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     Tue. Nov. 10, 2020

Trading Signals: TLT Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Wed. Jan. 20, 2021)

(iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF)

TLT latest price $155.2350 (-0.56%) ($154.7800 - $155.8100) on Tue. Nov. 10, 2020.


Trend Analysis and Forecast
 
Trend Pattern  Oversold
Trend Narrative  Oversold
Average Daily Price Swing  $1.93 (1.21% one month average)
Average Daily Percentage Swing  0.79% (three month average)
Weekly Trend Force  -0.3% (StdDev 0.79%)
Daily Moving Force  -1%
Rebound Strength  None(0%)
Trend   -0.02%
Latest Price  $155.2350(-0.56%)
Forecasted Low Price  153.37(-1.2%)
Forecasted High Price  155.55(0.2%)
Direction of Next Movement  Lower(-2.1%)
% Change Needed to Confirm Rebound  4.4% ((161.99))
% Change Needed for Trend Reversal  2.6%
Hourly Trend   -1.3% [$155.51(-2.09), $157.93(-1.49)]
Stocks Behave Similarly  Similar Stock List
Complacency  5
Intraday Reversal Probability  N/A.
Daily Trend  TLT declines -0.3% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend  TLT declines -0.1% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior  Rotation from growth to value for large cap. Broad based rally for small cap.
Correlated ETFs  Broad market will support TLT decline at-0.5% a week (84% probability)
  BND(91%)    LQD(76%)    BNDX(75%)    VCIT(71%)    TIP(65%)  
Factors Impacting TLT price  TLT will decline at least -0.6% in a week (66% probabilities).
  XLF(-53%)    IWN(-48%)    VYM(-46%)    SDY(-46%)    OIH(-45%)  
Trading Plan  Not Available
 
Valuation to SPY   -2.2
 
Relative Volatility   0.5 (options are expensive)
 
Market Trend Strength  -1.4% (StdDev 0.79%)
Hourly BBV   -1.6 ()
Intraday Trend   0%
  
 

  


Next Day Open Price  $155.08(-0.1%)
Resistance Level  $159.24
5 Day Moving Average  $158.65(-2.15%)
10 Day Moving Average  $158.64(-2.15%)
20 Day Moving Average  $159.24(-2.52%)
To recent high  -8.2%
To recent low  0%
Market Cap  $N/A
 
Option Sentiment  
 
 
 
 



$. Technical analysis works only if the market conditions in the future are not drastically different from the past. Always read market news to understand the causes of the price movement before making a trading decision. News

$. TLT price fluctuates within 1.21% (three month std-dev: 0.79%    one year average std_dev: 0%) daily (68% of days).
$. TLT price fluctuates within 0% weekly (one year average std_dev: %).

Analysis   News   Options   Weekly Chart   Daily Chart   2 Month Daily Chart   

  >  20201210

iDateema20(Trend)ema10(Trend) ema5(Trend) Slow Hourly
Trend
Fast Hourly
Trend
CloseActualPriceRangeBBVHourly
BBV
Daily
Moving
Force
Weekly
Trend
Force
Reversal
Force
TrendTrend
Pattern
Next
Direction
CRSIScaleRVVIXCDTrend-Narrative  NextDay
PriceTarget  
NextDayPriceRangeVolume
millions
To High-Low
1Nov_10_2020159.24 (-0%)158.64 (-0%)158.65 (-0.3%) 157.93 155.51(0%)155.24(-0.56%)154.78-155.81-1.8(-2.1)-1.6 -1%-0.3%0%-0.02% Oversold  Lower(-1%)5431.5-2.20.7Oversold 156.28(0.67%)155.15-156.5612.72   -8.2%-0
2Nov_9_2020159.58 (-0%)159.19 (0%)159.14 (-0.3%) 159.42 157.6(0%)156.11(-2.11%)154.63-156.15-1.9(-2)-1.2 -1%-0.2%0%0.02% Oversold  Range(-0.1%)6431.4-2.4-0.4Oversold 157.11(0.64%)156.11-157.3623.23   -7.7%-0
3Nov_6_2020159.82 (-0%)159.56 (0%)159.63 (0.2%) 159.88 160.36(0%)159.47(-1.18%)158.94-159.92-0.3(-0.2)-0.6 -0.2%0.1%0%0.04% N/A  Higher(0.5%)7461.3-1.41.9Uptrend Reversal 159.95(0.3%)159.55-160.2212.41   -6.7%-1.6% 
4Nov_5_2020159.85 (-0%)159.43 (-0%)159.25 (0.3%) 159.68 161.24(0%)161.37(0.18%)160.58-161.740.8(1)0.9 0.8%0.2%0%-0.02% Confirmed Rebound  Higher(1%)6481.3-0.90.9Rebound 160.74(-0.39%)161.37-160.4618.53   -5.6%-2.8% 
5Nov_4_2020159.78 (-0%)158.99 (-0%)158.8 (0%) 158.87 159.4(0%)161.08(2.17%)160.54-162.170.8(0.9)1.1 0.5%0.1%0%-0.08% Confirmed Rebound  Higher(0.6%)5461.200.5After Bottom 160.53(-0.34%)160.41-160.6421.6   -6.1%-2.6% 
 
6Nov_3_2020159.68 (-0%)158.74 (-0.2%)158.73 (-0.4%) 158.41 158.12(0%)157.66(-0.56%)157.04-157.98-1.3(-1.4)-2.2 -0.3%-0.1%0%-0.12% -1.2389296551724 Growing Downtrend  Range(-0.1%)4331.30-1.6Downtrend 157.36(-0.19%)157.09-158.0217.72   -8.1%-0.4
7Nov_2_2020159.83 (-0.2%)158.91 (-0.2%)159.31 (-0.1%) 159.21 158.34(0%)158.55(0.62%)158.33-159.19-0.8(-0.9)-1 -0.2%-0.1%0%-0.12% -0.70097810218978 Growing Downtrend  Range(-0.3%)4371.21-2.5Downtrend 158.28(-0.17%)158.07-158.7510.81   -7.6%-1% 
8Oct_30_2020159.89 (-0.2%)159.12 (-0.2%)159.49 (-0.1%) 159.65 158.71(0%)157.58(-0.98%)157.57-159.35-1.4(-1.6)-1.3 -0.5%-0.2%0%-0.12% -1.3538911564626 Growing Downtrend  Range(-0.2%)4401.31.1-2.2Downtrend 157.34(-0.15%)157.07-157.9813.07   -8.2%-0.4
9Oct_29_2020160.15 (-0.2%)159.5 (-0.2%)159.58 (0.3%) 160.02 160.08(0%)159.15(-0.97%)158.47-160.83-0.6(-0.7)-0.4 %-0.1%0%-0.12% -0.44717105263158 Growing Downtrend Downtrend Pop Higher(0.4%)4471.40.9-2.4Downtrend 158.9(-0.16%)158.7-159.3411.91   -7.2%-1.4% 
10Oct_28_2020160.35 (-0.2%)159.75 (-0.2%)159.14 (0.3%) 159.61 160.6(0%)160.71(0.09%)160.2-161.460.3(0.2)3.2 0.4%-0.1%0%-0.12% Uptrend Reversal  Range(0.3%)4521.51.7-2.4Downtrend 160.29(-0.26%)160.14-160.6311.76   -6.3%-2.4% 
 
11Oct_27_2020160.46 (-0.2%)159.86 (-0.2%)158.75 (0.2%) 158.76 159.96(0%)160.56(0.68%)159.9-160.70.1(0.1)1.8 0.5%-0.1%0%-0.14% Uptrend Reversal  Higher(0.4%)4561.70.3-0.6Downtrend 160.03(-0.33%)159.82-160.516.05   -6.4%-2.3% 
12Oct_26_2020160.65 (-0.2%)159.95 (-0.2%)158.49 (-0.2%) 158.35 158.62(0%)159.47(0.93%)159.01-160.02-0.5(-0.6)0 0.3%-0.1%0%-0.14% Uptrend Reversal  Range(0.2%)4461.8-0.1-0.2Growing Downtrend 158.96(-0.32%)158.56-159.677.23   -7.1%-1.6% 
13Oct_23_2020160.89 (-0.2%)160.06 (-0%)158.76 (-0.4%) 158.33 157.56(0%)158(0.65%)156.75-158.21-1.2(-1.3)-2.1 -0.4%-0.2%0%-0.12% Downtrend Pop  Lower(-0.6%)4452-1.10.8Downtrend 157.46(-0.34%)157.03-158.498.83   -7.9%-0.6
14Oct_22_2020161.25 (-0.2%)160.3 (-0%)159.44 (-0.6%) 159.06 158.09(0%)156.98(-1.1%)156.97-158.63-1.8(-1.9)-4.1 -0.6%-0.2%0%-0.1% -1.8714125560538 Growing Downtrend  Range(-0.3%)5292-1.30.6Oversold 158.11(0.72%)156.55-158.512.16   -8.5%-0
15Oct_21_2020161.66 (-0.2%)160.66 (-0%)160.42 (-0.4%) 160.1 159.09(0%)158.73(-0.35%)158.37-159.37-1.3(-1.4)-2.4 -0.5%-0.1%0%-0.06% -1.3686009661836 Growing Downtrend  Lower(-0.4%)5311.9-10.1Downtrend 158.52(-0.13%)158.22-159.2410.45   -7.5%-0
 
16Oct_20_2020161.95 (-0%)160.75 (-0%)161.1 (-0.3%) 160.94 160.02(0%)159.28(-0.95%)158.95-160.01-1.3(-1.3)-2.7 -0.5%-0.1%0%-0.06% N/A  Range(-0.1%)5331.8-10.2Downtrend 159.15(-0.08%)158.89-159.7711.19   -7.2%-0
17Oct_19_2020162.2 (-0%)160.88 (-0%)161.59 (0%) 161.65 161.12(0%)160.8(-0.4%)160.05-160.98-0.7(-0.7)-0.6 -0.3%0%0%-0.06% N/A  Range(-0.1%)5321.8-0.61.2Rebound 161.49(0.43%)160.42-161.959.29   -6.3%-1% 
18Oct_16_2020162.38 (-0%)160.77 (-0.2%)161.55 (0.2%) 161.89 161.86(0%)161.44(-0.27%)161.1-162.32-0.4(-0.5)-0.6 %-0.1%0%-0.1% -0.37118125 Growing Downtrend Downtrend Pop Range(0%)5341.8-1.10.9Downtrend 161.08(-0.22%)160.87-161.588.86   -5.9%-1.4% 
19Oct_15_2020162.49 (-0%)160.87 (-0.2%)161.28 (0.2%) 161.62 162.19(0%)161.87(-0.14%)161.64-163.19-0.2(-0.3)2.3 0.2%-0.1%0%-0.14% Uptrend Reversal Downtrend Pop Range(0.2%)5341.8-1.10.7Downtrend Consolidation 161.58(-0.18%)162.06-161.429.46   -5.7%-1.6% 
20Oct_14_2020162.6 (-0.2%)160.98 (-0.2%)160.93 (0.4%) 161.04 161.93(0%)162.11(0.22%)161.97-162.75-0.3(-0.3)1.7 0.4%-0%0%-0.18% Uptrend Reversal  Higher(0.4%)4341.8-1.20.9Downtrend Consolidation 161.75(-0.22%)162.4-161.536.95   -5.5%-1.8% 
 
21Oct_13_2020162.67 (-0.2%)161.07 (-0.2%)160.36 (0.2%) 160.49 161.06(0%)161.76(0.74%)161.18-161.83-0.4(-0.5)2.2 0.4%-0.1%0%-0.22% Confirmed Rebound  Range(0.3%)3361.8-1.50.9Downtrend 160.98(-0.48%)160.6-161.917.91   -5.7%-1.6% 
22Oct_12_2020162.78 (-0.2%)161.33 (-0.2%)160.09 (0.1%) 159.95 160.15(0%)160.57(0.29%)160.11-160.68-1(-1.1)2.9 0.1%-0.2%0%-0.24% Downtrend Consolidation  Range(-0.1%)2321.8-21.3After Bottom 160.36(-0.13%)158.68-161.743.96   -6.4%-0.8% 
23Oct_9_2020162.99 (-0.2%)161.72 (-0.4%)159.89 (-0.3%) 159.88 159.93(0%)160.1(-0.02%)158.81-160.27-1.3(-1.5)-0.8 %-0.3%0%-0.24% -1.2165802083334 Growing Downtrend  Range(-0.3%)2291.8-21.1Growing Downtrend 159.35(-0.47%)158.69-160.578.44   -6.7%-0.5
24Oct_8_2020163.21 (-0.2%)162.21 (-0.2%)160.42 (-0.4%) 159.9 159.75(0%)160.14(0.55%)159.66-160.25-1.4(-1.7)-2 -0.2%-0.3%0%-0.22% -1.5242111111111 Growing Downtrend  Lower(-0.5%)2351.6-21.1Relative Oversold 160.17(0.02%)158.42-161.68.51   -6.7%-0.6
25Oct_7_2020163.43 (-0.2%)162.7 (-0.2%)161.06 (-0.5%) 160.6 159.84(0%)159.26(-0.71%)158.86-160.42-2.2(-2.5)-4.5 -0.3%-0.3%0.4%-0.18% Oversold  Range(0.2%)3281.5-2.10.7Growing Downtrend 158.86(-0.25%)158.38-159.949.43   -7.2%-0
iDateema20(Trend)ema10(Trend) ema5(Trend) Slow Hourly
Trend
Fast Hourly
Trend
CloseActualPriceRangeBBVHourly
BBV
Daily
Moving
Force
Weekly
Trend
Force
Reversal
Force
TrendTrend
Pattern
Next
Direction
CRSIScaleRVVIXCDTrend-Narrative  NextDay
PriceTarget  
NextDayPriceRangeVolume
millions
To High-Low
Click to see actual return for next trading day.
 
 
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