Trading Signals: TLT Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ TLT: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Tue. Apr. 23, 2024

Trading Signals: TLT Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Tue. Apr. 23, 2024)

(iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF)
TLT latest price $89.3350 (0.35%) ($89.3350 - $89.3350) on Tue. Apr. 23, 2024.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.9% (three month average)
RSI   35
Latest Price   $89.3350(0.35%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   TLT advances 0.2% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   TLT declines -1.5% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Broad based rally for large cap. Broad based rally for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support TLT advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
TAN(85%)    JETS(58%)    DIA(57%)    IVE(57%)    XLE(53%)
Factors Impacting TLT price   TLT will decline at least -0.45% in a week (0% probabilities).
UUP(-74%)    GLD(-62%)    VIXM(-50%)    VXX(-40%)    SMH(-10%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.45% (StdDev 0.9%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0%

1 - 5 Day Possible Target   $85.77(-3.99%)
Resistance Level   $90.92
5 Day Moving Average   $89.09(0.28%)
10 Day Moving Average   $89.29(0.05%)
20 Day Moving Average   $90.92(-1.74%)
To recent high   -9%
To recent low   1.1%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. TLT price fluctuates within 2.14% (three month std-dev: 0.9%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 11 Average positive next day return: 1.1%(55%) Average negative next day return: -1.04%(45%) Sample size 11 Average positive next three day return: 1.39%(64%) Average negative next three day return: -1.18%(36%) Sample size 11 Average positive next weekly return: 1.73%(73%) Average negative next weekly return: -1.68%(27%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart Hourly Chart 15 Minute Chart

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Apr_23_2024	94.4	90.92	89.29	89.09	89.06	89.18	89.34(0.35%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.1	-14	10	13	-95	9.52	40%	-0.04	-54.2	0.9%	0	-0.8	35	-0.7
2	Apr_22_2024	94.44	91.12	89.55	88.9	89.03	89.05	89.03(-0.05%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.1	-17	10	12	-105	19.91	40%	-0.04	-54.8	0.9%	0.5	-1.1	33	-1.1
3	Apr_19_2024	94.48	91.37	89.78	88.87	88.87	88.94	89.07(0.29%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-37	10	-8	-123	39.97	40%	-0.02	-53	0.91%	0.6	-1.2	31	-2.3
4	Apr_18_2024	94.5	91.57	90	89.12	88.82	89.01	88.82(-0.44%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.2	-38	0	-6	-135	27.58	40%	-0.04	-51.4	0.91%	0.1	-1.4	24	-1.6
5	Apr_17_2024	94.54	91.79	90.38	89.33	89.19	88.8	89.21(0.92%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-36	-40	-1	-140	37.39	40%	-0.02	-55.5	0.91%	1.7	-1.4	24	-2

6	Apr_16_2024	94.56	91.99	90.66	89.53	89.36	88.63	88.4(-0.52%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-111	-60	-87	-181	37.63	35%	-0.03	-60.5	0.9%	-0.8	-2.1	26	-2.2
7	Apr_15_2024	94.59	92.22	91.05	90.3	89.82	89.58	88.86(-1.59%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-88	-30	-67	-150	41.29	35%	-0.01	-64.5	0.93%	-1.3	-2.2	29	-3
8	Apr_12_2024	94.6	92.44	91.43	90.81	90.66	90.09	90.3(0.46%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-39	-50	-12	-121	46.07	37%	-0.05	-74.8	0.92%	0.5	-1.6	32	-2.8
9	Apr_11_2024	94.65	92.58	91.85	91.02	90.93	90.05	89.89(-0.36%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-102	-70	-90	-137	45.99	37%	-0.01	-87.1	0.91%	-1	-2.2	36	1
10	Apr_10_2024	94.66	92.82	92.32	91.58	91.31	91.22	90.22(-2.18%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.2	-69	-20	-61	-93	57.98	37%	0	-89.2	0.92%	-1.8	-2.3	39	-0.4

11	Apr_9_2024	94.66	93.05	92.69	91.94	91.92	91.81	92.23(0.91%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.3	11	-10	28	-42	23.88	41%	0.02	-90.9	0.88%	1.5	-0.8	46	-0.3
12	Apr_8_2024	94.64	93.22	92.82	91.93	91.81	91.39	91.4(0.01%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-55	-40	-50	-70	29.32	38%	0.01	-77	0.87%	-0.8	-1.6	44	-0.3
13	Apr_5_2024	94.63	93.43	93.08	92.16	92.01	92.03	91.39(-1.39%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-40	-0	-37	-49	42.46	38%	0.02	-65.1	0.88%	-1.3	-1.7	42	-1.1
14	Apr_4_2024	94.61	93.66	93.27	92.81	92.29	92.24	92.67(0.7%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-12	-20	-12	-12	35.69	38%	0.04	-43.3	0.87%	1.8	-0.8	49	-0.4
15	Apr_3_2024	94.57	93.82	93.31	93.21	92.78	91.98	92.03(-0.14%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-46	-70	-54	-23	45.46	38%	0.03	-23.9	0.88%	-0.1	-1.4	35	0.4

16	Apr_2_2024	94.54	93.99	93.42	93.56	93.5	92.35	92.16(-0.42%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.1	-76	-90	-90	-35	33.84	38%	0.04	-7.6	0.89%	-0.8	-1.5	32	0.3
17	Apr_1_2024	94.5	94.1	93.49	93.83	93.91	93.58	92.55(-2.22%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.1	-66	-20	-75	-38	47.27	38%	0.13	0.8	0.89%	-1.5	-1.3	30	0.7
18	Mar_28_2024	94.38	94.2	93.55	94.11	94.16	94.65	94.65(-0.01%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.5	28	40	38	-1	26.63	43%	0.06	10.5	0.85%	0.8	0.4	38	1.1
19	Mar_27_2024	94.32	94.18	93.38	93.8	93.98	94.23	94.66(0.9%)	RB	SmallLong	20	0.8	35	20	56	-27	32.97	47%	0.06	8.8	0.86%	1.7	0.4	37	1.6
20	Mar_26_2024	94.26	94.12	93.33	93.44	93.58	93.66	93.81(0.32%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-12	10	8	-70	20.13	45%	0.08	5.1	0.88%	0.6	-0.3	28	1.4

21	Mar_25_2024	94.18	94.12	93.42	93.28	93.35	93.73	93.51(-0.47%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-4	30	21	-77	16.91	45%	0.06	1.7	0.88%	-0.2	-0.5	33	1.8
22	Mar_22_2024	94.12	94.12	93.61	93.11	93.22	93.51	93.95(0.95%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.8	19	30	47	-65	21.68	45%	0.07	0.9	0.88%	1.2	-0.1	50	1.8
23	Mar_21_2024	94.05	94.09	93.76	92.91	92.9	92.97	93.07(0.21%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.1	-19	0	3	-84	21.72	42%	0.09	-1.6	0.88%	0.5	-0.9	41	1.9
24	Mar_20_2024	93.97	94.08	94.04	92.89	92.88	92.94	92.87(-0.15%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0	-21	0	-2	-76	35.33	42%	0.11	-3.2	0.88%	0.1	-1	42	1.6
25	Mar_19_2024	93.87	94.07	94.35	93.2	92.9	92.83	93.01(0.38%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-30	-10	-21	-57	23.4	42%		3.9	0.88%	1	-0.9	49	1.6
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD