Trading Signals: USLV Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Thu. Jul. 2, 2020

Trading Signals: USLV Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Feb. 7, 2014 - Thu. Jul. 2, 2020)

(VelocityShares 3x Long Silver ETN)
USLV latest price $66.6800 (-0.51%) ($65.0770 - $68.0950) on Thu. Jul. 2, 2020.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   6.26% (three month average)
RSI   59
Latest Price   $66.6800(-0.51%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   USLV advances 0.6% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   USLV advances 4% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support USLV advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
IBB(76%)    SIL(96%)    ARKG(64%)    ARKK(66%)    XBI(72%)
Factors Impacting USLV price   USLV will decline at least -3.13% in a week (0% probabilities).
UNG(-0%)    IBUY(42%)    EEM(14%)    VXX(-73%)    VWO(10%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -3.13% (StdDev 6.26%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0%

Inflection Point   Yes
5 Day Moving Average   $66.78(-0.15%)
10 Day Moving Average   $65.65(1.57%)
20 Day Moving Average   $64.58(3.25%)
To recent high   -13.7%
To recent low   71.7%
Market Cap   $N/A

Average daily price decay: -0.04%

$. USLV is a 3x leveraged ETF. You'll lose 0.04% a day on average for holding it.$. USLV price fluctuates within 4.34% (three month std-dev: 6.26%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 1 Average positive next day return: 2.37%(100%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 1 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: -3.64%(100%) Sample size 1 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: -8.28%(100%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20200802

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jul_2_2020	57.98		65.65	66.78	66.92	66.98	66.68(-0.51%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0	6	10	-5	37	0.55	70%	-0.33	-29.3	6.26%	0	0.8	59	0.8
2	Jul_1_2020	58.17	64.58	65.11	66.37	66.37	68.23	67.02(-4.39%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	25	200	20	40	1.08	70%	-0.34	-33.3	6.43%	0	0.9	56	0.6
3	Jun_30_2020	58.37	64.54	64.74	65.17	65.57	66.85	70.1(8.01%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.6	29	160	30	25	1.1	70%	-0.32	-39.2	6.37%	0	1.8	48	0.3
4	Jun_29_2020	58.56	64.53	63.88	64.56	63.77	64.51	64.9(-0.49%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	1	40	-0	5	0.6	68%	-0.39	-25.4	6.39%	0	0.1	53	-0.2
5	Jun_26_2020	58.79	65.08	63.48	64.42	64.34	64.29	65.22(0.96%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.2	7	-10	9	0	1.07	68%	-0.41	-10.7	6.4%	0	0	50	-0.9

6	Jun_25_2020	59.03	65.42	63.11	64.38	64.49	63.04	64.6(5.85%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-8	-150	-8	-8	0.82	68%	-0.37	0.6	6.4%	0	-0.2	55	-0.3
7	Jun_24_2020	59.25	65.52	62.97	63.65	64.71	64.38	61.03(-8.99%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-15	10	-13	-20	1.16	73%	-0.4	-5.9	6.42%	0	-1.1	45	-0.7
8	Jun_23_2020	59.49	65.78	63.89	64.12	64.42	65.95	67.06(4.5%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.7	11	180	15	0	0.95	80%	-0.35	-3.8	6.97%	0	0.3	51	-0
9	Jun_22_2020	59.7	65.55	63.53	63.08	63.53	65.04	64.17(-1.32%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.3	13	190	21	-13	1.72	80%	-0.47	-8.5	7.24%	0	-0.3	43	-0.2
10	Jun_19_2020	59.98	65.54	63.72	62.39	62.77	62.89	65.03(6.64%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.6	2	30	14	-33	0.86	81%	-0.43	-7.6	7.28%	0	-0.1	39	-0.8

11	Jun_18_2020	60.24	65.39	63.4	61.71	61.45	62.02	60.98(-3.79%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-21	50	-8	-58	0.55	74%	-0.41	-0.6	7.26%	0	-1	40	-0.7
12	Jun_17_2020	60.49	65.77	64.01	62.19	61.79	62.66	63.38(2.49%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-9	80	4	-49	0.46	74%	-0.36	25.9	7.59%	0	-0.6	49	-0.9
13	Jun_16_2020	60.71	65.94	64.32	63.68	62.15	60.88	61.84(1.81%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-18	-220	-9	-45	0.69	62%	-0.54	59.9	7.61%	0	-1	49	-1
14	Jun_15_2020	61.04	65.92	65.23	64.09	63.86	60.93	60.74(-1.37%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-25	-330	-22	-34	1.21	62%	-0.55	79.2	8.92%	0	-1.2	52	-1.3
15	Jun_12_2020	61.38	65.87	66.82	65.21	65.04	63.43	61.59(-2.89%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-20	-180	-21	-15	0.99	53%	-0.49	98.5	9.32%	0	-0.9	51	-1.4

16	Jun_11_2020	61.68	65.42	67.95	65.25	65.89	66.79	63.42(-10.41%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.3	2	130	1	3	2.02	53%	-0.44	86.7	9.64%	0	-0.4	55	-2.6
17	Jun_10_2020	61.95	64.67	68.34	65.99	65.07	66.64	70.79(10.8%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	12	130	13	10	1.47	55%	-0.32	78.6	9.55%	0	0.9	53	0.9
18	Jun_9_2020	62.15	63.47	67.83	65.16	64.59	65	63.89(-3.75%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	2	20	2	1	0.73	51%	0.03	69.5	9.46%	0	0.1	50	1
19	Jun_8_2020	62.13	62.63	67.76	66.66	65.02	63.5	66.38(7.48%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0	-10	-240	-15	4	0.68	51%	-0.45	72.8	9.48%	0	0.4	59	1.6
20	Jun_5_2020	62.41	61.68	67.54	68.83	66.6	64.18	61.76(-8.01%)	CR	SmallShort	-20	-0.8	-20	-350	-31	15	1.1	51%	-0.49	80.3	9.44%	0	0	58	2

21	Jun_4_2020	62.72	60.91	67.65	71.03	70.31	66.55	67.14(0.8%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.4	-2	-400	-17	45	0.95	51%	-0.43	86.3	9.39%	0	0.6	71	1.6
22	Jun_3_2020	62.99	59.64	67.77	70.93	71.69	69.01	66.61(-6.71%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.4	-4	-230	-27	64	1.3	53%	-0.38	79.2	9.39%	0	0.6	74	1.7
23	Jun_2_2020	63.23	58.42	67.78	70.75	71.88	74.07	71.4(-7.56%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	33	260	10	103	1.75	53%	-0.36	75.6	9.4%	0	1.1	79	1.3
24	Jun_1_2020	63.46	56.82	66.7	68.88	69.93	74.38	77.24(6.17%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.7	64	490	44	125	1.21	53%	-0.28	66.9	9.34%	0	1.8	85	1
25	May_29_2020	63.64	54.95	64.77	66.16	66.7	69.7	72.75(9.12%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.6	59	340	37	123	1.37	53%		61.1	9.39%	0	1.6	81	1.3
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD