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     Fri. Sep. 18, 2020



Trading Signals: TSLA Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Aug. 31, 2015 - Fri. Sep. 18, 2020)

(Tesla Motors, Inc.)

TSLA latest price $441.6900 (4.37%) ($428.8000 - $451.0000) on Fri. Sep. 18, 2020.

Trend and Trading Plan

Trend Narrative  N/A
Intraday Reversal Probability  N/A.
Daily Trend  TSLA advances 3.3% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend  TSLA declines -1.2% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior  Broad based sell-off for large cap. Value stock sell-off for small cap.
Correlated ETFs  Broad market will support TSLA decline at-6% a week (66% probability)
  QQQ(72%)    IWF(67%)    VUG(66%)    IVW(63%)    XLK(63%)  
Factors Impacting TSLA price  TSLA will decline at least -1.4% in a week (30% probabilities).
  VXX(-32%)    UUP(-32%)    VIXM(-29%)    TLT(-27%)    BJK(-27%)  
Explanation   The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.
Trading Plan  Not Available
 
Valuation to SPY   1.2
 
Relative Volatility   -0.8 (options are cheap)
 
Hourly Trend   -1.64% [$431.92(-1.77), $439.12(8.16)]
Last Hour Trend   0.98% [$443.9, $439.57]


TSLA Next 1 - 5 Day Price Forecast

Bullish Probability  64%
Bullish Price Move  6%
Bearish Probability  36%
Bearish Price Move  -6%
Recommended Position Size  5%
Latest Price  $441.6900
Next Day Open Price  $450.35(1.96%)
1 - 3 Day Target Price  $439.57(-0.48%)
1 - 5 Day Price Range  $429.55 - $447.76
Inflection Point  Yes
Support Level  $419.83
5 Day Moving Average  $435.39(1.45%)
10 Day Moving Average  $405.24(8.99%)
20 Day Moving Average  $419.83(5.21%)
To recent high  -11.4%
To recent low  130.1%
Market Cap  $410.772b
 
Option Sentiment  
 
 
Earning Release Date  Tue. Oct. 27, 2020
Analyst One Year Target Price  $304.96 ($19.00 - $800.00)
  32 analysts (last updated on Wed. Sep. 16, 2020)
% to Average Target Price  -30.96%
% to Low Target Price  -95.7%
% to High Target Price  81.12%
 


  
 
 


Tesla, Inc. engages in the design, development, manufacture, and sale of fully electric vehicles, energy generation and storage systems. It also provides vehicle service centers, supercharger station, and self-driving capability. The company operates through Automotive, and Energy Generation and Storage segments. The Automotive segment includes the design, development, manufacture and sale of electric vehicles. The Energy Generation and Storage segment includes the design, manufacture, installation, sale, and lease of stationary energy storage products and solar energy systems, and sale of electricity generated by its solar energy systems to customers. It develops energy storage products for use in homes, commercial facilities and utility sites. The company was founded by Jeffrey B. Straubel, Elon Reeve Musk, Martin Eberhard, and Marc Tarpenning on July 1, 2003 and is headquartered in Palo Alto, CA.


$. Technical analysis works only if the market conditions in the future are not drastically different from the past. Always read market news to understand the causes of the price movement before making a trading decision. News

$. TSLA price fluctuates within 9.16% (three month std-dev: 5.95%    one year average std_dev: 0%) daily (68% of days).
$. TSLA price fluctuates within 0% weekly (one year average std_dev: %).

Analysis   News   Options   Weekly Chart   Daily Chart   Hourly Chart   15 Minute Chart

iDateTo High-Lowema20
Trend
ema10
Trend
ema5
Trend
Hourly
Trend
Last
Hour
EMA
Ratio
BBVRVRVT(RV,IV)VIXCDVolume
millions
CloseActualPriceRangeTrend-Narrative  NextDay
PriceTarget  
NextDayPriceRangeRSI
1Sep_18_2020-11.4%-130.1% 3.9%,0.4(0)-1.2%,-0.1(0.3)3.3%,0.4-0.60.98%-3.5%0.61.2-0.8(9.16%,NAN%)2.185.73   441.69(4.37%)428.8-451N/A 439.57(-0.48%)429.55-447.7652
2Sep_17_2020-15.1%-120.5% 3.9%,0.4(-0)-4%,-0.4(0.1)2.5%,0.30.30.08%-3.9%0.10.6-0.7(9.18%,8.5%)2.176.23   423.21(-4.27%)408-437.79N/A 421.9(-0.31%)420.3-423.2149
3Sep_16_2020-11.3%-130.3% 3.9%,0.4(-0)-5%,-0.5(0.1)3.8%,0.42.1-0.04%-3%0.71-0.6(9.49%,8.12%)1.472.15   442.1(-1.81%)435.31-457.79Downtrend 439.05(-0.69%)440-436.8654
4Sep_15_2020-9.6%-134.6% 4.1%,0.4(0.1)-5.6%,-0.6(0.1)6.5%,0.72.10.66%-1.8%11.3-0.6(9.64%,7.53%)0.896.42   450.27(7.29%)430.7-461.94N/A 440(-2.28%)427.47-450.2758
5Sep_14_2020-15.8%-118.6% 3.4%,0.3(-0.1)-6.7%,-0.7(-0.1)0.1%,00.90.88%0%0.30.6-0.4(9.78%,6.7%)0.881.86   419.68(12.56%)373.3-420Correction 411.45(-1.96%)411.47-411.4755
 
6Sep_11_2020-25.2%-99.3% 3.9%,0.4(-0.1)-6.2%,-0.6(-0.2)-1.8%,-0.20.90.6%1.5%-0.7-0.20.1(10.71%,5.94%)0.160.31   372.85(0.44%)360.5-382.5Correction 342.5(-8.14%)336.9-364.8648
7Sep_10_2020-25.5%-98.4% 4.9%,0.4(-0.1)-4.5%,-0.4(-0.3)-3.9%,-0.3-0.3-1.62%3.9%-0.7-0.10.3(11.49%,4.75%)-0.784.01   371.2(1.39%)360.56-398.99Correction 342.62(-7.7%)337.07-364.850
8Sep_9_2020-26.5%-95.7% 6.3%,0.5(-0.1)-1.5%,-0.1(-0.3)-5.3%,-0.4-1.81.07%6.1%-0.7-0.30.5(12.48%,5.76%)-0.778.3   366.1(10.94%)341.51-369Correction 347.83(-4.99%)343.25-366.154
9Sep_8_2020-33.8%-76.4% 7.9%,0.6(-0.2)1.9%,0.1(-0.4)-7.5%,-0.5-1.5-1.32%8.3%-1.2-0.90.8(14.23%,7.06%)-1.2110.61   330.01(-21.15%)329.88-368.74Uptrend Consolidation 345.29(4.63%)348.8-334.7148
10Sep_4_2020-16%-142.1% 10.7%,0.7(-0.1)7.5%,0.5(-0.2)-1.1%,-0.1-1.21.4%10.9%0.40.71.3(15.75%,5.71%)-1.1106.39   418.5(2.8%)372.02-428Uptrend Consolidation 418.21(-0.07%)408.61-447.0765
 
11Sep_3_2020-18.3%-135.5% 11.5%,0.7(-0.1)10.3%,0.6(-0.2)-1.8%,-0.1-1.2-0.47%12.5%0.30.51.5(16.6%,6.15%)-2.484.75   407.12(-8.94%)402-431.8Uptrend Consolidation 408.54(0.35%)396.99-443.1570
12Sep_2_2020-10.3%-158.6% 12.6%,0.7(-0)13.9%,0.8(-0.1)0.7%,00-0.12%14.1%111.7(17.36%,6.06%)0.295.85   447.09(-5.9%)405.12-479.04Uptrend Consolidation 438.01(-2.03%)416.04-504.0280
13Sep_1_2020-4.7%-174.8% 12.7%,0.7(0)15.7%,0.9(-0.1)3.2%,0.20.6-0.5%14.5%1.51.61.9(17.7%,6.23%)089.79   475.14(-4.65%)470.51-502.49Uptrend 541.8(14.03%)452.01-580.2988
14Aug_31_20200%-188.2% 11.9%,0.7(0.1)17%,1(-0)4.5%,0.30.60%14.7%2.12.22.1(17.37%,5.24%)0.172.06   498.32(12.57%)440.12-500.02Overbought 461.94(-7.3%)359.82-615.1896
15Aug_28_2020-1.1%-174.7% 10.4%,0.6(0)17%,1.1(-0.1)1.6%,0.10.90%14.3%1.51.72.1(16.14%,N/A%)0.8100.41   442.68(-1.13%)437.3-463.7Uptrend 501.29(13.24%)421.24-535.5989
 
16Aug_27_20200%-177.8% 10.2%,0.6(0)18%,1.1(-0)2.3%,0.10.90%13.8%1.81.82.2(15.68%,N/A%)0.7118.47   447.75(3.98%)428.5-459.12Uptrend 506.72(13.17%)423.18-542.5387
17Aug_26_20200%-167.2% 9.5%,0.6(0.1)18.1%,1.2(0)2.8%,0.200%12.8%1.81.52.2(14.69%,N/A%)1.371.2   430.63(6.42%)410.73-433.2Uptrend 483.77(12.34%)408.49-516.0282
18Aug_25_2020-1.3%-151.1% 8.5%,0.6(0)17.4%,1.3(0.1)1.4%,0.10.30%11.5%1.51.12.1(13.78%,N/A%)1.653.29   404.67(0.45%)393.6-405.59Uptrend 448.46(10.82%)387.94-474.3680
19Aug_24_2020-1.7%-150% 7.9%,0.6(0.1)16.7%,1.3(0.1)1.9%,0.10.90%9.7%1.71.22(13.1%,N/A%)1.7100.32   402.84(-1.75%)385.5-425.8Uptrend 442.04(9.73%)385.68-466.1880
20Aug_21_20200%-154.4% 7.1%,0.6(0.1)15.7%,1.3(0.2)4.3%,0.30.90%7.8%2.21.51.3(12.42%,N/A%)1.7107.45   410(2.41%)405.01-419.1Growing Uptrend 452.52(10.37%)388.36-468.5582
 
21Aug_20_20200%-148.4% 5.4%,0.5(0.1)13.4%,1.2(0.2)4.3%,0.40.60%6.2%2.41.30.8(10.97%,N/A%)1.5103.06   400.37(6.56%)371.41-404.4Growing Uptrend 431.56(7.79%)380.61-444.2983
22Aug_19_2020-0.5%-133.1% 4.1%,0.4(0.1)10.9%,1.2(0.2)3.8%,0.41.80%4.6%2.20.80.4(9.3%,N/A%)1.661.03   375.71(-0.45%)368.24-382.2Growing Uptrend 395.1(5.16%)360.87-403.6573
23Aug_18_20200%-134.2% 3.1%,0.4(0.2)8.7%,1.1(0.5)6.4%,0.82.40%3%2.80.80.1(8.12%,N/A%)1.682.37   377.42(2.8%)369.02-384.78Growing Uptrend 391.35(3.69%)361.34-398.8672
24Aug_17_20200%-127.8% 1.4%,0.2(0.2)4.9%,0.7(0.5)5.5%,0.82.10%1.4%3.10.7-0.3(6.62%,N/A%)1.8101.21   367.13(11.2%)334.57-369.17Growing Uptrend 372.97(1.59%)352.54-378.0772
25Aug_14_20200%-106.6% 0.3%,0.1(0.2)1.5%,0.3(0.3)2.7%,0.63.90%-0.3%1.9-0.1-0.8(4.84%,N/A%)1.862.89   330.14(1.83%)325.33-333.76N/A 324.03(-1.85%)312.17-333.7357
iDateTo High-Lowema20
Trend
ema10
Trend
ema5
Trend
Hourly
Trend
Last
Hour
EMA
Ratio
BBVRVRVTVIXCDVolume
millions
Close  5 Day
Target  
Trend
Narrative
  5 Day
Price Change  
SRIRSI
 
 
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