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     Wed. Nov. 25, 2020



Technical Analysis: SPY Cycles and Wave Structures

Mega Trend: Bullish
Average percentage change for past 10 rallies: 12.6%(10.1 stddev)
Average number of trading days for past 10 rallies: 32 days
Average percentage change for past 10 corrections: -8%(6.3 stddev)
Average number of trading days for past 10 corrections: 13 days

iStart DateCloseEnd DateCloseTrendStdDev%
Change
%
Change
To Last
High
# of
Trading
Days
TrendPE
Ratio
Money
Flow
InternalEventChart
1Fri. Oct. 30, 2020326.54Tue. Nov. 24, 2020363.220.8|0.9 1.3%11.2%(8.6)3%18     Uptrend Consolidationn/a  MoneyFlowInternalsChart
2Mon. Oct. 12, 2020352.43Fri. Oct. 30, 2020326.54-2.1|-0.3 1.19%-7.3%(6.1)1%15     Growing Downtrend29.89  MoneyFlowInternalsChart
3Wed. Sep. 23, 2020322.64Mon. Oct. 12, 2020352.432.2|0.6 1.15%9.2%(8)-1%14     Breakout29.89  MoneyFlowInternalsChart
4Wed. Sep. 2, 2020357.7Wed. Sep. 23, 2020322.64-1.9|-0.8 1.1%-9.8%(8.9)8%15     Downtrend28.93  MoneyFlowInternalsChart
5Fri. Jun. 26, 2020300.05Wed. Sep. 2, 2020357.71.8|1.5 1.37%19.2%(14)11%50     Breakout28.93  MoneyFlowInternalsChart
 
6Mon. Jun. 8, 2020323.2Fri. Jun. 26, 2020300.05-0.5|0.2 2.02%-7.2%(3.6)35%15     Downtrend26.69  MoneyFlowInternalsChart
7Mon. Mar. 23, 2020222.95Mon. Jun. 8, 2020323.21|0.7 3.57%45%(12.6)-4%54     Overbought26.69  MoneyFlowInternals20200409:Fed $600B for small business loans, and $500B for state and local loans
20200323:Fed buys corporate and consumer debts
20200323:Fed announced unlimited QE
Chart
8Wed. Feb. 19, 2020338.34Mon. Mar. 23, 2020222.95-3.5|-2.6 1.84%-34.1%(18.5)-28%24     Bottom22.80  MoneyFlowInternals20200323:Fed buys corporate and consumer debts
20200323:Fed announced unlimited QE
20200315:Fed Cut Interest rate to zero
20200303:Fed cut 0.5% rate to 1%
Chart
9Tue. Dec. 3, 2019309.55Wed. Feb. 19, 2020338.342.8|1 0.59%9.3%(15.8)8%53     Uptrend26.42  MoneyFlowInternals20191213:Fed to inject at least another $425 billion into the system
20191212:US announces phase 1 deal reached in principle
Chart
10Mon. Nov. 25, 2019313.37Tue. Dec. 3, 2019309.550.7|1 0.62%-1.2%(1.9)7%6     Uptrend Consolidation22.78  MoneyFlowInternalsChart
 
11Wed. Oct. 2, 2019288.06Mon. Nov. 25, 2019313.370.9|1.3 0.82%8.8%(10.7)4%39     Uptrend22.62  MoneyFlowInternals20191111:Flat interest rate begin
20191011:US announces “Phase 1” deal framework
Chart
12Thu. Sep. 12, 2019301.29Wed. Oct. 2, 2019288.06-1.2|0.1 0.97%-4.4%(4.5)1%15     Correction22.31  MoneyFlowInternals20190918:Fed balance sheet expansion
20190917:Repo rate spiked to 10%
Chart
13Mon. Aug. 5, 2019283.82Thu. Sep. 12, 2019301.292|0.9 0.98%6.2%(6.3)-0%28     Growing Uptrend22.34  MoneyFlowInternals20190812:Interest rate cut begin
Chart
14Fri. Jul. 26, 2019302.01Mon. Aug. 5, 2019283.82-1|-0.4 0.98%-6%(6.1)-2%7     Growing Downtrend21.61  MoneyFlowInternalsChart
15Wed. Jun. 26, 2019290.47Fri. Jul. 26, 2019302.010.4|0.9 0.75%4%(5.3)2%22     Growing Uptrend22.25  MoneyFlowInternalsChart
 
16Thu. Jun. 20, 2019295.86Wed. Jun. 26, 2019290.471.2|1.4 0.74%-1.8%(2.4)6%5     Uptrend Consolidation21.37  MoneyFlowInternalsChart
17Mon. Jun. 3, 2019274.57Thu. Jun. 20, 2019295.862.7|0.8 0.74%7.8%(10.5)1%14     Uptrend21.37  MoneyFlowInternalsChart
18Fri. May. 3, 2019294.03Mon. Jun. 3, 2019274.57-1.8|-1.9 0.73%-6.6%(9)-2%21     Growing Downtrend21.37  MoneyFlowInternalsChart
19Mon. Mar. 25, 2019279.04Fri. May. 3, 2019294.030.9|1.1 0.57%5.4%(9.5)3%29     Uptrend21.15  MoneyFlowInternalsChart
20Thu. Mar. 21, 2019284.73Mon. Mar. 25, 2019279.040.7|0.3 1.04%-2%(1.9)19%3     Uptrend Consolidation20.86  MoneyFlowInternalsChart
 
21Mon. Dec. 24, 2018234.34Thu. Mar. 21, 2019284.730.7|0.5 1.27%21.5%(16.9)2%62     Breakout20.86  MoneyFlowInternals20190320:Fed to end balance sheet reduction in Sept.
20190129:Fed paused rate increase
Chart
22Mon. Dec. 3, 2018279.3Mon. Dec. 24, 2018234.34-3.5|-1.7 1.53%-16.1%(10.5)-11%15     Downtrend19.39  MoneyFlowInternals20181219:Fed continue balance sheet reduction
Chart
23Fri. Nov. 23, 2018263.25Mon. Dec. 3, 2018279.30.5|0.4 1.1%6.1%(5.5)-1%7     Uptrend19.39  MoneyFlowInternals20181202:US and China agree to temporary truce
Chart
24Wed. Nov. 7, 2018281.01Fri. Nov. 23, 2018263.25-1.7|-0.5 1.1%-6.3%(5.7)-1%12     Growing Downtrend20.89  MoneyFlowInternalsChart
25Wed. Oct. 24, 2018265.32Wed. Nov. 7, 2018281.010.5|-0.9 0.94%5.9%(6.3)-4%11     Uptrend Reversal20.89  MoneyFlowInternalsChart
 
26Thu. Sep. 20, 2018293.58Wed. Oct. 24, 2018265.32-2.7|-2 0.7%-9.6%(13.7)-5%25     Downtrend21.36  MoneyFlowInternalsChart
27Mon. Jul. 30, 2018279.95Thu. Sep. 20, 2018293.580.7|1 0.48%4.9%(10.2)3%38     Breakout22.25  MoneyFlowInternals20180822:US-China trade dialogue
Chart
28Wed. Jul. 25, 2018284.01Mon. Jul. 30, 2018279.951|1.7 0.58%-1.4%(2.4)4%4     Uptrend22.33  MoneyFlowInternalsChart
29Wed. Jun. 27, 2018269.35Wed. Jul. 25, 2018284.011.4|1.2 0.58%5.4%(9.3)2%20     Uptrend22.33  MoneyFlowInternals20180706:US implements first China-specific tariffs
Chart
30Tue. Jun. 12, 2018278.92Wed. Jun. 27, 2018269.35-1.4|-0.1 0.79%-3.4%(4.3)0%12     Downtrend22.49  MoneyFlowInternalsChart
 
31Tue. May. 29, 2018269.02Tue. Jun. 12, 2018278.921.2|0.7 0.79%3.7%(4.7)2%11     Growing Uptrend22.49  MoneyFlowInternalsChart
32Mon. May. 21, 2018273.37Tue. May. 29, 2018269.020.2|0.7 1%-1.6%(1.6)2%6     Uptrend Consolidation22.49  MoneyFlowInternalsChart
33Thu. May. 3, 2018262.62Mon. May. 21, 2018273.371.2|0.4 1%4.1%(4.1)1%13     Uptrend22.49  MoneyFlowInternals20180503:US-China engage in trade talks
Chart
34Wed. Apr. 18, 2018270.39Thu. May. 3, 2018262.62-0.6|0.1 1.31%-2.9%(2.2)2%12     Correction22.49  MoneyFlowInternals20180503:US-China engage in trade talks
Chart
35Mon. Apr. 2, 2018257.47Wed. Apr. 18, 2018270.391|-0.3 1.31%5%(3.8)-3%13     Uptrend Reversal22.53  MoneyFlowInternalsChart
 
36Fri. Mar. 9, 2018278.87Mon. Apr. 2, 2018257.47-2.1|-0.9 1.28%-7.7%(6)-0%16     Downtrend22.53  MoneyFlowInternals20180323:US started imposing tariff on Chinese Goods
Chart
37Thu. Feb. 8, 2018257.63Fri. Mar. 9, 2018278.870.4|0.6 1.08%8.2%(7.6)-3%21     Growing Uptrend23.41  MoneyFlowInternals20180219:Fed balance sheet reduction begin
Chart
38Fri. Jan. 26, 2018286.58Thu. Feb. 8, 2018257.63-3.2|-0.8 1.08%-10.1%(9.4)6%10     Growing Downtrend23.82  MoneyFlowInternalsChart
39Fri. Aug. 18, 2017242.71Fri. Jan. 26, 2018286.584.3|3.8 0.47%18.1%(38.5)16%117     Uptrend24.97  MoneyFlowInternals20171222:Tax Cuts and Jobs Act of 2017 Signed into Law
20171102:Tax Cuts and Jobs Act of 2017 introduced in the Ho
Chart
40Mon. Aug. 7, 2017247.87Fri. Aug. 18, 2017242.71-0.9|-0.3 0.47%-2.1%(4.5)1%10     Growing Downtrend23.16  MoneyFlowInternalsChart
 
41Thu. Jul. 6, 2017240.55Mon. Aug. 7, 2017247.870.3|1.2 0.44%3%(6.8)1%23     Uptrend23.16  MoneyFlowInternalsChart
42Mon. Jun. 19, 2017244.66Thu. Jul. 6, 2017240.55-0.7|-0.4 0.49%-1.7%(3.5)2%13     Growing Downtrend23.36  MoneyFlowInternalsChart
43Wed. May. 17, 2017235.82Mon. Jun. 19, 2017244.660.5|1.2 0.47%3.7%(7.9)3%23     Uptrend23.40  MoneyFlowInternalsChart
44Tue. Apr. 25, 2017238.55Wed. May. 17, 2017235.820.1|1 0.49%-1.1%(2.2)1%17     Uptrend Consolidation23.31  MoneyFlowInternalsChart
45Thu. Apr. 13, 2017232.51Tue. Apr. 25, 2017238.550.4|0.5 0.49%2.6%(5.3)-1%8     Uptrend23.24  MoneyFlowInternalsChart
 
46Wed. Mar. 1, 2017239.78Thu. Apr. 13, 2017232.51-0.3|-0.8 0.43%-3%(7)4%32     Growing Downtrend23.24  MoneyFlowInternalsChart
47Fri. Dec. 30, 2016223.53Wed. Mar. 1, 2017239.782.7|2.2 0.52%7.3%(14)5%43     Uptrend23.60  MoneyFlowInternalsChart
48Tue. Dec. 13, 2016227.76Fri. Dec. 30, 2016223.53-0.7|0.8 0.55%-1.9%(3.5)7%13     Correction23.76  MoneyFlowInternalsChart
49Fri. Nov. 4, 2016208.55Tue. Dec. 13, 2016227.762.1|2 0.66%9.2%(13.9)5%29     Overbought23.76  MoneyFlowInternalsChart
50Wed. Sep. 28, 2016216.64Fri. Nov. 4, 2016208.55-1.5|-1.1 0.6%-3.7%(6.2)-2%28     Bottom23.35  MoneyFlowInternalsChart
 
51Wed. Sep. 14, 2016213.15Wed. Sep. 28, 2016216.640.4|-0.3 0.65%1.6%(2.5)-1%11     Uptrend Reversal24.22  MoneyFlowInternalsChart
52Mon. Aug. 15, 2016219.09Wed. Sep. 14, 2016213.15-0.9|-0.5 0.71%-2.7%(3.8)7%22     Growing Downtrend24.22  MoneyFlowInternalsChart
53Mon. Jun. 27, 2016199.6Mon. Aug. 15, 2016219.090.5|0.4 0.82%9.8%(12)3%37     Overbought24.57  MoneyFlowInternalsChart
54Wed. Jun. 8, 2016212.37Mon. Jun. 27, 2016199.6-1.5|-0.4 0.79%-6%(7.6)-2%14     Growing Downtrend23.97  MoneyFlowInternalsChart
55Thu. May. 19, 2016204.2Wed. Jun. 8, 2016212.372.3|1.1 0.6%4%(6.7)1%14     Uptrend23.97  MoneyFlowInternalsChart
 
56Wed. Apr. 20, 2016210.1Thu. May. 19, 2016204.2-0.4|-0.7 0.75%-2.8%(3.7)0%22     Downtrend23.81  MoneyFlowInternalsChart
57Thu. Feb. 11, 2016182.86Wed. Apr. 20, 2016210.10.9|0.6 1.23%14.9%(12.1)0%48     Uptrend23.97  MoneyFlowInternalsChart

 
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