Trading Signals: UVXY Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ UVXY: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Thu. Jun. 4, 2020

Trading Signals: UVXY Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Jun. 3, 2016 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(ProShares Ultra VIX Short-Term Futures ETF)
UVXY latest price $299.8000 (-1.38%) ($286.6000 - $310.6500) on Thu. Jun. 4, 2020.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   13.9% (three month average)
RSI   28
Latest Price   $299.8000(-1.38%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   UVXY declines -3.3% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   UVXY declines -7.6% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support UVXY advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
VIXM(19%)    UUP(9%)    VXX(8%)    TLT(5%)    UNG(3%)
Factors Impacting UVXY price   UVXY will decline at least -6.95% in a week (0% probabilities).
VT(-19%)    VYM(-17%)    VFMO(-17%)    XLY(-16%)    XLK(-16%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -6.95% (StdDev 13.9%)
Hourly BBV -0.5 ()
Intraday Trend -2.1%

Inflection Point   Yes
Resistance Level   $356.71
5 Day Moving Average   $320.58(-6.48%)
10 Day Moving Average   $333.71(-10.16%)
20 Day Moving Average   $356.71(-15.95%)
To recent high   -72.9%
To recent low   28.9%
Market Cap   $N/A

Average daily price decay: -0.19%

$. UVXY is a 3x leveraged ETF. You'll lose 0.19% a day on average for holding it.$. UVXY price fluctuates within 9.82% (three month std-dev: 13.9%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 26 Average positive next day return: 4.84%(35%) Average negative next day return: -6.95%(65%) Sample size 26 Average positive next three day return: 9.6%(50%) Average negative next three day return: -10.08%(50%) Sample size 26 Average positive next weekly return: 11.01%(58%) Average negative next weekly return: -9.53%(42%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20200704

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jun_4_2020	375.43	356.71	333.71	320.58	321.23	305.09	299.8(-1.38%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-82	-350	-87	-68	1.29	78%	0.52	-80.9	13.9%	-0.5	-1.6	28	1.6
2	Jun_3_2020	373.47	363.65	338.55	331.38	333.31	320.59	304(-6.43%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-80	-250	-83	-69	1.33	79%	0.54	-67.1	13.95%	-1.8	-1.6	25	1.7
3	Jun_2_2020	371.48	370.05	346.18	337.5	342.75	337.36	324.9(-4.02%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-41	-60	-38	-48	1.22	79%	0.6	-65	14.07%	-1.3	-1.2	42	1.3
4	Jun_1_2020	369.27	376.61	349.32	341.84	345.25	346.04	338.5(0.83%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-12	50	-6	-31	0.87	79%	0.62	-55.2	14.08%	-0.9	-1	55	1
5	May_29_2020	366.98	383.2	354.42	344.7	343.96	348.14	335.7(-5.12%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.2	-1	80	6	-22	1.57	79%	0.62	-49.9	14.19%	-0.8	-1.1	48	1.3

6	May_28_2020	364.72	387.49	361.32	348.98	346.49	344.46	353.8(5.74%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.1	6	-60	14	-17	1.2	79%	0.65	-59.3	14.28%	1	-0.8	45	0.9
7	May_27_2020	362.35	390.01	369.33	347.22	347.83	339.78	334.6(-3.46%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-39	-160	-39	-39	1.75	80%	0.59	-74.3	14.28%	-0.6	-1.3	39	1.5
8	May_26_2020	360.21	395.44	374.58	356.3	350.38	348.51	346.6(-1.76%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-40	-90	-40	-38	1.19	80%	1.29	-83.6	14.55%	-0.7	-1.2	42	1.3
9	May_22_2020	355.64	399.78	374.03	357.86	357.38	355.88	352.8(-1.2%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.1	2	-30	12	-28	0.97	82%	0.67	-86.8	14.74%	-0.1	-1.1	40	1.2
10	May_21_2020	353.27	406.32	376.1	365.76	356.21	352.25	357.1(3.51%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-59	-160	-58	-60	1.43	83%	0.01	-70.6	14.85%	0.6	-1	38	1.1

11	May_20_2020	353.23	414.67	381.54	375.84	372.21	358.88	345(-9.21%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-58	-280	-58	-56	1.34	83%	0.63	-57	14.87%	-0.9	-1.3	45	1.5
12	May_19_2020	351.01	423.92	390.96	394.96	395.84	360.16	380(7.22%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-101	-620	-113	-65	0.91	83%	0.72	-39.9	14.8%	-0.3	-0.7	51	0.9
13	May_18_2020	348.51	433.13	395.88	395.76	408.98	385.54	354.4(-9.66%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-135	-300	-152	-82	0.69	83%	0.67	-29.1	14.8%	-1.3	-1.3	43	1.4
14	May_15_2020	346.19	441.11	406.31	391.54	407.83	431.53	392.3(-3.73%)	N/A	N/A	0	0	19	530	28	-9	1.53	83%	0.8	-30.4	14.71%	-1.3	-0.8	48	1
15	May_14_2020	343.45	444.11	414.18	387.18	393.24	432.41	407.5(-7.51%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	160	740	195	55	2.3	83%	0.19	-36.6	14.81%	0.3	-0.6	44	0.8

16	May_13_2020	342.79	447.58	415.43	388.22	377.48	384.13	440.6(14.74%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	81	40	104	10	2.51	83%	0.96	-39.3	14.76%	1.9	-0.1	43	0.1
17	May_12_2020	339.52	449.1	411.35	388.2	376.56	354.08	384(15.21%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-97	-510	-101	-83	1.05	81%	0.79	-43.4	14.69%	0.4	-1.2	35	1.2
18	May_11_2020	336.86	451.5	417.2	397.76	396.44	370.84	333.3(-10.04%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-1.2	-132	-460	-141	-105	0.79	81%	0.64	-47.1	14.66%	-1.8	-2.2	24	2.3
19	May_8_2020	334.72	459.31	427.88	423.06	414.14	399.04	370.5(-10.23%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.1	-127	-320	-137	-98	0.82	81%	0.77	-47.7	14.47%	-1.7	-1.8	37	2
20	May_7_2020	332.17	465.86	439.65	444.16	438.55	422.05	412.7(-6.31%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-56	-300	-56	-54	0.69	81%	0.89	-50.7	14.49%	-0.9	-1.2	50	1.4

21	May_6_2020	329.24	470.8	450.91	445.48	453.6	429.25	440.5(2.01%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-77	-320	-83	-60	0.61	81%	1	-65.4	14.44%	-0.5	-0.7	49	0.8
22	May_5_2020	325.99	475.02	459.57	437.62	451.71	455.05	431.8(-6.09%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-62	150	-65	-52	0.66	79%	0.97	-74.2	14.45%	-1.4	-1	49	1.1
23	May_4_2020	322.85	478.83	473.07	439.62	444.42	477.95	459.8(-3.4%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.5	110	560	133	39	0.68	78%	1.06	-86.4	14.45%	-0.1	-0.4	58	0.5
24	May_1_2020	319.46	483.8	478.17	433.86	430.79	448.36	476(13.52%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	119	260	144	44	0.99	77%	1.09	-91.8	14.42%	1.3	-0.2	52	0.4
25	Apr_30_2020	316.01	489.63	475.62	436.06	423.67	410.89	419.3(4.51%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-53	-300	-57	-40	0.7	78%		-79.8	14.46%	0.4	-1.3	45	1.3
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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