Trading Signals: TLT Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Wed. Mar. 25, 2020

Trading Signals: TLT Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Apr. 19, 2024)

(iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF)
TLT latest price $162.1000 (-0.41%) ($161.6200 - $166.6800) on Wed. Mar. 25, 2020.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   2.22% (three month average)
RSI   53
Latest Price   $162.1000(-0.41%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   TLT advances 2.2% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   TLT declines -0.8% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Value stock rally for large cap. Value stock rally for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support TLT advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
TIP(68%)    VCIT(64%)    BND(62%)    LQD(45%)    BNDX(42%)
Factors Impacting TLT price   TLT will decline at least -1.11% in a week (0% probabilities).
TBT(-98%)    XLF(-25%)    VYM(-23%)    SDY(-22%)    XOP(-21%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.11% (StdDev 2.22%)
Hourly BBV -0.7 ()
Intraday Trend 0%

Inflection Point   Yes
5 Day Moving Average   $159.72(1.49%)
10 Day Moving Average   $157.34(3.03%)
20 Day Moving Average   $158.01(2.59%)
To recent high   -5.2%
To recent low   19.6%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. TLT price fluctuates within 3.98% (three month std-dev: 2.22%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 5 Average positive next day return: 1.31%(80%) Average negative next day return: -0.72%(20%) Sample size 5 Average positive next three day return: 3.83%(100%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 5 Average positive next weekly return: 4.33%(100%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20200425

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Mar_25_2020	144.02	158.01	157.34	159.72	161.68	163.56	162.1(-0.41%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	63	120	80	12	10.75	62%	0.18	40.2	2.22%	-0.7	0.7	53	-0.7
2	Mar_24_2020	143.76	157.45	156.74	156.23	157.78	163.25	162.76(-1.95%)	UD	OpenLong	75	1	103	270	136	4	11.94	62%	0.17	28.3	2.24%	0.9	0.8	56	-0.6
3	Mar_23_2020	143.51	156.87	156.6	154.33	154.21	159.79	165.99(4.13%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.8	143	250	186	15	19.96	62%	0.19	24.1	2.22%	1.7	1.4	56	-0.8
4	Mar_20_2020	143.24	156.06	156.85	153.84	153.13	152.31	159.4(7.44%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.9	60	-50	82	-8	20.81	60%	0.13	26.8	2.16%	1.4	0.5	55	-1.5
5	Mar_19_2020	143.05	155.51	157.41	152.76	154.64	148.16	148.36(2.57%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-173	-260	-192	-116	21.17	56%	0.06	24.3	1.95%	-0.5	-1.1	47	-1.7

6	Mar_18_2020	142.96	155.52	158.53	154.67	156.4	154.09	144.64(-5.62%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.5	-207	-70	-241	-104	40.81	54%	0.06	34.5	1.93%	-1.6	-1.6	48	-2.4
7	Mar_17_2020	142.88	155.68	159.74	157.07	159.19	161.12	153.25(-6.3%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.6	54	130	55	49	14.19	59%	0.11	46.9	1.79%	-1.3	-0.4	55	-2.2
8	Mar_16_2020	142.72	155.35	160.14	158.96	159.75	158.35	163.55(6.19%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.7	7	-50	-12	64	29.66	65%	0.19	55	1.58%	1.6	1.2	63	-2.7
9	Mar_13_2020	142.45	154.41	159.2	160.44	161.34	157.4	154.01(-2.48%)	CR	SmallShort	-20	-0.9	-203	-150	-272	4	19.8	62%	0.11	61.6	1.39%	-1.4	-0.1	57	-1.9
10	Mar_12_2020	142.3	153.96	159.46	162.88	166.56	161.24	157.92(0.82%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.7	-142	-160	-220	92	24.35	63%	0.13	70	1.35%	-1.5	0.6	64	-2.6

11	Mar_11_2020	142.11	153.26	158.94	162.99	168.56	165.94	156.64(-3.71%)	CR	SmallShort	-20	-0.9	-123	-10	-203	117	26.43	63%	0.13	69.8	1.37%	-1.7	0.5	64	-2.2
12	Mar_10_2020	141.93	152.66	158.44	162.59	167.28	172.37	162.67(-4.86%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	170	300	134	279	32.43	68%	0.18	67.6	1.28%	-1.5	1.3	74	-2
13	Mar_9_2020	141.68	151.74	157.3	161.28	164.1	171.17	170.98(2.89%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1.3	570	350	593	501	37.02	77%	0.23	64.7	1.09%	0.9	2.6	89	-2.7
14	Mar_6_2020	141.35	150.34	155.13	157.87	159.06	162.12	166.18(4.84%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1.4	354	160	349	370	70.09	75%	0.2	62.9	1.04%	1.5	2.7	88	-2.3
15	Mar_5_2020	141.07	149.11	153.24	155.76	156.36	157.03	158.5(2.51%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.6	147	40	100	286	14.59	71%	0.13	63.8	0.87%	1.3	1.9	85	-2.1

16	Mar_4_2020	140.88	148.27	152.06	154.42	155.68	156.04	154.62(-0.95%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	123	40	73	274	23.09	66%	0.11	58.1	0.82%	-1	1.4	82	-1.6
17	Mar_3_2020	140.72	147.7	151.18	153.62	154.61	155.69	156.1(1.4%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.6	130	70	83	269	35.5	70%	0.11	56.2	0.82%	0.6	1.9	84	-2.3
18	Mar_2_2020	140.57	147.13	150.11	152.63	153.4	155.32	153.95(-1.07%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	188	100	159	275	22.84	66%	0.1	57.6	0.84%	0.3	1.8	78	-1.9
19	Feb_28_2020	140.43	146.69	149.17	151.89	152.29	153.51	155.61(2.5%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1.1	207	60	186	270	34	68%	0.1	63.2	0.85%	1.6	2.5	86	-2.8
20	Feb_27_2020	140.29	146.1	147.98	150.37	151.16	151.43	151.82(0.8%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.5	111	30	79	206	26.28	65%	0.06	69.6	0.8%	0.5	2	84	-3.1

21	Feb_26_2020	140.21	145.71	147.13	149.35	150.11	151.07	150.61(-0.35%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.5	96	60	67	181	15.5	64%	0.04	76.2	0.8%	0	2	84	-2.4
22	Feb_25_2020	140.16	145.32	146.46	148.33	149.08	150.9	151.15(0.58%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1.2	185	100	179	203	20.13	64%	0.05	79.5	0.8%	1	2.6	76	-3.2
23	Feb_24_2020	140.09	144.94	145.79	147.19	147.59	149.24	150.28(1.53%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.7	178	90	181	170	15.08	64%	0.03	97.6	0.8%	1.1	2.9	62	-3.1
24	Feb_21_2020	140.05	144.51	145.16	146.05	146.41	147.37	148.01(0.91%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.4	135	50	141	117	13.07	62%	0.03	111	0.78%	1.2	2.4	55	-0.8
25	Feb_20_2020	140.01	144.16	144.63	145.23	145.54	145.91	146.68(0.8%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	58	20	60	53	7.07	62%		103.1	0.77%	1.6	1.8	57	0.4
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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