Trading Signals: STZ Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ STZ: Intraday Forecast Similar Waves Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Fri. Jan. 15, 2021

Trading Signals: STZ Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Dec. 1, 2014 - Fri. Jan. 15, 2021)

(Constellation Brands Inc. Class A)
STZ latest price $219.9900 (-1.75%) ($219.6300 - $222.9900) on Fri. Jan. 15, 2021.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Trend Pattern   Downtrend Reversal
Trend Narrative   Uptrend Consolidation
Average Daily Price Swing   $5.09 (2.31% one month average)
Average Daily Percentage Swing   2.05% (three month average)
Weekly Trend Force   0% (StdDev 2.05%)
Daily Moving Force   -0.9%
Trend   0.32%
Latest Price   $219.9900(-1.75%)
Forecasted Low Price   218.89(-0.5%)
Forecasted High Price   221.09(0.5%)
Direction of Next Movement   Range(-0.5%)
Hourly Trend -1% [$222.9(-2.34), $224.98(-1.63)]
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Complacency   4
Intraday Reversal Probability   There's a high probability the price will reverse sharply to upside intraday or next day..
Daily Trend   STZ declines -0.9% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   STZ advances 1.5% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Broad based sell-off for large cap. Broad based sell-off for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support STZ advance at -0% a week (78% probability)
XLI(80%)    IWD(78%)    IVE(77%)    SDY(77%)    VYM(76%)
Factors Impacting STZ price   STZ will decline at least -0.5% in a week (49% probabilities).
VIXM(-61%)    SHY(-51%)    VXX(-46%)    TLT(-41%)    BNDX(-39%)
Trading Plan   Not Available

Valuation to SPY -0.4

Relative Volatility 0.7 (options are expensive)

Market Trend Strength   -0.5% (StdDev 2.05%)
Hourly BBV -2.6 ()
Intraday Trend -1.3%

Next Day Open Price   $219.24(-0.34%)
5 Day Moving Average   $224.69(-2.09%)
10 Day Moving Average   $224.07(-1.82%)
20 Day Moving Average   $220.65(-0.3%)
To recent high   -4.4%
To recent low   33.3%
Market Cap   $41.935b

Option Sentiment

Earning Release Date   Wed. Jan. 13, 2021
Analyst One Year Target Price   $217.74 ($154.00 - $250.00)
  19 analysts (last updated on Wed. Nov. 25, 2020)
% to Average Target Price   -1.02%
% to Low Target Price   -30%
% to High Target Price   13.64%

Constellation Brands, Inc. engages in the production, marketing, and distribution of beer, wine, and spirits. It operates through the following segments: Beer, Wine and Spirits, and Corporate Operations and Other and Canopy. The Beer segment includes imported and craft beer brands. The Wine and Spirits segment sells wine brands across all categories-table wine, sparkling wine and dessert wine-and across all price points. The Corporate Operations and Other segment comprises of costs of executive management, corporate development, corporate finance, human resources, internal audit, investor relations, legal, public relations and information technology. The Canopy segment consists of canopy equity method Investments. The company was founded by Marvin Sands in 1945 and is headquartered in Victor, NY.

$. Technical analysis works only if the market conditions in the future are not drastically different from the past. Always read market news to understand the causes of the price movement before making a trading decision. News

$. STZ price fluctuates within 2.31% (three month std-dev: 2.05% one year average std_dev: 0%) daily (68% of days).
$. STZ price fluctuates within 0% weekly (one year average std_dev: %).

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart Hourly Chart 15 Minute Chart

i	Date	ema20(Trend)	ema10(Trend)	ema5(Trend)	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	ActualPriceRange	BBV	Hourly BBV	Daily Moving Force	Weekly Trend Force	Reversal Force	Trend	Trend Pattern	Next Direction	C	RSI	Scale	RV	VIXCD	Trend-Narrative	NextDay PriceTarget	NextDayPriceRange	Volume millions	To High-Low
1	Jan_15_2021	220.65 (0.7%)	(0.6%)	224.69 (-0.9%)	224.98	222.9(0%)	219.99(-1.75%)	219.63-222.99	-0.1(-0.1)	-2.6	-0.9%	0%	0%	0.32%	Downtrend Reversal	Range(-0%)	4	59	1.1	-0.4	2.5	Uptrend Consolidation	220.21(0.1%)	219.99-220.84	1.07	-4.4%-33.3%
2	Jan_14_2021	220.42 (0.9%)	224.07 (0.9%)	226.73 (-0.4%)	226.61	225.24(0%)	223.9(-0.3%)	222.65-226.54	0.6(0.7)	-2	-0.7%	0.2%	0%	0.44%	Confirmed Correction	Range(-0.4%)	4	66	1.1	0.4	2.5	Uptrend Consolidation	223.27(-0.28%)	222.6-225.29	1.11	-2.7%-35.7%
3	Jan_13_2021	219.86 (1%)	223.56 (1.2%)	227.72 (0.1%)	227.89	227.06(0%)	224.57(-1.54%)	224.15-228.63	0.8(0.9)	-1.9	-0.4%	0.3%	0%	0.52%	Correction	Range(0.7%)	5	70	1.2	0.3	1.9	After Top	225.69(0.5%)	222.18-228.56	1.54	-2.4%-36.1%
4	Jan_12_2021	219.02 (0.9%)	222.89 (1.2%)	227.55 (1%)	229.49	227.98(0%)	228.09(0.53%)	226.01-231	1.5(1.7)	1.5	0.2%	0.5%	0%	0.54%	Growing Uptrend	Range(0.7%)	6	73	1.2	1.5	2	Growing Uptrend	230.21(0.93%)	226.42-231.16	1.68	-0.9%-38.2%
5	Jan_11_2021	217.89 (0.7%)	221.92 (0.9%)	225.31 (0.9%)	228	228.73(0%)	226.88(-1.45%)	225.25-230.97	1.4(1.6)	1.2	0.1%	0.5%	0%	0.44%	Growing Uptrend	Higher(1.3%)	7	61	1.3	1.3	1.6	Growing Uptrend	228.65(0.78%)	225.28-229.5	1.1	-1.4%-37.5%

6	Jan_8_2021	216.91 (0.5%)	220.81 (0.7%)	223.29 (1%)	225.18	231(0%)	230.21(0.59%)	225.26-232.47	2(2.3)	1.9	1.4%	0.6%	0%	0.34%	Growing Uptrend	Higher(2%)	6	67	1.3	1.9	1	Overbought	225.19(-2.18%)	220.17-232.72	1.59	0%-39.5%
7	Jan_7_2021	215.83 (0.5%)	219.27 (0.5%)	221.05 (1%)	222.17	227.28(0%)	228.87(2.3%)	227.31-240.76	2.2(2.4)	1.2	2.4%	0.6%	-0.9%	0.26%	Growing Uptrend	Range(-0.9%)	6	70	1.2	2.2	0.6	Overbought	223.7(-2.26%)	219.1-230.59	2.52	0%-38.7%
8	Jan_6_2021	214.97 (0.5%)	217.62 (0.4%)	218.92 (0.6%)	218.63	219.36(0%)	223.72(3.15%)	219-226.32	1.7(1.9)	1.3	0.8%	0.4%	0%	0.18%	Growing Uptrend	Higher(1.2%)	5	69	1.1	2	-0.8	Uptrend	223.92(0.09%)	222.14-224.69	1.86	0%-35.6%
9	Jan_5_2021	214.35 (0.6%)	216.65 (0.4%)	217.67 (-0.2%)	217.64	217.05(0%)	216.89(0.07%)	215.62-217.8	0.6(0.6)	-0.2	-0.3%	-0%	0%	0.18%	Downtrend Reversal	Range(-0.3%)	5	70	1	0.5	-0.3	Uptrend Consolidation	216.24(-0.3%)	215.84-217.45	1.44	-1%-31.4%
10	Jan_4_2021	214.18 (0.7%)	216.8 (0.8%)	218.02 (0.1%)	218.13	217.89(0%)	216.74(-1.05%)	212.78-220.27	0.6(0.6)	-0.5	-0.1%	0%	0%	0.3%	Uptrend Consolidation	Range(0.4%)	5	72	1	1	-0.7	Uptrend Consolidation	216.15(-0.27%)	215.69-217.58	1.2	-1.1%-31.3%

11	Dec_31_2020	213.84 (0.8%)	216.9 (1%)	217.83 (0.3%)	218.24	218.22(0%)	219.05(0.38%)	217.27-219.34	1.2(1.3)	2.2	0.1%	0.2%	0%	0.36%	Growing Uptrend	Range(0.3%)	7	70	0.9	0.9	1.1	Uptrend	219.79(0.34%)	218.11-220.52	0.69	0%-32.7%
12	Dec_30_2020	213.15 (0.7%)	216.47 (1%)	217.12 (0.5%)	217.42	218.37(0%)	218.21(0.35%)	217.01-219.78	1(1.2)	1.2	0.2%	0.3%	0%	0.36%	Growing Uptrend	Range(0.5%)	8	64	1	1.1	0.9	Growing Uptrend	219.28(0.49%)	217.33-219.75	0.42	-0.2%-32.2%
13	Dec_29_2020	212.54 (0.6%)	215.89 (0.8%)	216.06 (0.3%)	216.59	218.26(0%)	217.44(-0.55%)	217.08-220	0.9(1.1)	0.4	0.6%	0.4%	0%	0.32%	Growing Uptrend	Higher(1.3%)	8	56	1	1	1.2	Growing Uptrend	218.35(0.42%)	216.65-218.79	0.69	-0.6%-31.8%
14	Dec_28_2020	211.96 (0.7%)	214.91 (0.7%)	215.47 (0%)	215.41	216.48(0%)	218.64(1.31%)	215.75-219.78	1.3(1.5)	1.9	0.5%	0.5%	0%	0.28%	Growing Uptrend	Range(1%)	7	59	1	1.3	0.8	Growing Uptrend	219.34(0.32%)	217.49-219.79	0.75	-0%-32.5%
15	Dec_24_2020	211.27 (0.7%)	213.63 (0.5%)	215.48 (-0.2%)	214.47	214.92(0%)	215.81(0.15%)	213.86-216.1	0.9(1)	0.5	%	0.3%	0%	0.24%	Growing Uptrend	Range(0.3%)	6	52	1	1.2	1	Uptrend	216.37(0.26%)	215.02-216.94	0.27	-1.3%-30.8%

16	Dec_23_2020	210.72 (0.7%)	212.81 (0.5%)	215.87 (0.1%)	215.19	214.33(0%)	215.48(1.19%)	212.89-216.5	0.9(1.1)	-0.4	%	0.3%	0%	0.24%	Growing Uptrend	Range(0.3%)	5	58	1	1.5	1	Uptrend	216.04(0.26%)	214.68-216.62	0.61	-1.5%-30.6%
17	Dec_22_2020	210.32 (0.8%)	212.19 (0.6%)	215.74 (0.1%)	215.71	214.02(0%)	212.95(-0.7%)	212-215.48	0.6(0.6)	-1.4	-0.5%	0.1%	0%	0.28%	Downtrend Reversal	Range(-0%)	5	62	1	0.9	1.2	Uptrend	213.57(0.29%)	212.4-214.05	0.84	-2.6%-29.1%
18	Dec_21_2020	209.78 (0.7%)	212.18 (0.7%)	215.6 (0.7%)	215.76	216.04(0%)	214.46(-1.93%)	212.76-215.61	0.9(1)	0.1	-0.1%	0.2%	0%	0.32%	Uptrend Consolidation	Higher(1.1%)	6	63	1.1	1.3	0.1	Uptrend	215.38(0.43%)	213.62-216.13	0.8	-1.9%-30%
19	Dec_18_2020	209.1 (0.5%)	211.91 (0.6%)	214.11 (1.3%)	214.89	217.39(0%)	218.68(0.4%)	214.77-219.56	1.8(1.9)	4.9	1.1%	0.3%	0%	0.28%	Growing Uptrend	Higher(1.4%)	6	69	1.1	2.7	1.9	Growing Uptrend	219.75(0.49%)	216.88-220.48	1.72	0%-32.5%
20	Dec_17_2020	208.35 (0.5%)	211.31 (0.6%)	211.43 (1%)	212.25	215.48(0%)	217.8(1.39%)	215.38-218.9	1.9(2.1)	3	1.3%	0.4%	0%	0.24%	Growing Uptrend	Higher(1.7%)	6	69	1	2.4	1.8	Overbought	214.05(-1.72%)	210.79-218.97	1.04	0%-32%

21	Dec_16_2020	207.61 (0.5%)	210.45 (0.5%)	209.33 (0.5%)	209.49	212.38(0%)	214.81(1.21%)	212.52-216.55	1.6(1.8)	1.7	1.1%	0.4%	0%	0.18%	Growing Uptrend	Higher(1.5%)	6	67	0.9	2	2.2	Growing Uptrend	215.2(0.18%)	213.48-215.63	0.83	0%-30.2%
22	Dec_15_2020	207.09 (0.6%)	209.47 (0.3%)	208.24 (-0.1%)	207.99	209.01(0%)	212.25(2.54%)	207.76-214.82	1.3(1.4)	0.8	0.6%	0.3%	0%	0.14%	Growing Uptrend	Range(0.9%)	6	57	0.8	1.2	2.3	Uptrend	212.36(0.05%)	211.32-212.81	1.8	-0.7%-28.6%
23	Dec_14_2020	206.76 (0.7%)	208.82 (0.4%)	208.39 (-0.5%)	208.01	206.6(0%)	207(0.83%)	206.05-208.86	0(0.1)	-2.3	-0.4%	0.1%	0%	0.18%	Downtrend Reversal	Range(-0.3%)	6	61	0.8	-0.1	1.4	Uptrend Consolidation	207.08(0.04%)	207-207.34	1.36	-3.2%-25.4%
24	Dec_11_2020	206.53 (1%)	208.75 (0.7%)	209.4 (-0.8%)	209.41	206.97(0%)	205.29(-0.96%)	204.46-207.6	-0.4(-0.3)	-2.5	-1%	0.1%	0%	0.28%	Downtrend Reversal	Range(-0.4%)	6	60	0.8	-0.8	1.5	Uptrend Consolidation	205.84(0.27%)	205.82-205.88	1.3	-4%-24.4%
25	Dec_10_2020	206.08 (1%)	208.79 (0.8%)	211.1 (-0.2%)	211.18	209.43(0%)	207.29(-1%)	206.77-210.19	0.2(0.3)	-1.6	-0.8%	0.2%	0%	0.38%	Correction	Range(-0.1%)	7	56	1	-0.2	1.4	Uptrend	208.31(0.49%)	207.07-208.82	1.05	-3%-25.6%
i	Date	ema20(Trend)	ema10(Trend)	ema5(Trend)	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	ActualPriceRange	BBV	Hourly BBV	Daily Moving Force	Weekly Trend Force	Reversal Force	Trend	Trend Pattern	Next Direction	C	RSI	Scale	RV	VIXCD	Trend-Narrative	NextDay PriceTarget	NextDayPriceRange	Volume millions	To High-Low