Trading Signals: URA Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ URA: Intraday Forecast Similar Waves Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Fri. Feb. 26, 2021

Trading Signals: URA Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Feb. 16, 2016 - Fri. Feb. 26, 2021)

(Global X Uranium ETF)
URA latest price $17.5000 (-4.63%) ($17.2100 - $18.0000) on Fri. Feb. 26, 2021.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Trend Pattern   Downtrend Reversal
Trend Narrative   Uptrend Consolidation
Average Daily Price Swing   $1.25 (7.17% one month average)
Average Daily Percentage Swing   3.02% (three month average)
Weekly Trend Force   0.1% (StdDev 3.02%)
Daily Moving Force   -1.4%
Correction Force   Weak (0%)
Trend   0.62%
Trend Strength   5.2%
RSI   65
Momentum   2.4
Latest Price   $17.5000(-4.63%)
Forecasted Low Price   17.36(-0.8%)
Forecasted High Price   17.82(1.8%)
Direction of Next Movement   Range(0.7%)
% Change Needed to Confirm Correction   1.4% (17.25)
% Change Needed for Trend Reversal   -3.1%
Hourly Trend -1.6% [$18.05(-0.28), $18.09(-0.24)]
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Complacency   4
Intraday Reversal Probability   N/A.
Daily Trend   URA declines -1.1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   URA advances 2.5% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Value stocks sell-off for large cap. Rotation from value to growth for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support URA decline at-1.1% a week (74% probability)
EWJ(67%)    EEM(62%)    EWY(62%)    VWO(61%)    DRIV(59%)
Factors Impacting URA price   URA will advance at least 0.8% in a week (29% probabilities).
BND(-33%)    SHY(-30%)    TLT(-29%)    VXX(-27%)    TIP(-26%)
Explanation The decline is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.
Trading Plan   Not Available

Valuation to SPY 0.6

Relative Volatility 0.9 (options are expensive)

Market Trend Strength   -0.2% (StdDev 3.02%)
Hourly BBV -0.5 ()
Intraday Trend -2.1%

Next Day Open Price   $17.56(0.34%)
Support Level   $17.43
5 Day Moving Average   $18.19(-3.79%)
10 Day Moving Average   $18.34(-4.58%)
20 Day Moving Average   $17.43(0.4%)
To recent high   -8.7%
To recent low   47.9%
Market Cap   $N/A

Option Sentiment

$. Technical analysis works only if the market conditions in the future are not drastically different from the past. Always read market news to understand the causes of the price movement before making a trading decision. News

$. URA price fluctuates within 7.17% (three month std-dev: 3.02% one year average std_dev: 0%) daily (68% of days).
$. URA price fluctuates within 0% weekly (one year average std_dev: %).

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart Hourly Chart 15 Minute Chart

i	Date	ema20(Trend)	ema10(Trend)	ema5(Trend)	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	ActualPriceRange	BBV	Hourly BBV	Daily Moving Force	Weekly Trend Force	Reversal Force	Trend	Trend Strength	RSI	Momentum	Trend Pattern	Next Direction	C	RV	VIXCD	Trend-Narrative	NextDay PriceTarget	NextDayPriceRange	Volume millions	To High-Low
1	Feb_26_2021	17.43 (0.8%)	18.34 (0.6%)	18.19 (-1.1%)	18.09	18.05(0%)	17.5(-4.63%)	17.21-18	0.7(0.1)	-0.5	-1.4%	0.1%	0%	0.62%	5.2%	65	2.4	Downtrend Reversal	Range(1%)	4	0.6	0.4	Uptrend Consolidation	17.58(0.48%)	17.5-17.83	1.13	-8.7%-47.9%
2	Feb_25_2021	17.31 (1%)	18.38 (0.8%)	18.4 (0.5%)	18.33	18.33(0%)	18.35(-0.16%)	18.07-18.75	0.9(0.8)	-1.7	0.7%	0.5%	0%	0.88%	6.2%	77	2.7	Growing Uptrend	Range(1.3%)	5	1.3	0.5	Uptrend	18.9(3.01%)	18.17-19.22	0.88	-4.2%-55.1%
3	Feb_24_2021	17.14 (0.8%)	18.31 (1%)	18.31 (-0.9%)	18.31	18.13(0%)	18.38(0.71%)	17.84-18.4	1(0.9)	-1.5	-0.8%	0.7%	0%	0.98%	6.8%	75	2.8	Correction	Range(-0.1%)	6	1	1.1	Uptrend	19(3.36%)	18.11-19.38	0.99	-4.1%-55.4%
4	Feb_23_2021	17 (1%)	18.2 (1.4%)	18.47 (-1%)	18.34	18.33(0%)	18.25(-1.3%)	17.49-18.38	1.2(0.9)	-2.5	-1.2%	0.7%	0%	1.2%	7.1%	75	2.8	Correction	Range(0.2%)	7	1.1	1.5	Uptrend	18.97(3.97%)	17.98-19.4	1.17	-4.7%-58.7%
5	Feb_22_2021	16.86 (1%)	18.1 (1.6%)	18.65 (0.8%)	18.66	18.49(0%)	18.49(-0.16%)	18.48-18.84	1.5(1.1)	-2.7	0.4%	1.1%	0%	1.44%	7.4%	74	2.9	Growing Uptrend	Higher(1.6%)	8	1.4	1.7	Uptrend	19.45(5.17%)	18.17-19.99	1.37	-3.5%-60.8%

6	Feb_19_2021	16.68 (1%)	17.89 (1.8%)	18.51 (0.9%)	18.76	18.34(0%)	18.52(3.29%)	18.04-18.6	1.6(1.3)	0.8	-1%	1.3%	0%	1.52%	7.2%	81	2.9	Uptrend	Range(0.3%)	9	1.6	1.9	Uptrend	19.52(5.42%)	18.16-20.11	1.04	-3.3%-62.3%
7	Feb_18_2021	16.52 (0.8%)	17.62 (1.8%)	18.35 (0.3%)	18.63	18.84(0%)	17.93(-6.32%)	17.77-18.81	1.8(1)	-1.6	-0.7%	1%	0%	1.54%	6.6%	75	2.8	Uptrend Consolidation	Higher(3.5%)	10	1.2	1.9	Uptrend Dip	20.22(12.78%)	17.41-20.93	1.74	-6.4%-57.1%
8	Feb_17_2021	16.41 (0.8%)	17.43 (2%)	18.29 (2.2%)	18.52	19.19(0%)	19.14(-0.1%)	18.68-19.85	2.1(2)	-0.6	3.2%	1.7%	-2.8%	1.64%	6.2%	86	2.9	Growing Uptrend	Lower(-4%)	10	2.2	2.1	Relative Overbought	19.95(4.23%)	17.5-21.95	1.47	-0.1%-67.7%
9	Feb_16_2021	16.21 (0.8%)	17.09 (1.8%)	17.9 (2.4%)	18.06	18.42(0%)	19.16(7.52%)	18.71-19.38	2.1(2.5)	-1.2	2.8%	1.7%	-2.5%	1.46%	5.4%	74	2.6	Overbought	Lower(-3.5%)	10	2.7	2	Growing Uptrend	20.22(5.54%)	18.56-20.64	2.06	0%-67.9%
10	Feb_12_2021	16.02 (0.6%)	16.76 (1.6%)	17.48 (1.8%)	17.6	17.84(0%)	17.82(0.56%)	17.66-17.96	2.1(1.9)	0	1.1%	1.5%	-2.2%	1.3%	4.6%	71	2.3	Growing Uptrend	Lower(-3.4%)	10	1.9	2.1	Growing Uptrend	18.62(4.48%)	17.5-18.9	0.53	0%-56.2%

11	Feb_11_2021	15.93 (0.4%)	16.44 (1.4%)	17.17 (2.3%)	17.38	17.7(0%)	17.72(0.62%)	17.43-18.15	2.1(2)	0	2.2%	1.4%	-2%	1.08%	3.2%	72	2.1	Growing Uptrend	Lower(-2.8%)	9	1.9	2.2	Growing Uptrend	18.32(3.37%)	17.38-18.55	1	0%-55.3%
12	Feb_10_2021	15.83 (0.2%)	16.15 (1%)	16.78 (2.1%)	16.93	17.36(0%)	17.61(2.5%)	17.24-17.78	1.8(2.3)	0	2%	1.4%	0%	0.8%	2%	67	1.8	Breakout	Higher(3.4%)	8	1.8	2.2	Growing Uptrend	17.99(2.16%)	17.29-18.17	1.13	0%-54.3%
13	Feb_9_2021	15.72 (0%)	15.86 (0.8%)	16.43 (1.7%)	16.5	17.06(0%)	17.18(0.7%)	17-17.39	1.5(2.2)	0	2.6%	0.9%	0%	0.52%	0.9%	62	1.5	Breakout	Higher(3.5%)	8	1.2	2	N/A	17.05(-0.73%)	16.38-17.61	0.56	0%-51.6%
14	Feb_8_2021	15.66 (-0%)	15.69 (0.6%)	16.15 (1.3%)	16.17	16.5(0%)	17.06(4.66%)	16.74-17.19	1(2.5)	0	2.4%	0.9%	0%	0.38%	0.2%	63	1.4	Breakout	Higher(3.3%)	7	0.9	1.8	Uptrend Reversal	17.26(1.16%)	17.09-17.37	1.11	0%-50.6%
15	Feb_5_2021	15.61 (-0%)	15.5 (0.4%)	15.94 (2.3%)	15.92	15.95(0%)	16.3(3.62%)	15.77-16.34	0.6(1.4)	0	1.1%	0.5%	0%	0.26%	-0.7%	56	1.2	Growing Uptrend	Higher(1.6%)	6	0	1.7	Uptrend Reversal	16.47(1.02%)	16.33-16.56	0.42	-3.6%-47.4%

16	Feb_4_2021	15.63 (-0%)	15.37 (-0%)	15.58 (1.1%)	15.76	15.85(0%)	15.73(-0.94%)	15.68-15.97	-0(0.2)	0	0.6%	0.1%	0%	-0.04%	-1.7%	44	1.4	N/A Downtrend Pop	Range(1.2%)	5	-0.7	1.5	Rebound	15.69(-0.25%)	15.73-15.67	0.28	-7%-46.3%
17	Feb_3_2021	15.66 (-0%)	15.34 (-0.2%)	15.41 (1.4%)	15.48	15.89(0%)	15.88(0.57%)	15.63-16	-0.3(0.4)	0	1.5%	0.1%	0%	-0.18%	-2.1%	49	1.4	Uptrend Reversal Downtrend Pop	Higher(1.6%)	4	-0.3	1.7	Downtrend Consolidation	15.84(-0.23%)	15.79-15.86	0.38	-6.1%-47.7%
18	Feb_2_2021	15.68 (-0.2%)	15.3 (-0.4%)	15.2 (0.3%)	15.21	15.68(0%)	15.79(-1.31%)	15.6-16.15	-0.7(0.2)	0	2.5%	0.2%	0%	-0.28%	-2.4%	52	1.4	Uptrend Reversal	Higher(3.4%)	3	-0.3	1.4	Downtrend	15.7(-0.56%)	15.67-15.77	0.62	-6.6%-46.9%
19	Feb_1_2021	15.67 (-0%)	15.26 (-0.4%)	15.16 (1%)	15.21	15.06(0%)	16(10.19%)	14.75-16.07	-0.9(0.6)	0	1.3%	0.3%	0%	-0.36%	-2.6%	48	1.5	Uptrend Reversal	Higher(1.6%)	2	0.3	1.1	After Bottom	15.82(-1.15%)	15.82-15.82	1.49	-5.4%-48.8%
20	Jan_29_2021	15.63 (-0.2%)	15.21 (-0.6%)	15.01 (-0.8%)	14.97	14.74(0%)	14.52(-2.16%)	14.44-14.9	-1.4(-1.8)	0	-0.9%	-0.9%	0%	-0.52%	-2.7%	30	1.7	Growing Downtrend	Range(-0.7%)	2	-1.6	0.2	Downtrend	14.39(-0.88%)	14.26-14.69	0.3	-14.1%-35.8%

21	Jan_28_2021	15.69 (-0%)	15.39 (-0.6%)	15.13 (-0.7%)	15.1	14.88(0%)	14.84(0.07%)	14.61-15	-1.2(-1.5)	0	-1.4%	-0.6%	0%	-0.48%	-1.9%	28	1.5	Growing Downtrend	Lower(-2%)	2	-1.5	0.6	Downtrend	14.74(-0.69%)	14.63-14.98	0.35	-12.2%-40.5%
22	Jan_27_2021	15.72 (0%)	15.5 (-0.6%)	15.24 (-1.1%)	15.19	15.2(0%)	14.83(-5%)	14.71-15.21	-1(-1.7)	0	-0.9%	-0.5%	0%	-0.44%	-1.4%	37	1.4	Growing Downtrend Downtrend Pop	Range(1.1%)	2	-1.3	0.9	Correction	14.28(-3.7%)	14.19-14.63	0.72	-12.3%-40.4%
23	Jan_26_2021	15.76 (0.2%)	15.59 (-0.6%)	15.41 (0.2%)	15.32	15.32(0%)	15.61(2.23%)	15.25-15.62	-0.7(-0.3)	0	0.5%	-0.2%	0%	-0.42%	-1.1%	41	1.4	Rebound	Range(0.3%)	1	-0.7	1.5	Correction	15.16(-2.86%)	15.09-15.47	0.45	-7.7%-47.8%
24	Jan_25_2021	15.76 (0.2%)	15.64 (-0.6%)	15.38 (-0.5%)	15.36	15.17(0%)	15.27(1.06%)	14.95-15.35	-0.8(-1)	0	-0.8%	-0.5%	0%	-0.38%	-0.7%	50	1.3	Growing Downtrend	Lower(-1.3%)	1	-1.2	2.2	Correction	14.83(-2.87%)	14.76-15.13	0.3	-9.7%-44.6%
25	Jan_22_2021	15.74 (0.2%)	15.75 (-0.4%)	15.45 (-1.5%)	15.45	15.33(0%)	15.11(-1.88%)	15.02-15.3	-0.6(-1.3)	0	-1.4%	-0.8%	0%	-0.26%	0%	51	1.3	Growing Downtrend	Lower(-1.3%)	2	-1.4	2.1	Correction	14.72(-2.59%)	14.65-14.99	0.35	-10.6%-43.1%
i	Date	ema20(Trend)	ema10(Trend)	ema5(Trend)	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	ActualPriceRange	BBV	Hourly BBV	Daily Moving Force	Weekly Trend Force	Reversal Force	Trend	Trend Strength	RSI	Momentum	Trend Pattern	Next Direction	C	RV	VIXCD	Trend-Narrative	NextDay PriceTarget	NextDayPriceRange	Volume millions	To High-Low