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     Mon. Feb. 8, 2021

Trading Signals: SPY Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Thu. Mar. 28, 2024)

(SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust)

SPY latest price $390.5200 (0.72%) ($388.3500 - $390.5450) on Mon. Feb. 8, 2021.


Trend Analysis and Forecast
 
Average Daily Percentage Swing  0.84% (three month average)
RSI   61
Latest Price   $390.5200(0.72%)
Stocks Behave Similarly  Similar Stock List
Top Holdings  Top Holding List
Daily Trend  SPY advances 0.8% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend  SPY advances 0.5% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior  Broad based rally for large cap. Broad based rally for small cap.
Correlated ETFs  Broad market will support SPY advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
  IVW(96%)    IWF(96%)    DIA(93%)    QQQ(93%)    IVE(92%)  
Factors Impacting SPY price  SPY will decline at least -0.42% in a week (0% probabilities).
  VIXM(-53%)    UUP(-28%)    VXX(-17%)    TBT(-3%)    IGOV(-2%)  
Explanation   The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.
 
 
Relative Volatility   (options are extremely cheap)
 
Market Trend Strength  -0.42% (StdDev 0.84%)
Hourly BBV   1.2 ()
Intraday Trend   0.3%
  
 

  


5 Day Moving Average  $385.49(1.3%)
10 Day Moving Average  $381.21(2.44%)
20 Day Moving Average  $380.86(2.54%)
To recent high  0%
To recent low  10.6%
Market Cap  $N/A
 
Average Volume   million
BBV (position on Bollinger band)  2
One Month Target Price  > $390.52
(if BBV positive, VIX trend negative.)
Correction Price  < $374.12
 
CFTC S&P 500 speculative net positions  -34.9000 k (Fri. Feb. 5, 2021) Decrease
Fed Fund Rate  % ()
Yield Curve   (0)
Credit Spread   (0)
 

$. The price is 0% to new high. In the past, the price will move at least 10% above the recent low once it hits new high. Now it's -2.2% away from the target price of 390.52.
$. SPY price fluctuates within 1.25% (three month std-dev: 0.84%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 50   Average positive next day return: 0.77%(54%)   Average negative next day return: -1.02%(46%)
Sample size 50   Average positive next three day return: 1.44%(54%)   Average negative next three day return: -1.41%(46%)
Sample size 50   Average positive next weekly return: 1.81%(50%)   Average negative next weekly return: -1.59%(50%)

Analysis   News   Options   Weekly Chart   Daily Chart   2 Month Daily Chart   

  >  20210308

iDateema100ema20ema10 ema5 Slow Hourly
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1Feb_8_2021359.05380.86381.21385.49 386.02 388.71390.52(0.72%)UTOpenLong751.1   220   50   249   133   37.75    66%0.1757.60.84%1.22611.1
2Feb_5_2021358.44380.34380.45382.63 383.83 386.14387.71(0.41%)UTOpenLong751.2   267   50   308   142   48.42    70%0.1554.50.84%1.11.8621.1
3Feb_4_2021357.9379.87379.86379.1 380.51 383.33386.11(1.12%)UTOpenLong751.8   181   60   216   76   46.67    73%0.1442.60.87%1.71.6571.1
4Feb_3_2021357.41379.24379.55377.4 377.54 381.53381.84(0.15%)UTOpenLong751.2   214   80   257   83   51.03    74%0.12340.9%0.70.7520.7
5Feb_2_2021356.98378.74379.69375.92 376.49 377.69381.25(1.33%)UTOpenLong751.3   211   30   256   76   63.56    74%0.1220.20.92%1.30.653-0.1
 
6Feb_1_2021356.54378.15379.42376.42 375.44 373.55376.23(1.66%)DPOpenShort-75-0   -164   -40   -187   -96   75.14    72%0.1221.50.92%0.3-0.448-1.3
7Jan_29_2021356.11378.07379.45378.06 377.99 375.29370.07(-2%)DTOpenShort-75-1.7   -183   -50   -211   -100   125.85    69%0.1137.10.91%-1.3-1.737-2.7
8Jan_28_2021355.73378.24380.41380.62 380.53 377.34377.63(0.86%)DPOpenShort-75-0.7   -204   -60   -243   -88   92.96    65%0.1160.70.87%-0.3-0.149-2.2
9Jan_27_2021355.34377.97380.67381.94 381.74 380.7374.4(-2.45%)DTOpenShort-75-1.6   -181   -20   -222   -59   122.07    65%0.1269.90.98%-2.3-0.854-3
10Jan_26_2021354.92377.91381.2383.84 383.61 383.73383.79(-0.16%)UDOpenLong75-0   77   0   73   90   41.95    66%0.0882.70.93%0.91.2720.3
 
11Jan_25_2021354.62377.18380.68382.81 383.1 382.78384.39(0.39%)UTHoldLong650.3   23   -0   8   69   70    66%0.1275.40.96%-0.11.5760.8
12Jan_22_2021354.18376.34380.31381.07 381.96 383.5382.88(-0.35%)UDOpenLong750.4   68   40   62   87   51.76    66%0.1165.60.96%01.4631.5
13Jan_21_2021353.79375.57379.91380.19 380.25 383.43384.24(0.09%)UTOpenLong750.9   185   60   198   145   47.33    66%0.0856.80.96%11.9671.8
14Jan_20_2021353.52374.74378.85379.3 379.08 380.42383.89(1.38%)UTOpenLong751   191   20   206   146   61.47    66%0.0956.50.96%1.62671.7
15Jan_19_2021353.19373.97377.61378.27 378.25 377.07378.65(0.79%)N/AN/A00.1   -19   -20   -38   39   50.88    59%0.09550.95%0.41611.3
 
16Jan_15_2021352.86373.63376.7378.28 378.31 377.75375.7(-0.73%)CRSmallShort-20-0.6   -84   -10   -115   8   103.38    59%0.0860.70.96%-1.30.5620.7
17Jan_14_2021352.58373.36376.55379.39 379.01 379.43378.46(-0.35%)UDOpenLong75-0.2   40   0   24   86   49.28    59%0.0971.30.96%-0.61.1691.2
18Jan_13_2021352.26372.9375.92379.52 379.14 378.87379.79(0.27%)UTOpenLong750.1   51   -10   34   100   44.68    59%0.1173.90.96%1.11.6721.4
19Jan_12_2021351.89372.15375.08378.27 378.76 378.58378.77(0.02%)UTOpenLong750.1   32   0   13   87   51.98    62%0.11670.96%-0.31.6691.1
20Jan_11_2021351.52371.51374.4376.79 377.23 379.41378.69(-0.67%)UDOpenLong750.5   104   40   101   113   50.8    62%0.1153.10.98%-11.7660.2
 
21Jan_8_2021351.12370.9373.43374.81 375.05 378.95381.26(0.57%)UTOpenLong751.6   248   70   276   162   71.5    62%0.1342.60.98%1.32.6621.6
22Jan_7_2021350.68370.14372.02373.33 372.79 375.05379.1(1.49%)UTOpenLong751.8   215   40   243   132   67.61    65%0.1339.80.98%1.32.7631.5
23Jan_6_2021350.24369.64370.79371.91 371.58 371.16373.55(0.6%)UTOpenLong750.6   34   -10   34   32   102.5    59%0.143.50.99%0.91.557-0.4
24Jan_5_2021349.88369.39370.22371.49 371.56 370.54371.33(0.69%)DPOpenShort-75-0.1   -73   -20   -92   -17   65.61    62%0.153.81.01%0.50.863-0.5
25Jan_4_2021349.54369.3370371.66 372.2 372368.79(-1.36%)N/AN/A0-1.2   -23   0   -34   11   106.89    62%71.41.03%-1.3-0.256-1.6
iDateema100ema20ema10 ema5 Slow Hourly
Trend
Fast Hourly
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ClosePatternTradePSMA5
BBV
 WTF lsma10
Trend
ema5
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ema10
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Volume
millions
Quarterly
Strength
100
Daily
Trend
Daily
Trend
Force
Daily
StdDev
Hourly
BBV
BBVRSIVIXCD
Click to see actual return for next trading day.
 
 
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