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     Wed. Nov. 25, 2020

Trading Signals: SPY Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Wed. Mar. 27, 2024)

(SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust)

SPY latest price $362.6600 (-0.15%) ($361.4800 - $363.1650) on Wed. Nov. 25, 2020.


Trend Analysis and Forecast
 
Average Daily Percentage Swing  1.3% (three month average)
RSI   66
Latest Price   $362.6600(-0.15%)
Stocks Behave Similarly  Similar Stock List
Top Holdings  Top Holding List
Daily Trend  SPY advances 0.4% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend  SPY advances 0.8% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior  Value stocks sell-off for large cap. Value stock sell-off for small cap.
Correlated ETFs  Broad market will support SPY advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
  IVW(96%)    IWF(95%)    DIA(93%)    IWD(92%)    QQQ(92%)  
Factors Impacting SPY price  SPY will decline at least -0.65% in a week (0% probabilities).
  VIXM(-53%)    UUP(-28%)    VXX(-18%)    EDOC(-11%)    TBT(-2%)  
Explanation   The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.
 
 
Relative Volatility   (options are extremely cheap)
 
Market Trend Strength  -0.65% (StdDev 1.3%)
Hourly BBV   0.8 ()
Intraday Trend   -0.1%
  
 

  


5 Day Moving Average  $359.29(0.94%)
10 Day Moving Average  $358.81(1.07%)
20 Day Moving Average  $351.58(3.15%)
To recent high  -0.2%
To recent low  12.4%
Market Cap  $N/A
 
Average Volume   million
BBV (position on Bollinger band)  0.9
One Month Target Price  > $364.84
(if BBV positive, VIX trend negative.)
Correction Price  < $341.13
 
CFTC S&P 500 speculative net positions  38.8000 k (Fri. Nov. 20, 2020) Decrease
Fed Fund Rate  % ()
Yield Curve   (0)
Credit Spread   (0)
 

$. The price is -0.2% to new high. In the past, the price will move at least 10% above the recent low once it hits new high. Now it's 0.6% away from the target price of 364.84.
$. SPY price fluctuates within 3.44% (three month std-dev: 1.3%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 25   Average positive next day return: 1.85%(60%)   Average negative next day return: -1.26%(40%)
Sample size 25   Average positive next three day return: 4.41%(60%)   Average negative next three day return: -3.38%(40%)
Sample size 25   Average positive next weekly return: 6.95%(52%)   Average negative next weekly return: -3.54%(48%)

Analysis   News   Options   Weekly Chart   Daily Chart   2 Month Daily Chart   

  >  20201225

iDateema100ema20ema10 ema5 Slow Hourly
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ClosePatternTradePSMA5
BBV
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ema5
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ema10
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Volume
millions
Quarterly
Strength
100
Daily
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Daily
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Daily
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BBV
BBVRSIVIXCD
1Nov_25_2020338.21351.58358.81359.29 359.45 362.14362.66(-0.15%)UDOpenLong750.3   135   50   147   98   46.42    51%0.1543.31.3%0.80.9661.3
2Nov_24_2020337.72349.84358.19358.01 357.91 359.38363.22(1.61%)UTOpenLong750.4   114   30   120   94   61.98    51%0.1435.11.3%1.71.1731.1
3Nov_23_2020337.26348.56357.25357.49 357.18 356.77357.46(0.6%)UDOpenLong65-0   8   -10   -10   61   66.31    49%0.0633.11.29%1.40.8761.1
4Nov_20_2020337.05347.65356.98358.52 357.96 356.44355.33(-0.68%)CRSmallShort-20-0.3   -40   -30   -77   73   72.83    49%0.1335.61.29%-0.80.7781.2
5Nov_19_2020336.62347.13356.55359.07 359.22 357.6357.78(0.42%)N/AN/A0-0.1   -25   -30   -71   112   59.5    49%0.1437.11.29%-0.70.9831.3
 
6Nov_18_2020336.14346.42355.84358.16 359.29 359.48356.28(-1.2%)UDOpenLong65-0.2   18   10   -26   151   70.24    49%0.1434.81.29%-2.60.9761.3
7Nov_17_2020335.66345.69354.68358.23 358.13 360.84360.62(-0.54%)UDOpenLong750.2   128   50   95   228   66.07    49%0.17341.28%0.51.4831.6
8Nov_16_2020335.09344.75352.32356.92 357.19 359.11362.57(1.25%)UTOpenLong750.6   215   40   199   262   74.88    49%0.1929.61.28%1.21.7671.6
9Nov_13_2020334.46343.63349.17355.32 355.15 355.43358.1(1.38%)UTHoldLong500.3   40   0   -2   164   62.88    49%0.1522.61.27%1.51.5641.5
10Nov_12_2020333.95342.98346.12353.73 355.8 355.27353.21(-0.97%)UDOpenLong75-0.1   71   10   44   150   67.47    49%0.1519.31.26%-1.71.2541.1
 
11Nov_11_2020333.45342.61343.86353.13 354.73 354.87356.67(0.74%)UTHoldLong500.4   21   20   -9   109   59.17    49%0.1419.81.26%-0.21.6581.8
12Nov_10_2020333342.06340.86350.51 353.16 356.33354.04(-0.15%)UDOpenLong750.4   142   90   146   131   85.81    49%0.1316.21.27%-0.21.5581.7
13Nov_9_2020332.56341.76339.13346.91 350.57 354.58354.56(1.26%)UTOpenLong750.9   304   110   346   178   171.35    49%0.1412.11.27%0.91.6571.4
14Nov_6_2020332.1341.52337.41342.03 344.56 349.98350.16(-0.02%)UDOpenLong751   234   130   276   108   73.95    49%0.122.61.26%0.51.1561.7
15Nov_5_2020331.71341.28336.73337.31 339.6 346.56350.24(1.95%)UTOpenLong751.7   375   160   453   140   81    49%0.12-6.81.26%11.2501
 
16Nov_4_2020331.32340.9335.92333.26 333.76 339.13343.54(2.23%)UTOpenLong751.4   289   120   363   66   128.62    47%0.09-18.11.24%10.4440.8
17Nov_3_2020331.01340.9335.69329.88 330.23 332.65336.03(1.77%)RBSmallLong200.8   150   50   210   -32   92.38    44%0.09-27.11.21%1.3-0.636-0.6
18Nov_2_2020330.72340.75336.35330.32 328.77 328.39330.2(1.12%)DPOpenShort-75-0   -67   -20   -42   -142   86.1    41%0.08-24.71.19%0.5-1.426-1.4
19Oct_30_2020330.46341.3337.56332.16 331.02 327.82326.54(-1.04%)DTHoldShort-65-0.8   -167   -80   -159   -190   120.78    41%0.08-14.81.19%-1.6-2.119-1.7
20Oct_29_2020330.19341.79339.68336.01 334.34 329.15329.98(1.02%)DPOpenShort-75-0.9   -308   -120   -334   -231   90.28    41%0.033.71.18%-0.1-1.832-1.4
 
21Oct_28_2020330.08342.24341.48338.93 338.42 334.23326.66(-3.42%)DTOpenShort-75-2   -295   -90   -326   -200   126.69    41%0.0227.71.19%-1.5-2.633-2.6
22Oct_27_2020330.02342.78343.73342.15 341.9 339.53338.22(-0.34%)DTOpenShort-75-0.7   -159   -50   -175   -109   65.33    45%0.0557.51.11%-0.8-0.849-0.5
23Oct_26_2020329.87342.57344.92343.18 343.03 342.62339.39(-1.85%)DTOpenShort-75-0.7   -92   -10   -105   -51   91.4    45%0.0663.31.11%-1.5-0.659-0.4
24Oct_23_2020329.67342.37346.22343.7 344.04 344.28345.78(0.34%)UTOpenLong750.3   34   10   36   28   48.95    48%0.1164.91.09%1.40.5591.1
25Oct_22_2020329.32341.56346.33344 344.05 343.45344.61(0.55%)N/AN/A00.1   -38   -10   -55   13   55.07    48%571.1%0.50.4641.2
iDateema100ema20ema10 ema5 Slow Hourly
Trend
Fast Hourly
Trend
ClosePatternTradePSMA5
BBV
 WTF lsma10
Trend
ema5
Trend
ema10
Trend
Volume
millions
Quarterly
Strength
100
Daily
Trend
Daily
Trend
Force
Daily
StdDev
Hourly
BBV
BBVRSIVIXCD
Click to see actual return for next trading day.
 
 
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