Trading Signals: VALE Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ VALE: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Thu. Apr. 15, 2021

Trading Signals: VALE Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 12, 2016 - Wed. Sep. 27, 2023)

(Vale S.A. AD)
VALE latest price $19.3000 (2.06%) ($19.1100 - $19.4000) on Thu. Apr. 15, 2021.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   2.35% (three month average)
RSI   81
Latest Price   $19.3000(2.06%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   VALE advances 0.5% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   VALE advances 4.5% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Broad based rally for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support VALE advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
VWO(49%)    XME(47%)    XLE(45%)    XLB(43%)    XOP(42%)
Factors Impacting VALE price   VALE will decline at least -1.175% in a week (0% probabilities).
UUP(-30%)    VIXM(-28%)    VXX(-12%)    IGOV(-9%)    TLT(-2%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.175% (StdDev 2.35%)
Hourly BBV 1.1 ()
Intraday Trend 0%

5 Day Moving Average   $18.54(4.1%)
10 Day Moving Average   $18.41(4.83%)
20 Day Moving Average   $17.7(9.04%)
To recent high   0%
To recent low   19.5%
Market Cap   $99.007b

Vale SA engages in the production and exportation of iron ore, pellets, manganese, and iron alloys, which are raw materials needed for steelmaking. It operates through the following segments: Ferrous Minerals, Coal and Base Metals. The Ferrous Minerals segment includes the extraction of iron ore and the production of pellets, manganese ore, iron alloys, and coal and logistics services. The Coal segment comprises the extraction of coal and its logistic services. The Base Metals segment involves the production of non-ferrous minerals, which include nickel, copper and aluminium. The company was founded on June 1, 1942 and is headquartered in Rio de Janeiro, Brazil.

$. VALE price fluctuates within 4.86% (three month std-dev: 2.35%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 27 Average positive next day return: 1.98%(37%) Average negative next day return: -2.39%(63%) Sample size 27 Average positive next three day return: 1.94%(37%) Average negative next three day return: -3.6%(63%) Sample size 27 Average positive next weekly return: 4.34%(37%) Average negative next weekly return: -4.81%(63%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20210515

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Apr_15_2021	17.29	17.7	18.41	18.54	18.56	18.93	19.3(2.06%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.9	45	140	19	124	25.75	52%	0.35	33.5	2.35%	1.1	1.9	81	1.8
2	Apr_14_2021	17.23	17.61	18.22	18.45	18.34	18.37	18.91(3.96%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	33	-10	5	116	25.26	55%	0.29	35.9	2.5%	1.4	1.7	73	1.4
3	Apr_13_2021	17.18	17.52	18.03	18.4	18.4	18.18	18.19(0.55%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	26	-80	-5	117	16.9	50%	0.29	38.4	2.51%	-0.8	0.9	70	1.7
4	Apr_12_2021	17.13	17.47	17.92	18.42	18.5	18.31	18.09(-0.71%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.5	24	-60	-8	119	19.79	50%	0.35	40.9	2.54%	-1.3	0.9	62	1.8
5	Apr_9_2021	17.07	17.44	17.79	18.46	18.54	18.61	18.22(-3.24%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.4	39	40	9	127	19.59	50%	0.29	43.3	2.52%	-1.7	1.1	60	1.5

6	Apr_8_2021	17.02	17.42	17.61	18.24	18.46	18.7	18.83(0.97%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	43	130	22	106	24.57	52%	0.41	38.7	2.51%	1	2.1	66	1.5
7	Apr_7_2021	16.95	17.33	17.39	17.95	18.06	18.48	18.65(1.86%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	37	180	24	75	29.54	55%	0.41	25.3	2.51%	1	2.2	60	1.4
8	Apr_6_2021	16.88	17.24	17.18	17.62	17.72	18.21	18.31(0.16%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.4	31	210	27	43	22.37	57%	0.36	3	2.55%	0.7	2.1	61	1.2
9	Apr_5_2021	16.82	17.18	17.04	17.35	17.36	17.65	18.28(6.78%)	UT	OpenLong	75	2.1	25	120	26	20	38.29	57%	0.78	-16.8	2.57%	1.6	2.5	60	1.3
10	Apr_1_2021	16.69	17.15	16.91	17.04	17.06	17.22	17.12(-1.5%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.2	5	70	12	-15	20.39	55%	0.3	-31.3	2.46%	-0.1	-0.1	42	1.3

11	Mar_31_2021	16.64	17.16	16.92	16.89	16.92	17.07	17.38(2.12%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.2	1	70	13	-37	25.95	55%	0.36	-38.4	2.47%	2.2	0.5	39	1.2
12	Mar_30_2021	16.58	17.18	16.93	16.75	16.71	16.91	17.02(0.35%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.6	-6	80	8	-46	20.08	55%	0.3	-47.7	2.46%	0.8	-0.4	48	1.2
13	Mar_29_2021	16.53	17.23	16.94	16.66	16.68	16.77	16.96(1.31%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.7	-10	40	5	-53	22.59	55%	0.36	-52.9	2.47%	1.4	-0.6	51	1
14	Mar_26_2021	16.47	17.26	16.97	16.67	16.66	16.51	16.74(2.45%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-20	-60	-7	-58	31.41	55%	0.3	-51.7	2.44%	-0.3	-1.2	46	1.4
15	Mar_25_2021	16.42	17.27	17.05	16.77	16.71	16.59	16.34(-2.1%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1	-26	-60	-16	-57	32.1	53%	0.37	-61.4	2.44%	-1.3	-2.2	35	1.1

16	Mar_24_2021	16.36	17.33	17.22	16.96	16.92	16.8	16.69(0.66%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-17	-60	-11	-34	26.45	53%	0.37	-60.2	2.45%	-0.9	-1.6	42	1
17	Mar_23_2021	16.3	17.4	17.28	17.14	17.07	16.84	16.58(-2.53%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.4	-16	-110	-11	-29	38.19	53%	0.37	-48.7	2.45%	-1.6	-2.1	37	1.1
18	Mar_22_2021	16.24	17.46	17.34	17.26	17.21	17.03	17.01(-1.39%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-15	-80	-9	-31	24.67	55%	0.43	-48.2	2.43%	-0.5	-1.3	39	1.9
19	Mar_19_2021	16.17	17.49	17.36	17.3	17.32	17.31	17.25(-0.17%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-12	-0	-5	-31	29.94	55%	0.43	-42.2	2.42%	-0.4	-0.7	48	1.6
20	Mar_18_2021	16.1	17.54	17.41	17.38	17.33	17.38	17.28(-1.59%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-9	10	-7	-15	21.98	55%	0.44	-26.3	2.44%	-0.5	-0.7	56	1.2

21	Mar_17_2021	16.03	17.57	17.43	17.53	17.37	17.33	17.56(2.15%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	3	-40	3	1	21.51	55%	0.44	-11.2	2.43%	2.4	-0	52	2.1
22	Mar_16_2021	15.96	17.59	17.46	17.46	17.51	17.28	17.19(-0.29%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-2	-80	0	-7	17.83	55%	0.38	-13	2.43%	-0.7	-1.1	43	1.9
23	Mar_15_2021	15.9	17.63	17.53	17.46	17.43	17.41	17.24(-2.16%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-8	-10	-6	-12	20.84	55%	0.38	-11.9	2.44%	-1.1	-1.1	45	2.4
24	Mar_12_2021	15.84	17.65	17.56	17.42	17.34	17.74	17.62(-2.22%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.6	3	150	6	-8	26.39	55%	0.44	-9.3	2.42%	-0	-0.1	51	1.8
25	Mar_11_2021	15.77	17.63	17.5	17.44	17.3	17.45	18.02(4.65%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.6	8	40	17	-18	30.33	55%		2.9	2.42%	1.4	1.1	48	1.5
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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