Trading Signals: UVXY Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Tue. Jan. 26, 2021

Trading Signals: UVXY Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Dec. 1, 2014 - Tue. Jan. 26, 2021)

(ProShares Ultra VIX Short-Term Futures ETF)
UVXY latest price $10.5500 (-2.76%) ($10.2600 - $10.6900) on Tue. Jan. 26, 2021.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Trend Pattern   Downtrend Consolidation Downtrend Pop
Trend Narrative   Rebound
Average Daily Price Swing   $0.52 (4.86% one month average)
Average Daily Percentage Swing   5.88% (three month average)
Weekly Trend Force   -0.3% (StdDev 5.88%)
Daily Moving Force   0.8%
Rebound Strength   None(0%)
Trend   -0.5%
Trend Strength   -2.4%
RSI   42
Momentum   0.8
Latest Price   $10.5500(-2.76%)
Forecasted Low Price   10.38(-1.65%)
Forecasted High Price   10.91(3.4%)
Direction of Next Movement   Higher(3.1%)
% Change Needed to Confirm Rebound   4.7% ((11.05))
% Change Needed for Trend Reversal   1.9%
Hourly Trend 1.1% [$10.62(0.12), $10.41(0.07)]
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Complacency   4
Intraday Reversal Probability   There's a high probability the price will reverse sharply to downside intraday or next day..
Daily Trend   UVXY advances 0.2% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   UVXY declines -2.5% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Value stocks sell-off for large cap. Growth stock sell-off for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support UVXY advance at 1.6% a week (74% probability)
VIXM(85%)    UUP(30%)    ROBT(24%)    SHY(17%)    UNG(16%)
Factors Impacting UVXY price   UVXY will decline at least -0.4% in a week (72% probabilities).
SPY(-75%)    VT(-73%)    XLY(-71%)    IVW(-70%)    JNK(-69%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.
Trading Plan   Buy the rebound

Valuation to SPY -0.5

Relative Volatility -0.6 (options are cheap)

Market Trend Strength   0.9% (StdDev 5.88%)
Hourly BBV 1.9 ()
Intraday Trend 0.1%

Next Day Open Price   $10.63(0.76%)
1 - 5 Day Possible Target   $9.47(-10.24%)
Inflection Point   Yes
5 Day Moving Average   $10.34(2.03%)
10 Day Moving Average   $10.44(1.05%)
20 Day Moving Average   $10.7(-1.4%)
To recent high   -54.4%
To recent low   5.5%
Market Cap   $N/A

Option Sentiment

Average daily price decay: -0.03%

$. Technical analysis works only if the market conditions in the future are not drastically different from the past. Always read market news to understand the causes of the price movement before making a trading decision. News

$. UVXY is a 3x leveraged ETF. You'll lose 0.03% a day on average for holding it.

$. UVXY price fluctuates within 4.86% (three month std-dev: 5.88% one year average std_dev: 0%) daily (68% of days).
$. UVXY price fluctuates within 0% weekly (one year average std_dev: %).

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart Hourly Chart 15 Minute Chart

i	Date	ema20(Trend)	ema10(Trend)	ema5(Trend)	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	ActualPriceRange	BBV	Hourly BBV	Daily Moving Force	Weekly Trend Force	Reversal Force	Trend	Trend Strength	RSI	Momentum	Trend Pattern	Next Direction	C	RV	VIXCD	Trend-Narrative	NextDay PriceTarget	NextDayPriceRange	Volume millions	To High-Low
1	Jan_26_2021	10.7 (-0.4%)	10.44 (-0.4%)	10.34 (0.2%)	10.41	10.62(0%)	10.55(-2.76%)	10.26-10.69	-0.2(-0.3)	1.9	0.8%	-0.3%	0%	-0.5%	-2.4%	42	0.8	Downtrend Consolidation	Range(1.9%)	4	-0.5	1.5	Rebound	10.6(0.46%)	10.47-10.65	66.87	-54.4%-5.5%
2	Jan_25_2021	10.71 (-0.6%)	10.49 (-0.6%)	10.32 (-0.1%)	10.34	10.5(0%)	10.85(6.48%)	10.25-11.49	0.2(0.3)	1.7	1.6%	0.4%	0%	-0.62%	-2.1%	40	0.8	Uptrend Reversal	Range(2%)	3	-0.1	2.2	After Bottom	10.73(-1.06%)	10.69-10.77	115.71	-53.1%-8.5%
3	Jan_22_2021	10.72 (-0.4%)	10.42 (-0.8%)	10.33 (-0.6%)	10.28	10.2(0%)	10.19(1.9%)	10.03-10.46	-0.9(-1)	-4	-0.4%	-0.4%	0%	-0.68%	-2.8%	49	0.8	Growing Downtrend	Range(-0.8%)	2	-1.2	2.1	Downtrend	10.15(-0.43%)	10.09-10.28	62.28	-56%-1.9%
4	Jan_21_2021	10.81 (-0.4%)	10.44 (-0.8%)	10.39 (-0.6%)	10.42	10.18(0%)	10(-1.28%)	10-10.39	-1.3(-1.6)	-2.5	-1.1%	-1.2%	0%	-0.66%	-3.4%	47	0.8	Growing Downtrend	Range(-1.7%)	2	-1.5	2.4	Downtrend	9.97(-0.31%)	9.91-10.12	59.55	-56.8%-0%
5	Jan_20_2021	10.92 (-0.4%)	10.57 (-0.8%)	10.45 (-0.9%)	10.47	10.36(0%)	10.13(-2.78%)	10.05-10.46	-1.4(-1.6)	-1.8	-1.8%	-1%	0%	-0.6%	-3.2%	44	0.7	Growing Downtrend	Range(-1.4%)	3	-1.5	2.3	Growing Downtrend	10.1(-0.29%)	10.04-10.26	62.68	-56.2%-0%

6	Jan_19_2021	10.97 (-0.4%)	10.7 (-0.4%)	10.54 (-1.2%)	10.52	10.67(0%)	10.42(-4.4%)	10.34-10.73	-0.8(-1)	-2.2	%	-1%	0%	-0.48%	-2.4%	51	0.8	Growing Downtrend Downtrend Pop	Range(1.2%)	4	-1	2.3	Growing Downtrend	10.39(-0.29%)	10.34-10.5	54.97	-55%-2.1%
7	Jan_15_2021	10.97 (-0.4%)	10.86 (-0.2%)	10.67 (1.2%)	10.59	10.58(0%)	10.9(3.91%)	10.5-11.27	-0.2(-0.2)	1.8	1.2%	0.1%	0%	-0.24%	-1.2%	53	0.9	Uptrend Reversal	Range(1.3%)	4	-0.3	2.5	Rebound	10.97(0.66%)	10.87-11.02	90.95	-52.9%-6.8%
8	Jan_14_2021	10.99 (-0.4%)	10.83 (-0.4%)	10.54 (0.3%)	10.59	10.37(0%)	10.49(1.65%)	10-10.58	-0.8(-0.9)	-1.8	-1.1%	-0.3%	0%	-0.44%	-1.4%	46	0.9	Growing Downtrend	Range(-1.4%)	5	-1	2.5	After Bottom	10.57(0.77%)	10.37-10.74	52.4	-54.7%-2.7%
9	Jan_13_2021	11.04 (-0.4%)	10.86 (-0.6%)	10.51 (-1.9%)	10.6	10.6(0%)	10.32(-2.37%)	10.18-10.67	-1.1(-1.3)	-2.3	-1.5%	-0.9%	0%	-0.58%	-1.6%	40	0.9	Growing Downtrend Downtrend Pop	Range(-1.2%)	6	-1.4	1.9	Downtrend	10.28(-0.41%)	10.21-10.43	56.84	-55.4%-1.1%
10	Jan_12_2021	11.14 (-0.2%)	10.96 (-0.6%)	10.71 (-1.7%)	10.62	10.83(0%)	10.57(-4.69%)	10.51-11.23	-1(-1)	0.6	0.4%	-0.3%	0%	-0.5%	-1.6%	40	0.8	Rebound	Range(2.4%)	6	-1.1	2	Growing Downtrend	10.53(-0.39%)	10.47-10.67	57.57	-54.3%-3.5%

11	Jan_11_2021	11.2 (-0%)	10.98 (-0.4%)	10.89 (-1.7%)	10.73	10.61(0%)	11.09(8.62%)	10.52-11.18	-0.2(-0.2)	-0.1	-0.2%	0.2%	0%	-0.36%	-2%	53	0.9	Correction	Range(0%)	5	-0.5	1.6	Downtrend	11.03(-0.53%)	11-11.11	67.41	-52.1%-8.6%
12	Jan_8_2021	11.21 (-0%)	10.95 (-0.4%)	11.08 (-0.8%)	10.99	10.42(0%)	10.21(-1.35%)	10.1-10.75	-1.4(-1.6)	-3.7	-3%	-0.9%	0%	-0.22%	-2.4%	50	0.9	Growing Downtrend	Lower(-3.2%)	5	-1.9	1	Downtrend	10.22(0.07%)	10.15-10.37	75.29	-55.9%-0%
13	Jan_7_2021	11.27 (0%)	11.06 (-0.2%)	11.17 (-0.6%)	11.28	10.85(0%)	10.35(-8.81%)	10.34-10.71	-1.4(-1.6)	-1.8	-3.5%	-1.1%	0%	-0.1%	-1.9%	49	0.9	Growing Downtrend	Range(-0.2%)	5	-1.8	0.6	Range Bound	10.47(1.13%)	10.64-10.32	62.33	-55.3%-0%
14	Jan_6_2021	11.29 (0%)	11.22 (-0%)	11.24 (0.1%)	11.31	11.57(0%)	11.35(-1.05%)	10.38-11.79	0.2(0.1)	-0.4	-0.4%	-0.5%	0%	-0%	-0.6%	50	0.8	N/A	Range(-0.4%)	6	-0.1	-0.8	Range Bound	11.33(-0.22%)	11.3-11.35	131.39	-51%-7.4%
15	Jan_5_2021	11.28 (0%)	11.3 (-0%)	11.23 (1.5%)	11.25	11.7(0%)	11.47(-4.66%)	11.3-12.49	0.3(0.3)	-0.5	3.7%	0.3%	0%	-0.04%	0.2%	45	0.8	N/A	Higher(6.3%)	6	0.2	-0.3	Range Bound	11.44(-0.23%)	11.41-11.47	70.32	-50.4%-8.5%

16	Jan_4_2021	11.26 (-0.2%)	11.25 (-0.4%)	11.07 (2.3%)	11	11.06(0%)	12.03(12.96%)	10.62-12.57	1.2(1.4)	1.6	2.2%	1%	0%	-0.28%	-0%	51	0.8	Uptrend Reversal	Higher(3.2%)	5	1.3	-0.7	After Bottom	11.82(-1.75%)	11.62-11.98	108.12	-48%-13.8%
17	Dec_31_2020	11.22 (-0.2%)	11.11 (-0.6%)	10.82 (-1.1%)	10.79	10.8(0%)	10.65(-0.47%)	10.35-10.92	-1(-1.1)	0.5	-1.1%	-0.3%	0%	-0.56%	-0.9%	48	0.8	Growing Downtrend	Range(-1.2%)	4	-1.3	1.1	Downtrend	10.61(-0.38%)	10.55-10.75	44.66	-54%-0.8%
18	Dec_30_2020	11.25 (-0.2%)	11.15 (-0.6%)	10.94 (-2.2%)	10.85	10.95(0%)	10.7(-5.14%)	10.61-11.28	-0.9(-1.1)	0.1	%	-0.6%	0%	-0.5%	-0.9%	49	0.8	Downtrend Consolidation	Range(2%)	3	-1.2	0.9	Growing Downtrend	10.66(-0.39%)	10.6-10.78	40.64	-53.8%-1.2%
19	Dec_29_2020	11.28 (-0.2%)	11.23 (-0.2%)	11.19 (-1.8%)	10.95	10.78(0%)	11.28(5.52%)	10.46-11.6	0.1(0)	-0.7	-1%	-0.6%	0%	-0.24%	-0.5%	58	0.8	Downtrend Pop	Range(-1.6%)	3	-0.2	1.2	Growing Downtrend	11.25(-0.28%)	11.23-11.27	55.67	-51.3%-6.7%
20	Dec_28_2020	11.27 (-0.2%)	11.32 (0.2%)	11.39 (-0.5%)	11.23	10.75(0%)	10.69(-0.65%)	10.45-10.72	-1(-1.2)	-1.6	-3.1%	-0.9%	0%	0.04%	0.4%	49	0.8	Downtrend Reversal	Lower(-3.7%)	4	-1.3	0.8	N/A	10.84(1.43%)	10.69-10.97	23.99	-53.8%-1.1%

21	Dec_24_2020	11.31 (-0.2%)	11.45 (0.4%)	11.45 (0.1%)	11.71	11.12(0%)	10.76(-4.44%)	10.76-11.02	-1(-1.1)	-0.9	-2.7%	-0.5%	0%	0.16%	1.2%	50	0.7	Downtrend Reversal	Range(-1%)	5	-1.2	1	N/A	10.93(1.54%)	10.79-11.03	20.49	-53.5%-1.8%
22	Dec_23_2020	11.34 (-0.4%)	11.45 (0.4%)	11.44 (0.6%)	11.74	11.71(0%)	11.26(-5.93%)	10.93-11.63	-0.1(-0.2)	-0.9	-2%	-0.1%	0%	0.1%	1.5%	51	0.7	Downtrend Reversal	Range(0.9%)	5	-0.3	1	N/A	11.29(0.3%)	11.29-11.29	42.49	-51.3%-6.5%
23	Dec_22_2020	11.38 (-0.4%)	11.51 (0.2%)	11.37 (0.9%)	11.6	12.3(0%)	11.97(-2.29%)	11.88-12.34	1(1.2)	0.7	2.8%	0.8%	0%	0.04%	1.1%	57	0.7	Growing Uptrend	Higher(4.7%)	5	0.9	1.2	Uptrend Reversal	12.13(1.35%)	12-12.22	38.13	-48.3%-13.2%
24	Dec_21_2020	11.38 (-0.6%)	11.37 (0%)	11.27 (-0.2%)	11.39	11.78(0%)	12.25(11.16%)	11.93-13.3	1.6(1.7)	0.7	4.2%	0.7%	0%	-0.12%	-0.1%	58	0.8	Uptrend Reversal	Higher(4.9%)	4	1.4	0.1	N/A	11.99(-2.11%)	11.73-12.21	84.37	-47.1%-15.9%
25	Dec_18_2020	11.39 (-0.6%)	11.25 (0%)	11.29 (-1.6%)	11.19	10.91(0%)	11.02(3.18%)	10.8-11.47	-0.6(-0.7)	-1.7	-1.3%	-0.3%	0%	-0.12%	-1.2%	50	0.8	Growing Downtrend	Range(-1.6%)	3	-0.8	1.9	Growing Downtrend	11(-0.16%)	10.97-11.08	48.07	-52.4%-4.3%
i	Date	ema20(Trend)	ema10(Trend)	ema5(Trend)	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	ActualPriceRange	BBV	Hourly BBV	Daily Moving Force	Weekly Trend Force	Reversal Force	Trend	Trend Strength	RSI	Momentum	Trend Pattern	Next Direction	C	RV	VIXCD	Trend-Narrative	NextDay PriceTarget	NextDayPriceRange	Volume millions	To High-Low