Trading Signals: SPY Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Mon. Nov. 2, 2020

Trading Signals: SPY Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Apr. 19, 2024)

(SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust)
SPY latest price $330.2000 (1.12%) ($327.2400 - $332.3600) on Mon. Nov. 2, 2020.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.19% (three month average)
RSI   26
Latest Price   $330.2000(1.12%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   SPY declines -0.6% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   SPY declines -2.5% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Broad based rally for large cap. Broad based rally for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support SPY advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
IVW(96%)    IWF(95%)    DIA(93%)    QQQ(92%)    IWD(91%)
Factors Impacting SPY price   SPY will decline at least -0.595% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-54%)    UUP(-28%)    VXX(-19%)    EDOC(-9%)    TBT(-2%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.595% (StdDev 1.19%)
Hourly BBV 0.5 ()
Intraday Trend 0%

Inflection Point   Yes
Resistance Level   $340.75
5 Day Moving Average   $330.32(-0.04%)
10 Day Moving Average   $336.35(-1.83%)
20 Day Moving Average   $340.75(-3.1%)
To recent high   -7.7%
To recent low   2.3%
Market Cap   $N/A

CFTC S&P 500 speculative net positions   115.4000 k (Fri. Oct. 30, 2020) Increase
Fed Fund Rate   % ()
Yield Curve    (0)
Credit Spread    (0)

$. SPY price fluctuates within 2.15% (three month std-dev: 1.19%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 2 Average positive next day return: 0.78%(50%) Average negative next day return: -0.07%(50%) Sample size 2 Average positive next three day return: 1.2%(100%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 2 Average positive next weekly return: 2.25%(50%) Average negative next weekly return: -2.76%(50%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20201202

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Nov_2_2020	330.72	340.75	336.35	330.32	328.77	328.39	330.2(1.12%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0	-67	-20	-42	-142	86.1	41%	0.08	-24.7	1.19%	0.5	-1.4	26	-1.4
2	Oct_30_2020	330.46	341.3	337.56	332.16	331.02	327.82	326.54(-1.04%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.8	-167	-80	-159	-190	120.78	41%	0.08	-14.8	1.19%	-1.6	-2.1	19	-1.7
3	Oct_29_2020	330.19	341.79	339.68	336.01	334.34	329.15	329.98(1.02%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-308	-120	-334	-231	90.28	41%	0.03	3.7	1.18%	-0.1	-1.8	32	-1.4
4	Oct_28_2020	330.08	342.24	341.48	338.93	338.42	334.23	326.66(-3.42%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-2	-295	-90	-326	-200	126.69	41%	0.02	27.7	1.19%	-1.5	-2.6	33	-2.6
5	Oct_27_2020	330.02	342.78	343.73	342.15	341.9	339.53	338.22(-0.34%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-159	-50	-175	-109	65.33	45%	0.05	57.5	1.11%	-0.8	-0.8	49	-0.5

6	Oct_26_2020	329.87	342.57	344.92	343.18	343.03	342.62	339.39(-1.85%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-92	-10	-105	-51	91.4	45%	0.06	63.3	1.11%	-1.5	-0.6	59	-0.4
7	Oct_23_2020	329.67	342.37	346.22	343.7	344.04	344.28	345.78(0.34%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	34	10	36	28	48.95	48%	0.11	64.9	1.09%	1.4	0.5	59	1.1
8	Oct_22_2020	329.32	341.56	346.33	344	344.05	343.45	344.61(0.55%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.1	-38	-10	-55	13	55.07	48%	0.1	57	1.1%	0.5	0.4	64	1.2
9	Oct_21_2020	328.99	340.58	346.3	344.58	345.35	343.81	342.73(-0.19%)	CR	SmallShort	-20	-0.2	-37	-20	-58	28	62.71	48%	0.11	46.7	1.1%	-0.6	0.3	58	0.9
10	Oct_20_2020	328.64	339.66	346.2	345.62	345.86	344.66	343.38(0.4%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.3	-106	-20	-145	12	62.76	48%	0.12	40.7	1.1%	-1.1	0.4	61	0.6

11	Oct_19_2020	328.26	339.02	345.5	346.97	347.2	346.89	342.01(-1.52%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.6	-27	-0	-58	65	67.98	48%	0.12	38.8	1.1%	-2.4	0.3	63	0.7
12	Oct_16_2020	327.88	338.31	345.37	349.06	348.64	347.06	347.29(-0.06%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.2	-3	-40	-39	104	88.32	50%	0.14	39.9	1.08%	0.4	1	66	1.4
13	Oct_15_2020	327.43	337.46	344.11	348.97	349.32	347.51	347.5(-0.12%)	CR	SmallShort	-20	-0.2	-74	-30	-125	80	60.03	50%	0.13	39.6	1.08%	-0.5	1.2	70	1.6
14	Oct_14_2020	326.99	336.83	343.09	348.22	349.46	350.21	347.93(-0.63%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0	44	30	9	149	59.35	50%	0.15	39.8	1.09%	-1.3	1.4	74	2
15	Oct_13_2020	326.5	336.29	341.8	346.79	347.88	351.13	350.13(-0.65%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	213	70	205	236	72.41	50%	0.07	36.4	1.09%	0.4	1.8	77	2.1

16	Oct_12_2020	326.26	335.69	340.01	343.75	345.04	348.71	352.43(1.61%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	280	90	291	248	77.01	50%	0.18	32.5	1.1%	1.5	2.3	68	2.7
17	Oct_9_2020	325.67	334.87	338.09	341.22	341.68	344.62	346.85(0.89%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	218	60	220	211	59.23	47%	0.16	23.2	1.09%	1.3	2	67	2.6
18	Oct_8_2020	325.14	334.17	336.26	338.61	339.63	341.37	343.78(0.89%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	191	40	196	177	44.53	47%	0.14	3.7	1.09%	1.3	1.8	61	1.7
19	Oct_7_2020	324.67	333.62	334.26	337.27	337.15	338.74	340.76(1.74%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	72	30	64	97	56.77	47%	0.15	-24	1.08%	1.6	1.4	53	1
20	Oct_6_2020	324.17	333.5	332.48	336.09	336.51	337.89	334.93(-1.42%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	121	30	132	89	89.76	44%	0.13	-44.2	1.08%	-0.9	0.3	45	0.3

21	Oct_5_2020	323.76	333.4	332	335.58	335.75	335.55	339.76(1.77%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	55	-0	59	42	45.37	46%	0.17	-60.7	1.07%	1.9	1.3	47	0.6
22	Oct_2_2020	323.21	333.46	330.67	334.47	334.56	335.14	333.84(-0.95%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-33	10	-36	-25	88.55	42%	0.15	-71.8	1.06%	-0.9	0.1	44	0.4
23	Oct_1_2020	322.72	333.97	330.31	333.44	334.68	335.95	337.04(0.64%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	156	40	191	51	91.48	42%	0.18	-71.8	1.05%	0.6	0.5	52	0.8
24	Sep_30_2020	322.15	334.87	330.05	330.74	331.81	333.99	334.89(0.76%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	96	60	127	1	107.27	42%	0.15	-58.4	1.05%	0.3	0	51	0.8
25	Sep_29_2020	321.66	335.66	330.29	328.29	328.82	333.41	332.37(-0.54%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.5	174	100	227	16	51.4	42%		-56.4	1.06%	0.5	-0.4	42	0.9
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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