Trading Signals: TBT Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Thu. Feb. 25, 2021

Trading Signals: TBT Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Nov. 10, 2014 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(ProShares UltraShort 20+ Year Treasury)
TBT latest price $21.0200 (3.19%) ($20.6480 - $21.7300) on Thu. Feb. 25, 2021.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.43% (three month average)
RSI   83
Latest Price   $21.0200(3.19%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   TBT advances 1.8% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   TBT advances 5.4% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Broad based sell-off for large cap. Broad based sell-off for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support TBT advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
UUP(19%)    XLE(17%)    USO(15%)    XOP(15%)    OIH(14%)
Factors Impacting TBT price   TBT will decline at least -0.715% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-99%)    VCIT(-81%)    TIP(-70%)    BND(-58%)    LQD(-52%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.715% (StdDev 1.43%)
Hourly BBV 1.7 ()
Intraday Trend 1.2%

5 Day Moving Average   $20.25(3.8%)
10 Day Moving Average   $19.63(7.08%)
20 Day Moving Average   $18.85(11.51%)
To recent high   0%
To recent low   30.8%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. TBT price fluctuates within 5.31% (three month std-dev: 1.43%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 50 Average positive next day return: 2.31%(46%) Average negative next day return: -2.59%(54%) Sample size 50 Average positive next three day return: 3.24%(48%) Average negative next three day return: -4.42%(52%) Sample size 50 Average positive next weekly return: 4.55%(44%) Average negative next weekly return: -4.65%(56%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20210325

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Feb_25_2021	17.1	18.85	19.63	20.25	20.41	20.81	21.02(3.19%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.8	97	160	48	245	18.6	73%	0.23	75.5	1.43%	1.7	2.2	83	0.2
2	Feb_24_2021	17.06	18.65	19.34	19.89	20.06	20.36	20.37(1.24%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.5	81	130	39	208	6.1	72%	0.29	69.6	1.38%	0.9	1.9	81	1.4
3	Feb_23_2021	17.01	18.49	19.13	19.62	19.73	20.02	20.12(0.45%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.6	66	120	27	184	4.67	72%	0.24	63.9	1.39%	1.3	1.9	82	1.3
4	Feb_22_2021	16.97	18.35	18.95	19.46	19.47	19.76	20.03(1.68%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.7	72	110	34	186	6.23	72%	0.24	61	1.4%	1.8	2.1	83	1.1
5	Feb_19_2021	16.93	18.22	18.78	19.2	19.3	19.45	19.7(2.55%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.7	71	70	36	176	4.65	68%	0.24	57.7	1.41%	1.5	2.1	81	1.5

6	Feb_18_2021	16.89	18.12	18.63	18.92	19.06	19.17	19.21(0.84%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.5	58	60	24	158	5.13	66%	0.24	56	1.39%	0.5	1.7	80	1.3
7	Feb_17_2021	16.85	18.03	18.52	18.69	18.79	19.16	19.05(-1.24%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.6	55	150	23	150	3.94	66%	0.24	47.2	1.4%	0.5	1.8	81	1.4
8	Feb_16_2021	16.81	17.95	18.39	18.55	18.57	18.95	19.29(2.93%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1.4	67	150	39	151	4.26	66%	0.3	40.9	1.4%	1.4	2.5	83	1.2
9	Feb_12_2021	16.76	17.87	18.21	18.36	18.31	18.43	18.74(2.46%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.9	45	40	15	133	2.32	58%	0.24	37.4	1.34%	1.7	2	80	1.5
10	Feb_11_2021	16.72	17.82	18.1	18.31	18.24	18.18	18.29(1.05%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	28	-30	-1	116	1.83	55%	0.18	40.6	1.39%	1.3	1.2	61	1.3

11	Feb_10_2021	16.69	17.77	18.01	18.31	18.28	18.2	18.1(-1.2%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.5	24	-30	-4	108	1.81	55%	0.12	42.1	1.38%	-1.4	0.9	56	1
12	Feb_9_2021	16.67	17.76	17.93	18.3	18.3	18.31	18.32(-0.22%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	33	0	8	108	1.88	60%	0.18	59.1	1.38%	0.3	1.5	65	1.1
13	Feb_8_2021	16.64	17.74	17.82	18.19	18.24	18.37	18.36(-0.76%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.5	35	60	17	88	3.94	60%	0.18	72.6	1.47%	0.6	1.8	65	1.1
14	Feb_5_2021	16.61	17.7	17.71	18.03	18.11	18.29	18.5(1.59%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.5	33	80	23	61	4.21	62%	0.18	85.6	1.49%	2.1	2.5	64	1.1
15	Feb_4_2021	16.58	17.66	17.62	17.85	17.91	18.12	18.21(0.5%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.4	26	90	23	36	2.53	55%	0.12	108.2	1.48%	1.1	2.1	56	1.1

16	Feb_3_2021	16.56	17.62	17.57	17.68	17.77	17.92	18.12(1.97%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.9	22	70	23	20	3.38	55%	0.18	119.8	1.58%	1.6	2.2	62	0.7
17	Feb_2_2021	16.53	17.55	17.5	17.5	17.61	17.71	17.77(1.2%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.9	6	60	13	-14	1.41	53%	0.12	81.2	1.56%	1	0.8	46	-0.1
18	Feb_1_2021	16.51	17.49	17.48	17.4	17.45	17.62	17.56(-0.11%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.4	-2	80	9	-34	1.88	53%	0.18	57.8	1.57%	0	0.2	43	-1.3
19	Jan_29_2021	16.48	17.43	17.49	17.34	17.38	17.52	17.58(1.15%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.6	-6	60	7	-45	1.7	57%	0.12	49.1	1.58%	1.5	0.4	45	-2.7
20	Jan_28_2021	16.46	17.38	17.51	17.36	17.31	17.28	17.38(1.02%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0	-16	-20	-6	-46	2.18	57%	0.06	43.5	1.6%	1.2	0	44	-2.2

21	Jan_27_2021	16.45	17.34	17.52	17.44	17.38	17.25	17.21(-0.49%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-18	-60	-11	-38	3.52	57%	0.12	43.5	1.59%	-0.4	-0.3	49	-3
22	Jan_26_2021	16.43	17.31	17.59	17.51	17.54	17.34	17.29(0.23%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-9	-70	-10	-6	3.02	55%	0.06	43.3	1.6%	-0.8	-0	64	0.3
23	Jan_25_2021	16.42	17.28	17.65	17.56	17.6	17.52	17.25(-2.43%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.6	-4	-20	-14	26	2.75	55%	0.06	43.4	1.62%	-1.4	-0.1	66	0.8
24	Jan_22_2021	16.41	17.25	17.65	17.65	17.68	17.73	17.68(-0.56%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	18	20	0	70	1.59	59%	0.18	47.3	1.6%	-0.2	0.8	75	1.5
25	Jan_21_2021	16.38	17.19	17.71	17.67	17.67	17.69	17.78(1.43%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	30	10	6	101	2	59%		47.2	1.62%	1.6	1	75	1.8
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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