Trading Signals: TRV Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ TRV: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Tue. Sep. 29, 2020

Trading Signals: TRV Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Mar. 14, 2014 - Fri. Oct. 27, 2023)

(Travelers)
TRV latest price $107.4400 (-2.52%) ($106.5500 - $110.2500) on Tue. Sep. 29, 2020.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.61% (three month average)
RSI   34
Latest Price   $107.4400(-2.52%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   TRV declines -0.3% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   TRV declines -2.2% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Value stocks sell-off for large cap. Value stock sell-off for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support TRV advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
XLF(65%)    VYM(63%)    XLI(56%)    XLB(52%)    SDY(49%)
Factors Impacting TRV price   TRV will decline at least -0.805% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-36%)    TLT(-21%)    VXX(-16%)    UUP(-16%)    IGOV(-8%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.805% (StdDev 1.61%)
Hourly BBV -0.6 ()
Intraday Trend -2.3%

1 - 5 Day Possible Target   $104.72(-2.53%)
Inflection Point   Yes
Resistance Level   $111.85
5 Day Moving Average   $108.22(-0.72%)
10 Day Moving Average   $109.61(-1.98%)
20 Day Moving Average   $111.85(-3.94%)
To recent high   -12.1%
To recent low   0%
Market Cap   $27.204b

The Travelers Cos., Inc. is a holding company, which engages in the provision of commercial and personal property and casualty insurance products and services. It operates through the following business segments: Business Insurance; Bond and Specialty Insurance; and Personal Insurance. The Business Insurance segment offers a broad array of property and casualty insurance, and insurance related services to its customers. The Bond and Specialty Insurance segment includes surety, fidelity, management liability, professional liability, and other property and casualty coverage and related risk management services. The Personal Insurance segment consists of products of automobile and homeowners insurance are complemented by a broad suite of related coverages. The company was founded in 1853 and is headquartered in New York, NY.

$. TRV price fluctuates within 2.66% (three month std-dev: 1.61%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 13 Average positive next day return: 0.67%(31%) Average negative next day return: -1.32%(69%) Sample size 13 Average positive next three day return: 2.48%(62%) Average negative next three day return: -1.81%(38%) Sample size 13 Average positive next weekly return: 4.65%(54%) Average negative next weekly return: -1.31%(46%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20201029

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Sep_29_2020	112.79	111.85	109.61	108.22	108.45	109.42	107.44(-2.52%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.3	-7	70	16	-76	1.31	64%	0.11	-63.2	1.61%	-0.6	-1.5	34	0.9
2	Sep_28_2020	112.67	112.29	110.09	108.58	108.48	108.76	110.22(1.95%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.6	19	20	46	-64	1.56	69%	0.12	-60.7	1.59%	1	-0.7	39	0.7
3	Sep_25_2020	112.54	112.56	110.47	108.42	108.29	107.47	108.11(0.27%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-56	-60	-39	-107	1.67	60%	0.12	-55.9	1.62%	0	-1.5	25	0.6
4	Sep_24_2020	112.41	113.02	111	109.12	108.75	108.2	107.82(0.31%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-71	-50	-58	-108	1.71	60%	0.13	-43.8	1.63%	-0.9	-1.8	30	0.3
5	Sep_23_2020	112.26	113.34	111.43	110.08	109.83	109.1	107.49(-1.61%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1	-50	-50	-34	-97	2.88	60%	0.1	-38.3	1.67%	-1.3	-2.2	26	0.1

6	Sep_22_2020	112.15	113.77	112.08	111.22	110.75	109.29	109.25(-0.18%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-69	-100	-61	-93	1.38	60%	0.11	-29.6	1.66%	-0.4	-2	39	0.7
7	Sep_21_2020	112.03	114.07	112.54	111.8	111.66	110.55	109.45(-1.94%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.2	-85	-70	-80	-99	1.88	60%	0.13	-28	1.66%	-1.1	-2.3	36	0.8
8	Sep_18_2020	111.89	114.23	113.26	112.8	112.72	112.2	111.61(-0.88%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-39	-30	-32	-61	2.3	64%	0.1	-32.7	1.64%	-1.2	-1.5	40	1.1
9	Sep_17_2020	111.78	114.3	113.63	113.16	113.32	112.76	112.6(-0.5%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-25	-30	-15	-54	1.2	64%	0.05	-46	1.65%	-0.9	-1	39	1.1
10	Sep_16_2020	111.72	114.35	114.09	113	113.45	113.24	113.17(0.91%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-27	-0	-20	-49	1.05	64%	0.08	-64.9	1.65%	-0.4	-0.7	51	0.7

11	Sep_15_2020	111.63	114.44	114.25	113.09	113.43	113.87	112.15(-2.02%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-11	40	-0	-43	1.04	64%	0.09	-78.1	1.65%	-1.9	-1.4	44	0.6
12	Sep_14_2020	111.53	114.63	114.65	113.41	113.61	113.66	114.46(0.93%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.7	3	10	14	-29	0.98	69%	0.13	-85	1.64%	0.8	-0.1	50	0.6
13	Sep_11_2020	111.39	114.82	114.78	113.83	113.7	112.99	113.4(1.43%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-37	-50	-39	-32	1.04	52%	0.12	-66.7	1.67%	0.2	-0.8	55	0.3
14	Sep_10_2020	111.26	115.1	115.16	114.22	114.7	113.55	111.8(-1.61%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.2	-40	-60	-48	-16	0.95	52%	0.09	-43.2	1.97%	-2	-1.6	51	-0.6
15	Sep_9_2020	111.16	115.45	115.39	115.35	115.75	114.42	113.63(-0.1%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.8	-32	-70	-44	3	0.95	52%	0.11	-19.8	2.01%	-0.5	-0.9	53	-0.4

16	Sep_8_2020	111.04	115.75	115.61	115.57	116.22	115.85	113.74(-2.43%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.8	-23	-10	-34	12	1.68	52%	0.16	-2.1	2.03%	-1.1	-0.9	48	-1.2
17	Sep_4_2020	110.86	116.01	115.75	116.03	116.19	117.08	116.57(1.06%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	20	60	15	35	1.46	62%	0.15	13	2.13%	0.1	0.3	51	-1.6
18	Sep_3_2020	110.69	116.04	115.31	115.89	116.01	116.59	115.35(-1.81%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	28	40	29	24	1.29	62%	0.13	17.3	2.16%	-0.6	-0.3	42	-3.2
19	Sep_2_2020	110.55	115.98	115.05	116.26	115.88	115.3	117.48(2.43%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	4	-40	4	4	1.36	62%	0.08	17.3	2.18%	1.6	0.7	44	-1.3
20	Sep_1_2020	110.46	115.86	114.61	115.47	115.85	115.43	114.69(-1.16%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-25	-20	-23	-29	0.97	60%	0.07	4.5	2.17%	-1.3	-0.5	39	-1

21	Aug_31_2020	110.38	115.8	114.63	115.65	115.72	116.46	116.04(0.13%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-1	50	7	-26	2.3	60%	0.05	3	2.18%	-0.4	0.1	39	-0.6
22	Aug_28_2020	110.32	115.72	114.59	115.43	115.61	116.28	115.89(-1.1%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.2	31	50	48	-20	1.73	60%	0.06	-3.9	2.18%	0.1	0.1	41	0.5
23	Aug_27_2020	110.25	115.66	114.8	114.61	114.78	114.97	117.18(3.21%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.1	6	20	21	-39	1.54	60%	0.11	-20.6	2.18%	1.3	0.6	49	0.5
24	Aug_26_2020	110.13	115.58	114.94	113.68	113.83	114.94	113.54(-1.8%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.1	-0	70	14	-44	1.2	56%	0.12	-36.9	2.18%	-0.8	-0.9	52	1
25	Aug_25_2020	110	115.76	115.45	113.62	113.42	114.58	115.62(0.63%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.9	30	70	48	-24	1.36	56%		-49	2.2%	1.1	-0.1	52	1.3
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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