Trading Signals: VGK Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ VGK: Intraday Forecast Similar Waves Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Fri. Mar. 5, 2021

Trading Signals: VGK Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Thu. Mar. 10, 2005 - Fri. Apr. 16, 2021)

(Vanguard FTSE Europe Index Fund ETF)
VGK latest price $61.8000 (0.7%) ($60.8950 - $61.8400) on Fri. Mar. 5, 2021.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Trend Pattern   Growing Downtrend
Trend Narrative   After Bottom
Average Daily Price Swing   $0.52 (0.84% one month average)
Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.93% (three month average)
Weekly Trend Force   -0.1% (StdDev 0.93%)
Daily Moving Force   -0.3%
Rebound Strength   None(0%)
Hourly Trend Strength   -0.61%
Trend   -0.06%
Trend Strength   -0.2%
Trend Clarity   -0.12(-0.1/0.52/62.24)
RSI   44
Momentum   0.9
Latest Price   $61.8000(0.7%)
Forecasted Low Price   61.43(-0.6%)
Forecasted High Price   61.92(0.2%)
Direction of Next Movement   Lower(-0.8%)
% Change Needed to Confirm Rebound   1.8% ((62.91))
% Change Needed for Trend Reversal   1%
Hourly Trend -0.5% [$61.66(-0.32), $62.01(-0.13)]
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Complacency   4
Intraday Reversal Probability   N/A.
Daily Trend   VGK advances 0.2% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   VGK declines -0.6% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Broad based rally for large cap. Broad based rally for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support VGK decline at-0.2% a week (90% probability)
VT(91%)    EWG(87%)    EWI(85%)    IDRV(85%)    SPY(84%)
Factors Impacting VGK price   VGK will decline at least -0.2% in a week (61% probabilities).
UUP(-67%)    VXX(-65%)    VIXM(-49%)    TBT(-1%)    CNCR(0%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.
Trading Plan   Not Available

Valuation to SPY 0.4

Relative Volatility -1.9 (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.5% (StdDev 0.93%)
Hourly BBV 0.2 ()
Intraday Trend -0%

Next Day Open Price   $61.96(0.26%)
Inflection Point   Yes
5 Day Moving Average   $62.02(-0.35%)
10 Day Moving Average   $62.1(-0.48%)
20 Day Moving Average   $62.24(-0.71%)
To recent high   -2.4%
To recent low   4.4%
Market Cap   $N/A

Option Sentiment

$. Technical analysis works only if the market conditions in the future are not drastically different from the past. Always read market news to understand the causes of the price movement before making a trading decision. News

$. VGK price fluctuates within 0.84% (three month std-dev: 0.93% one year average std_dev: 0%) daily (68% of days).
$. VGK price fluctuates within 0% weekly (one year average std_dev: %).

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20210405

i	Date	ema20(Trend)	ema10(Trend)	ema5(Trend)	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	ActualPriceRange	BBV	Hourly BBV	Daily Moving Force	Weekly Trend Force	Reversal Force	Hourly Trend Strength	Trend	Trend Strength	RSI	Momentum	Trend Pattern	Next Direction	C	RV	VIXCD	Trend-Narrative	NextDay PriceTarget	NextDayPriceRange	Volume millions	To High-Low
1	Mar_5_2021	62.24 (0%)	62.1 (-0.2%)	62.02 (0.2%)	62.01	61.66(0%)	61.8(0.7%)	60.9-61.84	-0.5(-0.8)	0.2	-0.3%	-0.1%	0%	-0.61%	-0.06%	-0.2%	44	0.9	Growing Downtrend	Range(-0.4%)	4	0.4	-0.3	After Bottom	61.91(0.18%)	61.76-62.03	4.99	-2.4%-4.4%
2	Mar_4_2021	62.24 (0%)	62.19 (-0.2%)	61.91 (-0.2%)	62.14	61.98(0%)	61.37(-1.18%)	61.04-62.39	-0.4(-1.5)	-3	-0.3%	-0.1%	0%	-0.31%	-0.06%	-0.1%	44	1	Growing Downtrend	Range(0.2%)	4	1.9	0.3	Correction	61(-0.6%)	60.93-61.29	7.15	-3.1%-3.6%
3	Mar_3_2021	62.22 (0.2%)	62.31 (-0.2%)	62.02 (-0.3%)	62.1	62.36(0%)	62.1(-0.67%)	61.96-62.58	-0(-0.2)	-1	-0.1%	-0%	0%	0.21%	-0.04%	0.1%	53	1	Growing Downtrend	Range(0.2%)	4	2.1	0.1	Correction	61.76(-0.54%)	61.69-62.04	5.04	-2%-4.9%
4	Mar_2_2021	62.18 (0.2%)	62.37 (-0%)	62.2 (0%)	62.19	62.3(0%)	62.52(0.34%)	62.32-62.69	0.2(0.5)	2.4	0.4%	-0%	0%	0.55%	-0%	0.3%	53	1.1	N/A	Range(0.4%)	4	1.5	0.5	Correction	62.38(-0.22%)	62.27-62.52	2.93	-1.3%-5.7%
5	Mar_1_2021	62.09 (0.2%)	62.44 (-0%)	62.19 (-0.1%)	62.23	61.83(0%)	62.31(1.75%)	61.85-62.35	0.2(0.3)	-0.2	-0.2%	0%	0%	-0.48%	0.02%	0.6%	55	1.3	Downtrend Reversal	Range(-0.2%)	4	-0.2	0.3	Correction	62.25(-0.1%)	62.17-62.35	2.79	-1.6%-5.4%

6	Feb_26_2021	61.97 (0%)	62.48 (0%)	62.22 (-0.5%)	62.27	62.08(0%)	61.24(-1.13%)	61.11-61.94	0.3(-0.8)	-2.1	-0.7%	-0.1%	0%	-0.69%	0.04%	0.8%	50	1.5	N/A	Range(-0.2%)	5	0.7	0.4	Uptrend Consolidation	61.44(0.33%)	61.5-61.27	6.42	-3.3%-6.1%
7	Feb_25_2021	61.96 (0%)	62.61 (0.2%)	62.5 (-0.2%)	62.53	62.63(0%)	61.94(-1.67%)	61.86-63.35	0.7(-0)	-1.9	0.1%	0%	0%	0.24%	0.1%	1.1%	59	1.5	Growing Uptrend	Higher(0.9%)	6	1.7	0.5	Uptrend	62.06(0.2%)	61.94-62.12	3.94	-2.2%-7.3%
8	Feb_24_2021	61.88 (0%)	62.62 (0.2%)	62.61 (0.1%)	62.56	62.47(0%)	62.99(0.82%)	62.22-63.03	0.9(1.2)	2	0.1%	0.1%	0%	0%	0.12%	1.2%	72	1.7	Growing Uptrend	Range(0.2%)	6	0.6	1.1	Uptrend	63.1(0.17%)	62.77-63.23	2.04	-0.6%-9.1%
9	Feb_23_2021	61.82 (0%)	62.54 (0.2%)	62.55 (-0.3%)	62.49	62.42(0%)	62.48(0.05%)	61.69-62.61	0.9(0.7)	-3	-0.3%	0.1%	0%	-0.14%	0.14%	1.2%	69	1.6	Downtrend Reversal	Range(-0.2%)	7	1.1	1.5	Uptrend Consolidation	62.31(-0.27%)	62.2-62.63	3.32	-1.4%-8.6%
10	Feb_22_2021	61.77 (0%)	62.48 (0.2%)	62.73 (-0.1%)	62.58	62.66(0%)	62.45(-0.3%)	62.45-62.87	1.1(0.7)	-3	%	0.1%	0%	0.18%	0.2%	1.1%	74	1.6	Correction	Range(0.3%)	8	1.1	1.7	Uptrend Consolidation	62.31(-0.23%)	62.17-62.7	2.89	-1.4%-8.5%

11	Feb_19_2021	61.74 (0%)	62.4 (0.4%)	62.79 (0.1%)	62.77	62.55(0%)	62.64(0.21%)	62.53-62.98	1.3(1)	2.3	0.1%	0.2%	0%	0.03%	0.26%	1.1%	81	1.6	Growing Uptrend	Range(0.3%)	8	0.1	1.9	Uptrend	62.91(0.43%)	62.48-63.1	2.34	-1.1%-8.9%
12	Feb_18_2021	61.72 (0%)	62.27 (0.4%)	62.73 (0.2%)	62.7	62.5(0%)	62.51(-0.29%)	62.02-62.53	1.3(0.9)	0.6	-0.3%	0.2%	0%	-0.51%	0.26%	0.9%	63	1.5	Uptrend Consolidation	Range(0%)	9	-0.4	1.9	Uptrend	62.82(0.5%)	62.4-63.01	3.07	-1.3%-9.2%
13	Feb_17_2021	61.7 (0%)	62.14 (0.4%)	62.61 (0.2%)	62.67	62.99(0%)	62.69(-1.04%)	62.38-62.79	1.4(1.1)	0.4	0.2%	0.2%	0%	0.06%	0.26%	0.7%	68	1.5	Growing Uptrend	Higher(0.9%)	10	-0.6	2.1	Growing Uptrend	63.05(0.57%)	62.51-63.18	4.75	-1%-9.5%
14	Feb_16_2021	61.65 (0%)	61.99 (0.4%)	62.5 (0.5%)	62.53	62.9(0%)	63.35(0.96%)	63.18-63.51	1.4(2)	0.6	0.7%	0.4%	0%	0.57%	0.24%	0.6%	58	1.4	Growing Uptrend	Higher(1.1%)	10	0.7	2	Growing Uptrend	63.64(0.46%)	63.07-63.78	2.56	0%-10.7%
15	Feb_12_2021	61.53 (0%)	61.7 (0.2%)	62.19 (0.4%)	62.2	62.36(0%)	62.75(0.61%)	62.17-62.75	1(1.6)	3.6	0.3%	0.4%	0%	0.27%	0.16%	0.3%	56	1.3	Growing Uptrend	Higher(0.7%)	9	-0.7	2.1	N/A	62.71(-0.06%)	62.18-63.15	1.42	-0%-11.9%

16	Feb_11_2021	61.5 (-0%)	61.4 (0.2%)	61.97 (0.4%)	62.04	62.16(0%)	62.37(0.79%)	62.02-62.36	0.7(1.2)	-1.1	0.2%	0.2%	0%	0.05%	0.08%	-0.2%	51	1.2	Growing Uptrend	Range(0.4%)	8	-0.9	2.2	Uptrend Reversal	62.6(0.37%)	62.41-62.74	2.23	-0.7%-11.2%
17	Feb_10_2021	61.5 (-0%)	61.24 (0%)	61.74 (0.2%)	61.86	62.05(0%)	61.88(-0.45%)	61.65-62.41	0.4(0.6)	0.2	0.3%	0.2%	0%	0.18%	0.02%	-0.4%	45	1.2	N/A	Higher(0.7%)	7	-1.5	2.2	Rebound	61.74(-0.22%)	61.92-61.67	2.55	-1.4%-10.3%
18	Feb_9_2021	61.47 (-0%)	61.09 (-0%)	61.6 (0.3%)	61.62	61.93(0%)	62.16(0.58%)	61.81-62.22	0.2(1)	0.7	0.4%	0.1%	0%	0.29%	-0.04%	-0.6%	48	1.2	N/A	Higher(0.5%)	6	-1.2	2	Rebound	61.8(-0.58%)	62.12-61.66	3.43	-1%-11.9%
19	Feb_8_2021	61.45 (-0%)	61.03 (-0%)	61.39 (0.4%)	61.39	61.67(0%)	61.8(0.28%)	61.61-62.02	-0.1(0.5)	1.8	0.5%	0%	0%	0.36%	-0.06%	-0.7%	49	1.1	N/A	Range(0.5%)	5	-1.9	1.8	Downtrend	61.73(-0.11%)	61.73-61.73	2.13	-1.6%-11.3%
20	Feb_5_2021	61.49 (-0%)	60.99 (-0.2%)	61.13 (0.6%)	61.17	61.31(0%)	61.63(0.65%)	61.25-61.66	-0.5(0.2)	3.9	0.4%	-0%	0%	0.21%	-0.1%	-0.8%	53	1.2	Uptrend Reversal	Range(0.4%)	4	-1.6	1.7	Downtrend Consolidation	61.58(-0.08%)	61.59-61.58	1.97	-1.8%-14.6%

21	Feb_4_2021	61.53 (-0%)	61.01 (-0.2%)	60.74 (0.1%)	60.9	61.1(0%)	61.23(0.08%)	60.95-61.24	-1(-0.4)	0	0.2%	-0.1%	0%	0.21%	-0.16%	-0.8%	43	1.2	Downtrend Consolidation	Range(0.1%)	4	-1.9	1.5	Downtrend	61.11(-0.19%)	61.04-61.29	2.18	-2.5%-16.6%
22	Feb_3_2021	61.58 (-0%)	61.11 (-0.2%)	60.67 (0.3%)	60.61	61.02(0%)	61.18(0.1%)	60.86-61.25	-1.2(-0.5)	0.8	0.3%	-0.1%	0%	0.58%	-0.16%	-0.8%	46	1.2	Rebound	Range(0.2%)	4	-1.3	1.7	Downtrend	61.06(-0.2%)	60.98-61.24	4.39	-2.5%-18.1%
23	Feb_2_2021	61.58 (-0%)	61.2 (-0.2%)	60.5 (-0.2%)	60.56	60.7(0%)	61.12(1.06%)	60.66-61.15	-1.5(-0.6)	1.3	0.4%	-0.1%	0%	0.6%	-0.18%	-0.6%	44	1.1	Uptrend Reversal	Range(0.3%)	4	-1.4	1.4	Downtrend	60.98(-0.23%)	60.89-61.2	3.37	-2.6%-21.5%
24	Feb_1_2021	61.58 (-0%)	61.27 (-0.2%)	60.64 (-0.4%)	60.44	60.2(0%)	60.48(1.31%)	60.21-60.56	-1.5(-1.4)	-0.8	-0.4%	-0.1%	0%	-0.51%	-0.16%	-0.5%	43	1.1	Downtrend Pop	Range(-0.5%)	3	-1.2	1.1	After Bottom	60.67(0.32%)	60.14-61.11	3.09	-3.7%-20.2%
25	Jan_29_2021	61.6 (0%)	61.35 (-0.2%)	60.85 (-0.8%)	60.78	60.43(0%)	59.7(-1.92%)	59.41-60.44	-1.3(-2.5)	-0.8	-0.5%	-0.4%	0%	-0.35%	-0.16%	-0.4%	33	1.1	Breakdown	Range(0.1%)	3	-1	0.2	Correction	59.01(-1.16%)	58.89-59.48	11.89	-4.9%-20.4%
i	Date	ema20(Trend)	ema10(Trend)	ema5(Trend)	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	ActualPriceRange	BBV	Hourly BBV	Daily Moving Force	Weekly Trend Force	Reversal Force	Trend	Trend Strength	RSI	Momentum	Trend Pattern	Next Direction	C	RV	VIXCD	Trend-Narrative	NextDay PriceTarget	NextDayPriceRange	Volume millions	To High-Low

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