| TIP latest price $125.9700 (0.17%) ($125.8750 - $126.0500) on Wed. Nov. 25, 2020. |
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| Trend Analysis and Forecast |
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Trend Pattern | N/A |
Trend Narrative | Uptrend Reversal |
Average Daily Price Swing | $0.35 (0.28% one month average) |
Average Daily Percentage Swing | 0.19% (three month average) |
Weekly Trend Force | 0.1% (StdDev 0.19%) |
Daily Moving Force | 0.1% |
Correction Force | Weak (0%) |
Trend | 0.04% |
Latest Price | $125.9700(0.17%) |
Forecasted Low Price | 125.97(0%) |
Forecasted High Price | 126.22(0.2%) |
Direction of Next Movement | Higher(0.2%) |
% Change Needed to Confirm Correction | 0.3% (125.55) |
% Change Needed for Trend Reversal | 0.4% |
Hourly Trend | 0.1% [$125.85(0.12), $125.79(0.11)] |
Stocks Behave Similarly | Similar Stock List |
Complacency | 9 |
Intraday Reversal Probability | There's a high probability the price will reverse sharply to downside intraday or next day.. |
Daily Trend | TIP advances 0.1% a day on average for past five trading days. |
Weekly Trend | TIP advances 0.3% a week on average for past two weeks. |
Market Behavior | Value stocks sell-off for large cap. Value stock sell-off for small cap. |
Correlated ETFs | Broad market will support TIP advance at 0% a week (75% probability) BND(68%) TLT(66%) VCIT(65%) LQD(62%) VCSH(55%) |
Factors Impacting TIP price | TIP will advance at least -0% in a week (40% probabilities). TBT(-65%) XLF(-23%) UNG(-23%) BJK(-21%) OIH(-17%) |
Explanation | The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market. |
Trading Plan | Buy the reversal |
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Valuation to SPY | -1 |
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Relative Volatility | -0.4 (options are faily valued) |
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Market Trend Strength | 0.1% (StdDev 0.19%) |
Hourly BBV | 2.8 () |
Intraday Trend | 0% |
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