Trading Signals: VUG Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Fri. Jul. 23, 2021

Trading Signals: VUG Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Aug. 24, 2015 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Vanguard Growth ETF)
VUG latest price $299.5800 (1.53%) ($296.3400 - $299.7700) on Fri. Jul. 23, 2021.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.87% (three month average)
RSI   65
Latest Price   $299.5800(1.53%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   VUG advances 0.7% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   VUG advances 0.2% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Broad based rally for large cap. Growth stock rally for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support VUG advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
XLK(97%)    VT(93%)    XLY(92%)    XLC(89%)    IVW(83%)
Factors Impacting VUG price   VUG will decline at least -0.435% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-68%)    UUP(-37%)    VXX(-22%)    TBT(-7%)    IGOV(-4%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.435% (StdDev 0.87%)
Hourly BBV 1.5 ()
Intraday Trend 0.9%

5 Day Moving Average   $293.02(2.24%)
10 Day Moving Average   $292.83(2.31%)
20 Day Moving Average   $291.12(2.91%)
To recent high   0%
To recent low   16.3%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. VUG price fluctuates within 1.24% (three month std-dev: 0.87%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 46 Average positive next day return: 0.55%(41%) Average negative next day return: -0.79%(59%) Sample size 46 Average positive next three day return: 1.21%(50%) Average negative next three day return: -1.98%(50%) Sample size 46 Average positive next weekly return: 1.89%(54%) Average negative next weekly return: -2.27%(46%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20210823

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jul_23_2021	272.01	291.12	292.83	293.02	293.41	296.15	299.58(1.53%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.8	254	70	295	132	0.88	67%	0.2	80.6	0.87%	1.5	2.3	65	-0.2
2	Jul_22_2021	271.46	290.31	292.09	291.12	290.43	293.07	295.08(0.72%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	142	60	166	68	0.58	64%	0.17	77.6	0.87%	1.5	1.4	65	-0
3	Jul_21_2021	270.99	289.69	291.64	290.5	289.77	290.66	292.97(0.68%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	137	10	161	66	0.74	64%	0.14	78	0.87%	1.1	0.9	63	0.7
4	Jul_20_2021	270.61	289.18	291.6	290.62	289.87	287.79	290.99(1.57%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-88	-60	-108	-28	1.15	64%	0.12	82.4	0.88%	1.2	0.5	60	-0.5
5	Jul_19_2021	270.29	288.64	291.74	291.07	291.13	288.87	286.49(-1.23%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.1	-208	-50	-255	-66	1.04	61%	0.13	77.7	0.86%	-1.5	-0.5	54	-2.8

6	Jul_16_2021	269.95	288.24	292.22	292.51	292.99	291.94	290.06(-0.66%)	CR	SmallShort	-20	-0.5	-75	-20	-109	27	1.12	65%	0.14	77.8	0.85%	-1.6	0.4	69	0.3
7	Jul_15_2021	269.56	287.72	292.02	293.11	293.53	293.39	291.99(-0.54%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.2	-5	0	-32	76	0.8	68%	0.12	80.4	0.85%	-1.4	0.8	76	1
8	Jul_14_2021	269.24	286.94	291.55	292.87	293.41	294.04	293.59(0.13%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.1	80	20	66	123	1.12	68%	0.13	76.5	0.86%	-0	1.2	84	1.6
9	Jul_13_2021	268.88	286.1	290.93	292.73	292.18	293.67	293.21(-0.17%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	76	30	58	128	1.24	68%	0.13	78.2	0.88%	0	1.2	83	1.2
10	Jul_12_2021	268.53	285.35	290.27	292.55	291.99	292.78	293.7(0.22%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.2	153	10	144	178	0.77	68%	0.11	83.4	0.88%	1.1	1.4	88	1.2

11	Jul_9_2021	268.23	284.45	289.32	291.92	291.4	290.69	293.06(0.78%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.2	33	-20	-0	130	0.79	68%	0.1	85.4	0.88%	1	1.5	90	1.1
12	Jul_8_2021	267.96	283.53	288.39	290.77	290.81	291.21	290.79(-0.72%)	UD	OpenLong	65	0	14	10	-21	120	0.74	68%	0.09	86.8	0.88%	-0.7	1.3	79	-0.1
13	Jul_7_2021	267.71	282.62	287.59	289.97	290.12	292.11	292.89(0.19%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.5	166	50	156	197	0.89	68%	0.09	82.9	0.89%	1.3	1.7	88	1
14	Jul_6_2021	267.46	281.57	286.51	288.84	288.58	290.41	292.33(0.63%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.6	183	40	176	205	0.78	68%	0.09	82.1	0.89%	1.3	1.8	83	0.9
15	Jul_2_2021	267.22	280.54	285.22	287.66	287.44	288.12	290.51(1.11%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	131	10	118	171	0.68	71%	0.09	79	0.9%	1.8	1.7	75	1.5

16	Jul_1_2021	266.98	279.56	283.89	286.38	286.46	286.76	287.33(0.18%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.2	51	10	27	123	0.58	72%	0.08	73.9	0.9%	1.1	1.3	76	1.7
17	Jun_30_2021	266.76	278.6	283.06	285.64	285.8	286.77	286.81(-0.15%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	82	30	63	137	0.81	72%	0.08	69.3	0.92%	0.4	1.4	76	1.5
18	Jun_29_2021	266.56	277.76	281.96	284.78	285.08	286.16	287.23(0.29%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.4	123	30	112	154	0.63	72%	0.08	67.7	0.93%	1.3	1.7	80	1.4
19	Jun_28_2021	266.34	276.88	280.89	283.8	284.04	284.84	286.41(0.81%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.5	106	20	93	146	0.67	72%	0.08	68.3	0.93%	2	1.8	80	1.7
20	Jun_25_2021	266.13	276.08	280.02	282.41	282.88	284	284.11(0.17%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.4	111	30	99	145	0.49	73%	0.08	71.4	0.94%	0.4	1.7	79	2

21	Jun_24_2021	265.92	275.36	279.18	281	281.37	283.24	283.63(0.39%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.6	141	50	137	154	0.65	73%	0.09	71.7	0.94%	0.7	1.8	79	1.7
22	Jun_23_2021	265.69	274.68	278.29	280.08	279.76	281.77	282.54(0.07%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.6	171	50	171	171	0.62	73%	0.08	81.2	0.96%	1.2	1.9	82	1.7
23	Jun_22_2021	265.47	274.03	277.26	278.69	278.4	279.5	282.33(1.04%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	142	20	140	147	0.7	75%	0.1	88.7	0.96%	1.9	2.1	72	1.4
24	Jun_21_2021	265.21	273.37	276.23	277.55	277.1	277.76	279.42(0.85%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	47	10	31	95	0.73	74%	0.11	99.2	0.97%	1.2	1.7	70	0.6
25	Jun_18_2021	264.92	272.66	275.48	277.31	276.93	277.3	277.06(-0.71%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	63	10	49	103	0.87	66%		96.2	0.97%	0.3	1.2	64	-0.2
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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