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| ^ TLT: Intraday Forecast Similar Waves Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice |
| Fri. Sep. 18, 2020 |
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Trading Signals: TLT Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Sep. 18, 2020)(iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF)
TLT latest price $163.4950 (-0.37%) ($163.3400 - $164.2400) on Fri. Sep. 18, 2020. Trend and Trading Plan | Trend Narrative | Range Bound | | Intraday Reversal Probability | N/A. | | Daily Trend | TLT declines -0.1% a day on average for past five trading days. | | Weekly Trend | TLT advances 0.1% a week on average for past two weeks. | | Market Behavior | Broad based sell-off for large cap. Value stock sell-off for small cap. | | Correlated ETFs | Broad market will support TLT advance at 0% a week (77% probability)
BND(84%) BNDX(65%) LQD(64%) TIP(49%) VCIT(44%) | | Factors Impacting TLT price | TLT will advance at least 0.3% in a week (65% probabilities).
XLF(-51%) PEJ(-47%) XOP(-44%) OIH(-43%) XLI(-42%) | | Explanation | The decline is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market. | | Trading Plan | Range Trading | | | | | Valuation to SPY | 1.3 | | | | | Relative Volatility | -1.3 (options are cheap) | | | | | Hourly Trend | 0% [$163.94(-0.06), $163.94(-0.23)] | | Last Hour Trend | -0.02% [$163.57, $163.61] |
TLT Next 1 - 5 Day Price Forecast
| Bullish Probability | 25% | | Bullish Price Move | 0.7% | | Bearish Probability | 75% | | Bearish Price Move | -0.7% | | Recommended Position Size | -71% | | Latest Price | $163.4950 | | Next Day Open Price | $163.43(-0.04%) | | 1 - 3 Day Target Price | $163.56(0.04%) | | 1 - 5 Day Price Range | $163.63 - $163.5 | | Inflection Point | Yes | | Resistance Level | $163.93 | | 5 Day Moving Average | $163.96(-0.28%) | | 10 Day Moving Average | $163.83(-0.2%) | | 20 Day Moving Average | $163.93(-0.27%) | | To recent high | -4.7% | | To recent low | 1.5% | | Market Cap | $N/A | | | | Option Sentiment | | | | | | | |
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$. Technical analysis works only if the market conditions in the future are not drastically different from the past. Always read market news to understand the causes of the price movement before making a trading decision. News
$. TLT price fluctuates within 0.83% (three month std-dev: 0.69% one year average std_dev: 0%) daily (68% of days).
$. TLT price fluctuates within 0% weekly (one year average std_dev: %).
Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart Hourly Chart 15 Minute Chart | i | Date | To High-Low | ema20
Trend | ema10
Trend | ema5
Trend | Hourly
Trend | Last
Hour | EMA
Ratio | BBV | RV | RVT(RV,IV) | VIXCD | Volume
millions | Close | ActualPriceRange | Trend-Narrative | NextDay
PriceTarget | NextDayPriceRange | RSI |
|---|
| 1 | Sep_18_2020 | -4.7%-1.5% | -0%,-0(-0.1) | 0.1%,0.1(-0.4) | -0.1%,-0.1 | 0 | -0.02% | -0.1% | -0.3 | 1.3 | -1.3(0.83%,NAN%) | 2.2 | 5.37 | 163.5(-0.37%) | 163.34-164.24 | Range Bound | 163.57(0.04%) | 163.64-163.5 | 62 | | 2 | Sep_17_2020 | -4.4%-2.2% | 0.1%,0.1(0.1) | 0.4%,0.5(-0.1) | 0%,0 | -0.3 | 0.04% | 0% | 0.1 | 0.9 | -1.4(0.84%,0.7%) | 2.1 | 7.81 | 164.1(0.31%) | 163.8-164.96 | Uptrend Consolidation | 164.08(-0.01%) | 164.03-164.24 | 63 | | 3 | Sep_16_2020 | -4.6%-2.3% | 0%,0(0.1) | 0.5%,0.6(0.1) | 0%,0 | -0.6 | -0.28% | 0.1% | -0.3 | 0.3 | -1.4(0.84%,0.8%) | 1.4 | 8.62 | 163.6(-0.29%) | 162.98-164.89 | N/A | 163.86(0.16%) | 163.81-163.91 | 49 | | 4 | Sep_15_2020 | -4.4%-2.6% | -0.1%,-0.1(0.2) | 0.4%,0.5(0.3) | 0%,0 | 0.3 | 0.05% | 0.1% | 0 | 0.3 | -1.5(0.85%,0.88%) | 0.8 | 7 | 164.08(-0.26%) | 163.79-164.47 | Uptrend Reversal | 164.52(0.27%) | 164.15-164.78 | 48 | | 5 | Sep_14_2020 | -4.1%-2.8% | -0.2%,-0.3(0.3) | 0.2%,0.2(0.5) | 0.2%,0.2 | 1.2 | -0.04% | 0% | 0.3 | 0.6 | -1.7(0.85%,0.78%) | 0.8 | 4.27 | 164.51(0.04%) | 164.23-165.08 | Uptrend Reversal | 164.95(0.27%) | 164.58-165.21 | 44 | | | | |
| 6 | Sep_11_2020 | -4.2%-2.8% | -0.5%,-0.6(0.2) | -0.2%,-0.2(0.1) | -0.2%,-0.2 | 0.3 | 0.01% | -0.1% | 0.3 | 1 | -1.7(0.85%,0.73%) | 0.1 | 5.45 | 164.45(0.2%) | 164.08-164.57 | Rebound | 164.07(-0.23%) | 164.17-164.03 | 43 | | 7 | Sep_10_2020 | -4.3%-2.6% | -0.6%,-0.7(0.1) | -0.3%,-0.4(-0.1) | -0.2%,-0.2 | -0.3 | 0.21% | -0.3% | 0.1 | 0.9 | -1.8(0.85%,0.9%) | -0.7 | 8.84 | 164.12(0.49%) | 161.95-164.35 | Growing Downtrend | 163.91(-0.13%) | 163.77-164.09 | 46 | | 8 | Sep_9_2020 | -4.8%-3.1% | -0.7%,-0.8(0.1) | -0.2%,-0.2(-0) | -0.1%,-0.1 | -0.9 | -0.05% | -0.4% | -0.5 | 0 | -1.9(0.87%,0.81%) | -0.7 | 11.6 | 163.32(-0.27%) | 162.76-164.25 | Downtrend | 163.16(-0.1%) | 163.04-163.46 | 50 | | 9 | Sep_8_2020 | -4.5%-4.5% | -0.8%,-0.9(0.1) | -0.2%,-0.2(-0) | 0.2%,0.2 | -1.8 | -0.04% | -0.4% | -0.3 | 0.9 | -1.8(0.96%,0.87%) | -1.2 | 13.78 | 163.77(0.6%) | 163.74-165.26 | Downtrend | 163.59(-0.11%) | 163.46-163.89 | 47 | | 10 | Sep_4_2020 | -5.1%-4.3% | -0.9%,-0.7(0.1) | -0.2%,-0.1(-0) | 0.2%,0.2 | 0.3 | -0.1% | -0.4% | -0.7 | -0.6 | -0.5(1.33%,0.81%) | -1.1 | 13.77 | 162.8(-1.87%) | 162.45-164.7 | Downtrend | 162.59(-0.13%) | 162.37-163.12 | 49 | | | | |
| 11 | Sep_3_2020 | -3.3%-6.3% | -1%,-0.7(0.1) | -0.1%,-0.1(0.2) | 0.6%,0.4 | 1.8 | -0.07% | -0.4% | 0.5 | -0.4 | 0.1(1.52%,0.84%) | -2.4 | 16.41 | 165.91(0.28%) | 165.44-167.24 | Rebound | 165.26(-0.39%) | 165.53-165.15 | 59 | | 12 | Sep_2_2020 | -3.6%-6% | -1.2%,-0.7(0) | -0.4%,-0.2(0.1) | 0.2%,0.1 | 1.2 | 0.04% | -0.6% | 0.2 | -1.4 | 0.5(1.65%,0.81%) | 0.2 | 15.04 | 165.44(0.95%) | 163.49-165.56 | Rebound | 165.01(-0.26%) | 164.62-165.17 | 55 | | 13 | Sep_1_2020 | -4.5%-5% | -1.2%,-0.7(-0) | -0.6%,-0.3(0) | -0.1%,-0 | 0.6 | 0.22% | -0.9% | -0.4 | -1.4 | 1.1(1.84%,0.74%) | 0 | 10.57 | 163.89(1.09%) | 161.18-164.07 | Downtrend | 163.12(-0.47%) | 162.68-164.12 | 44 | | 14 | Aug_31_2020 | -5.5%-3.8% | -1.2%,-0.6(-0.1) | -0.7%,-0.3(0) | -0.5%,-0.2 | -0.6 | -0.16% | -1% | -1.1 | -1.5 | 1.4(1.9%,0.76%) | 0.1 | 11.37 | 162.12(0.61%) | 161.56-163.25 | Downtrend | 161.23(-0.55%) | 160.58-162.74 | 33 | | 15 | Aug_28_2020 | -6.1%-3.2% | -1%,-0.5(-0.1) | -0.7%,-0.4(0) | -0.6%,-0.3 | -1.2 | -0.01% | -1.2% | -1.5 | -1.9 | 1.7(1.93%,0.85%) | 0.8 | 8.41 | 161.15(-0.06%) | 160.64-162.05 | Downtrend | 160.31(-0.52%) | 159.59-162.01 | 25 | | | | |
| 16 | Aug_27_2020 | -6%-3.3% | -0.8%,-0.4(-0.1) | -0.7%,-0.4(0.1) | -0.5%,-0.3 | -1.2 | -0.08% | -1.3% | -1.6 | -1.9 | 1.8(1.89%,0.99%) | 0.7 | 19.86 | 161.24(-1.71%) | 161.16-164.82 | Downtrend | 160.56(-0.42%) | 159.87-162.15 | 24 | | 17 | Aug_26_2020 | -4.4%-5.1% | -0.7%,-0.4(-0) | -0.9%,-0.5(0.2) | 0%,0 | -0.9 | 0.1% | -1.4% | -1 | -1.7 | 1.6(1.77%,0.94%) | 1.3 | 8.15 | 164.05(-0.38%) | 163.28-164.33 | Downtrend Consolidation | 163.75(-0.18%) | 165.21-163.28 | 26 | | 18 | Aug_25_2020 | -4%-5.5% | -0.6%,-0.4(-0) | -1.2%,-0.7(0.1) | -0%,-0 | -0 | -0.02% | -1.5% | -0.9 | -1.4 | 1.7(1.75%,0.92%) | 1.6 | 10.52 | 164.67(-0.74%) | 163.83-165.09 | Downtrend Consolidation | 164.21(-0.28%) | 165.68-163.71 | 31 | | 19 | Aug_24_2020 | -3.3%-6.3% | -0.6%,-0.3(0) | -1.4%,-0.8(0.1) | 0.3%,0.2 | 0.6 | -0.01% | -1.5% | -0.6 | -1.3 | 1.7(1.72%,0.76%) | 1.7 | 6.49 | 165.89(-0.2%) | 165.86-166.97 | Downtrend Consolidation | 165.28(-0.37%) | 166.6-164.84 | 30 | | 20 | Aug_21_2020 | -3.1%-6.5% | -0.6%,-0.3(0) | -1.7%,-1(0.2) | 0.4%,0.2 | 0.6 | -0.02% | -1.5% | -0.5 | -1.1 | 2.1(1.72%,0.79%) | 1.7 | 6.83 | 166.22(0.62%) | 165-166.33 | Downtrend Consolidation | 165.51(-0.43%) | 166.79-165.08 | 38 | | | | |
| 21 | Aug_20_2020 | -3.7%-5.8% | -0.6%,-0.4(-0) | -2%,-1.1(0.1) | 0.2%,0.1 | 0.3 | 0.02% | -1.4% | -0.9 | -1.3 | 2.4(1.72%,0.87%) | 1.5 | 10.32 | 165.2(0.89%) | 164.93-165.65 | Downtrend | 163.86(-0.81%) | 163.07-165.7 | 32 | | 22 | Aug_19_2020 | -4.6%-4.9% | -0.6%,-0.4(-0.1) | -2.1%,-1.3(-0.1) | -0.2%,-0.1 | 0.3 | -0.24% | -1.2% | -1.5 | -1.5 | 2.6(1.67%,0.97%) | 1.6 | 12.49 | 163.74(-0.6%) | 163.3-165.61 | Downtrend | 162.45(-0.79%) | 161.55-164.56 | 26 | | 23 | Aug_18_2020 | -4%-5.5% | -0.5%,-0.3(-0) | -2%,-1.3(-0.1) | -0.3%,-0.2 | 0.3 | -0.01% | -1% | -1.4 | -1.6 | 2.5(1.56%,0.86%) | 1.6 | 8.14 | 164.74(0.7%) | 164.09-164.87 | Relative Oversold | 164.53(-0.13%) | 161.65-166.86 | 34 | | 24 | Aug_17_2020 | -4.7%-4.8% | -0.4%,-0.3(-0.1) | -1.8%,-1.2(-0.2) | -0.7%,-0.4 | -0.6 | -0.11% | -0.7% | -1.9 | -2 | 2.6(1.5%,0.84%) | 1.8 | 6.88 | 163.59(0.26%) | 163.43-164.46 | Relative Oversold | 163.85(0.16%) | 161.02-166.16 | 29 | | 25 | Aug_14_2020 | -4.9%-4.5% | -0.3%,-0.2(-0.2) | -1.4%,-1.1(-0.4) | -0.8%,-0.6 | -1.5 | -0.12% | -0.4% | -2.4 | -2.4 | 2.2(1.37%,0.82%) | 1.8 | 6.4 | 163.17(-0.39%) | 163.16-164.15 | Growing Downtrend | 162.57(-0.37%) | 161.83-164.18 | 34 | | i | Date | To High-Low | ema20
Trend | ema10
Trend | ema5
Trend | Hourly
Trend | Last
Hour | EMA
Ratio | BBV | RV | RVT | VIXCD | Volume
millions | Close | 5 Day
Target | Trend
Narrative | 5 Day
Price Change | SRI | RSI |
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