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     Fri. Mar. 5, 2021

Trading Signals: UNG Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Dec. 20, 2013 - Fri. Mar. 5, 2021)

(United States Natural Gas)

UNG latest price $10.0800 (-1.75%) ($10.0200 - $10.2900) on Fri. Mar. 5, 2021.


Trend Analysis and Forecast
 
Trend Pattern  Growing Downtrend
Trend Narrative  Correction
Average Daily Price Swing  $0.33 (3.11% one month average)
Average Daily Percentage Swing  3.26% (three month average)
Weekly Trend Force  -0.8% (StdDev 3.26%)
Daily Moving Force  -1.2%
Rebound Strength  None(0%)
Trend   -0.42%
Trend Strength  -1.6%
RSI   42
Momentum  1
Latest Price  $10.0800(-1.75%)
Forecasted Low Price  9.89(-1.9%)
Forecasted High Price  10.16(0.8%)
Direction of Next Movement  Range(-1.4%)
% Change Needed to Confirm Rebound  7% ((10.79))
% Change Needed for Trend Reversal  5.3%
Hourly Trend   -2% [$10.22(-0.2), $10.39(-0.04)]
Stocks Behave Similarly  Similar Stock List
Complacency  2
Intraday Reversal Probability  There's a high probability the price will reverse sharply to upside intraday or next day..
Daily Trend  UNG declines -0.5% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend  UNG declines -3.1% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior  Broad based rally for large cap. Broad based rally for small cap.
Correlated ETFs  Broad market will support UNG decline at-1.1% a week (67% probability)
  URA(59%)    MJ(54%)    REMX(42%)    KWEB(35%)    LIT(35%)  
Factors Impacting UNG price  UNG will advance at least 0.8% in a week (23% probabilities).
  ROBT(-35%)    USO(-18%)    FEX(-15%)    VXX(-8%)    BWX(-8%)  
Explanation   The decline is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.
Trading Plan  Not Available
 
Valuation to SPY   -1.6
 
Relative Volatility   -1.3 (options are cheap)
 
Market Trend Strength  -1.1% (StdDev 3.26%)
Hourly BBV   -1.9 ()
Intraday Trend   -1.9%
  
 

  


Next Day Open Price  $10.12(0.4%)
Resistance Level  $10.62
5 Day Moving Average  $10.37(-2.8%)
10 Day Moving Average  $10.45(-3.54%)
20 Day Moving Average  $10.62(-5.08%)
To recent high  -10.8%
To recent low  18.9%
Market Cap  $N/A
 
Option Sentiment  
 
 
 
 



$. Technical analysis works only if the market conditions in the future are not drastically different from the past. Always read market news to understand the causes of the price movement before making a trading decision. News

$. UNG price fluctuates within 3.11% (three month std-dev: 3.26%    one year average std_dev: 0%) daily (68% of days).
$. UNG price fluctuates within 0% weekly (one year average std_dev: %).

Analysis   News   Options   Weekly Chart   Daily Chart   Hourly Chart   15 Minute Chart

iDateema20(Trend)ema10(Trend) ema5(Trend) Slow Hourly
Trend
Fast Hourly
Trend
CloseActualPriceRangeBBVHourly
BBV
Daily
Moving
Force
Weekly
Trend
Force
Reversal
Force
TrendTrend
Strength
RSIMomentumTrend
Pattern
Next
Direction
CRVVIXCDTrend-Narrative  NextDay
PriceTarget  
NextDayPriceRangeVolume
millions
To High-Low
1Mar_5_202110.62 (0%)10.45 (-0.6%)10.37 (-0.5%) 10.39 10.22(0%)10.08(-1.75%)10.02-10.29-0.9(-1.6)-1.9 -1.2%-0.8%0%-0.42%-1.6%421 Growing Downtrend  Range(-1.1%)2-1.6-0.3Correction 9.81(-2.64%)9.77-102.69   -10.8%-18.9% 
2Mar_4_202110.62 (0.2%)10.55 (-0.4%)10.42 (-0.1%) 10.39 10.42(0%)10.26(-2.29%)10.04-10.4-0.7(-1.3)-2.6 -0.7%-0.5%0%-0.28%-1%490.9 Growing Downtrend Downtrend Pop Range(-0.1%)2-0.40.3Correction 10.07(-1.89%)10.03-10.225.44   -9.2%-21% 
3Mar_3_202110.66 (0.2%)10.63 (-0.4%)10.43 (0.1%) 10.43 10.57(0%)10.5(-1.32%)10.49-10.67-0.5(-0.5)4.2 0.7%-0.5%0%-0.24%-0.3%450.9 Rebound  Range(0.9%)30.10.1Correction 10.32(-1.69%)10.29-10.472.68   -7.1%-23.8% 
4Mar_2_202110.65 (0.2%)10.7 (-0.2%)10.42 (-0.1%) 10.39 10.44(0%)10.64(2.6%)10.44-10.67-0.5(-0)3.5 0.7%-0.2%0%-0.12%0.4%570.9 Downtrend Consolidation  Range(0.5%)30.10.5Correction 10.48(-1.47%)10.45-10.624.4   -5.8%-25.5% 
5Mar_1_202110.64 (0.4%)10.74 (-0.2%)10.43 (-1.1%) 10.38 10.3(0%)10.37(0.48%)10.24-10.42-0.5(-0.8)-7.4 -0.7%-0.1%0%-0.04%1%490.9 Growing Downtrend  Range(-0.8%)3-1.20.3Correction 10.22(-1.47%)10.18-10.352.24   -8.2%-22.3% 
 
6Feb_26_202110.6 (0.4%)10.78 (-0%)10.55 (-1.5%) 10.48 10.34(0%)10.32(0.1%)10.16-10.41-0.2(-0.7)-5.6 -1.4%-0.1%0%0.08%1.7%491.1 Downtrend Reversal  Range(-1.5%)400.4Correction 10.19(-1.23%)10.16-10.343.62   -8.7%-21.7% 
7Feb_25_202110.58 (0.6%)10.8 (0%)10.71 (-1.3%) 10.64 10.47(0%)10.31(-1.62%)10.31-10.570.2(-0.6)-6.2 -1.6%-0.3%0%0.2%2.1%451.2 Downtrend Reversal  Range(-1.1%)5-0.10.5Uptrend Consolidation 10.38(0.71%)10.4-10.344.89   -8.8%-21.6% 
8Feb_24_202110.56 (0.8%)10.86 (0.4%)10.85 (-1.5%) 10.84 10.63(0%)10.48(-1.96%)10.43-10.650.6(-0.2)-6.6 -1.5%0.1%0%0.44%2.8%571.3 Correction  Range(-0.4%)5-0.31.1Uptrend 10.55(0.66%)10.49-10.573.66   -7.3%-23.6% 
9Feb_23_202110.53 (0.8%)10.86 (0.4%)11.01 (-0.8%) 10.97 10.81(0%)10.69(-2.2%)10.62-10.81(0.3)0 -1.6%0.2%0%0.6%3.1%551.4 Confirmed Correction  Range(-0.3%)50.41.5Uptrend 10.81(1.08%)10.65-10.874.48   -5.4%-26.1% 
10Feb_22_202110.47 (0.8%)10.85 (0.6%)11.1 (0.5%) 11.09 11.04(0%)10.93(-2.06%)10.74-11.051.2(0.8)-0.4 -0.5%0.5%0%0.7%3.6%591.5 Uptrend Consolidation  Range(1%)611.7Uptrend Dip 11.31(3.52%)10.79-11.455.44   -3.3%-28.9% 
 
11Feb_19_202110.38 (0.8%)10.81 (0.8%)11.04 (1.3%) 11.15 11.14(0%)11.16(1.55%)11.09-11.31.3(1.3)-0.3 0.7%0.5%0%0.8%4.1%701.7 Growing Uptrend  Range(1.2%)71.41.9Uptrend 11.35(1.69%)11.01-11.494.66   -1.2%-31.6% 
12Feb_18_202110.28 (0.6%)10.77 (0.8%)10.9 (0.3%) 11.01 11.13(0%)10.99(-2.74%)10.96-11.21.3(1.1)0.8 0.2%0.8%0%0.78%4.8%631.7 Uptrend Dip  Higher(2.4%)71.21.9After Top 11.06(0.63%)10.58-11.456.48   -2.7%-29.6% 
13Feb_17_202110.2 (0.6%)10.69 (0.8%)10.87 (1.9%) 10.92 11.16(0%)11.3(1.8%)10.99-11.371.4(1.7)0.8 1.9%0.9%0%0.8%4.8%661.8 Growing Uptrend  Higher(2.8%)71.72.1Uptrend 11.49(1.66%)11.08-11.668.12   0%-33.3% 
14Feb_16_202110.1 (0.4%)10.6 (0.8%)10.67 (1%) 10.79 10.89(0%)11.1(4.03%)10.85-11.31.2(1.6)1.6 1.7%0.7%0%0.7%5%661.7 Growing Uptrend  Higher(2.4%)71.52Uptrend 11.23(1.17%)10.9-11.379.66   0%-30.9% 
15Feb_12_202110.03 (0.4%)10.51 (0.8%)10.57 (0.3%) 10.59 10.68(0%)10.67(2.2%)10.46-10.871.1(1.1)3.4 0.1%0.9%0%0.72%4.8%651.6 Growing Uptrend  Range(1%)70.92.1Uptrend 10.8(1.25%)10.55-10.913.53   -5.7%-25.8% 
 
16Feb_11_20219.98 (0.4%)10.4 (1%)10.54 (-0.8%) 10.57 10.69(0%)10.44(-3.78%)10.41-11.021.2(0.8)-3.3 0.7%0.5%0%0.78%4.2%681.5 Uptrend Dip  Higher(3.1%)60.52.2After Top 10.51(0.7%)10.18-10.798.34   -9.4%-23.1% 
17Feb_10_20219.95 (0.4%)10.34 (1.2%)10.62 (1.3%) 10.59 10.5(0%)10.85(5.24%)10.45-10.881.5(1.7)3.3 0.6%0.9%0%0.98%3.9%701.5 Growing Uptrend  Range(1.5%)61.42.2Uptrend 11.02(1.6%)10.67-11.175.65   -5.8%-27.9% 
18Feb_9_20219.9 (0.4%)10.24 (1.2%)10.48 (-0.2%) 10.56 10.44(0%)10.31(-2.64%)10.23-10.441.4(0.8)-2.4 -1.2%0.5%0%0.94%3.4%651.4 Uptrend Consolidation  Range(0.6%)70.42Uptrend 10.47(1.54%)10.23-10.573.56   -10.5%-21.6% 
19Feb_8_20219.89 (0.4%)10.18 (1.4%)10.5 (0.6%) 10.54 10.69(0%)10.59(0.57%)10.42-10.641.6(1.4)2.6 0.1%0.9%0%1.06%2.9%681.4 Growing Uptrend Correction Range(1%)811.8Growing Uptrend 10.8(1.96%)10.47-10.884.68   -8.1%-24.9% 
20Feb_5_20219.84 (0.4%)10.07 (1.2%)10.44 (2.2%) 10.56 10.68(0%)10.53(-2.86%)10.45-11.161.7(1.5)2.4 2.1%1.2%0%0.98%2.3%561.3 Uptrend Dip  Higher(4.7%)81.11.7Uptrend Dip 10.96(4.07%)10.31-11.128.25   -8.6%-24.2% 
 
21Feb_4_20219.8 (0.4%)9.93 (0.8%)10.22 (2%) 10.44 10.39(0%)10.84(6.9%)10.18-10.91.5(2.4)3.6 0.8%1.4%0%0.72%1.3%621.2 Breakout  Higher(2.2%)72.11.5Growing Uptrend 10.98(1.26%)10.65-11.067.68   -6.4%-27.8% 
22Feb_3_20219.74 (0.4%)9.76 (0.4%)10.02 (0.6%) 10.2 10.44(0%)10.14(-2.41%)10.06-10.41.1(1.1)-0.4 0.3%0.7%0%0.46%0.2%521.1 Growing Uptrend  Higher(2.2%)70.81.7Growing Uptrend 10.2(0.61%)10.07-10.235.43   -12.7%-19.6% 
23Feb_2_20219.72 (0.6%)9.67 (0.2%)9.96 (1.5%) 10.07 10.48(0%)10.39(0.68%)10.3-10.931(1.9)0.1 3.3%1%0%0.36%-0.5%551 Growing Uptrend  Higher(4.3%)61.61.4Uptrend 10.42(0.31%)10.28-10.488.26   -15.2%-22.5% 
24Feb_1_20219.67 (0.4%)9.55 (-0%)9.81 (1.6%) 9.88 9.96(0%)10.32(9.67%)10.22-10.50.7(2)0.7 2.3%0.5%0%0.1%-1.2%510.9 Growing Uptrend  Higher(2.8%)51.91.1N/A 10.19(-1.27%)9.94-10.410.63   -15.8%-21.7% 
25Jan_29_20219.61 (0.4%)9.5 (-0.2%)9.66 (0.8%) 9.7 9.67(0%)9.41(-4.27%)9.37-9.870.3(-0.7)-3.2 -0.4%-0.1%0%-0.02%-1.2%460.9 Growing Downtrend  Range(1.6%)40.10.2N/A 9.49(0.85%)9.43-9.545.57   -26.1%-11% 
iDateema20(Trend)ema10(Trend) ema5(Trend) Slow Hourly
Trend
Fast Hourly
Trend
CloseActualPriceRangeBBVHourly
BBV
Daily
Moving
Force
Weekly
Trend
Force
Reversal
Force
TrendTrend
Strength
RSIMomentumTrend
Pattern
Next
Direction
CRVVIXCDTrend-Narrative  NextDay
PriceTarget  
NextDayPriceRangeVolume
millions
To High-Low
 
 
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