Trading Signals: TRV Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ TRV: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Thu. Feb. 25, 2021

Trading Signals: TRV Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Mar. 14, 2014 - Fri. Oct. 27, 2023)

(Travelers)
TRV latest price $148.0000 (-1.96%) ($147.8700 - $151.4800) on Thu. Feb. 25, 2021.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.5% (three month average)
RSI   63
Latest Price   $148.0000(-1.96%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Weekly Trend   TRV advances 1% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Broad based sell-off for large cap. Broad based sell-off for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support TRV advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
XLF(64%)    VYM(63%)    XLI(56%)    XLB(51%)    SDY(45%)
Factors Impacting TRV price   TRV will decline at least -0.75% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-35%)    TLT(-19%)    VXX(-16%)    UUP(-15%)    TIP(-4%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.75% (StdDev 1.5%)
Hourly BBV -1.4 ()
Intraday Trend -2.2%

Inflection Point   Yes
5 Day Moving Average   $148.41(-0.28%)
10 Day Moving Average   $147.85(0.1%)
20 Day Moving Average   $145.17(1.95%)
To recent high   -2%
To recent low   14.2%
Market Cap   $37.474b

The Travelers Cos., Inc. is a holding company, which engages in the provision of commercial and personal property and casualty insurance products and services. It operates through the following business segments: Business Insurance; Bond and Specialty Insurance; and Personal Insurance. The Business Insurance segment offers a broad array of property and casualty insurance, and insurance related services to its customers. The Bond and Specialty Insurance segment includes surety, fidelity, management liability, professional liability, and other property and casualty coverage and related risk management services. The Personal Insurance segment consists of products of automobile and homeowners insurance are complemented by a broad suite of related coverages. The company was founded in 1853 and is headquartered in New York, NY.

$. TRV price fluctuates within 2.76% (three month std-dev: 1.5%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 9 Average positive next day return: 1.8%(56%) Average negative next day return: -1.54%(44%) Sample size 9 Average positive next three day return: 1.48%(33%) Average negative next three day return: -2.93%(67%) Sample size 9 Average positive next weekly return: 3.79%(44%) Average negative next weekly return: -3.38%(56%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20210325

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Feb_25_2021	135.11	145.17	147.85	148.41	148.79	149.78	148(-1.96%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	31	50	25	48	1.26	49%	0.27	26.1	1.5%	-1.4	0.7	63	0.2
2	Feb_24_2021	134.75	144.76	147.66	148.35	148.14	149.43	150.96(1.09%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.6	75	60	71	85	1.42	51%	0.31	18.9	1.48%	1.2	1.5	81	1.4
3	Feb_23_2021	134.34	144.36	147.25	147.85	147.58	147.81	149.33(0.99%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	53	10	42	86	0.95	51%	0.29	16.9	1.48%	1.4	1.3	74	1.3
4	Feb_22_2021	133.95	144.17	146.92	147.47	147.28	146.84	147.87(1.34%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.1	8	-20	-16	79	1.22	51%	0.31	18.7	1.48%	1.2	1	75	1.1
5	Feb_19_2021	133.54	144.04	146.62	147.09	147.37	147.36	145.91(-1.21%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	20	10	-7	102	1.12	51%	0.29	20.7	1.47%	-1.6	0.5	76	1.5

6	Feb_18_2021	133.15	144.14	146.46	147.17	147.09	147.71	147.69(-0.51%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	49	30	22	128	0.92	51%	0.31	28.8	1.46%	0.3	0.9	67	1.3
7	Feb_17_2021	132.74	143.98	145.62	146.82	146.74	147.37	148.45(0.7%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	62	30	39	131	0.92	51%	0.32	32.7	1.46%	1.4	1.2	70	1.4
8	Feb_16_2021	132.31	143.71	144.78	146.56	146.44	146.48	147.42(1%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	40	-0	17	110	1.12	51%	0.48	40.2	1.47%	1.8	1.1	56	1.2
9	Feb_12_2021	131.68	143.48	143.88	146.32	146.32	146.11	145.96(-0.26%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	17	-10	-4	79	1.31	51%	0.3	44.5	1.47%	-0.9	0.7	48	1.5
10	Feb_11_2021	131.28	143.29	142.96	146.09	146.14	146.41	146.34(0.28%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	19	10	7	56	0.89	51%	0.31	48.3	1.49%	-1	0.9	49	1.3

11	Feb_10_2021	130.88	143.07	142.31	145.61	145.79	146.54	145.93(-0.84%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	57	40	60	48	1.49	51%	0.29	50	1.5%	-0.3	0.9	43	1
12	Feb_9_2021	130.5	142.79	141.64	144.16	144.54	145.88	147.16(0.66%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	63	70	78	18	0.79	58%	0.3	46.3	1.51%	1.7	1.3	52	1.1
13	Feb_8_2021	130.11	142.31	141.2	142.69	142.69	145.05	146.2(0.94%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	73	120	95	5	0.76	58%	0.27	36.1	1.66%	1.1	1.2	53	1.1
14	Feb_5_2021	129.76	141.97	141.2	141.09	141.26	143.21	144.84(0.63%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	102	100	135	4	0.92	62%	0.25	22.8	1.66%	1	0.9	52	1.1
15	Feb_4_2021	129.43	141.68	141.11	139.39	139.39	140.34	143.93(3.8%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.4	31	50	55	-43	2.7	59%	0.25	7.9	1.7%	1.7	0.7	53	1.1

16	Feb_3_2021	129.11	141.44	141.49	138.6	138.39	139.31	138.66(-0.84%)	N/A	N/A	0	0	1	40	20	-56	1.08	57%	0.21	2.6	1.67%	-0.1	-0.9	45	0.7
17	Feb_2_2021	128.84	141.29	142.13	138.74	138.66	138.45	139.83(1.17%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-1	-10	15	-47	1.4	59%	0.21	-2.4	1.68%	1.4	-0.4	51	-0.1
18	Feb_1_2021	128.57	141.12	142.51	139.52	139.06	137.48	138.21(1.4%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-83	-90	-89	-64	1.21	59%	0.19	0	1.71%	0.1	-0.8	55	-1.3
19	Jan_29_2021	128.32	141.25	143.07	141.15	141.07	138.86	136.3(-2.64%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.3	-87	-110	-102	-40	2.28	59%	0.2	15.1	1.71%	-1.4	-1.3	47	-2.7
20	Jan_28_2021	128.07	141.42	143.76	143.06	142.98	140.65	140(0.44%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-93	-120	-120	-12	1.68	65%	0.22	34.4	1.68%	-0.8	-0.4	55	-2.2

21	Jan_27_2021	127.79	141.36	144.05	144.8	144.5	143.28	139.38(-3.01%)	CR	SmallShort	-20	-1.5	-71	-70	-104	27	1.64	62%	0.2	48.6	1.69%	-2	-0.5	54	-3
22	Jan_26_2021	127.53	141.38	144.24	145.93	146.49	145.31	143.71(-1.81%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.6	20	-40	-6	99	1.17	61%	0.13	58	1.66%	-1.5	0.6	72	0.3
23	Jan_25_2021	127.36	141.11	143.69	145.89	146.16	145.73	146.36(0.36%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.1	-11	-20	-44	87	1.28	64%	0.24	59.1	1.71%	-0.3	1.5	74	0.8
24	Jan_22_2021	127.05	140.68	143.02	145.27	145.71	147.67	145.84(-1.94%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	69	100	53	118	1.24	64%	0.25	57.4	1.71%	-0.2	1.5	59	1.5
25	Jan_21_2021	126.73	140.2	142.34	144.56	144.79	146.59	148.72(2.55%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.3	129	90	125	140	2.83	70%		54.5	1.69%	1.3	2.6	66	1.8
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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