Trading Signals: UPS Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Wed. Jul. 8, 2020

Trading Signals: UPS Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Mar. 17, 2014 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(UPS)
UPS latest price $114.4700 (0.02%) ($113.9800 - $115.2700) on Wed. Jul. 8, 2020.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   2.11% (three month average)
RSI   69
Latest Price   $114.4700(0.02%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   UPS advances 0.6% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   UPS advances 3.1% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Growth stock rally for large cap. Growth stock rally for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support UPS advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
XLI(58%)    VT(54%)    VYM(54%)    VUG(50%)    XLY(50%)
Factors Impacting UPS price   UPS will decline at least -1.055% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-39%)    UUP(-23%)    VXX(-17%)    IGOV(-4%)    TLT(-3%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.055% (StdDev 2.11%)
Hourly BBV -0.6 ()
Intraday Trend 0.1%

5 Day Moving Average   $114.61(-0.12%)
10 Day Moving Average   $112.25(1.98%)
20 Day Moving Average   $109.29(4.74%)
To recent high   -0.8%
To recent low   26.6%
Market Cap   $98.742b

United Parcel Service, Inc. operates as a logistics and package delivery company providing supply chain management services. Its logistics services include transportation, distribution, contract logistics, ground freight, ocean freight, air freight, customs brokerage, insurance, and financing. The company operates through the following segments: U.S. Domestic Package, International Package, and Supply Chain and Freight. The U.S. Domestic Package segment offers a full spectrum of U.S. domestic guaranteed ground and air package transportation services. The International Package segment includes small package operations in Europe, Asia-Pacific, Canada and Latin America, Indian sub-continent, and the Middle East and Africa. The Supply Chain and Freight segment offers transportation, distribution, and international trade and brokerage services. The company was founded by James E. Casey and Claude Ryan on August 28, 1907 and is headquartered in Atlanta, GA.

$. UPS price fluctuates within 3.77% (three month std-dev: 2.11%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 36 Average positive next day return: 1.66%(39%) Average negative next day return: -1.13%(61%) Sample size 36 Average positive next three day return: 2.24%(50%) Average negative next three day return: -2.47%(50%) Sample size 36 Average positive next weekly return: 3.89%(47%) Average negative next weekly return: -2.46%(53%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20200808

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jul_8_2020	99.01	109.29	112.25	114.61	114.83	114.51	114.47(0.02%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0	13	-10	-11	84	2.99	64%	0.08	54.4	2.11%	-0.6	1.3	69	0.9
2	Jul_7_2020	98.93	108.93	111.85	113.95	115.38	114.89	114.45(-0.79%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	36	10	16	94	2.18	64%	0.16	60.4	2.24%	-1.5	1.4	71	0.7
3	Jul_6_2020	98.77	108.69	111.11	112.96	114.35	115.16	115.36(0.87%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	35	90	18	85	3.47	69%	0.03	70.8	2.27%	-0.2	1.8	74	1.1
4	Jul_2_2020	98.74	108.22	110.33	111.35	112.79	115.88	114.36(-0.05%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.9	79	230	73	96	3.44	69%	0.09	72.4	2.42%	0.4	1.8	79	0.8
5	Jul_1_2020	98.65	107.65	109.63	110.58	111.29	113.53	114.42(2.91%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1.2	109	160	107	116	8.98	69%	0.1	76.2	2.44%	1	2.1	80	0.6

6	Jun_30_2020	98.55	107.09	108.85	109.6	109.52	109.71	111.18(1.55%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	29	10	16	68	3.91	60%	0.08	77.9	2.51%	2	1.3	58	0.3
7	Jun_29_2020	98.47	106.6	108.31	109.49	109.38	109.05	109.48(2.01%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0	12	-20	-3	56	3.39	60%	0.07	78.8	2.51%	-0.2	0.9	53	-0.2
8	Jun_26_2020	98.4	106.11	107.94	108.97	109.46	109.32	107.32(-2.9%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.5	9	0	-2	41	5.47	65%	0.01	74.5	2.52%	-2	0.3	44	-0.9
9	Jun_25_2020	98.39	105.75	107.43	109.06	108.9	109.71	110.52(0.93%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	19	50	12	38	2.98	68%	0.04	75.1	2.58%	1.1	1.3	56	-0.3
10	Jun_24_2020	98.35	105.22	106.45	108.47	108.45	109.6	109.5(-1%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	39	70	40	37	5.46	70%	0.06	74.4	2.58%	0.7	1.2	61	-0.7

11	Jun_23_2020	98.29	104.73	106.12	107.97	107.81	108.09	110.61(3.47%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	30	10	29	33	5.55	70%	0.09	72	2.61%	1.8	1.5	62	-0
12	Jun_22_2020	98.2	104.05	105.77	107.01	107.22	107.3	106.9(-0.81%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0	4	10	-2	22	4.39	68%	0.04	69.9	2.59%	-0.3	0.8	62	-0.2
13	Jun_19_2020	98.16	103.56	106.06	106.76	107.17	107.53	107.77(0.18%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	37	40	31	55	8.95	68%	-0.01	71.6	2.61%	0.5	1.1	66	-0.8
14	Jun_18_2020	98.17	103.05	105.92	105.5	105.92	107.13	107.58(0.55%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	38	90	32	54	3.2	68%	-0.08	68.2	2.64%	-0	1.1	65	-0.7
15	Jun_17_2020	98.25	102.53	105.49	104.08	104.57	106.81	106.99(1.1%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	54	160	54	53	4.41	74%	-0.09	65.6	2.66%	0.6	1.1	64	-0.9

16	Jun_16_2020	98.34	102.01	105.16	104.01	103.31	104.7	105.83(0.18%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	40	70	36	50	4.28	66%	-0.09	69.3	2.99%	0.7	0.9	63	-1
17	Jun_15_2020	98.43	101.53	104.73	104.41	103.44	102.33	105.64(4.1%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.3	1	-100	-12	41	6.4	66%	-0.11	74.4	3.15%	1.8	1	67	-1.3
18	Jun_12_2020	98.54	100.82	104.13	105.37	104.77	101.93	101.48(1.01%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.8	-37	-210	-61	35	3.24	68%	-0.16	70.4	3.31%	-0.8	0.1	63	-1.4
19	Jun_11_2020	98.7	100.38	104.03	106.41	106.45	104.54	100.47(-5.78%)	CR	SmallShort	-20	-1.2	-31	-120	-58	52	5.35	64%	-0.17	71	3.32%	-1.7	0	60	-2.6
20	Jun_10_2020	98.87	99.94	104.04	106.95	107.42	107.61	106.63(-1.11%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	23	30	1	88	3.78	71%	-0.11	67.5	3.31%	-0.4	1.2	76	0.9

21	Jun_9_2020	98.98	99.24	103.35	106.36	106.44	108.37	107.83(-2.37%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	52	130	36	101	4.56	66%	0.09	65.7	3.39%	-0	1.6	81	1
22	Jun_8_2020	98.89	98.52	102.27	105.02	105.18	107.22	110.45(3.56%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1.1	78	140	69	103	4.61	66%	-0.08	65.8	3.5%	1.6	2.4	91	1.6
23	Jun_5_2020	98.97	97.69	100.85	102.79	103.11	104.51	106.65(3.34%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.9	52	100	42	81	5.04	62%	-0.13	67.1	3.48%	1.5	2.1	93	2
24	Jun_4_2020	99.1	96.97	99.88	101.4	101.44	103.15	103.2(-0.43%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.5	44	120	33	75	2.76	64%	-0.15	63.1	3.48%	0.3	1.7	87	1.6
25	Jun_3_2020	99.25	96.44	99.26	100.71	100.51	101.7	103.65(2.45%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.8	50	80	39	82	3.63	64%		57.7	3.53%	1.4	2.1	89	1.7
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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