Trading Signals: TVIX Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Thu. Dec. 26, 2019

Trading Signals: TVIX Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Dec. 1, 2014 - Thu. Jul. 2, 2020)

(VelocityShares Daily 2x VIX ST ETN)
TVIX latest price $50.0700 (-0.52%) ($50.0700 - $50.0700) on Thu. Dec. 26, 2019.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   5.63% (three month average)
RSI   26
Latest Price   $50.0700(-0.52%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   TVIX declines -0.9% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   TVIX declines -14% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Broad based rally for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support TVIX advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
VIXM(90%)    TLT(37%)    IGOV(11%)    BWX(-2%)    SHY(-3%)
Factors Impacting TVIX price   TVIX will decline at least -2.815% in a week (0% probabilities).
BLOK(-85%)    SMH(-84%)    QQQ(-84%)    IWO(-84%)    XLY(-83%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -2.815% (StdDev 5.63%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0%

1 - 5 Day Possible Target   $25.79(-48.49%)
Resistance Level   $59.65
5 Day Moving Average   $50.5(-0.85%)
10 Day Moving Average   $52.15(-3.99%)
20 Day Moving Average   $59.65(-16.06%)
To recent high   -69.7%
To recent low   0.4%
Market Cap   $N/A

Average daily price decay: -0.03%

$. TVIX is a 3x leveraged ETF. You'll lose 0.03% a day on average for holding it.$. TVIX price fluctuates within 14.92% (three month std-dev: 5.63%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 17 Average positive next day return: 2.72%(47%) Average negative next day return: -5.44%(53%) Sample size 17 Average positive next three day return: 4.04%(35%) Average negative next three day return: -8.63%(65%) Sample size 17 Average positive next weekly return: 6.1%(35%) Average negative next weekly return: -7.39%(65%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

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i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Dec_26_2019	116.52	59.65	52.15	50.5	50.66	50.2	50.07(-0.52%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0	-44	-50	-8	-152	2.03	44%	-1.94	-48.2	5.63%	0	-1.1	26	1.2
2	Dec_24_2019	118.83	60.26	53.74	50.95	50.61	50.8	50.33(-1.81%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-43	10	-7	-151	1.58	48%	-1.47	-55.6	5.61%	0	-1.2	25	1.3
3	Dec_23_2019	120.6	60.96	55.6	51.12	51.11	51.12	51.26(0.57%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0	-34	0	5	-149	2.02	48%	-1.04	-61.6	5.75%	0	-1.2	22	1.2
4	Dec_20_2019	121.87	61.89	57.42	51.28	51.09	50.42	50.97(2.21%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0	-48	-100	-13	-152	5.02	48%	-1	-63.7	5.74%	0	-1.4	34	1.5
5	Dec_19_2019	123.1	63.05	58.72	52.06	51.36	51.11	49.87(-4.72%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-56	-70	-25	-147	4.67	48%	-0.83	-64.4	5.84%	0	-1.7	42	1.8

6	Dec_18_2019	124.13	64.27	60.6	54.08	52.61	51.76	52.34(2.28%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-50	-190	-26	-122	3.88	48%	-0.68	-64.9	5.83%	0	-1.6	46	1.7
7	Dec_17_2019	124.98	65.31	62.41	57.05	54.51	51.62	51.18(-1.7%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-69	-500	-58	-100	3.97	48%	-0.64	-62.8	5.84%	0	-2	44	2.1
8	Dec_16_2019	125.79	66.34	64.98	60.83	58.52	53.46	52.06(-5.1%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.4	-23	-720	-19	-36	6	48%	-0.62	-63	5.84%	0	-2.2	43	2.2