Trading Signals: TLT Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ TLT: Intraday Forecast Similar Waves Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Wed. Aug. 5, 2020

Trading Signals: TLT Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Wed. Jan. 20, 2021)

(iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF)
TLT latest price $170.1550 (-0.83%) ($169.6900 - $170.5600) on Wed. Aug. 5, 2020.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Trend Pattern   Growing Uptrend
Trend Narrative   After Top
Average Daily Price Swing   $1.91 (1.13% one month average)
Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.86% (three month average)
Weekly Trend Force   0.1% (StdDev 0.86%)
Daily Moving Force   %
Correction Force   Weak (0%)
Trend   0.2%
Latest Price   $170.1550(-0.83%)
Forecasted Low Price   169.81(-0.2%)
Forecasted High Price   171.35(0.7%)
Direction of Next Movement   Higher(0.6%)
% Change Needed to Confirm Correction   0.7% (169.04)
% Change Needed for Trend Reversal   0.3%
Hourly Trend 0.1% [$170.75(0.21), $170.52(-0.23)]
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Complacency   8
Intraday Reversal Probability   N/A.
Weekly Trend   TLT advances 1% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Broad based rally for large cap. Broad based rally for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support TLT advance at 0.1% a week (78% probability)
BND(83%)    BNDX(73%)    TIP(62%)    LQD(53%)    SHY(46%)
Factors Impacting TLT price   TLT will advance at least -0% in a week (68% probabilities).
XLF(-56%)    IWN(-54%)    SDY(-53%)    VYM(-52%)    JETS(-52%)
Trading Plan   Not Available

Valuation to SPY -1.6

Relative Volatility 0.1 (options are faily valued)

Market Trend Strength   0.2% (StdDev 0.86%)
Hourly BBV -0.4 ()
Intraday Trend 0%

Next Day Open Price   $170.29(0.08%)
Support Level   $168.72
5 Day Moving Average   $170.76(-0.35%)
10 Day Moving Average   $170.29(-0.08%)
20 Day Moving Average   $168.72(0.85%)
To recent high   -0.8%
To recent low   9%
Market Cap   $N/A

Option Sentiment

$. Technical analysis works only if the market conditions in the future are not drastically different from the past. Always read market news to understand the causes of the price movement before making a trading decision. News

$. TLT price fluctuates within 1.13% (three month std-dev: 0.86% one year average std_dev: 0%) daily (68% of days).
$. TLT price fluctuates within 0% weekly (one year average std_dev: %).

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20200905

i	Date	ema20(Trend)	ema10(Trend)	ema5(Trend)	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	ActualPriceRange	BBV	Hourly BBV	Daily Moving Force	Weekly Trend Force	Reversal Force	Trend	Trend Pattern	Next Direction	C	RSI	Scale	RV	VIXCD	Trend-Narrative	NextDay PriceTarget	NextDayPriceRange	Volume millions	To High-Low
1	Aug_5_2020	168.72 (0.2%)	170.29 (0.2%)	170.76 (0%)	170.52	170.75(0%)	170.16(-0.83%)	169.69-170.56	0.7(0.8)	-0.4	%	0.1%	0%	0.2%	Growing Uptrend	Higher(0.5%)	8	66	1.3	-1.6	1.6	After Top	170.57(0.24%)	169.29-171.6	6.95	-0.8%-9%
2	Aug_4_2020	168.46 (0.2%)	170.08 (0.2%)	170.72 (0.2%)	170.75	170.54(0%)	171.58(0.95%)	170.72-171.58	1.4(1.6)	2.2	0.2%	0.2%	0%	0.22%	Growing Uptrend	Range(0.4%)	8	77	1.4	-0.4	1.5	Uptrend	172.11(0.31%)	171.03-172.59	9.88	0%-9.9%
3	Aug_3_2020	168.14 (0.2%)	169.66 (0.2%)	170.46 (0.1%)	170.36	170.29(0%)	169.96(-0.61%)	168.97-169.99	0.7(0.9)	-0.1	-0.2%	0.2%	0%	0.2%	Confirmed Correction	Range(0.3%)	9	66	1.5	-1	1.6	Uptrend	170.64(0.4%)	169.69-171.04	9.07	-0.7%-8.9%
4	Jul_31_2020	167.8 (0.2%)	169.39 (0.2%)	170.29 (0.2%)	170.45	170.96(0%)	171.01(-0.07%)	169.94-171.46	1.3(1.5)	1.4	0.2%	0.2%	0%	0.2%	Growing Uptrend	Range(0.4%)	10	73	1.5	0.2	1.7	Uptrend	171.61(0.35%)	170.47-172.1	8.89	-0.1%-9.5%
5	Jul_30_2020	167.43 (0.2%)	168.97 (0.2%)	170.03 (0.2%)	170.08	170.44(0%)	171.13(0.69%)	170.75-171.26	1.6(1.7)	1.9	0.2%	0.2%	0%	0.2%	Growing Uptrend	Range(0.4%)	10	76	1.5	0.9	1.7	Uptrend	171.61(0.28%)	170.41-172.12	9.22	0%-9.6%

6	Jul_29_2020	167.04 (0.2%)	168.56 (0.2%)	169.76 (0.3%)	169.71	169.95(0%)	169.96(-0.19%)	168.98-170.39	1.2(1.4)	1.9	0.1%	0.2%	0%	0.18%	Growing Uptrend	Range(0.4%)	9	65	1.5	-0.2	1.9	Uptrend	170.5(0.32%)	169.47-170.94	6.73	-0.2%-8.9%
7	Jul_28_2020	166.74 (0.2%)	168.2 (0.2%)	169.33 (0.4%)	169.62	169.72(0%)	170.28(0.7%)	169.43-170.34	1.5(1.7)	2.1	0.2%	0.2%	0%	0.18%	Growing Uptrend	Range(0.4%)	9	76	1.5	0.9	1.8	Uptrend	170.76(0.28%)	169.63-171.25	8.4	0%-9.1%
8	Jul_27_2020	166.45 (0.2%)	167.87 (0.2%)	168.73 (0.2%)	169.08	169.46(0%)	169.09(-0.37%)	168.99-170.3	1.3(1.3)	0.6	0.1%	0.1%	0%	0.16%	Growing Uptrend	Range(0.4%)	9	69	1.4	-0.1	1.8	After Top	169.07(-0.01%)	167.59-170.29	6.15	-0.4%-8.3%
9	Jul_24_2020	166.24 (0.2%)	167.64 (0.2%)	168.34 (0.4%)	168.58	169.51(0%)	169.73(-0.01%)	168.87-169.92	1.7(1.9)	2.8	0.4%	0.2%	0%	0.18%	Growing Uptrend	Higher(0.6%)	9	78	1.3	0.4	1.5	Overbought	168.58(-0.68%)	167.23-170.59	7.52	-0.6%-8.7%
10	Jul_23_2020	165.92 (0.2%)	167.29 (0.2%)	167.74 (0.3%)	167.98	168.7(0%)	169.74(1.16%)	168.48-169.88	2(2.2)	4.2	0.5%	0.2%	0%	0.18%	Growing Uptrend	Higher(0.7%)	9	73	1.2	0	1.4	Overbought	168.33(-0.83%)	166.84-170.55	10.47	-0.6%-8.7%

11	Jul_22_2020	165.58 (0.2%)	167 (0.2%)	167.22 (0.2%)	167.33	167.64(0%)	167.8(0.3%)	167.69-168.46	1.2(1.4)	1.7	0.2%	0.2%	0%	0.18%	Growing Uptrend	Range(0.4%)	9	70	1.1	-1.3	1.7	Uptrend	168.2(0.24%)	167.43-168.54	6.59	-1.7%-7.5%
12	Jul_21_2020	165.27 (0.2%)	166.69 (0.2%)	166.92 (0%)	167.16	167.26(0%)	167.29(0.1%)	167.08-167.72	1(1.1)	-0.4	0.1%	0.1%	0%	0.18%	Growing Uptrend	Range(0.2%)	9	65	1.2	-1.2	1.7	Uptrend	167.69(0.24%)	166.93-168.01	8.45	-2.2%-7.2%
13	Jul_20_2020	165.02 (0.2%)	166.49 (0.2%)	166.89 (0%)	166.91	167.01(0%)	167.13(0.22%)	166.8-167.62	1(1.2)	0.2	%	0.2%	0%	0.18%	Uptrend Consolidation	Range(0.2%)	9	60	1.2	-1.1	2.1	Growing Uptrend	167.65(0.31%)	166.76-167.86	6.91	-2.3%-7.1%
14	Jul_17_2020	164.79 (0.2%)	166.09 (0.2%)	166.84 (0.1%)	166.95	167.06(0%)	166.77(-0.21%)	166.47-167.4	0.9(1.1)	0.2	0.1%	0.2%	0%	0.16%	Growing Uptrend	Range(0.4%)	8	56	1.2	-0.7	2	Uptrend	167.12(0.21%)	166.45-167.41	7.95	-2.6%-6.8%
15	Jul_16_2020	164.56 (0.2%)	165.79 (0.2%)	166.75 (-0%)	166.86	166.8(0%)	167.12(0.49%)	167.04-167.77	1.2(1.4)	0.3	%	0.2%	0%	0.16%	Growing Uptrend	Range(0.2%)	7	64	1.2	-0.4	1.8	Uptrend	167.44(0.19%)	166.66-167.77	9.11	-2.3%-7.1%

16	Jul_15_2020	164.24 (0.2%)	165.42 (0.2%)	166.76 (0.2%)	166.73	166.84(0%)	166.31(-0.48%)	165.83-166.95	0.9(1.1)	-0.5	%	0.2%	0%	0.16%	Growing Uptrend	Range(0.4%)	7	63	1.2	-0.9	1.8	After Top	166.41(0.06%)	165.3-167.32	7.84	-2.8%-6.5%
17	Jul_14_2020	163.93 (0.2%)	165.19 (0.2%)	166.41 (0.2%)	166.79	166.92(0%)	167.12(0.13%)	166.98-168.14	1.4(1.6)	1.4	0.3%	0.2%	0%	0.18%	Growing Uptrend	Range(0.5%)	7	72	1.2	-0.1	1.3	The Top	166.95(-0.1%)	165.4-168.21	11.32	-2.3%-7.1%
18	Jul_13_2020	163.69 (0.2%)	164.93 (0.2%)	166.02 (0.5%)	166.08	166.62(0%)	166.89(0.35%)	165.23-166.96	1.6(1.7)	2.8	0.2%	0.1%	0%	0.18%	Growing Uptrend	Range(0.3%)	7	65	1.2	0.6	1	Uptrend	167.26(0.22%)	166.31-167.67	8.03	-2.5%-6.9%
19	Jul_10_2020	163.45 (0.2%)	164.73 (0.2%)	165.22 (0.3%)	165.52	166.71(0%)	166.32(-0.5%)	166.18-168.21	1.5(1.6)	0.9	0.6%	0.1%	0%	0.18%	Uptrend Dip	Higher(1%)	7	64	1.1	-0.1	1.3	Uptrend	166.67(0.21%)	165.78-167.04	8.48	-2.8%-6.5%
20	Jul_9_2020	163.3 (0.2%)	164.44 (0.2%)	164.67 (0.5%)	164.42	165.47(0%)	167.16(1.58%)	164.6-167.45	2.2(2.4)	2.6	0.6%	0.2%	-0.4%	0.16%	Overbought	Lower(-0.6%)	7	68	1	0.7	1	Uptrend	167.41(0.15%)	166.45-167.83	13.37	-2.3%-7.1%

21	Jul_8_2020	162.98 (0.2%)	164.01 (0.2%)	163.92 (0.1%)	163.64	164.37(0%)	164.56(-0.39%)	163.83-164.92	0.9(1.1)	1.6	0.4%	0.2%	0%	0.14%	Growing Uptrend	Higher(0.8%)	6	67	0.9	-0.2	1.1	Uptrend	164.79(0.14%)	164.3-165	7.25	-3.8%-5.4%
22	Jul_7_2020	162.69 (0.2%)	163.7 (0.2%)	163.8 (0.1%)	163.29	163.39(0%)	165.2(1.42%)	163.2-165.34	1.3(1.5)	2	0.2%	0.2%	0%	0.14%	Growing Uptrend	Range(0.4%)	6	72	1	0.3	1	Uptrend	165.43(0.14%)	164.77-165.71	13.08	-3.5%-5.8%
23	Jul_6_2020	162.27 (0.2%)	163.42 (0.2%)	163.7 (-0.3%)	163.27	162.92(0%)	162.88(-0.42%)	161.75-163.02	0.2(0.3)	-1.2	-0.2%	0.1%	0%	0.12%	Downtrend Reversal	Range(0.1%)	6	52	1.3	-0.7	1.1	Uptrend	163.21(0.2%)	162.78-163.39	7.97	-4.8%-4.3%
24	Jul_2_2020	161.96 (0.2%)	163.38 (0.2%)	164.16 (0%)	163.83	163.2(0%)	163.58(0.11%)	162.24-163.73	0.6(0.6)	0	-0.2%	0.1%	0%	0.14%	Uptrend Consolidation	Range(-0.1%)	7	55	1.6	0.2	1.2	Uptrend	164.02(0.27%)	163.26-164.35	7.6	-4.4%-4.8%
25	Jul_1_2020	161.66 (0%)	163.26 (0.2%)	164.15 (0.1%)	164.26	163.63(0%)	163.4(-0.32%)	162.15-163.56	0.6(0.7)	-1.1	-0.3%	0.1%	0%	0.12%	Uptrend Consolidation	Range(-0%)	7	47	1.6	0.4	0.9	Uptrend	163.76(0.22%)	163.08-164.04	13.18	-4.5%-4.7%
i	Date	ema20(Trend)	ema10(Trend)	ema5(Trend)	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	ActualPriceRange	BBV	Hourly BBV	Daily Moving Force	Weekly Trend Force	Reversal Force	Trend	Trend Pattern	Next Direction	C	RSI	Scale	RV	VIXCD	Trend-Narrative	NextDay PriceTarget	NextDayPriceRange	Volume millions	To High-Low

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