Trading Signals: VFMO Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ VFMO: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Fri. Dec. 22, 2023

Trading Signals: VFMO Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Thu. Feb. 15, 2018 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Vanguard U.S. Momentum Factor ETF)
VFMO latest price $131.6300 (1.35%) ($131.0700 - $132.0000) on Fri. Dec. 22, 2023.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.09% (three month average)
RSI   77
Latest Price   $131.6300(1.35%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   VFMO advances 0.4% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   VFMO advances 3.1% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Value stock rally for large cap. Broad based rally for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support VFMO advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
TAN(99%)    XBI(94%)    IWD(95%)    IWN(95%)    IWM(94%)
Factors Impacting VFMO price   VFMO will decline at least -0.545% in a week (0% probabilities).
BNDX(-21%)    VXX(-72%)    VIXM(-67%)    UUP(-44%)    TBT(3%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.545% (StdDev 1.09%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0.3%

5 Day Moving Average   $130.31(1.01%)
10 Day Moving Average   $128.8(2.2%)
20 Day Moving Average   $125.29(5.06%)
To recent high   0%
To recent low   24%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. VFMO price fluctuates within 3.3% (three month std-dev: 1.09%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 50 Average positive next day return: 1.03%(50%) Average negative next day return: -1.38%(50%) Sample size 50 Average positive next three day return: 2.04%(42%) Average negative next three day return: -1.59%(58%) Sample size 50 Average positive next weekly return: 2.58%(44%) Average negative next weekly return: -2.82%(56%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

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i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Dec_22_2023	117.2	125.29	128.8	130.31	130.75	130.98	131.63(1.35%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.3	90	20	55	193	0.01	66%	0.08	70	1.09%	0	1.5	77	1.4
2	Dec_21_2023	117.11	124.7	128.01	129.74	130.24	130.25	129.88(0.78%)	UD	OpenLong	65	0	41	10	-1	167	0.01	61%	0.06	73.7	1.08%	-0.5	1.3	75	0.6
3	Dec_20_2023	117.04	124.16	127.29	129.56	129.93	130.52	128.88(-1.87%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	65	40	26	180	0.01	59%	0.03	74.8	1.12%	-1.5	1.2	78	0.3
4	Dec_19_2023	117	123.65	126.58	129.3	129.58	130.23	131.33(1.17%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.5	120	40	88	214	0.01	62%	0.05	75	1.1%	1.5	2	89	0.7
5	Dec_18_2023	116.94	123.04	125.65	128.1	128.47	129.33	129.81(0.8%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.5	99	60	67	194	0	61%	0.05	80.3	1.09%	1.1	1.9	89	0.8

6	Dec_15_2023	116.88	122.46	124.91	127.05	127.22	128.94	128.78(-0.16%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.5	132	100	109	199	0.01	59%	0.06	85.1	1.09%	0.7	2	80	0.8
7	Dec_14_2023	116.81	121.87	124.26	126.02	126.03	127.6	128.99(1.11%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1	165	90	153	202	0.01	59%	0.05	88.7	1.11%	1.4	2.4	82	1.6
8	Dec_13_2023	116.75	121.31	123.38	124.69	124.58	125.51	127.58(1.79%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1.1	110	50	95	155	0.02	57%	0.03	98.6	1.1%	2.7	2.4	81	1.4
9	Dec_12_2023	116.71	120.83	122.57	123.46	123.5	124.47	125.33(0.62%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.8	79	60	65	120	0.01	54%	0.02	110.9	1.08%	1.6	2	79	1.6
10	Dec_11_2023	116.69	120.3	121.95	122.83	122.88	123.65	124.56(0.74%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	80	50	71	105	0	54%	0.02	103.1	1.09%	1.3	1.8	71	1.4

11	Dec_8_2023	116.67	119.79	121.49	122.46	122.35	122.54	123.64(1.05%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	41	10	26	86	0.01	54%	-0.01	96.5	1.09%	1.8	1.6	72	1.2
12	Dec_7_2023	116.68	119.24	121.1	122.24	122.23	122.12	122.36(0.77%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0	30	-10	11	88	0.01	54%	-0.03	86.8	1.08%	0.7	1.2	74	1
13	Dec_6_2023	116.71	118.81	120.78	121.84	121.99	122.16	121.43(-0.59%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	30	10	12	84	0.01	54%	-0.03	85.5	1.08%	-2.5	0.9	64	1.2
14	Dec_5_2023	116.75	118.43	120.53	121.49	121.45	122.35	122.15(-0.46%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	59	50	48	93	0.02	52%	-0.03	89.3	1.08%	0.3	1.2	67	1.3
15	Dec_4_2023	116.78	117.97	120.27	120.88	120.91	121.83	122.72(0.13%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.6	95	50	88	115	0.01	52%	0	91.5	1.09%	1.3	1.5	79	1.4

16	Dec_1_2023	116.78	117.51	119.84	120.36	120.1	120.56	122.56(1.85%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.7	57	20	42	102	0.01	52%	-0.02	101.6	1.1%	2.1	1.7	80	1.3
17	Nov_30_2023	116.8	116.94	119.3	119.83	119.8	120	120.34(0.54%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.2	45	10	24	107	0.01	50%	-0.02	104.7	1.07%	0.6	1.1	81	1.4
18	Nov_29_2023	116.82	116.4	119.09	119.59	119.7	119.63	119.69(0.5%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0	36	-0	9	118	0.02	52%	-0.02	95.1	1.07%	-0.2	1	73	1.3
19	Nov_28_2023	116.84	115.82	118.95	119.42	119.52	119.6	119.1(-0.85%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	26	10	-8	127	0.01	52%	-0.02	82.5	1.1%	-1.6	0.9	71	1.5
20	Nov_27_2023	116.86	115.23	118.55	119.53	119.46	119.78	120.12(0.16%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.1	59	20	27	156	0.01	52%	0.01	74.3	1.09%	1.3	1.2	77	1.3

21	Nov_24_2023	116.85	114.56	117.99	119.22	119.25	119.43	119.92(0.67%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	63	10	32	156	0	50%	-0.01	67	1.1%	0	1.2	72	1.4
22	Nov_22_2023	116.86	113.88	117.27	118.68	118.88	119.15	119.12(0.24%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.1	49	20	18	141	0.02	52%	0.02	58	1.13%	0.5	1.2	76	1.2
23	Nov_21_2023	116.84	113.33	116.71	118.52	118.44	119.06	118.83(-0.67%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	59	30	25	162	0.01	52%	-0.02	56.2	1.13%	0.3	1.3	79	1.3
24	Nov_20_2023	116.86	112.84	116.19	118.41	118.28	118.62	119.64(0.87%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.3	95	20	59	203	0.01	52%	-0.02	53.3	1.13%	1.4	1.6	84	1.4
25	Nov_17_2023	116.88	112.27	115.5	117.42	117.95	117.81	118.61(1.19%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.3	73	10	32	197	0	49%		45.7	1.13%	0.9	1.6	84	1.5
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD