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     Mon. Aug. 10, 2020



Trading Signals: TRVN Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Thu. Jan. 30, 2014 - Mon. Sep. 21, 2020)

(Trevena, Inc.)

TRVN latest price $3.1400 (33.33%) ($2.8600 - $3.6800) on Mon. Aug. 10, 2020.

Trend and Trading Plan

Trend Narrative  Overbought
Intraday Reversal Probability  N/A.
Daily Trend  TRVN advances 1.5% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend  TRVN advances 14.6% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior  Value stock rally for large cap. Value stock rally for small cap.
Correlated ETFs  Broad market will support TRVN advance at 2.5% a week (31% probability)
  ARKG(37%)    XBI(33%)    CNCR(31%)    ACES(28%)    TAN(26%)  
Factors Impacting TRVN price  TRVN will decline at least -1.3% in a week (21% probabilities).
  IGOV(-29%)    BJK(-19%)    SHY(-18%)    TLT(-17%)    VXX(-15%)  
Explanation   The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.
Trading Plan  A pullback is expected soon.
 
Valuation to SPY   2.3
 
Relative Volatility   1.8
 
Hourly BBV   0.9
Hourly Trend   3% [$2.75(0.37), $2.67(0.07)]
Last Hour Trend   2.54% [$3.15, $3.07]


TRVN Next 1 - 5 Day Price Forecast

Bullish Probability  90%
Bullish Price Move  7.2%
Bearish Probability  10%
Bearish Price Move  -7.2%
Recommended Position Size  11%
Latest Price  $3.1400
Next Day Open Price  $3.3(5.08%)
1 - 3 Day Target Price  $2.75(-12.44%)
1 - 5 Day Price Range  $2.19 - $3.59
Inflection Point  Yes
Support Level  $2.25
5 Day Moving Average  $2.67(17.6%)
10 Day Moving Average  $2.55(23.14%)
20 Day Moving Average  $2.25(39.56%)
To recent high  0%
To recent low  214%
Market Cap  $399m
 
Option Sentiment  
 
 
Earning Release Date  Wed. Nov. 4, 2020
Analyst One Year Target Price  $4.00 ($4.00 - $4.00)
  1 analysts (last updated on Sat. Jun. 20, 2020)
% to Average Target Price  27.39%
% to Low Target Price  27.39%
% to High Target Price  27.39%
 


  
 
 


Trevena, Inc. engages in the development and commercialization of novel medicines for patients affected by central nervous system disorders. Its product candidates include Oliceridine injection, TRV250, TRV734, and TRV045. The company was founded by Maxine Gowen, Robert Joseph Lefkowitz, Scott DeWire, Howard A. Rockman, Jonathan Violin, and Erin Whalen on November 9, 2007 and is headquartered in Chesterbrook, PA.


$. Technical analysis works only if the market conditions in the future are not drastically different from the past. Always read market news to understand the causes of the price movement before making a trading decision. News

$. TRVN price fluctuates within 17.78% (three month std-dev: 7.17%    one year average std_dev: 0%) daily (68% of days).
$. TRVN price fluctuates within 0% weekly (one year average std_dev: %).

Analysis   News   Options   Weekly Chart   Daily Chart   2 Month Daily Chart   

  >  20200910

iDateTo High-Lowema20
Trend
ema10
Trend
ema5
Trend
Hourly
Trend
Last
Hour
EMA
Ratio
BBVHourly
BBV
RVRVT(RV,IV)VIXCDVolume
millions
CloseActualPriceRangeTrend-Narrative  NextDay
PriceTarget  
NextDayPriceRangeRSI
1Aug_10_20200%-214% 13.5%,0.8(0)14.6%,0.8(-0)1.5%,0.10.62.54%13.3%2.20.92.31.8(17.78%,NAN%)1.6108.17   3.14(33.33%)2.86-3.68Overbought 2.75(-12.44%)2.19-3.5973
2Aug_7_2020-19.7%-154.4% 13.2%,0.8(-0)15.3%,0.9(-0.1)0.4%,0-1.8-1.26%12.4%0.5-3.60.61.8(16.59%,NAN%)1.637.55   2.36(-2.89%)1.72-2.75Uptrend 2.61(10.53%)2.32-2.7365
3Aug_6_2020-17.3%-169.6% 13.7%,0.8(0)16.4%,0.9(0)1.6%,0.1-1.2-1.98%12.6%0.8-7.90.92.1(17.29%,NAN%)1.615.76   2.43(-7.79%)2.33-2.7Uptrend 2.72(11.93%)2.37-2.8771
4Aug_5_2020-10.5%-195.5% 13.6%,0.8(0)16.3%,0.9(0.1)3.2%,0.21.20%12.9%1.401.52.5(18.1%,NAN%)1.611.09   2.63(-6.07%)2.55-2.79Uptrend 2.96(12.44%)2.5-3.1576
5Aug_4_2020-4.8%-268.4% 13.1%,0.7(0.1)15.4%,0.9(0)4.2%,0.22.40%12.2%2.102.22.8(17.56%,NAN%)1.532.88   2.8(-4.76%)2.28-3.48Overbought 2.53(-9.48%)2.01-3.3282
 
6Aug_3_20200%-286.8% 12.1%,0.8(0.1)14.7%,0.9(0.1)7.1%,0.41.20%11.6%302.62.8(16.08%,NAN%)1.622.1   2.94(26.72%)2.5-2.96Overbought 2.49(-15.44%)1.85-3.4489
7Jul_31_20200%-215.6% 10.3%,0.8(0.1)12.6%,1(0)3.2%,0.300%10.4%1.700.92(12.5%,NAN%)1.76.89   2.32(4.04%)2.22-2.37Uptrend 2.48(7.09%)2.23-2.686
8Jul_30_2020-1.8%-203.4% 8.9%,0.7(0.1)12.3%,1(0)2.8%,0.20.30%10.1%1.500.72(12.23%,NAN%)1.74.06   2.23(0%)2.16-2.26Uptrend 2.38(6.7%)2.15-2.4884
9Jul_29_2020-1.8%-206.2% 7.6%,0.6(0.1)12%,1(-0)2.4%,0.21.50%9.7%1.700.72(11.89%,NAN%)1.95.92   2.23(-1.76%)2.13-2.33Uptrend 2.36(5.92%)2.14-2.4682
10Jul_28_20200%-219.8% 6.3%,0.5(0.1)12.2%,1(0)2%,0.21.50%10.5%2.101.12.3(12.15%,NAN%)1.88.21   2.27(5.58%)2.17-2.39Uptrend 2.39(5.35%)2.16-2.4985
 
11Jul_27_20200%-202.9% 5.3%,0.5(0)11.7%,1(0.1)2%,0.20.60%9.6%1.900.72(11.3%,NAN%)1.87.44   2.15(8.59%)2.02-2.22Growing Uptrend 2.28(5.93%)2.06-2.3380
12Jul_24_2020-2.9%-191.2% 4.9%,0.5(0)10.4%,1(0)1%,0.1-0.60%8%1.300.21.5(10.34%,NAN%)1.52.14   1.98(2.59%)1.86-2Uptrend 2.06(3.93%)1.93-2.1166
13Jul_23_2020-5.4%-185.9% 4.9%,0.5(-0.1)10.2%,1(-0)1%,0.1-0.60%6.9%1.2001.3(9.83%,NAN%)1.42.94   1.93(-3.02%)1.9-2.03Uptrend 2(3.81%)1.89-2.0574
14Jul_22_2020-2.5%-216% 5.7%,0.6(-0.1)10.3%,1.1(-0)1.6%,0.21.20%5.8%1.700.10.9(9.3%,NAN%)1.75.2   1.99(-2.45%)1.64-2.08Uptrend 2.06(3.65%)1.93-2.1272
15Jul_21_20200%-224% 6.3%,0.7(0)10.4%,1.2(0.2)3.8%,0.41.80%4.7%2.300.40.5(8.82%,NAN%)1.74.75   2.04(3.03%)2-2.2Breakout 2.11(3.44%)1.96-2.1878
 
16Jul_20_20200%-214.4% 6.2%,0.8(0.1)9%,1.2(0.2)4%,0.50.90%3%2.300.3-0.3(7.74%,NAN%)2.110.19   1.98(7.61%)1.86-2.12Breakout 2.03(2.75%)1.91-2.0974
17Jul_17_2020-0.5%-192.2% 5.7%,0.9(-0)7.3%,1.1(0.4)2.9%,0.41.50%3%1.60-0.1-0.5(6.63%,NAN%)22.9   1.84(-0.54%)1.8-1.92Growing Uptrend 1.89(2.52%)1.8-1.9166
18Jul_16_20200%-193.8% 5.9%,1(0.1)4.6%,0.8(0.4)3%,0.52.70%1.2%200-0.6(6.06%,NAN%)1.83.73   1.85(0%)1.79-1.9Breakout 1.87(1.23%)1.81-1.955
19Jul_15_20200%-193.8% 5.4%,0.9(0.1)2.1%,0.3(0.5)3.1%,0.51.50%1.2%2.20-0.1-0.5(6.13%,NAN%)1.89.69   1.85(8.82%)1.69-1.93Breakout 1.86(0.51%)1.8-1.8853
20Jul_14_2020-2.9%-170% 4.7%,0.8(0)-0.9%,-0.1(0.2)0.6%,0.10.60%0.6%10-0.3-0.6(6.25%,NAN%)1.32.74   1.7(6.92%)1.59-1.71Growing Uptrend 1.7(0.25%)1.68-1.7147
 
21Jul_13_2020-9.1%-152.5% 4.6%,0.7(-0.1)-2.2%,-0.3(-0.1)-1.8%,-0.30.30%0.6%0.10-0.5-0.3(6.96%,NAN%)15.94   1.59(-0.63%)1.59-1.75Correction 1.58(-0.38%)1.58-1.5947
22Jul_10_2020-8.6%-154.1% 5%,0.6(0)-1.2%,-0.1(-0)1.2%,0.1-0.60%1.3%0.20-0.50.2(8.28%,NAN%)1.31.56   1.6(-1.23%)1.57-1.66Correction 1.6(-0.08%)1.59-1.6150
23Jul_9_2020-7.4%-217.6% 4.7%,0.5(-0)-1.1%,-0.1(-0.2)0.6%,0.1-0.30%3.2%0.50-0.40.7(9.68%,NAN%)12.17   1.62(0.62%)1.57-1.63Correction 1.59(-1.69%)1.56-1.6450
24Jul_8_2020-8%-215.7% 4.7%,0.5(0)0.5%,0.1(-0.1)1.3%,0.10.30%4.5%0.50-0.50.7(9.74%,NAN%)1.12.12   1.61(-1.23%)1.59-1.67Uptrend Consolidation 1.59(-1.22%)1.58-1.6350
25Jul_7_2020-6.9%-230.9% 4.4%,0.5(0)1.8%,0.2(-0.1)1.3%,0.10.90%5.9%0.70-0.20.8(9.8%,NAN%)13.32   1.63(-5.23%)1.58-1.72Uptrend Consolidation 1.61(-1.51%)1.59-1.6550
iDateTo High-Lowema20
Trend
ema10
Trend
ema5
Trend
Hourly
Trend
Last
Hour
EMA
Ratio
BBVHourly
BBV
RVRVTVIXCDVolume
millions
Close  5 Day
Target  
Trend
Narrative
  5 Day
Price Change  
SRIRSI
Click to see actual return for next trading day.
 
 
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