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     Tue. Feb. 2, 2021

Trading Signals: SPY Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Wed. Mar. 27, 2024)

(SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust)

SPY latest price $381.2500 (1.33%) ($379.6000 - $383.2200) on Tue. Feb. 2, 2021.


Trend Analysis and Forecast
 
Average Daily Percentage Swing  0.92% (three month average)
RSI   53
Latest Price   $381.2500(1.33%)
Stocks Behave Similarly  Similar Stock List
Top Holdings  Top Holding List
Daily Trend  SPY declines -0.1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend  SPY declines -0.4% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior  Broad based rally for large cap. Growth stock rally for small cap.
Correlated ETFs  Broad market will support SPY advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
  IVW(96%)    IWF(96%)    DIA(93%)    QQQ(93%)    IVE(92%)  
Factors Impacting SPY price  SPY will decline at least -0.46% in a week (0% probabilities).
  VIXM(-53%)    UUP(-28%)    VXX(-18%)    TBT(-3%)    IGOV(-1%)  
 
 
Relative Volatility   (options are extremely cheap)
 
Market Trend Strength  -0.46% (StdDev 0.92%)
Hourly BBV   1.3 ()
Intraday Trend   0.4%
  
 

  


Inflection Point  Yes
5 Day Moving Average  $375.92(1.42%)
10 Day Moving Average  $379.69(0.41%)
20 Day Moving Average  $378.74(0.66%)
To recent high  -0.8%
To recent low  15.5%
Market Cap  $N/A
 
Average Volume   million
BBV (position on Bollinger band)  0.6
One Month Target Price  > $381.25
(if BBV positive, VIX trend negative.)
Correction Price  < $363.71
 
CFTC S&P 500 speculative net positions  -28.4000 k (Fri. Jan. 29, 2021) Decrease
Fed Fund Rate  % ()
Yield Curve   (0)
Credit Spread   (0)
 

$. The price is -0.8% to new high. In the past, the price will move at least 10% above the recent low once it hits new high. Now it's -6.3% away from the target price of 381.25.
$. SPY price fluctuates within 1.09% (three month std-dev: 0.92%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0   Average positive next day return: 0%(0%)   Average negative next day return: 0%(0%)
Sample size 0   Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%)   Average negative next three day return: %(0%)
Sample size 0   Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%)   Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis   News   Options   Weekly Chart   Daily Chart   2 Month Daily Chart   

  >  20210302

iDateema100ema20ema10 ema5 Slow Hourly
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1Feb_2_2021356.98378.74379.69375.92 376.49 377.69381.25(1.33%)UTOpenLong751.3   211   30   256   76   63.56    74%0.1220.20.92%1.30.653-0.1
2Feb_1_2021356.54378.15379.42376.42 375.44 373.55376.23(1.66%)DPOpenShort-75-0   -164   -40   -187   -96   75.14    72%0.1221.50.92%0.3-0.448-1.3
3Jan_29_2021356.11378.07379.45378.06 377.99 375.29370.07(-2%)DTOpenShort-75-1.7   -183   -50   -211   -100   125.85    69%0.1137.10.91%-1.3-1.737-2.7
4Jan_28_2021355.73378.24380.41380.62 380.53 377.34377.63(0.86%)DPOpenShort-75-0.7   -204   -60   -243   -88   92.96    65%0.1160.70.87%-0.3-0.149-2.2
5Jan_27_2021355.34377.97380.67381.94 381.74 380.7374.4(-2.45%)DTOpenShort-75-1.6   -181   -20   -222   -59   122.07    65%0.1269.90.98%-2.3-0.854-3
 
6Jan_26_2021354.92377.91381.2383.84 383.61 383.73383.79(-0.16%)UDOpenLong75-0   77   0   73   90   41.95    66%0.0882.70.93%0.91.2720.3
7Jan_25_2021354.62377.18380.68382.81 383.1 382.78384.39(0.39%)UTHoldLong650.3   23   -0   8   69   70    66%0.1275.40.96%-0.11.5760.8
8Jan_22_2021354.18376.34380.31381.07 381.96 383.5382.88(-0.35%)UDOpenLong750.4   68   40   62   87   51.76    66%0.1165.60.96%01.4631.5
9Jan_21_2021353.79375.57379.91380.19 380.25 383.43384.24(0.09%)UTOpenLong750.9   185   60   198   145   47.33    66%0.0856.80.96%11.9671.8
10Jan_20_2021353.52374.74378.85379.3 379.08 380.42383.89(1.38%)UTOpenLong751   191   20   206   146   61.47    66%0.0956.50.96%1.62671.7
 
11Jan_19_2021353.19373.97377.61378.27 378.25 377.07378.65(0.79%)N/AN/A00.1   -19   -20   -38   39   50.88    59%0.09550.95%0.41611.3
12Jan_15_2021352.86373.63376.7378.28 378.31 377.75375.7(-0.73%)CRSmallShort-20-0.6   -84   -10   -115   8   103.38    59%0.0860.70.96%-1.30.5620.7
13Jan_14_2021352.58373.36376.55379.39 379.01 379.43378.46(-0.35%)UDOpenLong75-0.2   40   0   24   86   49.28    59%0.0971.30.96%-0.61.1691.2
14Jan_13_2021352.26372.9375.92379.52 379.14 378.87379.79(0.27%)UTOpenLong750.1   51   -10   34   100   44.68    59%0.1173.90.96%1.11.6721.4
15Jan_12_2021351.89372.15375.08378.27 378.76 378.58378.77(0.02%)UTOpenLong750.1   32   0   13   87   51.98    62%0.11670.96%-0.31.6691.1
 
16Jan_11_2021351.52371.51374.4376.79 377.23 379.41378.69(-0.67%)UDOpenLong750.5   104   40   101   113   50.8    62%0.1153.10.98%-11.7660.2
17Jan_8_2021351.12370.9373.43374.81 375.05 378.95381.26(0.57%)UTOpenLong751.6   248   70   276   162   71.5    62%0.1342.60.98%1.32.6621.6
18Jan_7_2021350.68370.14372.02373.33 372.79 375.05379.1(1.49%)UTOpenLong751.8   215   40   243   132   67.61    65%0.1339.80.98%1.32.7631.5
19Jan_6_2021350.24369.64370.79371.91 371.58 371.16373.55(0.6%)UTOpenLong750.6   34   -10   34   32   102.5    59%0.143.50.99%0.91.557-0.4
20Jan_5_2021349.88369.39370.22371.49 371.56 370.54371.33(0.69%)DPOpenShort-75-0.1   -73   -20   -92   -17   65.61    62%0.153.81.01%0.50.863-0.5
 
21Jan_4_2021349.54369.3370371.66 372.2 372368.79(-1.36%)CRSmallShort-20-1.2   -23   0   -34   11   106.89    62%0.1371.41.03%-1.3-0.256-1.6
22Dec_31_2020349.08369.21370.33371.7 372.4 372.58373.88(0.51%)UTOpenLong750.9   50   10   49   54   76.76    65%0.1178.11.02%2.62651.2
23Dec_30_2020348.71368.84369.92370.44 371.27 372.4371.99(0.14%)UTOpenLong750.7   45   30   44   46   49.32    65%0.1179.31.02%-0.71.5621.3
24Dec_29_2020348.31368.54369.66369.49 370.25 372.22371.46(-0.19%)UDOpenLong750.9   127   40   143   77   53.26    65%0.189.31.02%0.31.4510.2
25Dec_28_2020347.95368.09369.01368.77 368.98 370.15372.17(0.86%)UTOpenLong751.4   105   20   121   56   38.76    68%81.51.02%0.41.7551.2
iDateema100ema20ema10 ema5 Slow Hourly
Trend
Fast Hourly
Trend
ClosePatternTradePSMA5
BBV
 WTF lsma10
Trend
ema5
Trend
ema10
Trend
Volume
millions
Quarterly
Strength
100
Daily
Trend
Daily
Trend
Force
Daily
StdDev
Hourly
BBV
BBVRSIVIXCD
Click to see actual return for next trading day.
 
 
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