Trading Signals: UPS Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ UPS: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Fri. Apr. 16, 2021

Trading Signals: UPS Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Mar. 17, 2014 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(UPS)
UPS latest price $179.7100 (0.04%) ($178.9400 - $181.1900) on Fri. Apr. 16, 2021.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.33% (three month average)
RSI   80
Latest Price   $179.7100(0.04%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   UPS advances 0.4% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   UPS advances 2.8% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Value stock rally for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support UPS advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
XLI(65%)    VYM(60%)    IYT(58%)    VT(58%)    XLF(57%)
Factors Impacting UPS price   UPS will decline at least -0.665% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-43%)    UUP(-25%)    VXX(-17%)    TLT(-2%)    IGOV(-1%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.665% (StdDev 1.33%)
Hourly BBV 1 ()
Intraday Trend -0.5%

5 Day Moving Average   $178.71(0.56%)
10 Day Moving Average   $176.11(2.04%)
20 Day Moving Average   $170.85(5.19%)
To recent high   0%
To recent low   15.9%
Market Cap   $155.018b

United Parcel Service, Inc. operates as a logistics and package delivery company providing supply chain management services. Its logistics services include transportation, distribution, contract logistics, ground freight, ocean freight, air freight, customs brokerage, insurance, and financing. The company operates through the following segments: U.S. Domestic Package, International Package, and Supply Chain and Freight. The U.S. Domestic Package segment offers a full spectrum of U.S. domestic guaranteed ground and air package transportation services. The International Package segment includes small package operations in Europe, Asia-Pacific, Canada and Latin America, Indian sub-continent, and the Middle East and Africa. The Supply Chain and Freight segment offers transportation, distribution, and international trade and brokerage services. The company was founded by James E. Casey and Claude Ryan on August 28, 1907 and is headquartered in Atlanta, GA.

$. UPS price fluctuates within 3.93% (three month std-dev: 1.33%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 50 Average positive next day return: 2.07%(46%) Average negative next day return: -1.51%(54%) Sample size 50 Average positive next three day return: 2.77%(52%) Average negative next three day return: -2.37%(48%) Sample size 50 Average positive next weekly return: 2.44%(48%) Average negative next weekly return: -4.43%(52%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20210516

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Apr_16_2021	165.27	170.85	176.11	178.71	178.79	179.54	179.71(0.04%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.1	92	30	71	154	2.81	67%	0.09	62.8	1.33%	1	1.3	80	1.8
2	Apr_15_2021	165.12	169.88	175.27	177.96	178.02	178.27	179.64(1.95%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.3	73	10	45	155	3.14	62%	0.06	55.4	1.34%	1.2	1.5	85	1.8
3	Apr_14_2021	165.02	168.92	174.3	176.63	176.9	178.04	176.21(-1.79%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	74	50	45	159	2.59	60%	0.02	48.2	1.38%	-1.8	1.1	86	1.4
4	Apr_13_2021	164.98	168.23	173.57	175.78	175.63	177.76	179.42(0.47%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.6	139	80	118	202	2.44	63%	0.08	45.7	1.36%	1.3	1.7	96	1.7
5	Apr_12_2021	164.85	167.35	172.43	174.49	174.1	175.77	178.58(1.5%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.7	141	60	119	205	3.02	63%	0.1	44.9	1.36%	1.5	1.9	89	1.8

6	Apr_9_2021	164.69	166.74	171.33	173.17	172.99	173.51	175.94(1.69%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.5	92	20	60	186	2.57	64%	0.06	46.5	1.37%	1.7	1.7	89	1.5
7	Apr_8_2021	164.59	166.24	170.08	172.23	172.38	172.44	173.02(0.62%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.2	53	10	15	167	2.03	62%	0.02	53.3	1.36%	0.4	1.4	83	1.5
8	Apr_7_2021	164.55	165.82	168.83	171.63	171.9	172.47	171.95(-0.59%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	62	30	28	165	2.08	62%	0.02	58.2	1.37%	-0.9	1.3	80	1.4
9	Apr_6_2021	164.51	165.36	167.67	170.97	171.17	172.31	172.97(0.59%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	92	50	67	168	2.47	62%	0.02	59.3	1.37%	0.9	1.7	73	1.2
10	Apr_5_2021	164.47	164.73	166.47	170	170.13	171.33	171.95(0.39%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	97	50	77	157	2.3	62%	0.06	56.9	1.37%	0.9	1.8	72	1.3

11	Apr_1_2021	164.37	164.31	165.21	169.21	169.08	170.03	171.28(0.76%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	88	40	76	123	3.55	58%	0.03	64	1.42%	1.5	1.9	54	1.3
12	Mar_31_2021	164.32	163.71	164.07	167.6	167.96	168.93	169.99(0.8%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	88	50	87	89	3.61	58%	0.04	59.5	1.43%	2	1.8	53	1.2
13	Mar_30_2021	164.26	163.21	163.09	165.58	165.92	168.14	168.64(0.3%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	86	100	97	54	2.36	58%	0.03	48.4	1.43%	1.2	1.7	55	1.2
14	Mar_29_2021	164.21	162.82	162.44	163.83	163.94	166.99	168.14(0.1%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.5	138	130	165	55	2.7	58%	0.01	36.7	1.45%	1.2	1.8	59	1
15	Mar_26_2021	164.2	162.46	161.82	162.41	162.03	163.69	167.98(2.9%)	UT	OpenLong	75	2	114	60	142	29	3.12	58%	0.03	23.7	1.45%	1.7	2	63	1.4

16	Mar_25_2021	164.15	161.95	161.66	160.67	160.57	160.88	163.25(2.09%)	N/A	N/A	0	1	10	10	25	-37	2.94	54%	0	2.4	1.41%	2.1	0.5	47	1.1
17	Mar_24_2021	164.15	161.68	161.98	160.06	160.51	160.37	159.91(0.03%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.1	-6	0	4	-37	2.28	52%	-0.02	-11.5	1.4%	-0.1	-0.7	53	1
18	Mar_23_2021	164.18	161.7	162.51	160.21	160.43	160.26	159.86(-0.75%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-24	-0	-21	-34	2.92	52%	0	-11.6	1.4%	-1.3	-0.7	51	1.1
19	Mar_22_2021	164.18	161.77	162.88	160.8	160.54	160.64	161.06(1.11%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-16	-0	-15	-19	3.74	52%	0.02	-7.4	1.4%	0.1	-0.3	51	1.9
20	Mar_19_2021	164.14	161.8	162.91	161.12	161.16	160.6	159.29(-0.57%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-28	-20	-30	-22	14.42	52%	-0.01	-6.7	1.4%	0.5	-1	48	1.6

21	Mar_18_2021	164.16	161.88	162.91	162.8	162.13	160.45	160.2(-0.28%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1	-72	-80	-94	-7	2.95	52%	0.02	7.5	1.41%	-0.6	-0.7	57	1.2
22	Mar_17_2021	164.12	161.99	163.45	164.21	163.85	161.72	160.65(-1.33%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.4	-83	-100	-114	11	3.59	55%	-0.06	17.2	1.41%	-0.7	-0.5	58	2.1
23	Mar_16_2021	164.22	162.01	163.49	165.12	165.39	163.8	162.82(0.11%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.9	-56	-60	-87	36	2.38	55%	-0.04	17.2	1.44%	-0.5	0.3	56	1.9
24	Mar_15_2021	164.28	161.96	163.38	165.21	165.92	165.98	162.64(-3.01%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-1	2	20	-20	66	4.52	55%	-0.05	15	1.46%	-1.6	0.3	54	2.4
25	Mar_12_2021	164.37	161.98	163.28	164.86	165.4	166.97	167.69(0.27%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	75	80	66	100	1.9	60%		9.3	1.4%	0.9	2.2	60	1.8
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

Click to see actual return for next trading day.