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     Fri. Sep. 18, 2020



Trading Signals: TLT Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Sep. 18, 2020)

(iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF)

TLT latest price $163.4950 (-0.37%) ($163.3400 - $164.2400) on Fri. Sep. 18, 2020.

Trend and Trading Plan

Trend Narrative  Range Bound
Intraday Reversal Probability  N/A.
Daily Trend  TLT declines -0.1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend  TLT advances 0.1% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior  Broad based sell-off for large cap. Value stock sell-off for small cap.
Correlated ETFs  Broad market will support TLT advance at 0% a week (77% probability)
  BND(84%)    BNDX(65%)    LQD(64%)    TIP(49%)    VCIT(44%)  
Factors Impacting TLT price  TLT will advance at least 0.3% in a week (65% probabilities).
  XLF(-51%)    PEJ(-47%)    XOP(-44%)    OIH(-43%)    XLI(-42%)  
Explanation   The decline is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.
Trading Plan  Range Trading
 
Valuation to SPY   1.3
 
Relative Volatility   -1.3 (options are cheap)
 
Hourly Trend   0% [$163.94(-0.06), $163.94(-0.23)]
Last Hour Trend   -0.02% [$163.57, $163.61]


TLT Next 1 - 5 Day Price Forecast

Bullish Probability  25%
Bullish Price Move  0.7%
Bearish Probability  75%
Bearish Price Move  -0.7%
Recommended Position Size  -71%
Latest Price  $163.4950
Next Day Open Price  $163.43(-0.04%)
1 - 3 Day Target Price  $163.56(0.04%)
1 - 5 Day Price Range  $163.63 - $163.5
Inflection Point  Yes
Resistance Level  $163.93
5 Day Moving Average  $163.96(-0.28%)
10 Day Moving Average  $163.83(-0.2%)
20 Day Moving Average  $163.93(-0.27%)
To recent high  -4.7%
To recent low  1.5%
Market Cap  $N/A
 
Option Sentiment  
 
 
 


  
 
 



$. Technical analysis works only if the market conditions in the future are not drastically different from the past. Always read market news to understand the causes of the price movement before making a trading decision. News

$. TLT price fluctuates within 0.83% (three month std-dev: 0.69%    one year average std_dev: 0%) daily (68% of days).
$. TLT price fluctuates within 0% weekly (one year average std_dev: %).

Analysis   News   Options   Weekly Chart   Daily Chart   Hourly Chart   15 Minute Chart

iDateTo High-Lowema20
Trend
ema10
Trend
ema5
Trend
Hourly
Trend
Last
Hour
EMA
Ratio
BBVRVRVT(RV,IV)VIXCDVolume
millions
CloseActualPriceRangeTrend-Narrative  NextDay
PriceTarget  
NextDayPriceRangeRSI
1Sep_18_2020-4.7%-1.5% -0%,-0(-0.1)0.1%,0.1(-0.4)-0.1%,-0.10-0.02%-0.1%-0.31.3-1.3(0.83%,NAN%)2.25.37   163.5(-0.37%)163.34-164.24Range Bound 163.57(0.04%)163.64-163.562
2Sep_17_2020-4.4%-2.2% 0.1%,0.1(0.1)0.4%,0.5(-0.1)0%,0-0.30.04%0%0.10.9-1.4(0.84%,0.7%)2.17.81   164.1(0.31%)163.8-164.96Uptrend Consolidation 164.08(-0.01%)164.03-164.2463
3Sep_16_2020-4.6%-2.3% 0%,0(0.1)0.5%,0.6(0.1)0%,0-0.6-0.28%0.1%-0.30.3-1.4(0.84%,0.8%)1.48.62   163.6(-0.29%)162.98-164.89N/A 163.86(0.16%)163.81-163.9149
4Sep_15_2020-4.4%-2.6% -0.1%,-0.1(0.2)0.4%,0.5(0.3)0%,00.30.05%0.1%00.3-1.5(0.85%,0.88%)0.87   164.08(-0.26%)163.79-164.47Uptrend Reversal 164.52(0.27%)164.15-164.7848
5Sep_14_2020-4.1%-2.8% -0.2%,-0.3(0.3)0.2%,0.2(0.5)0.2%,0.21.2-0.04%0%0.30.6-1.7(0.85%,0.78%)0.84.27   164.51(0.04%)164.23-165.08Uptrend Reversal 164.95(0.27%)164.58-165.2144
 
6Sep_11_2020-4.2%-2.8% -0.5%,-0.6(0.2)-0.2%,-0.2(0.1)-0.2%,-0.20.30.01%-0.1%0.31-1.7(0.85%,0.73%)0.15.45   164.45(0.2%)164.08-164.57Rebound 164.07(-0.23%)164.17-164.0343
7Sep_10_2020-4.3%-2.6% -0.6%,-0.7(0.1)-0.3%,-0.4(-0.1)-0.2%,-0.2-0.30.21%-0.3%0.10.9-1.8(0.85%,0.9%)-0.78.84   164.12(0.49%)161.95-164.35Growing Downtrend 163.91(-0.13%)163.77-164.0946
8Sep_9_2020-4.8%-3.1% -0.7%,-0.8(0.1)-0.2%,-0.2(-0)-0.1%,-0.1-0.9-0.05%-0.4%-0.50-1.9(0.87%,0.81%)-0.711.6   163.32(-0.27%)162.76-164.25Downtrend 163.16(-0.1%)163.04-163.4650
9Sep_8_2020-4.5%-4.5% -0.8%,-0.9(0.1)-0.2%,-0.2(-0)0.2%,0.2-1.8-0.04%-0.4%-0.30.9-1.8(0.96%,0.87%)-1.213.78   163.77(0.6%)163.74-165.26Downtrend 163.59(-0.11%)163.46-163.8947
10Sep_4_2020-5.1%-4.3% -0.9%,-0.7(0.1)-0.2%,-0.1(-0)0.2%,0.20.3-0.1%-0.4%-0.7-0.6-0.5(1.33%,0.81%)-1.113.77   162.8(-1.87%)162.45-164.7Downtrend 162.59(-0.13%)162.37-163.1249
 
11Sep_3_2020-3.3%-6.3% -1%,-0.7(0.1)-0.1%,-0.1(0.2)0.6%,0.41.8-0.07%-0.4%0.5-0.40.1(1.52%,0.84%)-2.416.41   165.91(0.28%)165.44-167.24Rebound 165.26(-0.39%)165.53-165.1559
12Sep_2_2020-3.6%-6% -1.2%,-0.7(0)-0.4%,-0.2(0.1)0.2%,0.11.20.04%-0.6%0.2-1.40.5(1.65%,0.81%)0.215.04   165.44(0.95%)163.49-165.56Rebound 165.01(-0.26%)164.62-165.1755
13Sep_1_2020-4.5%-5% -1.2%,-0.7(-0)-0.6%,-0.3(0)-0.1%,-00.60.22%-0.9%-0.4-1.41.1(1.84%,0.74%)010.57   163.89(1.09%)161.18-164.07Downtrend 163.12(-0.47%)162.68-164.1244
14Aug_31_2020-5.5%-3.8% -1.2%,-0.6(-0.1)-0.7%,-0.3(0)-0.5%,-0.2-0.6-0.16%-1%-1.1-1.51.4(1.9%,0.76%)0.111.37   162.12(0.61%)161.56-163.25Downtrend 161.23(-0.55%)160.58-162.7433
15Aug_28_2020-6.1%-3.2% -1%,-0.5(-0.1)-0.7%,-0.4(0)-0.6%,-0.3-1.2-0.01%-1.2%-1.5-1.91.7(1.93%,0.85%)0.88.41   161.15(-0.06%)160.64-162.05Downtrend 160.31(-0.52%)159.59-162.0125
 
16Aug_27_2020-6%-3.3% -0.8%,-0.4(-0.1)-0.7%,-0.4(0.1)-0.5%,-0.3-1.2-0.08%-1.3%-1.6-1.91.8(1.89%,0.99%)0.719.86   161.24(-1.71%)161.16-164.82Downtrend 160.56(-0.42%)159.87-162.1524
17Aug_26_2020-4.4%-5.1% -0.7%,-0.4(-0)-0.9%,-0.5(0.2)0%,0-0.90.1%-1.4%-1-1.71.6(1.77%,0.94%)1.38.15   164.05(-0.38%)163.28-164.33Downtrend Consolidation 163.75(-0.18%)165.21-163.2826
18Aug_25_2020-4%-5.5% -0.6%,-0.4(-0)-1.2%,-0.7(0.1)-0%,-0-0-0.02%-1.5%-0.9-1.41.7(1.75%,0.92%)1.610.52   164.67(-0.74%)163.83-165.09Downtrend Consolidation 164.21(-0.28%)165.68-163.7131
19Aug_24_2020-3.3%-6.3% -0.6%,-0.3(0)-1.4%,-0.8(0.1)0.3%,0.20.6-0.01%-1.5%-0.6-1.31.7(1.72%,0.76%)1.76.49   165.89(-0.2%)165.86-166.97Downtrend Consolidation 165.28(-0.37%)166.6-164.8430
20Aug_21_2020-3.1%-6.5% -0.6%,-0.3(0)-1.7%,-1(0.2)0.4%,0.20.6-0.02%-1.5%-0.5-1.12.1(1.72%,0.79%)1.76.83   166.22(0.62%)165-166.33Downtrend Consolidation 165.51(-0.43%)166.79-165.0838
 
21Aug_20_2020-3.7%-5.8% -0.6%,-0.4(-0)-2%,-1.1(0.1)0.2%,0.10.30.02%-1.4%-0.9-1.32.4(1.72%,0.87%)1.510.32   165.2(0.89%)164.93-165.65Downtrend 163.86(-0.81%)163.07-165.732
22Aug_19_2020-4.6%-4.9% -0.6%,-0.4(-0.1)-2.1%,-1.3(-0.1)-0.2%,-0.10.3-0.24%-1.2%-1.5-1.52.6(1.67%,0.97%)1.612.49   163.74(-0.6%)163.3-165.61Downtrend 162.45(-0.79%)161.55-164.5626
23Aug_18_2020-4%-5.5% -0.5%,-0.3(-0)-2%,-1.3(-0.1)-0.3%,-0.20.3-0.01%-1%-1.4-1.62.5(1.56%,0.86%)1.68.14   164.74(0.7%)164.09-164.87Relative Oversold 164.53(-0.13%)161.65-166.8634
24Aug_17_2020-4.7%-4.8% -0.4%,-0.3(-0.1)-1.8%,-1.2(-0.2)-0.7%,-0.4-0.6-0.11%-0.7%-1.9-22.6(1.5%,0.84%)1.86.88   163.59(0.26%)163.43-164.46Relative Oversold 163.85(0.16%)161.02-166.1629
25Aug_14_2020-4.9%-4.5% -0.3%,-0.2(-0.2)-1.4%,-1.1(-0.4)-0.8%,-0.6-1.5-0.12%-0.4%-2.4-2.42.2(1.37%,0.82%)1.86.4   163.17(-0.39%)163.16-164.15Growing Downtrend 162.57(-0.37%)161.83-164.1834
iDateTo High-Lowema20
Trend
ema10
Trend
ema5
Trend
Hourly
Trend
Last
Hour
EMA
Ratio
BBVRVRVTVIXCDVolume
millions
Close  5 Day
Target  
Trend
Narrative
  5 Day
Price Change  
SRIRSI
 
 
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