	0.1%	0%	1.23%	0.06%	1%	59	1.6	Growing Uptrend	Higher(1.1%)	4	1	1.4	Correction	53.46(-0.66%)	53.09-53.92	8.35	-1%-21.3%
12	Feb_1_2021	52.73 (0.2%)	53.4 (0%)	52.79 (-0.5%)	52.52	52.34(0%)	52.99(2.53%)	52.46-53.06	0.1(0.2)	1	-0.2%	0.1%	0%	-0.15%	0.1%	1.3%	58	1.8	Correction	Range(-0.1%)	4	0.8	1.1	N/A	53.05(0.12%)	52.82-53.25	14.51	-2.6%-19.4%
13	Jan_29_2021	52.59 (0.4%)	53.37 (0%)	53.05 (-0.9%)	52.79	52.25(0%)	51.68(-2.14%)	51.5-52.19	0.3(-0.8)	-1	-0.9%	-0.2%	0%	-0.51%	0.16%	1.5%	48	1.9	Downtrend Reversal	Range(-0%)	5	0.4	0.2	Uptrend Consolidation	51.94(0.51%)	51.96-51.87	22.71	-5%-18%
14	Jan_28_2021	52.54 (0.4%)	53.54 (0.2%)	53.51 (-0.6%)	53.39	52.7(0%)	52.81(0.52%)	52.29-53.01	0.8(0.2)	-0.3	-0.9%	0.1%	0%	-0.64%	0.3%	1.9%	61	2.2	Downtrend Reversal	Lower(-0.8%)	6	0.6	0.6	Uptrend Consolidation	52.82(0.02%)	52.68-53.24	13.37	-2.9%-20.5%
15	Jan_27_2021	52.39 (0.4%)	53.53 (0.4%)	53.83 (-0.7%)	53.71	53.33(0%)	52.54(-2.59%)	52.53-53.14	1.1(0.1)	-1.2	-1.1%	0.1%	0%	-0.69%	0.4%	2.2%	62	2.3	Downtrend Reversal	Range(0.3%)	7	0.8	0.9	Uptrend Consolidation	52.64(0.19%)	52.47-53.14	10.38	-3.4%-19.9%

16	Jan_26_2021	52.23 (0.4%)	53.54 (0.4%)	54.19 (0.2%)	54.11	54.08(0%)	53.93(-0.63%)	53.64-54.02	1.5(1.1)	0.2	%	0.4%	0%	-0.11%	0.48%	2.5%	67	2.6	Uptrend	Higher(0.7%)	8	0.9	1.5	Uptrend	54.83(1.66%)	53.62-55.34	8.15	-0.8%-23.1%
17	Jan_25_2021	51.99 (0.4%)	53.35 (0.6%)	54.1 (0.7%)	54.23	54.09(0%)	54.27(0.5%)	53.77-54.56	1.6(1.4)	-0.6	0.2%	0.4%	0%	-0.11%	0.52%	2.6%	75	2.8	Growing Uptrend	Higher(0.6%)	9	1.1	2.2	Uptrend	55.27(1.85%)	53.84-55.89	8.7	-0.2%-23.9%
18	Jan_22_2021	51.73 (0.4%)	53.16 (0.6%)	53.74 (0.3%)	54.05	54.14(0%)	54(-0.72%)	53.69-54.11	1.6(1.4)	-0.9	%	0.5%	0%	-0.24%	0.52%	2.8%	75	2.7	Uptrend Dip	Higher(0.9%)	10	1.3	2.1	Uptrend	54.92(1.71%)	53.59-55.49	7.06	-0.7%-23.3%
19	Jan_21_2021	51.47 (0.4%)	52.91 (0.6%)	53.57 (0.7%)	53.73	54.37(0%)	54.39(0.02%)	54.13-54.53	1.7(1.8)	-0.1	0.7%	0.6%	0%	0.54%	0.52%	2.8%	76	2.8	Growing Uptrend	Higher(1.3%)	10	1.6	2.4	Uptrend	55.39(1.83%)	53.87-56.04	13.48	0%-24.1%
20	Jan_20_2021	51.2 (0.4%)	52.57 (0.6%)	53.21 (0.8%)	53.44	53.96(0%)	54.38(1.74%)	54.15-54.46	1.7(2)	0.7	1.2%	0.5%	0%	1.01%	0.5%	2.7%	79	2.8	Growing Uptrend	Higher(1.7%)	10	1.8	2.3	Uptrend	55.33(1.74%)	53.79-55.98	8.07	0%-24.1%

21	Jan_19_2021	50.97 (0.4%)	52.27 (0.6%)	52.81 (0.6%)	53	53.1(0%)	53.45(1.81%)	53.38-53.73	1.6(1.6)	-0.3	0.5%	0.5%	0%	0.08%	0.5%	2.6%	78	2.7	Growing Uptrend	Higher(1%)	10	1.8	2.3	Uptrend	54.37(1.73%)	53.01-54.95	10.47	0%-22%
22	Jan_15_2021	50.79 (0.4%)	51.97 (0.6%)	52.81 (0%)	52.7	52.91(0%)	52.5(-1.15%)	52.4-52.84	1.6(1.2)	0.6	0.1%	0.4%	0%	0.21%	0.5%	2.3%	77	2.6	Uptrend Dip	Higher(1.1%)	10	1.7	2.5	After Top	53.15(1.24%)	51.5-54.5	9.89	-1.1%-19.8%
23	Jan_14_2021	50.65 (0.4%)	51.74 (0.6%)	52.49 (0.7%)	52.51	52.9(0%)	53.11(0.99%)	53.05-53.48	1.8(1.8)	0.7	0.7%	0.5%	0%	0.63%	0.54%	2.2%	78	2.5	Growing Uptrend	Higher(1.2%)	10	2.2	2.5	Uptrend	53.99(1.65%)	52.68-54.55	9.73	0%-21.2%
24	Jan_13_2021	50.46 (0.4%)	51.45 (0.6%)	52.15 (0.6%)	52.27	52.48(0%)	52.59(0.32%)	52.32-52.86	1.9(1.7)	2.3	0.6%	0.5%	0%	0.36%	0.52%	2%	79	2.3	Growing Uptrend	Higher(1.1%)	10	1.6	1.9	Uptrend	53.39(1.53%)	52.23-53.89	15.72	0%-20%
25	Jan_12_2021	50.28 (0.2%)	51.15 (0.6%)	51.83 (0.4%)	51.95	52.12(0%)	52.42(1.1%)	52.16-52.56	1.9(1.9)	-0.9	0.3%	0.6%	0%	0.12%	0.48%	1.7%	74	2.1	Growing Uptrend	Higher(0.9%)	10	1.8	2	Growing Uptrend	53.21(1.51%)	52.06-53.5	14.72	-0.1%-19.7%
i	Date	ema20(Trend)	ema10(Trend)	ema5(Trend)	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	ActualPriceRange	BBV	Hourly BBV	Daily Moving Force	Weekly Trend Force	Reversal Force	Trend	Trend Strength	RSI	Momentum	Trend Pattern	Next Direction	C	RV	VIXCD	Trend-Narrative	NextDay PriceTarget	NextDayPriceRange	Volume millions	To High-Low

Click to see actual return for next trading day.