Trading Signals: SWK Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Fri. Nov. 20, 2020

Trading Signals: SWK Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Stanley Black & Decker Inc.)
SWK latest price $185.9600 (-0.29%) ($185.0000 - $187.2700) on Fri. Nov. 20, 2020.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.7% (three month average)
RSI   79
Latest Price   $185.9600(-0.29%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   SWK advances 0.5% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   SWK advances 3% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Broad based sell-off for large cap. Growth stock rally for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support SWK advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
PAVE(65%)    SDY(65%)    IVE(64%)    IWD(64%)    IYT(63%)
Factors Impacting SWK price   SWK will decline at least -0.85% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-31%)    UUP(-22%)    VXX(-14%)    TBT(-2%)    TLT(2%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.85% (StdDev 1.7%)
Hourly BBV 1.7 ()
Intraday Trend -0.2%

5 Day Moving Average   $185.46(0.27%)
10 Day Moving Average   $182.54(1.87%)
20 Day Moving Average   $177(5.06%)
To recent high   -0.3%
To recent low   20.4%
Market Cap   $28.546b

Stanley Black & Decker, Inc. engages in the provision of power and hand tools, and related accessories, products, services and equipment for oil & gas and infrastructure applications, commercial electronic security and monitoring systems, healthcare solutions, and mechanical access solutions. It operates through the following three segments: Tools and Storage, Industrial, and Security. The Tools and Storage segment comprises of the power tools and equipment, and hand tools, accessories, and storage businesses. The Industrial segment comprises of engineered fastening and infrastructure businesses. The Security segment includes the convergent security solutions and mechanical access solutions businesses. The company was founded by Frederick T. Stanley in 1843 and is headquartered in New Britain, CT.

$. SWK price fluctuates within 4.05% (three month std-dev: 1.7%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 13 Average positive next day return: 0.79%(31%) Average negative next day return: -1.52%(69%) Sample size 13 Average positive next three day return: 1.39%(23%) Average negative next three day return: -3.4%(77%) Sample size 13 Average positive next weekly return: 2.02%(31%) Average negative next weekly return: -4.37%(69%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20201220

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Nov_20_2020	163.37	177	182.54	185.46	185.06	185.54	185.96(-0.29%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	48	10	25	115	0.86	55%	0.29	37.8	1.7%	1.7	1.3	79	1.2
2	Nov_19_2020	162.89	176.54	181.82	184.55	184.73	185.08	186.51(1.22%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.3	69	20	46	139	0.69	55%	0.32	37	1.7%	1.4	1.5	82	1.3
3	Nov_18_2020	162.37	176.05	180.93	182.79	183.57	184.58	184.27(-0.14%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	64	50	38	142	0.72	55%	0.28	32.9	1.7%	0.4	1.3	82	1.3
4	Nov_17_2020	161.92	175.51	180.07	182.12	181.97	184.38	184.53(-0.81%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	106	90	81	180	0.79	55%	0.3	29.5	1.7%	0.7	1.5	84	1.6
5	Nov_16_2020	161.43	175.01	178.99	180.97	180.84	182.56	186.04(2.56%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.9	148	60	129	204	0.74	55%	0.31	24.3	1.7%	1.3	1.9	76	1.6

6	Nov_13_2020	160.93	174.33	177.27	179.24	179.18	179.57	181.4(2.07%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	35	10	2	132	0.63	53%	0.29	13.9	1.67%	1.2	1.3	59	1.5
7	Nov_12_2020	160.46	174.03	175.81	178.73	180	179.13	177.72(-1.75%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	38	-10	13	111	0.67	52%	0.29	11.7	1.67%	-1.9	0.7	48	1.1
8	Nov_11_2020	159.99	173.94	174.64	178.75	179.81	178.79	180.89(1.17%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.4	-22	-20	-51	65	1.34	53%	0.28	14.4	1.65%	0.9	1.4	51	1.8
9	Nov_10_2020	159.54	173.71	172.85	177.7	179.56	180.87	178.79(0.78%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	37	80	28	63	1.01	53%	0.28	14.1	1.65%	-0.2	1	54	1.7
10	Nov_9_2020	159.1	173.61	171.58	176.66	178.46	180.83	177.41(-0.81%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	123	120	138	77	1.72	53%	0.28	18.5	1.66%	-0.3	0.8	51	1.4

11	Nov_6_2020	158.66	173.6	171.04	174.92	175.81	178.25	178.85(0.57%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	105	110	123	49	0.79	53%	0.27	16.8	1.66%	0.5	1.1	55	1.7
12	Nov_5_2020	158.23	173.44	170.78	172.39	173.59	176.09	177.83(1.27%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	129	120	159	37	0.78	53%	0.27	13.6	1.67%	0.8	0.9	50	1
13	Nov_4_2020	157.8	173.21	170.64	169.9	170.23	173.37	175.6(1.13%)	RB	SmallLong	20	1.2	97	130	130	-2	1.36	53%	0.24	9.7	1.68%	1.2	0.5	47	0.8
14	Nov_3_2020	157.43	173.02	170.43	167.29	167.8	171.08	173.63(2.92%)	RB	SmallLong	20	1.3	122	150	170	-22	0.95	53%	0.25	3.6	1.68%	1.3	0.1	44	-0.6
15	Nov_2_2020	157.04	172.71	170.55	165.82	165.51	167.1	168.71(1.51%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.6	41	60	82	-82	1.16	51%	0.24	0	1.64%	1	-0.8	36	-1.4

16	Oct_30_2020	156.66	172.79	171.03	166.65	164.99	164.52	166.2(0.52%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-62	-50	-39	-131	1.47	51%	0.24	9.5	1.64%	0.8	-1.3	31	-1.7
17	Oct_29_2020	156.28	172.8	172.06	169.01	167.18	163.92	165.34(1.72%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-135	-170	-132	-144	1.41	51%	0.19	25.6	1.64%	0.4	-1.4	33	-1.4
18	Oct_28_2020	155.99	172.76	173.24	171.55	170.86	165.46	162.55(-2.26%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.6	-208	-230	-228	-149	1.45	49%	0.14	42.5	1.65%	-1.2	-1.8	35	-2.6
19	Oct_27_2020	155.77	172.86	174.82	173.92	174.17	170.44	166.31(-3.79%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.3	-196	-150	-224	-110	2.73	51%	0.12	59	1.67%	-1.1	-1.2	44	-0.5
20	Oct_26_2020	155.59	172.71	176.06	175.79	176.25	176.26	172.86(-2.89%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-47	10	-61	-3	1.01	56%	0.17	71	1.64%	-1.6	0	65	-0.4

21	Oct_23_2020	155.33	172.31	176.59	175.94	176.8	177.9	178.01(0%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.3	73	60	73	71	0.59	60%	0.23	73.6	1.59%	0.8	0.9	68	1.1
22	Oct_22_2020	154.97	171.44	176.44	175.61	175.85	176.24	178.01(2.08%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	31	20	18	69	1.1	60%	0.27	67.3	1.59%	1.6	1	74	1.2
23	Oct_21_2020	154.56	170.43	176.01	175.34	175.9	175.69	174.39(-0.75%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	22	0	1	83	0.75	57%	0.28	58.8	1.58%	-0.2	0.5	74	0.9
24	Oct_20_2020	154.13	169.59	175.83	175.97	175.97	175.46	175.7(1.22%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0	-1	-20	-34	99	0.85	57%	0.34	53.8	1.58%	-0.9	0.8	77	0.6
25	Oct_19_2020	153.61	168.7	175.04	176.42	176.54	176.1	173.59(-1.58%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.4	9	-20	-29	122	0.76	57%		50.2	1.58%	-2.1	0.6	76	0.7
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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