Trading Signals: VIXM Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ VIXM: Intraday Forecast Similar Waves Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Mon. Oct. 26, 2020

Trading Signals: VIXM Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. May. 12, 2014 - Fri. Apr. 16, 2021)

(ProShares VIX Mid-Term Futures ETF)
VIXM latest price $40.3900 (4.26%) ($38.9700 - $40.7190) on Mon. Oct. 26, 2020.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Trend Pattern   Uptrend Reversal
Trend Narrative   Rebound
Average Daily Price Swing   $1.05 (2.64% one month average)
Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.44% (three month average)
Weekly Trend Force   0.3% (StdDev 1.44%)
Daily Moving Force   0.8%
Correction Force   Weak (0%)
Hourly Trend Strength   0.2%
Trend   -0.2%
Trend Strength   -1.6%
Trend Clarity   0.11(0.3/1.05/39.74)
RSI   44
Momentum   1.8
Latest Price   $40.3900(4.26%)
Forecasted Low Price   40.23(-0.4%)
Forecasted High Price   41(1.5%)
Direction of Next Movement   Higher(1.3%)
% Change Needed to Confirm Correction   6.6% (37.88)
% Change Needed for Trend Reversal   4%
Hourly Trend 1.3% [$39.17(0.49), $39.08(0.1)]
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Complacency   6
Intraday Reversal Probability   N/A.
Daily Trend   VIXM advances 0.3% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   VIXM declines -0.7% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Broad based sell-off for large cap. Broad based sell-off for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support VIXM advance at 0.1% a week (78% probability)
VXX(83%)    UUP(16%)    UNG(12%)    SHY(11%)    TLT(6%)
Factors Impacting VIXM price   VIXM will advance at least 0.1% in a week (66% probabilities).
SPY(-70%)    VT(-67%)    DIA(-65%)    IWD(-64%)    IDRV(-64%)
Trading Plan   Buy the rebound

Valuation to SPY 0.5

Relative Volatility -0.5 (options are faily valued)

Market Trend Strength   0.5% (StdDev 1.44%)
Hourly BBV 1.6 ()
Intraday Trend 3.4%

Next Day Open Price   $40.55(0.4%)
Inflection Point   Yes
Support Level   $39.74
5 Day Moving Average   $39.26(2.88%)
10 Day Moving Average   $39.11(3.27%)
20 Day Moving Average   $39.74(1.64%)
To recent high   -5.5%
To recent low   6.5%
Market Cap   $N/A

Option Sentiment

$. Technical analysis works only if the market conditions in the future are not drastically different from the past. Always read market news to understand the causes of the price movement before making a trading decision. News

$. VIXM price fluctuates within 2.64% (three month std-dev: 1.44% one year average std_dev: 0%) daily (68% of days).
$. VIXM price fluctuates within 0% weekly (one year average std_dev: %).

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20201126

i	Date	ema20(Trend)	ema10(Trend)	ema5(Trend)	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	ActualPriceRange	BBV	Hourly BBV	Daily Moving Force	Weekly Trend Force	Reversal Force	Hourly Trend Strength	Trend	Trend Strength	RSI	Momentum	Trend Pattern	Next Direction	C	RV	VIXCD	Trend-Narrative	NextDay PriceTarget	NextDayPriceRange	Volume millions	To High-Low
1	Oct_26_2020	39.74 (-0.4%)	39.11 (-0.2%)	39.26 (0.3%)	39.08	39.17(0%)	40.39(4.26%)	38.97-40.72	-0.5(0.6)	1.6	0.8%	0.3%	0%	0.2%	-0.2%	-1.6%	44	1.8	Uptrend Reversal	Higher(1.1%)	6	0.5	-0.2	Rebound	40.01(-0.94%)	40.12-39.96	0.1	-5.5%-6.5%
2	Oct_23_2020	39.77 (-0.4%)	38.92 (-0.2%)	39.16 (-0.1%)	38.98	38.68(0%)	38.74(0.23%)	38.35-38.78	-0.8(-0.9)	0.6	-0.6%	-0.2%	0%	-0.08%	-0.3%	-2.1%	29	2.1	Growing Downtrend	Lower(-0.8%)	5	-1	0.8	Rebound	39.12(0.99%)	38.25-39.5	0.01	-9.4%-2.1%
3	Oct_22_2020	39.91 (-0.4%)	38.96 (-0.4%)	39.18 (0%)	39.19	39(0%)	38.65(-0.8%)	38.46-39.09	-0.8(-1.1)	-0.2	-0.3%	-0.4%	0%	-0.05%	-0.36%	-2.4%	24	2.2	Growing Downtrend	Range(-0.3%)	5	-1	0.6	Downtrend	38.27(-0.98%)	38.02-38.85	0.04	-9.6%-1.9%
4	Oct_21_2020	40.09 (-0.2%)	39.11 (-0.4%)	39.17 (0.2%)	39.14	39.29(0%)	38.96(-1.49%)	38.69-39.58	-0.9(-0.9)	-1.1	%	-0.4%	0%	-0.56%	-0.4%	-2.4%	32	2.3	Growing Downtrend	Range(0.3%)	5	-0.9	0.1	Downtrend	38.55(-1.05%)	38.29-39.17	0.05	-8.8%-2.7%
5	Oct_20_2020	40.27 (-0.2%)	39.27 (-0.4%)	39.08 (0.4%)	39.11	39.38(0%)	39.55(-0.93%)	38.88-39.65	-1.1(-0.6)	2.6	0.8%	-0.3%	0%	0.1%	-0.4%	-2.5%	41	2.4	Confirmed Rebound	Higher(1%)	4	-0.7	0.2	Downtrend	39.11(-1.12%)	38.86-39.67	0.02	-7.5%-4.3%

6	Oct_19_2020	40.38 (-0.2%)	39.39 (-0.6%)	38.92 (0.7%)	38.89	38.98(0%)	39.92(2.78%)	38.82-39.93	-1.3(-0.4)	2.9	0.4%	-0.2%	0%	0.58%	-0.44%	-2.5%	42	2.3	Rebound	Range(0.2%)	3	-0.5	1.2	After Bottom	39.61(-0.78%)	38.88-40.2	0.03	-6.6%-5.3%
7	Oct_16_2020	40.45 (-0.2%)	39.46 (-0.6%)	38.66 (-0.2%)	38.89	38.84(0%)	38.84(0.7%)	38.1-38.85	-1.7(-1.3)	1.4	%	-0.6%	0%	0.03%	-0.5%	-2.4%	28	2.3	Downtrend Pop	Range(-0.6%)	3	-1.3	0.9	Downtrend	38.33(-1.32%)	37.99-39.11	0.02	-9.1%-2.4%
8	Oct_15_2020	40.56 (-0.2%)	39.73 (-0.6%)	38.72 (-0.9%)	38.76	38.81(0%)	38.57(0.1%)	38.47-39.65	-1.9(-1.7)	1	-0.1%	-0.5%	0%	-0.28%	-0.46%	-2%	23	2.2	Growing Downtrend	Range(-0.6%)	3	-1.5	0.7	Downtrend	38.1(-1.21%)	37.77-38.88	0.06	-9.8%-1.7%
9	Oct_14_2020	40.66 (-0%)	40 (-0.6%)	39.06 (-1.1%)	38.85	38.69(0%)	38.53(-0.49%)	38.14-38.74	-1.7(-1.9)	1.7	-0.6%	-0.5%	0%	-0.18%	-0.42%	-1.6%	20	2.1	Growing Downtrend	Lower(-0.9%)	2	-1.6	0.9	Downtrend	38.15(-0.99%)	37.83-38.88	0.04	-9.9%-1.6%
10	Oct_13_2020	40.75 (-0%)	40.23 (-0.6%)	39.49 (-1.1%)	39.32	38.71(0%)	38.72(0.18%)	38.5-39.2	-1.4(-1.9)	0.6	-1%	-0.4%	0%	0.13%	-0.38%	-1.3%	19	1.8	Growing Downtrend	Lower(-1.4%)	2	-1.8	0.9	Relative Oversold	38.93(0.54%)	37.89-39.78	0.05	-9.4%-2.1%

11	Oct_12_2020	40.8 (0%)	40.45 (-0.4%)	39.92 (-1.1%)	39.79	39.02(0%)	38.65(-1.25%)	38.37-38.91	-1.1(-2.1)	-0.6	-1.8%	-0.5%	0%	0.21%	-0.34%	-0.9%	30	1.5	Growing Downtrend	Lower(-1.7%)	2	-2.2	1.3	Correction	37.57(-2.8%)	37.39-38.26	0.04	-9.6%-1.9%
12	Oct_9_2020	40.85 (0%)	40.72 (-0.4%)	40.36 (-1.3%)	40.36	39.94(0%)	39.14(-2.73%)	38.8-39.97	-0.6(-1.7)	-1.6	-1.4%	-0.4%	0%	0.13%	-0.26%	-0.3%	37	1.5	Growing Downtrend	Range(-0.4%)	2	-1.8	1.1	Correction	38.15(-2.52%)	37.99-38.8	0.05	-8.4%-3.2%
13	Oct_8_2020	40.86 (0%)	40.98 (-0.2%)	40.88 (-0.5%)	40.81	40.55(0%)	40.24(-1.15%)	40.24-40.74	-0(-0.6)	-3	-0.6%	-0.3%	0%	-0.27%	-0.14%	0.3%	47	1.5	Growing Downtrend	Range(-0.3%)	3	-1.1	1.1	Correction	39.52(-1.8%)	39.38-40.05	0.02	-5.8%-6.1%
14	Oct_7_2020	40.84 (0%)	41.17 (-0%)	41.08 (0%)	41.17	40.78(0%)	40.71(-0.42%)	40.4-40.85	0.2(-0.1)	0.6	-0.4%	-0.3%	0%	-0.1%	-0.06%	0.8%	54	1.5	Correction	Range(-0.5%)	4	-0.6	0.7	Range Bound	40.68(-0.07%)	40.71-40.66	0.03	-4.7%-7.3%
15	Oct_6_2020	40.78 (0%)	41.36 (0%)	41.07 (0%)	41.24	41.06(0%)	40.88(0.1%)	40.42-41.37	0.3(0.1)	-0.5	-0.6%	-0.1%	0%	0.29%	0.02%	1.4%	60	1.5	N/A	Range(-0.7%)	5	0	0.3	Range Bound	40.88(0.01%)	40.83-40.93	0.06	-4.4%-7.8%

16	Oct_5_2020	40.78 (0%)	41.45 (0.2%)	41.06 (-0.2%)	41.2	41.55(0%)	40.84(-2.13%)	40.84-41.69	0.3(0.1)	-1	0.2%	-0.1%	0%	-0.07%	0.1%	1.7%	63	1.6	N/A	Higher(1.2%)	6	-0.4	0.5	Downtrend Reversal	40.61(-0.56%)	40.53-40.94	0.04	-4.4%-7.7%
17	Oct_2_2020	40.78 (0%)	41.51 (0.2%)	41.13 (0.1%)	41.12	41.42(0%)	41.73(1.24%)	41.41-42.12	0.4(0.9)	1.8	0.8%	0.1%	0%	-0.12%	0.2%	1.9%	71	1.6	Growing Uptrend	Higher(0.9%)	6	0.7	0.7	Uptrend	41.82(0.22%)	41.54-41.94	0.13	-2.4%-10%
18	Oct_1_2020	40.78 (0.2%)	41.44 (0.4%)	41.1 (-0.5%)	40.97	40.86(0%)	41.22(1.33%)	40.64-41.42	0.3(0.4)	1	-0.2%	0.1%	0%	0.19%	0.26%	1.7%	71	1.6	Correction	Range(-0.1%)	6	0.2	0.9	Uptrend	41.42(0.49%)	41.14-41.54	0.03	-3.6%-8.7%
19	Sep_30_2020	40.75 (0.2%)	41.37 (0.4%)	41.3 (-1%)	41.22	40.82(0%)	40.68(-0.37%)	40.56-40.89	0.5(-0.1)	0.4	-0.8%	0.1%	0%	0.05%	0.36%	1.5%	59	1.6	Downtrend Reversal	Range(-0.5%)	7	0.1	0.8	Uptrend Consolidation	40.74(0.15%)	40.68-40.93	0.03	-4.8%-7.3%
20	Sep_29_2020	40.74 (0.2%)	41.32 (0.6%)	41.71 (-0.5%)	41.67	41.08(0%)	40.83(-0.9%)	40.57-41.17	0.9(0.1)	-0.7	-1%	0.2%	0%	-0.17%	0.5%	1.4%	63	1.5	Confirmed Correction	Range(-0.4%)	8	0.4	0.9	Uptrend	41.24(1%)	40.83-41.41	0.03	-4.5%-7.7%

21	Sep_28_2020	40.71 (0.4%)	41.19 (0.6%)	41.9 (-0.1%)	41.99	41.62(0%)	41.2(-0.91%)	41.08-41.48	1.3(0.5)	-1.7	-0.9%	0.4%	0%	0.12%	0.52%	1.2%	55	1.5	Correction Correction	Range(-0%)	8	0.5	0.9	Uptrend	41.64(1.06%)	41.15-41.85	0.04	-3.6%-8.6%
22	Sep_25_2020	40.62 (0.4%)	41.02 (0.6%)	41.93 (0.3%)	42.1	42.27(0%)	41.58(-1.52%)	41.5-42.45	1.5(0.9)	-0.4	%	0.5%	0%	-0.41%	0.5%	1%	54	1.5	Uptrend Dip	Higher(1.3%)	8	1.2	1.1	Growing Uptrend	42.05(1.12%)	41.44-42.2	0.05	-4%-9.6%
23	Sep_24_2020	40.51 (0.4%)	40.75 (0.4%)	41.79 (0.8%)	42.01	42.36(0%)	42.22(-1.22%)	41.81-43.12	1.7(1.5)	-0.2	1%	0.6%	0%	0.09%	0.38%	0.6%	48	1.5	Growing Uptrend	Higher(2.2%)	7	2.1	1.2	Relative Overbought	42.26(0.09%)	41.35-43	0.03	-2.5%-11.3%
24	Sep_23_2020	40.37 (0.4%)	40.49 (0.2%)	41.44 (1.4%)	41.53	41.93(0%)	42.74(2.34%)	41.63-42.74	1.5(2.3)	5.6	0.9%	0.8%	0%	0.48%	0.26%	0.3%	55	1.3	Breakout	Higher(1.7%)	6	2.8	1.3	Growing Uptrend	42.98(0.55%)	42.35-43.13	0.05	-1.3%-12.7%
25	Sep_22_2020	40.17 (0.2%)	40.13 (0%)	40.87 (1.2%)	41.1	41.65(0%)	41.76(0.99%)	41.38-42.19	1.2(1.7)	0.9	1.3%	0.4%	0%	-0.33%	0.1%	-0.1%	56	1.2	Growing Uptrend	Higher(1.7%)	5	2.1	1.6	N/A	41.56(-0.48%)	40.96-42.05	0.07	-3.5%-10.1%
i	Date	ema20(Trend)	ema10(Trend)	ema5(Trend)	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	ActualPriceRange	BBV	Hourly BBV	Daily Moving Force	Weekly Trend Force	Reversal Force	Trend	Trend Strength	RSI	Momentum	Trend Pattern	Next Direction	C	RV	VIXCD	Trend-Narrative	NextDay PriceTarget	NextDayPriceRange	Volume millions	To High-Low

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