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| ^ TSLA: Intraday Forecast Similar Waves Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice |
| Fri. Sep. 18, 2020 |
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Trading Signals: TSLA Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Aug. 31, 2015 - Fri. Sep. 18, 2020)(Tesla Motors, Inc.)
TSLA latest price $441.6900 (4.37%) ($428.8000 - $451.0000) on Fri. Sep. 18, 2020. Trend and Trading Plan | Trend Narrative | N/A | | Intraday Reversal Probability | N/A. | | Daily Trend | TSLA advances 3.3% a day on average for past five trading days. | | Weekly Trend | TSLA declines -1.2% a week on average for past two weeks. | | Market Behavior | Broad based sell-off for large cap. Value stock sell-off for small cap. | | Correlated ETFs | Broad market will support TSLA decline at-6% a week (66% probability)
QQQ(72%) IWF(67%) VUG(66%) IVW(63%) XLK(63%) | | Factors Impacting TSLA price | TSLA will decline at least -1.4% in a week (30% probabilities).
VXX(-32%) UUP(-32%) VIXM(-29%) TLT(-27%) BJK(-27%) | | Explanation | The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market. | | Trading Plan | Not Available | | | | | Valuation to SPY | 1.2 | | | | | Relative Volatility | -0.8 (options are cheap) | | | | | Hourly Trend | -1.64% [$431.92(-1.77), $439.12(8.16)] | | Last Hour Trend | 0.98% [$443.9, $439.57] |
TSLA Next 1 - 5 Day Price Forecast
| Bullish Probability | 64% | | Bullish Price Move | 6% | | Bearish Probability | 36% | | Bearish Price Move | -6% | | Recommended Position Size | 5% | | Latest Price | $441.6900 | | Next Day Open Price | $450.35(1.96%) | | 1 - 3 Day Target Price | $439.57(-0.48%) | | 1 - 5 Day Price Range | $429.55 - $447.76 | | Inflection Point | Yes | | Support Level | $419.83 | | 5 Day Moving Average | $435.39(1.45%) | | 10 Day Moving Average | $405.24(8.99%) | | 20 Day Moving Average | $419.83(5.21%) | | To recent high | -11.4% | | To recent low | 130.1% | | Market Cap | $410.772b | | | | Option Sentiment | | | | | | | Earning Release Date | Tue. Oct. 27, 2020 | | Analyst One Year Target Price | $304.96 ($19.00 - $800.00)
32 analysts (last updated on Wed. Sep. 16, 2020) | | % to Average Target Price | -30.96% | | % to Low Target Price | -95.7% | | % to High Target Price | 81.12% | | |
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Tesla, Inc. engages in the design, development, manufacture, and sale of fully electric vehicles, energy generation and storage systems. It also provides vehicle service centers, supercharger station, and self-driving capability. The company operates through Automotive, and Energy Generation and Storage segments. The Automotive segment includes the design, development, manufacture and sale of electric vehicles. The Energy Generation and Storage segment includes the design, manufacture, installation, sale, and lease of stationary energy storage products and solar energy systems, and sale of electricity generated by its solar energy systems to customers. It develops energy storage products for use in homes, commercial facilities and utility sites. The company was founded by Jeffrey B. Straubel, Elon Reeve Musk, Martin Eberhard, and Marc Tarpenning on July 1, 2003 and is headquartered in Palo Alto, CA.
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$. Technical analysis works only if the market conditions in the future are not drastically different from the past. Always read market news to understand the causes of the price movement before making a trading decision. News
$. TSLA price fluctuates within 9.16% (three month std-dev: 5.95% one year average std_dev: 0%) daily (68% of days).
$. TSLA price fluctuates within 0% weekly (one year average std_dev: %).
Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart Hourly Chart 15 Minute Chart | i | Date | To High-Low | ema20
Trend | ema10
Trend | ema5
Trend | Hourly
Trend | Last
Hour | EMA
Ratio | BBV | RV | RVT(RV,IV) | VIXCD | Volume
millions | Close | ActualPriceRange | Trend-Narrative | NextDay
PriceTarget | NextDayPriceRange | RSI |
|---|
| 1 | Sep_18_2020 | -11.4%-130.1% | 3.9%,0.4(0) | -1.2%,-0.1(0.3) | 3.3%,0.4 | -0.6 | 0.98% | -3.5% | 0.6 | 1.2 | -0.8(9.16%,NAN%) | 2.1 | 85.73 | 441.69(4.37%) | 428.8-451 | N/A | 439.57(-0.48%) | 429.55-447.76 | 52 | | 2 | Sep_17_2020 | -15.1%-120.5% | 3.9%,0.4(-0) | -4%,-0.4(0.1) | 2.5%,0.3 | 0.3 | 0.08% | -3.9% | 0.1 | 0.6 | -0.7(9.18%,8.5%) | 2.1 | 76.23 | 423.21(-4.27%) | 408-437.79 | N/A | 421.9(-0.31%) | 420.3-423.21 | 49 | | 3 | Sep_16_2020 | -11.3%-130.3% | 3.9%,0.4(-0) | -5%,-0.5(0.1) | 3.8%,0.4 | 2.1 | -0.04% | -3% | 0.7 | 1 | -0.6(9.49%,8.12%) | 1.4 | 72.15 | 442.1(-1.81%) | 435.31-457.79 | Downtrend | 439.05(-0.69%) | 440-436.86 | 54 | | 4 | Sep_15_2020 | -9.6%-134.6% | 4.1%,0.4(0.1) | -5.6%,-0.6(0.1) | 6.5%,0.7 | 2.1 | 0.66% | -1.8% | 1 | 1.3 | -0.6(9.64%,7.53%) | 0.8 | 96.42 | 450.27(7.29%) | 430.7-461.94 | N/A | 440(-2.28%) | 427.47-450.27 | 58 | | 5 | Sep_14_2020 | -15.8%-118.6% | 3.4%,0.3(-0.1) | -6.7%,-0.7(-0.1) | 0.1%,0 | 0.9 | 0.88% | 0% | 0.3 | 0.6 | -0.4(9.78%,6.7%) | 0.8 | 81.86 | 419.68(12.56%) | 373.3-420 | Correction | 411.45(-1.96%) | 411.47-411.47 | 55 | | | | |
| 6 | Sep_11_2020 | -25.2%-99.3% | 3.9%,0.4(-0.1) | -6.2%,-0.6(-0.2) | -1.8%,-0.2 | 0.9 | 0.6% | 1.5% | -0.7 | -0.2 | 0.1(10.71%,5.94%) | 0.1 | 60.31 | 372.85(0.44%) | 360.5-382.5 | Correction | 342.5(-8.14%) | 336.9-364.86 | 48 | | 7 | Sep_10_2020 | -25.5%-98.4% | 4.9%,0.4(-0.1) | -4.5%,-0.4(-0.3) | -3.9%,-0.3 | -0.3 | -1.62% | 3.9% | -0.7 | -0.1 | 0.3(11.49%,4.75%) | -0.7 | 84.01 | 371.2(1.39%) | 360.56-398.99 | Correction | 342.62(-7.7%) | 337.07-364.8 | 50 | | 8 | Sep_9_2020 | -26.5%-95.7% | 6.3%,0.5(-0.1) | -1.5%,-0.1(-0.3) | -5.3%,-0.4 | -1.8 | 1.07% | 6.1% | -0.7 | -0.3 | 0.5(12.48%,5.76%) | -0.7 | 78.3 | 366.1(10.94%) | 341.51-369 | Correction | 347.83(-4.99%) | 343.25-366.1 | 54 | | 9 | Sep_8_2020 | -33.8%-76.4% | 7.9%,0.6(-0.2) | 1.9%,0.1(-0.4) | -7.5%,-0.5 | -1.5 | -1.32% | 8.3% | -1.2 | -0.9 | 0.8(14.23%,7.06%) | -1.2 | 110.61 | 330.01(-21.15%) | 329.88-368.74 | Uptrend Consolidation | 345.29(4.63%) | 348.8-334.71 | 48 | | 10 | Sep_4_2020 | -16%-142.1% | 10.7%,0.7(-0.1) | 7.5%,0.5(-0.2) | -1.1%,-0.1 | -1.2 | 1.4% | 10.9% | 0.4 | 0.7 | 1.3(15.75%,5.71%) | -1.1 | 106.39 | 418.5(2.8%) | 372.02-428 | Uptrend Consolidation | 418.21(-0.07%) | 408.61-447.07 | 65 | | | | |
| 11 | Sep_3_2020 | -18.3%-135.5% | 11.5%,0.7(-0.1) | 10.3%,0.6(-0.2) | -1.8%,-0.1 | -1.2 | -0.47% | 12.5% | 0.3 | 0.5 | 1.5(16.6%,6.15%) | -2.4 | 84.75 | 407.12(-8.94%) | 402-431.8 | Uptrend Consolidation | 408.54(0.35%) | 396.99-443.15 | 70 | | 12 | Sep_2_2020 | -10.3%-158.6% | 12.6%,0.7(-0) | 13.9%,0.8(-0.1) | 0.7%,0 | 0 | -0.12% | 14.1% | 1 | 1 | 1.7(17.36%,6.06%) | 0.2 | 95.85 | 447.09(-5.9%) | 405.12-479.04 | Uptrend Consolidation | 438.01(-2.03%) | 416.04-504.02 | 80 | | 13 | Sep_1_2020 | -4.7%-174.8% | 12.7%,0.7(0) | 15.7%,0.9(-0.1) | 3.2%,0.2 | 0.6 | -0.5% | 14.5% | 1.5 | 1.6 | 1.9(17.7%,6.23%) | 0 | 89.79 | 475.14(-4.65%) | 470.51-502.49 | Uptrend | 541.8(14.03%) | 452.01-580.29 | 88 | | 14 | Aug_31_2020 | 0%-188.2% | 11.9%,0.7(0.1) | 17%,1(-0) | 4.5%,0.3 | 0.6 | 0% | 14.7% | 2.1 | 2.2 | 2.1(17.37%,5.24%) | 0.1 | 72.06 | 498.32(12.57%) | 440.12-500.02 | Overbought | 461.94(-7.3%) | 359.82-615.18 | 96 | | 15 | Aug_28_2020 | -1.1%-174.7% | 10.4%,0.6(0) | 17%,1.1(-0.1) | 1.6%,0.1 | 0.9 | 0% | 14.3% | 1.5 | 1.7 | 2.1(16.14%,N/A%) | 0.8 | 100.41 | 442.68(-1.13%) | 437.3-463.7 | Uptrend | 501.29(13.24%) | 421.24-535.59 | 89 | | | | |
| 16 | Aug_27_2020 | 0%-177.8% | 10.2%,0.6(0) | 18%,1.1(-0) | 2.3%,0.1 | 0.9 | 0% | 13.8% | 1.8 | 1.8 | 2.2(15.68%,N/A%) | 0.7 | 118.47 | 447.75(3.98%) | 428.5-459.12 | Uptrend | 506.72(13.17%) | 423.18-542.53 | 87 | | 17 | Aug_26_2020 | 0%-167.2% | 9.5%,0.6(0.1) | 18.1%,1.2(0) | 2.8%,0.2 | 0 | 0% | 12.8% | 1.8 | 1.5 | 2.2(14.69%,N/A%) | 1.3 | 71.2 | 430.63(6.42%) | 410.73-433.2 | Uptrend | 483.77(12.34%) | 408.49-516.02 | 82 | | 18 | Aug_25_2020 | -1.3%-151.1% | 8.5%,0.6(0) | 17.4%,1.3(0.1) | 1.4%,0.1 | 0.3 | 0% | 11.5% | 1.5 | 1.1 | 2.1(13.78%,N/A%) | 1.6 | 53.29 | 404.67(0.45%) | 393.6-405.59 | Uptrend | 448.46(10.82%) | 387.94-474.36 | 80 | | 19 | Aug_24_2020 | -1.7%-150% | 7.9%,0.6(0.1) | 16.7%,1.3(0.1) | 1.9%,0.1 | 0.9 | 0% | 9.7% | 1.7 | 1.2 | 2(13.1%,N/A%) | 1.7 | 100.32 | 402.84(-1.75%) | 385.5-425.8 | Uptrend | 442.04(9.73%) | 385.68-466.18 | 80 | | 20 | Aug_21_2020 | 0%-154.4% | 7.1%,0.6(0.1) | 15.7%,1.3(0.2) | 4.3%,0.3 | 0.9 | 0% | 7.8% | 2.2 | 1.5 | 1.3(12.42%,N/A%) | 1.7 | 107.45 | 410(2.41%) | 405.01-419.1 | Growing Uptrend | 452.52(10.37%) | 388.36-468.55 | 82 | | | | |
| 21 | Aug_20_2020 | 0%-148.4% | 5.4%,0.5(0.1) | 13.4%,1.2(0.2) | 4.3%,0.4 | 0.6 | 0% | 6.2% | 2.4 | 1.3 | 0.8(10.97%,N/A%) | 1.5 | 103.06 | 400.37(6.56%) | 371.41-404.4 | Growing Uptrend | 431.56(7.79%) | 380.61-444.29 | 83 | | 22 | Aug_19_2020 | -0.5%-133.1% | 4.1%,0.4(0.1) | 10.9%,1.2(0.2) | 3.8%,0.4 | 1.8 | 0% | 4.6% | 2.2 | 0.8 | 0.4(9.3%,N/A%) | 1.6 | 61.03 | 375.71(-0.45%) | 368.24-382.2 | Growing Uptrend | 395.1(5.16%) | 360.87-403.65 | 73 | | 23 | Aug_18_2020 | 0%-134.2% | 3.1%,0.4(0.2) | 8.7%,1.1(0.5) | 6.4%,0.8 | 2.4 | 0% | 3% | 2.8 | 0.8 | 0.1(8.12%,N/A%) | 1.6 | 82.37 | 377.42(2.8%) | 369.02-384.78 | Growing Uptrend | 391.35(3.69%) | 361.34-398.86 | 72 | | 24 | Aug_17_2020 | 0%-127.8% | 1.4%,0.2(0.2) | 4.9%,0.7(0.5) | 5.5%,0.8 | 2.1 | 0% | 1.4% | 3.1 | 0.7 | -0.3(6.62%,N/A%) | 1.8 | 101.21 | 367.13(11.2%) | 334.57-369.17 | Growing Uptrend | 372.97(1.59%) | 352.54-378.07 | 72 | | 25 | Aug_14_2020 | 0%-106.6% | 0.3%,0.1(0.2) | 1.5%,0.3(0.3) | 2.7%,0.6 | 3.9 | 0% | -0.3% | 1.9 | -0.1 | -0.8(4.84%,N/A%) | 1.8 | 62.89 | 330.14(1.83%) | 325.33-333.76 | N/A | 324.03(-1.85%) | 312.17-333.73 | 57 | | i | Date | To High-Low | ema20
Trend | ema10
Trend | ema5
Trend | Hourly
Trend | Last
Hour | EMA
Ratio | BBV | RV | RVT | VIXCD | Volume
millions | Close | 5 Day
Target | Trend
Narrative | 5 Day
Price Change | SRI | RSI |
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