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     Wed. Nov. 25, 2020



Trading Signals: TLT Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Wed. Nov. 25, 2020)

(iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF)

TLT latest price $159.5050 (0.19%) ($159.2500 - $159.9100) on Wed. Nov. 25, 2020.

Trend and Trading Plan

Trend Narrative  Growing Uptrend
Intraday Reversal Probability  N/A.
Weekly Trend  TLT advances 0.9% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior  Value stocks sell-off for large cap. Value stock sell-off for small cap.
Correlated ETFs  Broad market will support TLT advance at 0.7% a week (83% probability)
  BND(90%)    BNDX(78%)    LQD(72%)    VCIT(66%)    TIP(65%)  
Factors Impacting TLT price  TLT will decline at least -0.1% in a week (67% probabilities).
  XLF(-55%)    JETS(-51%)    SDY(-48%)    IWN(-48%)    XOP(-47%)  
Trading Plan  Not Available
 
Valuation to SPY   -0.9
 
Relative Volatility   0.3 (options are faily valued)
 
Hourly BBV   -0.1
Hourly Trend   -0.47% [$159.45(-0.57), $160.21(-0.15)]
Last Hour Trend   0.13% [$159.62, $159.41]


TLT Next 1 - 5 Day Price Forecast

Bullish Probability  75%
Bullish Price Move  0.8%
Bearish Probability  25%
Bearish Price Move  -0.8%
Recommended Position Size  63%
Latest Price  $159.5050
Next Hour Price  $159.92(0.26%)
1 - 3 Day Target Price  $159.9(0.25%)
1 - 5 Day Price Range  $159.37 - $160.03
Support Level  $158.8
5 Day Moving Average  $160.21(-0.44%)
10 Day Moving Average  $159.39(0.07%)
20 Day Moving Average  $158.8(0.44%)
To recent high  -3.9%
To recent low  2.8%
Market Cap  $N/A
 
Option Sentiment  
 
 
 


  
 
 



$. Technical analysis works only if the market conditions in the future are not drastically different from the past. Always read market news to understand the causes of the price movement before making a trading decision. News

$. TLT price fluctuates within 1.1% (three month std-dev: 0.79%    one year average std_dev: 0%) daily (68% of days).
$. TLT price fluctuates within 0% weekly (one year average std_dev: %).

Analysis   News   Options   Weekly Chart   Daily Chart   Hourly Chart   15 Minute Chart

iDateTo High-Lowema20
Trend
ema10
Trend
ema5
Trend
Hourly
Trend
Last
Hour
EMA
Ratio
BBVHourly
BBV
RVVSIVVIXCDVolume
millions
CloseActualPriceRangeTrend-Narrative  NextDay
PriceTarget  
NextDayPriceRangeRSI
1Nov_25_2020-3.9%-2.8% 0.2%,0.2(-0)0.9%,0.8(0.3)0%,0-1.20.13%0.4%0.4-0.1-0.91.4NAN%1.31.77   159.51(0.19%)159.25-159.91Growing Uptrend 159.91(0.25%)159.38-160.0343
2Nov_24_2020-4%-2.6% 0.3%,0.2(-0)0.6%,0.5(0.1)0.1%,0-0.6-0.07%0.1%0.2-1-1.11.40.7%1.510.89   159.2(-0.96%)159.01-160.02Growing Uptrend 159.53(0.21%)159.11-159.6443
3Nov_23_2020-3.1%-3.5% 0.3%,0.2(0.1)0.4%,0.4(0.3)0.4%,0.31.2-0.07%-0.1%11.2-0.51.40.71%1.311.3   160.74(-0.47%)160.28-160.99Uptrend 160.88(0.09%)160.38-161.158
4Nov_20_2020-2.8%-4% 0.1%,0.1(0.2)0.1%,0.1(0.1)0.4%,0.41.50.09%-0.4%1.62.5-0.31.40.63%1.47.24   161.51(0.89%)160.39-161.54Range Bound 161.14(-0.23%)160.45-161.6957
5Nov_19_2020-3.7%-3.1% -0.1%,-0.1(0.2)-0.1%,-0.1(0)0.2%,0.21.2-0.08%-0.4%0.91.5-0.71.30.61%1.710.64   160.08(0.51%)159.84-160.72Range Bound 159.82(-0.16%)159.49-160.0857
 
6Nov_18_2020-4.2%-2.6% -0.3%,-0.3(0.2)-0.1%,-0.1(0.2)0.4%,0.40.90.07%-0.3%0.51-0.81.30.56%1.910.33   159.26(0.27%)158.35-159.57Rebound 158.91(-0.22%)159.26-158.7750
7Nov_17_2020-4.4%-2.3% -0.5%,-0.5(0.2)-0.3%,-0.3(0.4)0.5%,0.40.30.01%-0.2%0.21.3-1.21.30.56%1.87.44   158.83(0.66%)158.59-159.16Rebound 158.64(-0.12%)158.58-158.6744
8Nov_16_2020-5.1%-1.6% -0.7%,-0.7(0.1)-0.7%,-0.7(0.2)0.2%,0.21.2-0.06%-0.3%-0.41.1-1.71.40.56%1.96.31   157.79(-0.24%)157.61-158.28Downtrend Consolidation 157.55(-0.15%)158.04-157.442
9Nov_13_2020-4.8%-1.9% -0.8%,-0.7(-0.1)-0.9%,-0.8(-0)-0.2%,-0.22.10.02%-0.3%-0.20.7-1.51.40.63%1.17.37   158.17(-0.14%)157.91-158.5Downtrend 157.62(-0.35%)157.37-158.2147
10Nov_12_2020-4.7%-2% -0.7%,-0.6(-0.1)-0.9%,-0.7(-0.3)-0.4%,-0.30.90.14%-0.4%-0.20.3-1.11.50.67%0.716   158.38(1.7%)156.71-158.4Downtrend Pop 158.32(-0.04%)158.47-157.9552
 
11Nov_11_2020-6.8%-0.3-0.5%,-0.4(-0.2)-0.5%,-0.4(-0.4)-0.7%,-0.5-1.50.1%-0.5%-1.6-0.7-21.60.74%1.35.89   155.74(0.33%)154.97-155.94Relative Oversold 156.25(0.33%)154.71-157.5149
12Nov_10_2020-8.2%-0-0.3%,-0.2(-0.1)-0.1%,-0(-0.2)-0.3%,-0.3-3.9-0.05%-0.4%-2.1-1.4-2.21.50.78%0.712.72   155.24(-0.56%)154.78-155.81Oversold 156.42(0.76%)155.15-156.7543
13Nov_9_2020-7.7%-0-0.2%,-0.1(-0.1)0.2%,0.2(-0.1)-0.3%,-0.3-3.30.08%-0.2%-2-1.4-2.41.40.79%-0.423.23   156.11(-2.11%)154.63-156.15Oversold 157.17(0.68%)156.11-157.4443
14Nov_6_2020-6.7%-1.6% -0%,-0(0.1)0.3%,0.3(0.3)0.2%,0.30.90%-0.2%-0.2-0.3-1.41.30.68%1.912.41   159.47(-1.18%)158.94-159.92Uptrend Reversal 159.95(0.3%)159.55-160.2246
15Nov_5_2020-5.6%-2.8% -0.2%,-0.2(0.2)-0%,-0(0.5)0.3%,0.330.1%-0.3%11.2-0.91.30.74%0.918.53   161.37(0.18%)160.58-161.74Rebound 160.51(-0.53%)161.37-160.1648
 
16Nov_4_2020-6.1%-2.6% -0.4%,-0.4(0.1)-0.5%,-0.5(0.3)0%,01.20.08%-0.5%0.91.201.20.9%0.521.6   161.08(2.17%)160.54-162.17Downtrend Consolidation 160.81(-0.17%)160.56-160.8846
17Nov_3_2020-8.1%-0.4-0.5%,-0.5(0)-0.7%,-0.8(-0.1)-0.4%,-0.4-0.6-0.01%-0.6%-1.4-1.101.31.37%-1.617.72   157.66(-0.56%)157.04-157.98Downtrend 157.38(-0.18%)157.09-158.0533
18Nov_2_2020-7.6%-1% -0.5%,-0.6(0.1)-0.7%,-0.8(-0.1)-0.1%,-0.1-1.8-0.09%-0.6%-0.9-0.711.21.44%-2.510.81   158.55(0.62%)158.33-159.19Downtrend 158.28(-0.17%)158.07-158.7937
19Oct_30_2020-8.2%-0.4-0.6%,-0.7(0.1)-0.6%,-0.6(-0.1)-0.1%,-0.1-1.8-0.08%-0.5%-1.6-1.31.11.31.22%-2.213.07   157.58(-0.98%)157.57-159.35Downtrend 157.36(-0.14%)157.07-158.0540
20Oct_29_2020-7.2%-1.4% -0.7%,-0.7(0.1)-0.5%,-0.5(0.1)0.3%,0.30-0.1%-0.4%-0.7-0.20.91.41.3%-2.411.91   159.15(-0.97%)158.47-160.83Downtrend 158.9(-0.16%)158.7-159.3847
 
21Oct_28_2020-6.3%-2.4% -0.8%,-0.8(0.1)-0.6%,-0.6(0)0.3%,0.21.8-0.11%-0.4%0.21.51.71.51.3%-2.411.76   160.71(0.09%)160.2-161.46Downtrend 160.29(-0.26%)160.14-160.6752
22Oct_27_2020-6.4%-2.3% -0.9%,-0.8(0)-0.6%,-0.5(0)0.2%,0.11.80.01%-0.4%0.12.10.31.71.01%-0.66.05   160.56(0.68%)159.9-160.7Downtrend 160.03(-0.33%)159.82-160.5156
23Oct_26_2020-7.1%-1.6% -1%,-0.8(-0)-0.6%,-0.5(-0.1)-0.2%,-0.10.3-0.03%-0.4%-0.60-0.11.81.03%-0.27.23   159.47(0.93%)159.01-160.02Growing Downtrend 158.98(-0.31%)158.56-159.7246
24Oct_23_2020-7.9%-0.6-0.9%,-0.7(-0.1)-0.4%,-0.3(-0.1)-0.4%,-0.3-1.20.01%-0.5%-1.3-0.9-1.120.96%0.88.83   158(0.65%)156.75-158.21Downtrend 157.48(-0.33%)157.03-158.5445
25Oct_22_2020-8.5%-0-0.8%,-0.6(-0.1)-0.4%,-0.3(-0.1)-0.6%,-0.4-1.2-0.06%-0.6%-1.9-2-1.320.85%0.612.16   156.98(-1.1%)156.97-158.63Oversold 158.11(0.72%)156.55-158.529
iDateTo High-Lowema20
Trend
ema10
Trend
ema5
Trend
Hourly
Trend
Last
Hour
EMA
Ratio
BBVHourly
BBV
RVVSIVVIXCDVolume
millions
Close  5 Day
Target  
Trend
Narrative
  5 Day
Price Change  
SRIRSI
 
 
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