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     Fri. Sep. 18, 2020



Trading Signals: UNG Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Dec. 20, 2013 - Fri. Sep. 18, 2020)

(United States Natural Gas)

UNG latest price $11.7000 (1.83%) ($11.5300 - $11.7700) on Fri. Sep. 18, 2020.

Trend and Trading Plan

Trend Narrative  Downtrend
Intraday Reversal Probability  N/A.
Daily Trend  UNG declines -0.7% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend  UNG declines -6.3% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior  Growth stock sell-off for large cap. Broad based sell-off for small cap.
Correlated ETFs  Broad market will support UNG decline at-2.9% a week (62% probability)
  IWN(37%)    XRT(36%)    ACES(35%)    SDY(34%)    IWM(32%)  
Factors Impacting UNG price  UNG will decline at least -0.3% in a week (22% probabilities).
  TLT(-29%)    BND(-24%)    BNDX(-21%)    VCSH(-13%)    LQD(-12%)  
Explanation   The decline is sustainable and supported by the broad market.
Trading Plan  Not Available
 
Valuation to SPY   -1.6
 
Relative Volatility   0.1 (options are faily valued)
 
Hourly Trend   -3.33% [$11.62(-0.32), $12.02(-0.22)]
Last Hour Trend   0.34% [$11.7, $11.66]


UNG Next 1 - 5 Day Price Forecast

Bullish Probability  45%
Bullish Price Move  4.1%
Bearish Probability  55%
Bearish Price Move  -4.1%
Recommended Position Size  -2%
Latest Price  $11.7000
Next Hour Price  $11.78(0.68%)
1 - 3 Day Target Price  $11.5(-1.7%)
1 - 5 Day Possible Target  $10.67(-8.8%)
1 - 5 Day Price Range  $11.31 - $11.96
Resistance Level  $13.09
5 Day Moving Average  $12.06(-2.99%)
10 Day Moving Average  $12.39(-5.57%)
20 Day Moving Average  $13.09(-10.62%)
To recent high  -19.2%
To recent low  30.1%
Market Cap  $N/A
 
Option Sentiment  
 
 
 


  
 
 



$. Technical analysis works only if the market conditions in the future are not drastically different from the past. Always read market news to understand the causes of the price movement before making a trading decision. News

$. UNG price fluctuates within 6.72% (three month std-dev: 4.05%    one year average std_dev: 0%) daily (68% of days).
$. UNG price fluctuates within 0% weekly (one year average std_dev: %).

Analysis   News   Options   Weekly Chart   Daily Chart   Hourly Chart   15 Minute Chart

iDateTo High-Lowema20
Trend
ema10
Trend
ema5
Trend
Hourly
Trend
Last
Hour
EMA
Ratio
BBVRVRVT(RV,IV)VIXCDVolume
millions
CloseActualPriceRangeTrend-Narrative  NextDay
PriceTarget  
NextDayPriceRangeRSI
1Sep_18_2020-19.2%-30.1% -2.9%,-0.4(-0.1)-6.3%,-0.9(0.1)-0.7%,-0.1-1.50.34%-5.3%-1.600.1(6.72%,NAN%)1.92.61   11.7(1.83%)11.53-11.77Downtrend 11.5(-1.7%)11.31-11.9625
2Sep_17_2020-20.6%-27.8% -2.5%,-0.4(-0.1)-6.8%,-1.1(-0.1)-1.5%,-0.2-1.2-0.09%-4.8%-2.1-2.4-0.2(6.22%,3.32%)2.110.1   11.49(-5.35%)11.28-11.77Downtrend 11.3(-1.65%)11.1-11.7821
3Sep_16_2020-16.2%-35% -1.6%,-0.3(-0.1)-6.2%,-1.2(-0)-1%,-0.20-0.58%-4.1%-1.6-1.8-0.6(5.41%,3.72%)1.44.88   12.14(-3.42%)12.06-12.51Downtrend 11.97(-1.37%)11.81-12.3538
4Sep_15_2020-13.2%-39.8% -0.9%,-0.2(-0.1)-6%,-1.2(-0)-0.3%,-0.10.3-0.24%-3.7%-1.2-1.4-0.9(5.01%,3.66%)0.82.99   12.57(1.37%)12.48-12.73Downtrend 12.44(-1.03%)12.32-12.7339
5Sep_14_2020-14.4%-37.9% -0.5%,-0.1(-0.2)-5.9%,-1.2(-0.3)-2.4%,-0.5-0.90%-2.9%-1.6-1.7-1.1(4.77%,3.47%)0.84.27   12.4(2.65%)12.27-12.75Relative Oversold 12.51(0.91%)12-12.9336
 
6Sep_11_2020-16.6%-34.4% 0.3%,0.1(-0.1)-4.4%,-1(-0.4)-1.9%,-0.4-1.5-0.33%-1.9%-2.3-1.8-1.4(4.45%,3.99%)0.13.62   12.08(-2.58%)12.06-12.36Correction 11.58(-4.18%)11.49-11.9236
7Sep_10_2020-14.4%-37.9% 1%,0.2(-0.1)-2.8%,-0.7(-0.2)-1.6%,-0.4-1.8-0.48%-0.3%-2-1.2-1.8(4.07%,3.14%)-0.73.58   12.4(-3.05%)12.39-12.84Correction 12.02(-3.09%)11.95-12.343
8Sep_9_2020-11.7%-42.3% 1.3%,0.3(-0.1)-2.1%,-0.5(-0.1)-1.1%,-0.2-1.20.16%0.6%-1.3-1-1.9(4.22%,2.94%)-0.76.47   12.79(0.08%)12.5-13.04Correction 12.48(-2.45%)12.41-12.7442
9Sep_8_2020-11.7%-42.2% 1.5%,0.3(-0.2)-1.5%,-0.3(-0.3)-2%,-0.4-0.3-1.25%1.6%-1.2-0.6-1.9(4.59%,2.79%)-1.26.75   12.78(-7.93%)12.76-13.71Correction 12.44(-2.66%)12.37-12.7243
10Sep_4_2020-4.1%-54.4% 2.3%,0.5(-0.2)0%,0(-0.1)-0.7%,-0.1-00.94%2.7%0.60.9-1.7(4.82%,2.7%)-1.15.91   13.88(4.05%)13.07-13.99Uptrend Consolidation 13.76(-0.86%)13.71-13.958
 
11Sep_3_2020-7.9%-48.4% 3.4%,0.7(-0.2)0.7%,0.1(-0.3)-1.7%,-0.3-0.60%3%-0.1-0.1-1.4(5.13%,2.79%)-2.44.35   13.34(-0.89%)13.2-13.79Uptrend Consolidation 13.36(0.13%)13.34-13.4153
12Sep_2_2020-7%-49.7% 4.6%,0.9(-0.1)2.3%,0.4(-0.2)-0.1%,-0-1.20.3%3.5%0.1-0.7-1.4(5.3%,3.6%)0.26.67   13.46(-0.3%)13.23-13.85Uptrend Consolidation 13.47(0.11%)13.42-13.6364
13Sep_1_2020-6.8%-50.2% 5.4%,1(-0.2)3.5%,0.6(-0.3)-0.6%,-0.1-1.2-0.66%4.1%0.2-0.4-1.4(5.47%,3.29%)06.22   13.5(-4.53%)13.46-14.04Uptrend Consolidation 13.49(-0.05%)13.43-13.767
14Aug_31_2020-2.3%-57.3% 6.3%,1.1(-0.1)5%,0.8(-0.1)0.1%,000.85%4.7%1.10.8-0.9(5.86%,2.99%)0.16.39   14.14(-1.26%)13.42-14.25Uptrend Consolidation 13.94(-1.39%)13.77-14.4775
15Aug_28_2020-1.1%-59.3% 7.1%,1(0)5.7%,0.8(-0)0.9%,0.10.60.28%5%1.21.10.1(7.35%,2.46%)0.83.48   14.32(-1.1%)14.09-14.49Uptrend 14.77(3.11%)14.08-15.0676
 
16Aug_27_20200%-61.1% 6.9%,0.8(0)5.8%,0.7(0.1)1.5%,0.200.48%5.7%1.41.40.5(8.23%,3.06%)0.77.25   14.48(6.63%)14.07-14.58Uptrend 14.97(3.35%)14.15-15.3168
17Aug_26_2020-3.2%-51.1% 6.6%,0.8(-0.1)5.2%,0.6(-0)-0.4%,-00.3-0.96%5.9%0.70.60.6(8.44%,3.38%)1.33.82   13.58(-2.09%)13.54-14.09Uptrend 14.01(3.16%)13.41-14.2768
18Aug_25_2020-1.1%-54.3% 7.2%,0.8(-0.1)5.3%,0.6(0)0.2%,00.6-0.14%6%1.110.8(9%,2.74%)1.63.18   13.87(-1.14%)13.8-14.06Uptrend 14.35(3.49%)13.59-14.6865
19Aug_24_20200%-56.1% 7.7%,0.8(-0)5.2%,0.5(0)1.1%,0.10-0.5%6.1%1.31.31(9.59%,3.02%)1.74.54   14.03(1.96%)13.91-14.27Uptrend 14.59(3.98%)13.69-14.9768
20Aug_21_2020-0.3%-53.1% 7.8%,0.8(-0)5%,0.5(-0.2)0.7%,0.1-0.30.72%6.3%1.21.41.2(9.66%,2.34%)1.76.65   13.76(2.46%)13.02-13.9Uptrend Consolidation 13.46(-2.21%)13.16-14.3470
 
21Aug_20_2020-2.7%-49.4% 8%,0.8(0)6.7%,0.7(-0.1)1.4%,0.10-0.22%6.8%1.11.21.3(9.79%,2.18%)1.53.72   13.43(-2.68%)13.41-13.77Uptrend 14.09(4.89%)13.17-14.4880
22Aug_19_20200%-53.5% 7.9%,0.8(0.1)7.4%,0.7(-0)2.5%,0.20.60.07%7.2%1.51.61.5(10.24%,2.12%)1.64.37   13.8(0.66%)13.59-13.84Uptrend 14.52(5.25%)13.41-1581
23Aug_18_20200%-52.5% 7%,0.7(0.1)7.5%,0.7(-0)2.3%,0.20.90.07%8%1.51.71.6(10.41%,3.41%)1.64.29   13.71(3.01%)13.62-13.97Uptrend 14.44(5.34%)13.32-14.9274
24Aug_17_2020-0.1%-48.1% 6.1%,0.6(0.1)7.8%,0.7(-0.1)1.6%,0.21.20.08%8.6%1.41.51.7(10.42%,2.61%)1.84.19   13.31(-0.08%)13.09-13.51Uptrend 13.97(4.98%)12.93-14.4274
25Aug_14_20200%-48.2% 5.6%,0.5(0)8.6%,0.8(0)0.9%,0.10.6-0.22%9.2%1.61.81.9(10.32%,2.26%)1.86.34   13.32(6.56%)12.88-13.51Uptrend 13.96(4.77%)12.87-14.4276
iDateTo High-Lowema20
Trend
ema10
Trend
ema5
Trend
Hourly
Trend
Last
Hour
EMA
Ratio
BBVRVRVTVIXCDVolume
millions
Close  5 Day
Target  
Trend
Narrative
  5 Day
Price Change  
SRIRSI
 
 
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