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     Mon. Jan. 25, 2021

Trading Signals: TSM Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Apr. 28, 2014 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing)

TSM latest price $130.5200 (1.07%) ($127.3500 - $132.1700) on Mon. Jan. 25, 2021.


Trend Analysis and Forecast
 
Average Daily Percentage Swing  2.31% (three month average)
RSI   73
Latest Price   $130.5200(1.07%)
Stocks Behave Similarly  Similar Stock List
Daily Trend  TSM advances 0.8% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend  TSM advances 6.3% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior  Growth stock rally for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs  Broad market will support TSM advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
  XLK(69%)    VT(66%)    VUG(66%)    VWO(62%)    XLY(59%)  
Factors Impacting TSM price  TSM will decline at least -1.155% in a week (0% probabilities).
  VIXM(-46%)    UUP(-31%)    VXX(-16%)    TBT(-2%)    IGOV(-0%)  
Explanation   The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.
 
 
Relative Volatility   (options are extremely cheap)
 
Market Trend Strength  -1.155% (StdDev 2.31%)
Hourly BBV   -0.5 ()
Intraday Trend   -1%
  
 

  


Inflection Point  Yes
5 Day Moving Average  $131.15(-0.48%)
10 Day Moving Average  $127.46(2.4%)
20 Day Moving Average  $119.97(8.79%)
To recent high  -2.7%
To recent low  55.7%
Market Cap  $676.887b
 
 
 
Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Co., Ltd. engages in the manufacture and sale of integrated circuits and wafer semiconductor devices. Its chips are used in personal computers and peripheral products; information applications; wired and wireless communications systems products; automotive and industrial equipment including consumer electronics such as digital video compact disc player, digital television, game consoles, and digital cameras. The company was founded by Chung Mou Chang on February 21, 1987 and is headquartered in Hsinchu, Taiwan.

$. TSM price fluctuates within 7.43% (three month std-dev: 2.31%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 29   Average positive next day return: 2.4%(62%)   Average negative next day return: -2.06%(38%)
Sample size 29   Average positive next three day return: 7.16%(45%)   Average negative next three day return: -4.69%(55%)
Sample size 29   Average positive next weekly return: 9.64%(48%)   Average negative next weekly return: -5.39%(52%)

Analysis   News   Options   Weekly Chart   Daily Chart   2 Month Daily Chart   

  >  20210225

iDateema100ema20ema10 ema5 Slow Hourly
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ema10
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1Jan_25_202196.73119.97127.46131.15 131.75 130.13130.52(1.07%)UDOpenLong65-0.1   14   -70   -31   150   20.44    78%0.5581.42.31%-0.51.2730.8
2Jan_22_202196.2118.65126.32130.09 131.91 131.77129.14(-3.74%)UDOpenLong65-0.1   27   30   -20   167   19.07    78%0.5278.82.31%-1.21.2741.5
3Jan_21_202195.7117.4125.55129.56 131.05 133.37134.16(2.69%)UTHoldLong650.5   115   160   75   236   15.11    82%0.5875.62.24%1.21.9811.8
4Jan_20_202195.15115.9123.69126.57 129.25 132.04130.64(-0.5%)UDOpenLong750.5   153   210   123   244   17.3    81%0.5469.12.24%0.41.7821.7
5Jan_19_202194.64114.55121.92125.04 126.38 128.73131.3(4.85%)UTHoldLong650.7   124   160   88   232   20.31    81%0.7266.62.23%0.72811.3
 
6Jan_15_202193.96113.13119.94123.3 124.55 126.46125.23(-0.96%)UDOpenLong750.2   121   140   84   232   17.23    80%0.4965.72.17%01.5790.7
7Jan_14_202193.5112.1118.36121.99 123.24 124.03126.45(6.06%)UTHoldLong650.6   98   80   56   223   36.63    80%0.4964.12.16%0.61.9821.2
8Jan_13_202193.04110.98116.59120.99 122.1 122.64119.23(-3.07%)UDOpenLong75-0.3   67   60   15   221   20.57    78%0.4366.72.06%-1.31.2781.4
9Jan_12_202192.64110.18115.3120.27 121.8 122.46123(0.33%)UTHoldLong650.4   117   80   74   247   14.14    82%0.563.92.02%0.81.9841.1
10Jan_11_202192.18109.19113.6118.22 119.49 121.55122.6(3.29%)UTHoldLong650.7   99   150   59   218   11.97    82%0.560.92.04%0.82.2840.2
 
11Jan_8_202191.72108.21111.9116.04 117.44 121.14118.69(-2.26%)UDOpenLong750.5   169   260   147   233   18.93    81%0.47632.01%-0.22821.6
12Jan_7_202191.29107.45110.39114.11 114.93 117.43121.43(5.03%)UTHoldLong651.6   171   170   158   210   13.45    85%0.4864.21.98%1.63841.5
13Jan_6_202190.85106.59108.57111.6 112.15 113.74115.61(2.52%)UTHoldLong651.2   92   110   76   138   10.59    84%0.4174.91.96%1.62.779-0.4
14Jan_5_202190.48106.08107.44109.59 110.62 112.43112.77(0.96%)UTHoldLong651.2   92   140   85   114   10.55    84%0.3892.31.97%0.52.579-0.5
15Jan_4_202190.14105.6106.55108.27 108.94 110.56111.7(2.44%)UTOpenLong751.6   76   120   72   88   11.24    84%0.51110.12.03%12.974-1.6
 
16Dec_31_202089.68104.98105.73107.12 107.7 108.81109.04(0.13%)UTOpenLong751   61   90   60   65   4.91    84%0.34106.42.05%0.82.1681.2
17Dec_30_202089.38104.51105.31106.07 106.76 107.32108.9(3.16%)UTOpenLong751.4   43   60   42   44   9.56    84%0.3694.92.05%12.1671.3
18Dec_29_202089.06104.1104.89105.08 105.7 106.59105.56(-0.56%)UDOpenLong750.3   18   80   18   18   4.6    83%0.2994.52.03%0.40.8480.2
19Dec_28_202088.8103.7104.69104.93 105.22 106.19106.15(0.17%)UTOpenLong750.5   41   70   48   20   5.15    83%0.477.62.02%0.41471.2
20Dec_24_202088.45103.34104.47104.56 104.52 104.81105.97(2.13%)UTOpenLong750.6   19   20   23   5   3.17    83%0.27732.01%-2.41591.3
 
21Dec_23_202088.21102.93104.28104.14 104.18 104.25103.76(-0.17%)N/AN/A0-0.1   -2   10   -3   0   3.31    77%0.2765.32%0.10.3670.5
22Dec_22_202087.97102.61104.35104.43 104.26 104.22103.94(-0.85%)UDOpenLong65-0.2   2   -10   -3   17   5.6    77%0.2863.82.05%-0.50.468-0.7
23Dec_21_202087.72102.33104.51104.66 104.47 104.11104.83(0.53%)UTHoldLong500.1   3   -30   -7   32   6.11    77%0.3162.42.04%1.90.864-1.6
24Dec_18_202087.45101.87104.65104.41 104.77 104.31104.28(0.37%)UDOpenLong65-0   4   -20   -12   51   7.41    77%0.2859.22.04%-0.50.7721.2
25Dec_17_202087.21101.5104.61104.36 104.74 104.83103.9(-1.24%)UDOpenLong65-0.1   10   20   -9   65   7.77    77%66.42.07%-1.20.7651.6
iDateema100ema20ema10 ema5 Slow Hourly
Trend
Fast Hourly
Trend
ClosePatternTradePSMA5
BBV
 WTF lsma10
Trend
ema5
Trend
ema10
Trend
Volume
millions
Quarterly
Strength
100
Daily
Trend
Daily
Trend
Force
Daily
StdDev
Hourly
BBV
BBVRSIVIXCD
Click to see actual return for next trading day.
 
 
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