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     Fri Jan 15, 2021



TLT: Technical Analysis: Trading Strategies and Configurations

iDateOpenCloseLowHighVolume
millions
Day's
Return
Week's
Return
Month's
Return
120210115152.2500152.2500152.2500152.25005.130.68%0.63%-3.26%
220210114151.2250151.2250151.2250151.225012.34-0.95%-0.46%-4.17%
320210113152.6750152.6750152.6750152.675010.641.1%-0.27%-3.58%
420210112151.0100151.0100151.0100151.120010.72-0.06%-3.45%-4.88%
520210111151.1000151.1000151.1000151.10007.56-0.13%-3.97%-4.46%
 

Buy Uptrend Strategy (ema_10 > ema_20, ema_10_trend > std_dev)
Average next day return: 0.01% (51% 1032, 975), Average next week return: 0.09% [0.45%] (53% 1069, 938)

Buy Uptrend Breakout Strategy
Average next day return: 0.02% (52% 2330, 2150), Average next week return: 0.08% [0.36%] (53% 2364, 2112)

Buy Downtrend Rebound Strategy: (ema_20_trend < -std_dev, ema_10 < ema_20)
Average next day return: 0.64% (71% 5, 2), Average next week return: -0.16% [-14.07%] (17% 1, 5)

Buy the Bottom Strategy:
Average next day return: 0.02% (52% 2330, 2150), Average next week return: 0.08% [0.36%] (53% 2364, 2112)

Buy Uptrend Reversal Strategy:
Average next day return: -0.39% (35% 11, 20), Average next week return: -0.55% [-0.16%] (29% 9, 22)

Buy Uptrend Dip Strategy:
Average next day return: 0.39% (80% 4, 1), Average next week return: 1.75% [1.75%] (80% 4, 1)

Short Downtrend reversal Strategy:
Average next day return: 0.64% (65% 13, 7), Average next week return: 1.08% [1.58%] (55% 11, 9)

Short Downtrend overbought Strategy:
Average next day return: 2.04% (75% 3, 1), Average next week return: 2.95% [-0.34%] (75% 3, 1)

Short the Top Strategy:
Average next day return: 0.02% (52% 2330, 2150), Average next week return: 0.08% [1.51%] (53% 2364, 2112)

Once you've choosen a trading strategy ( 1. trading within a price range, 2. shorting an overbought, 3. buying an oversold, 4. buying an early uptrend, and 5. shorting an early downtrend) according to the direction of TLT, the next step is to optimize the trading configuration (holding period, profit target and stop limit) by comparing the returns on investments from simulated trades from past year. You can also compare ROIs for each trading strategy for a pre-selected trading configuration.

Recommended trading strategy for Fri Jan 15, 2021: Hold

  
 Strategy
 Holding Period
 Profit Target
 Stop Limit
  
 
  

Click here to optimize trading strategy for other stocks/ETFs

Common Trading Scenarios

Profit Target: 2%, Stop Limit: 1%, Holding Period: 10 trading days
Profit Target: 3%, Stop Limit: 2%, Holding Period: 20 trading days
Profit Target: 5%, Stop Limit: 3%, Holding Period: 20 trading days

Extrame Trading Scenarios

Day Trading: Profit Target: 5%, Stop Limit: 2%, Holding Period: 1 day
Long Term: Profit Target: 20%, Stop Limit: 50%, Holding Period: 40 trading days

 
 
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