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     Tue. Jan. 26, 2021

Trading Signals: UVXY Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Dec. 1, 2014 - Tue. Jan. 26, 2021)

(ProShares Ultra VIX Short-Term Futures ETF)

UVXY latest price $10.5500 (-2.76%) ($10.2600 - $10.6900) on Tue. Jan. 26, 2021.


Trend Analysis and Forecast
 
Trend Pattern  Downtrend Consolidation Downtrend Pop
Trend Narrative  Rebound
Average Daily Price Swing  $0.52 (4.86% one month average)
Average Daily Percentage Swing  5.88% (three month average)
Weekly Trend Force  -0.3% (StdDev 5.88%)
Daily Moving Force  0.8%
Rebound Strength  None(0%)
Trend   -0.5%
Trend Strength  -2.4%
RSI   42
Momentum  0.8
Latest Price  $10.5500(-2.76%)
Forecasted Low Price  10.38(-1.65%)
Forecasted High Price  10.91(3.4%)
Direction of Next Movement  Higher(3.1%)
% Change Needed to Confirm Rebound  4.7% ((11.05))
% Change Needed for Trend Reversal  1.9%
Hourly Trend   1.1% [$10.62(0.12), $10.41(0.07)]
Stocks Behave Similarly  Similar Stock List
Complacency  4
Intraday Reversal Probability  There's a high probability the price will reverse sharply to downside intraday or next day..
Daily Trend  UVXY advances 0.2% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend  UVXY declines -2.5% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior  Value stocks sell-off for large cap. Growth stock sell-off for small cap.
Correlated ETFs  Broad market will support UVXY advance at 1.6% a week (74% probability)
  VIXM(85%)    UUP(30%)    ROBT(24%)    SHY(17%)    UNG(16%)  
Factors Impacting UVXY price  UVXY will decline at least -0.4% in a week (72% probabilities).
  SPY(-75%)    VT(-73%)    XLY(-71%)    IVW(-70%)    JNK(-69%)  
Explanation   The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.
Trading Plan  Buy the rebound
 
Valuation to SPY   -0.5
 
Relative Volatility   -0.6 (options are cheap)
 
Market Trend Strength  0.9% (StdDev 5.88%)
Hourly BBV   1.9 ()
Intraday Trend   0.1%
  
 

  


Next Day Open Price  $10.63(0.76%)
1 - 5 Day Possible Target  $9.47(-10.24%)
Inflection Point  Yes
5 Day Moving Average  $10.34(2.03%)
10 Day Moving Average  $10.44(1.05%)
20 Day Moving Average  $10.7(-1.4%)
To recent high  -54.4%
To recent low  5.5%
Market Cap  $N/A
 
Option Sentiment  
 
 
 
 


Average daily price decay: -0.03%


$. Technical analysis works only if the market conditions in the future are not drastically different from the past. Always read market news to understand the causes of the price movement before making a trading decision. News

$. UVXY is a 3x leveraged ETF. You'll lose 0.03% a day on average for holding it.

$. UVXY price fluctuates within 4.86% (three month std-dev: 5.88%    one year average std_dev: 0%) daily (68% of days).
$. UVXY price fluctuates within 0% weekly (one year average std_dev: %).

Analysis   News   Options   Weekly Chart   Daily Chart   Hourly Chart   15 Minute Chart

iDateema20(Trend)ema10(Trend) ema5(Trend) Slow Hourly
Trend
Fast Hourly
Trend
CloseActualPriceRangeBBVHourly
BBV
Daily
Moving
Force
Weekly
Trend
Force
Reversal
Force
TrendTrend
Strength
RSIMomentumTrend
Pattern
Next
Direction
CRVVIXCDTrend-Narrative  NextDay
PriceTarget  
NextDayPriceRangeVolume
millions
To High-Low
1Jan_26_202110.7 (-0.4%)10.44 (-0.4%)10.34 (0.2%) 10.41 10.62(0%)10.55(-2.76%)10.26-10.69-0.2(-0.3)1.9 0.8%-0.3%0%-0.5%-2.4%420.8 Downtrend Consolidation  Range(1.9%)4-0.51.5Rebound 10.6(0.46%)10.47-10.6566.87   -54.4%-5.5
2Jan_25_202110.71 (-0.6%)10.49 (-0.6%)10.32 (-0.1%) 10.34 10.5(0%)10.85(6.48%)10.25-11.490.2(0.3)1.7 1.6%0.4%0%-0.62%-2.1%400.8 Uptrend Reversal  Range(2%)3-0.12.2After Bottom 10.73(-1.06%)10.69-10.77115.71   -53.1%-8.5% 
3Jan_22_202110.72 (-0.4%)10.42 (-0.8%)10.33 (-0.6%) 10.28 10.2(0%)10.19(1.9%)10.03-10.46-0.9(-1)-4 -0.4%-0.4%0%-0.68%-2.8%490.8 Growing Downtrend  Range(-0.8%)2-1.22.1Downtrend 10.15(-0.43%)10.09-10.2862.28   -56%-1.9
4Jan_21_202110.81 (-0.4%)10.44 (-0.8%)10.39 (-0.6%) 10.42 10.18(0%)10(-1.28%)10-10.39-1.3(-1.6)-2.5 -1.1%-1.2%0%-0.66%-3.4%470.8 Growing Downtrend  Range(-1.7%)2-1.52.4Downtrend 9.97(-0.31%)9.91-10.1259.55   -56.8%-0
5Jan_20_202110.92 (-0.4%)10.57 (-0.8%)10.45 (-0.9%) 10.47 10.36(0%)10.13(-2.78%)10.05-10.46-1.4(-1.6)-1.8 -1.8%-1%0%-0.6%-3.2%440.7 Growing Downtrend  Range(-1.4%)3-1.52.3Growing Downtrend 10.1(-0.29%)10.04-10.2662.68   -56.2%-0
 
6Jan_19_202110.97 (-0.4%)10.7 (-0.4%)10.54 (-1.2%) 10.52 10.67(0%)10.42(-4.4%)10.34-10.73-0.8(-1)-2.2 %-1%0%-0.48%-2.4%510.8 Growing Downtrend Downtrend Pop Range(1.2%)4-12.3Growing Downtrend 10.39(-0.29%)10.34-10.554.97   -55%-2.1
7Jan_15_202110.97 (-0.4%)10.86 (-0.2%)10.67 (1.2%) 10.59 10.58(0%)10.9(3.91%)10.5-11.27-0.2(-0.2)1.8 1.2%0.1%0%-0.24%-1.2%530.9 Uptrend Reversal  Range(1.3%)4-0.32.5Rebound 10.97(0.66%)10.87-11.0290.95   -52.9%-6.8% 
8Jan_14_202110.99 (-0.4%)10.83 (-0.4%)10.54 (0.3%) 10.59 10.37(0%)10.49(1.65%)10-10.58-0.8(-0.9)-1.8 -1.1%-0.3%0%-0.44%-1.4%460.9 Growing Downtrend  Range(-1.4%)5-12.5After Bottom 10.57(0.77%)10.37-10.7452.4   -54.7%-2.7
9Jan_13_202111.04 (-0.4%)10.86 (-0.6%)10.51 (-1.9%) 10.6 10.6(0%)10.32(-2.37%)10.18-10.67-1.1(-1.3)-2.3 -1.5%-0.9%0%-0.58%-1.6%400.9 Growing Downtrend Downtrend Pop Range(-1.2%)6-1.41.9Downtrend 10.28(-0.41%)10.21-10.4356.84   -55.4%-1.1
10Jan_12_202111.14 (-0.2%)10.96 (-0.6%)10.71 (-1.7%) 10.62 10.83(0%)10.57(-4.69%)10.51-11.23-1(-1)0.6 0.4%-0.3%0%-0.5%-1.6%400.8 Rebound  Range(2.4%)6-1.12Growing Downtrend 10.53(-0.39%)10.47-10.6757.57   -54.3%-3.5
 
11Jan_11_202111.2 (-0%)10.98 (-0.4%)10.89 (-1.7%) 10.73 10.61(0%)11.09(8.62%)10.52-11.18-0.2(-0.2)-0.1 -0.2%0.2%0%-0.36%-2%530.9 Correction  Range(0%)5-0.51.6Downtrend 11.03(-0.53%)11-11.1167.41   -52.1%-8.6% 
12Jan_8_202111.21 (-0%)10.95 (-0.4%)11.08 (-0.8%) 10.99 10.42(0%)10.21(-1.35%)10.1-10.75-1.4(-1.6)-3.7 -3%-0.9%0%-0.22%-2.4%500.9 Growing Downtrend  Lower(-3.2%)5-1.91Downtrend 10.22(0.07%)10.15-10.3775.29   -55.9%-0
13Jan_7_202111.27 (0%)11.06 (-0.2%)11.17 (-0.6%) 11.28 10.85(0%)10.35(-8.81%)10.34-10.71-1.4(-1.6)-1.8 -3.5%-1.1%0%-0.1%-1.9%490.9 Growing Downtrend  Range(-0.2%)5-1.80.6Range Bound 10.47(1.13%)10.64-10.3262.33   -55.3%-0
14Jan_6_202111.29 (0%)11.22 (-0%)11.24 (0.1%) 11.31 11.57(0%)11.35(-1.05%)10.38-11.790.2(0.1)-0.4 -0.4%-0.5%0%-0%-0.6%500.8 N/A  Range(-0.4%)6-0.1-0.8Range Bound 11.33(-0.22%)11.3-11.35131.39   -51%-7.4% 
15Jan_5_202111.28 (0%)11.3 (-0%)11.23 (1.5%) 11.25 11.7(0%)11.47(-4.66%)11.3-12.490.3(0.3)-0.5 3.7%0.3%0%-0.04%0.2%450.8 N/A  Higher(6.3%)60.2-0.3Range Bound 11.44(-0.23%)11.41-11.4770.32   -50.4%-8.5% 
 
16Jan_4_202111.26 (-0.2%)11.25 (-0.4%)11.07 (2.3%) 11 11.06(0%)12.03(12.96%)10.62-12.571.2(1.4)1.6 2.2%1%0%-0.28%-0%510.8 Uptrend Reversal  Higher(3.2%)51.3-0.7After Bottom 11.82(-1.75%)11.62-11.98108.12   -48%-13.8% 
17Dec_31_202011.22 (-0.2%)11.11 (-0.6%)10.82 (-1.1%) 10.79 10.8(0%)10.65(-0.47%)10.35-10.92-1(-1.1)0.5 -1.1%-0.3%0%-0.56%-0.9%480.8 Growing Downtrend  Range(-1.2%)4-1.31.1Downtrend 10.61(-0.38%)10.55-10.7544.66   -54%-0.8
18Dec_30_202011.25 (-0.2%)11.15 (-0.6%)10.94 (-2.2%) 10.85 10.95(0%)10.7(-5.14%)10.61-11.28-0.9(-1.1)0.1 %-0.6%0%-0.5%-0.9%490.8 Downtrend Consolidation  Range(2%)3-1.20.9Growing Downtrend 10.66(-0.39%)10.6-10.7840.64   -53.8%-1.2
19Dec_29_202011.28 (-0.2%)11.23 (-0.2%)11.19 (-1.8%) 10.95 10.78(0%)11.28(5.52%)10.46-11.60.1(0)-0.7 -1%-0.6%0%-0.24%-0.5%580.8 Downtrend Pop  Range(-1.6%)3-0.21.2Growing Downtrend 11.25(-0.28%)11.23-11.2755.67   -51.3%-6.7% 
20Dec_28_202011.27 (-0.2%)11.32 (0.2%)11.39 (-0.5%) 11.23 10.75(0%)10.69(-0.65%)10.45-10.72-1(-1.2)-1.6 -3.1%-0.9%0%0.04%0.4%490.8 Downtrend Reversal  Lower(-3.7%)4-1.30.8N/A 10.84(1.43%)10.69-10.9723.99   -53.8%-1.1
 
21Dec_24_202011.31 (-0.2%)11.45 (0.4%)11.45 (0.1%) 11.71 11.12(0%)10.76(-4.44%)10.76-11.02-1(-1.1)-0.9 -2.7%-0.5%0%0.16%1.2%500.7 Downtrend Reversal  Range(-1%)5-1.21N/A 10.93(1.54%)10.79-11.0320.49   -53.5%-1.8
22Dec_23_202011.34 (-0.4%)11.45 (0.4%)11.44 (0.6%) 11.74 11.71(0%)11.26(-5.93%)10.93-11.63-0.1(-0.2)-0.9 -2%-0.1%0%0.1%1.5%510.7 Downtrend Reversal  Range(0.9%)5-0.31N/A 11.29(0.3%)11.29-11.2942.49   -51.3%-6.5% 
23Dec_22_202011.38 (-0.4%)11.51 (0.2%)11.37 (0.9%) 11.6 12.3(0%)11.97(-2.29%)11.88-12.341(1.2)0.7 2.8%0.8%0%0.04%1.1%570.7 Growing Uptrend  Higher(4.7%)50.91.2Uptrend Reversal 12.13(1.35%)12-12.2238.13   -48.3%-13.2% 
24Dec_21_202011.38 (-0.6%)11.37 (0%)11.27 (-0.2%) 11.39 11.78(0%)12.25(11.16%)11.93-13.31.6(1.7)0.7 4.2%0.7%0%-0.12%-0.1%580.8 Uptrend Reversal  Higher(4.9%)41.40.1N/A 11.99(-2.11%)11.73-12.2184.37   -47.1%-15.9% 
25Dec_18_202011.39 (-0.6%)11.25 (0%)11.29 (-1.6%) 11.19 10.91(0%)11.02(3.18%)10.8-11.47-0.6(-0.7)-1.7 -1.3%-0.3%0%-0.12%-1.2%500.8 Growing Downtrend  Range(-1.6%)3-0.81.9Growing Downtrend 11(-0.16%)10.97-11.0848.07   -52.4%-4.3
iDateema20(Trend)ema10(Trend) ema5(Trend) Slow Hourly
Trend
Fast Hourly
Trend
CloseActualPriceRangeBBVHourly
BBV
Daily
Moving
Force
Weekly
Trend
Force
Reversal
Force
TrendTrend
Strength
RSIMomentumTrend
Pattern
Next
Direction
CRVVIXCDTrend-Narrative  NextDay
PriceTarget  
NextDayPriceRangeVolume
millions
To High-Low
 
 
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