Trading Signals: VCSH Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Tue. Jun. 16, 2020

Trading Signals: VCSH Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Aug. 24, 2015 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Vanguard Short-Term Corporate Bond ETF)
VCSH latest price $82.4800 (-0.04%) ($82.4000 - $82.7200) on Tue. Jun. 16, 2020.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.87% (three month average)
RSI   74
Latest Price   $82.4800(-0.04%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   VCSH advances 0.1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   VCSH advances 0.2% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Broad based rally for large cap. Broad based rally for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support VCSH advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
VCIT(62%)    BND(55%)    LQD(55%)    HYG(45%)    BNDX(44%)
Factors Impacting VCSH price   VCSH will decline at least -0.435% in a week (0% probabilities).
TBT(-37%)    UUP(-31%)    VIXM(-19%)    VXX(-8%)    IGOV(-1%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.435% (StdDev 0.87%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0.3%

5 Day Moving Average   $82.26(0.27%)
10 Day Moving Average   $82.2(0.34%)
20 Day Moving Average   $82.02(0.56%)
To recent high   -0%
To recent low   15%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. VCSH price fluctuates within 0.33% (three month std-dev: 0.87%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20200716

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jun_16_2020	80.66	82.02	82.2	82.26	82.25	82.43	82.48(-0.04%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.8	20	10	20	19	4.81	52%	0.01	97	0.87%	0	1.7	74	-1
2	Jun_15_2020	80.65	81.97	82.16	82.2	82.17	82.16	82.51(0.55%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1.1	9	-0	7	13	3.7	52%	0.01	97.1	0.93%	0	1.9	77	-1.3
3	Jun_12_2020	80.64	81.9	82.16	82.13	82.14	82.08	82.06(0.06%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.2	-4	-0	-8	7	2.88	47%	0.01	100	0.92%	0	0.6	70	-1.4
4	Jun_11_2020	80.63	81.86	82.16	82.13	82.19	82.18	82.01(-0.3%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.4	2	0	-2	13	3.6	45%	0.01	90	0.96%	0	0.5	70	-2.6
5	Jun_10_2020	80.62	81.82	82.11	82.15	82.21	82.21	82.26(0.11%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.3	7	0	3	18	4.92	44%	0.01	86.4	0.97%	0	1.2	88	0.9

6	Jun_9_2020	80.61	81.76	82.07	82.12	82.21	82.21	82.17(0%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.1	5	0	0	18	4.7	42%	0.01	82.6	0.97%	0	1.1	89	1
7	Jun_8_2020	80.6	81.69	82.03	82.1	82.17	82.2	82.17(0.04%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.2	8	10	4	21	6.98	42%	0.01	74	0.98%	0	1.2	90	1.6
8	Jun_5_2020	80.59	81.63	81.98	82.08	82.13	82.15	82.14(0.15%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.1	8	0	3	23	6.37	42%	0.01	69.8	0.98%	0	1.2	91	2
9	Jun_4_2020	80.58	81.57	81.93	82.07	82.08	82.13	82.02(-0.07%)	TP	CloseLong	-10	-0.1	8	0	2	27	3.47	42%	0.01	66.7	0.98%	0	1	92	1.6
10	Jun_3_2020	80.57	81.51	81.89	82.06	82.06	82.11	82.08(-0.02%)	TP	CloseLong	-10	0	13	0	7	32	4.05	44%	0.01	65.5	0.98%	0	1.3	95	1.7

11	Jun_2_2020	80.56	81.45	81.83	82.01	82	82.03	82.1(0.06%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.2	12	0	5	33	4.01	43%	0.01	64.8	0.98%	0	1.5	96	1.3
12	Jun_1_2020	80.55	81.39	81.76	81.93	81.93	82.01	82.05(-0.05%)	TP	CloseLong	-10	0.3	12	10	5	34	7.04	43%	0.01	64.2	0.98%	0	1.5	97	1
13	May_29_2020	80.54	81.32	81.68	81.86	81.88	81.97	82.09(0.13%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.6	17	10	10	36	4.53	43%	0.01	64	0.99%	0	1.9	98	1.3
14	May_28_2020	80.53	81.27	81.58	81.78	81.79	81.86	81.98(0.21%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.5	15	10	8	34	5.21	44%	0.01	65.2	0.99%	0	1.9	96	0.9
15	May_27_2020	80.52	81.22	81.5	81.7	81.73	81.78	81.81(0.09%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.3	13	10	6	33	3.8	44%	0.01	69	0.99%	0	1.7	96	1.5

16	May_26_2020	80.51	81.16	81.42	81.63	81.68	81.73	81.74(0.06%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.3	12	10	6	31	6.8	44%	0	71.8	0.99%	0	1.8	86	1.3
17	May_22_2020	80.51	81.11	81.33	81.56	81.6	81.69	81.69(0.04%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.4	14	10	9	30	2.2	44%	0	70.3	0.98%	0	1.9	86	1.2
18	May_21_2020	80.51	81.07	81.25	81.47	81.5	81.62	81.66(0.06%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.7	16	10	12	28	3.97	44%	0.02	63.6	0.99%	0	2.2	87	1.1
19	May_20_2020	80.49	81.02	81.17	81.36	81.38	81.51	81.61(0.18%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	16	10	13	23	3.04	44%	0	56.7	0.99%	0	2.5	66	1.5
20	May_19_2020	80.49	80.98	81.09	81.26	81.26	81.38	81.46(0.1%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	13	10	11	18	3.47	44%	0.01	42.3	0.99%	0	2.3	66	0.9

21	May_18_2020	80.48	80.94	81.03	81.18	81.18	81.26	81.38(0.15%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	12	10	11	15	3.42	44%	0	22.7	0.99%	0	2.4	69	1.4
22	May_15_2020	80.48	80.9	80.98	81.07	81.1	81.14	81.26(0.2%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	8	0	7	11	3.06	44%	0	0	0.99%	0	2.3	68	1
23	May_14_2020	80.48	80.9	80.94	80.99	81.01	81.09	81.1(-0.01%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.7	5	10	4	6	2.93	44%	0.01	-10.5	0.99%	0	1.4	62	0.8
24	May_13_2020	80.47	80.9	80.93	80.95	80.96	81.07	81.11(0.07%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	9	10	9	8	2.91	44%	0	15.8	0.99%	0	1.5	60	0.1
25	May_12_2020	80.47	80.89	80.91	80.89	80.91	80.94	81.05(0.26%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	6	0	6	6	3.66	44%		57.9	0.99%	0	1.1	61	1.2
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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