Trading Signals: UNP Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Wed. Aug. 12, 2020

Trading Signals: UNP Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Mar. 17, 2014 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Union Pacific Corporation)
UNP latest price $191.8300 (0.78%) ($190.7500 - $193.5000) on Wed. Aug. 12, 2020.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   2.03% (three month average)
RSI   72
Latest Price   $191.8300(0.78%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   UNP advances 1.6% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   UNP advances 3.2% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Broad based rally for large cap. Growth stock rally for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support UNP advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
XLI(70%)    VYM(64%)    XLB(62%)    XLF(59%)    VT(56%)
Factors Impacting UNP price   UNP will decline at least -1.015% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-40%)    UUP(-24%)    VXX(-18%)    TLT(-3%)    XLC(-0%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.015% (StdDev 2.03%)
Hourly BBV 0.7 ()
Intraday Trend -0%

5 Day Moving Average   $186.31(2.96%)
10 Day Moving Average   $180.53(6.26%)
20 Day Moving Average   $178.91(7.22%)
To recent high   0%
To recent low   26.8%
Market Cap   $130.197b

Union Pacific Corp. engages in the provision of railroad and freight transportation services. Its principal operating company, Union Pacific Railroad Co., operates as a railroad franchise. The Railroad's diversified business mix includes agricultural products, automotive, chemicals, coal, industrial products, and intermodal. The company was founded in 1969 and is headquartered in Omaha, NE.

$. UNP price fluctuates within 2.99% (three month std-dev: 2.03%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 50 Average positive next day return: 1.73%(40%) Average negative next day return: -1.98%(60%) Sample size 50 Average positive next three day return: 2.4%(50%) Average negative next three day return: -3.25%(50%) Sample size 50 Average positive next weekly return: 3.74%(46%) Average negative next weekly return: -4.22%(54%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20200912

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Aug_12_2020	163.9	178.91	180.53	186.31	187.29	191.32	191.83(0.78%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	148	170	146	153	2.86	53%	0.4	81.6	2.03%	0.7	2.4	72	1.6
2	Aug_11_2020	163.25	177.98	179.02	183.44	183.98	187.99	190.35(1.87%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.5	177	160	188	142	4.21	53%	0.47	82.7	2.04%	1	2.7	61	1.1
3	Aug_10_2020	162.48	177.02	177.33	180.11	180.34	183.26	186.85(2.14%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.7	129	120	143	87	3.35	53%	0.44	75.2	2.04%	1.7	2.5	59	1.7
4	Aug_7_2020	161.77	176.12	176.21	177.15	177.17	179.98	182.93(1.85%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.5	89	110	104	43	2.19	49%	0.38	53	2.03%	1.6	1.8	57	1.6
5	Aug_6_2020	161.15	175.3	175.45	175.23	175.13	177.42	179.61(1.21%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	88	90	110	20	1.96	49%	0.41	34.9	2.02%	1.1	1.1	46	1.7

6	Aug_5_2020	160.49	174.65	174.94	173.87	173.37	174.36	177.47(2.18%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.9	27	30	43	-23	3.04	49%	0.31	24.7	2.03%	1.7	0.7	51	1.7
7	Aug_4_2020	159.99	174.24	175.06	173.97	172.95	172.84	173.68(0.94%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-11	-20	-3	-34	1.7	46%	0.31	25.6	2.02%	1.1	-0.1	51	1.6
8	Aug_3_2020	159.49	174.07	175.54	174.12	173.85	172.38	172.06(-0.74%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-33	-60	-32	-34	1.98	46%	0.18	31.4	2.02%	0.2	-0.5	53	1.3
9	Jul_31_2020	159.21	174.09	176.1	175.07	174.48	173.06	173.35(0.32%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-66	-70	-77	-31	5.09	46%	0.27	47.9	2.03%	-0.6	-0.2	59	1.5
10	Jul_30_2020	158.78	173.91	176.87	175.63	175.71	175.32	172.8(-2.91%)	CR	SmallShort	-20	-0.7	-12	-10	-22	18	2.75	46%	0.2	52.8	2.05%	-1.6	-0.3	62	1.3

11	Jul_29_2020	158.47	173.65	177.33	176.07	176.09	175.9	177.98(2.05%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.4	6	-10	-8	46	2.43	51%	0.2	54.8	2.03%	1.4	0.9	70	1.6
12	Jul_28_2020	158.15	173.2	176.99	176.35	176.16	176.1	174.41(-1.36%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.4	-3	-10	-21	53	1.96	47%	0.25	57.3	2.02%	-2.1	0.3	60	1.5
13	Jul_27_2020	157.75	172.79	176.82	177.2	176.94	176.28	176.82(0.4%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	14	-30	-6	72	2.7	47%	0.13	57.2	2.02%	0.9	0.8	62	1.5
14	Jul_24_2020	157.54	172.11	176.13	177.31	177.44	176.21	176.12(0.64%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.2	-25	-50	-51	53	2.71	47%	0.13	49.8	2.03%	-0.2	0.8	56	1.2
15	Jul_23_2020	157.33	171.65	175.25	178.34	178.16	177.6	175(-2.44%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.6	-13	-30	-39	65	4.01	47%	0.08	52.7	2.05%	0.6	0.7	60	1.3

16	Jul_22_2020	157.2	171.19	174.44	178.71	178.93	178.67	179.38(0.4%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	34	-10	15	90	2.93	52%	0.15	49.3	2.06%	0.7	1.6	69	1.8
17	Jul_21_2020	156.97	170.65	173.4	177.71	178.23	178.71	178.66(0.72%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	29	30	11	81	2.23	52%	0.12	46.3	2.07%	-1.4	1.6	63	1.8
18	Jul_20_2020	156.78	170.09	172.47	176.36	177.19	179.19	177.39(-2.13%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	82	90	75	101	2.89	52%	0.11	42.3	2.08%	-0.5	1.6	67	2.2
19	Jul_17_2020	156.6	169.58	171.89	174.71	175.05	177.74	181.25(2.48%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1.6	118	110	117	119	6.11	57%	0.14	36.6	2.08%	1.7	2.8	76	1.9
20	Jul_16_2020	156.38	168.98	170.58	171.74	172.33	175.19	176.87(1.42%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.6	109	130	114	93	3.28	51%	0.07	32.8	2.12%	1.1	2.5	62	1.5

21	Jul_15_2020	156.27	168.64	169.54	169.57	169.89	172.35	174.39(1.45%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.8	91	110	98	68	2.41	51%	0.03	9.4	2.13%	1.2	2.1	62	1.4
22	Jul_14_2020	156.23	168.42	168.95	168.5	168.11	169.48	171.89(1.61%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.4	48	50	51	40	3.01	51%	-0.03	-15.4	2.14%	1.6	1.4	53	0.9
23	Jul_13_2020	156.28	168.21	168.31	168.07	168.06	167.42	169.17(1.67%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	9	-30	7	15	2.98	51%	-0.08	-48.1	2.14%	1.6	0.4	51	0
24	Jul_10_2020	156.41	168.06	167.71	168.67	168.47	166.75	166.39(0.24%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-1	-55	-80	-67	-17	2.22	51%	-0.11	-76.6	2.14%	-0.4	-0.7	48	1.2
25	Jul_9_2020	156.58	167.94	167.79	169.21	169.81	168.7	165.99(-1.8%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.3	-33	-40	-42	-7	2.9	51%		-88.6	2.16%	-1.5	-0.8	43	0.8
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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